Adam's Legal Newsletter • 659 implied HN points • 21 Dec 23
- Chances of the Supreme Court disqualifying Trump are low but improving, now estimated at around 20%.
- The conventional wisdom leans towards the Supreme Court reversing the Colorado Supreme Court's decision, considering factors like democratic norms and legal arguments.
- There is a small chance, about 15%, that the Supreme Court might affirm the Colorado Supreme Court's decision to disqualify Trump, based on the quality of legal reasoning in the case.