The hottest Company Valuation Substack posts right now

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The Seven Samurai: Big Tech to the Rescue!

Musings on Markets • 1538 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investment Analysis Stock Market Economic Trends Company Valuation
  1. The 'Magnificent Seven' stocks, which include major companies like Apple and Amazon, significantly boosted the US market in 2023. They contributed to over half of the market's growth, highlighting their importance in investing.
  2. These companies have shown strong performance not just recently, but over the past decade. If investors didn't include these stocks, they likely missed out on significant gains.
  3. Despite their past success, investors should be cautious. Valuations for these companies are high now, and prices may drop if they don't meet the high expectations set by the market.

Nvidia surpasses Apple to become the world’s most valuable company

philsiarri • 22 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
💼 Business Investments Market Trends Company Valuation Economic Impact
  1. Nvidia has become the world's most valuable company, surpassing Apple with a market cap of $3.43 trillion. This is a big deal in the tech world.
  2. Nvidia's technology in artificial intelligence, which helps train models like ChatGPT, is attracting huge investments. This investment push has helped Nvidia's value skyrocket past major competitors.
  3. Since late 2022, Nvidia’s stock price has increased by over 850%, and it's about to join the Dow Jones Industrial Average. That's a huge jump in a short amount of time!

Tesla in November 2023: Story twists & turns, with value consequences!

Musings on Markets • 1238 implied HN points • 01 Nov 23
💼 Business Investing Market Analysis Company Valuation Automotive Industry Innovation
  1. Tesla has faced ups and downs in its stock price lately, dropping below $200 after some tough weeks. This shows how quickly the market reacts to Tesla's news.
  2. Three big stories are influencing Tesla's future: price cuts to stay competitive, advancements in their self-driving technology, and the highly-anticipated Cybertruck launch.
  3. Valuing Tesla is complex because it has multiple business areas. Right now, the estimated value per share is around $180, but it can change depending on how their stories develop.

IPOs Explained

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 239 implied HN points • 08 Jun 23
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Company Valuation Stock Options Economic Impact
  1. An IPO lets a private company sell shares to the public for the first time, raising capital to grow or pay off debt.
  2. Companies go public for reasons like gaining more visibility, providing liquidity for existing shareholders, and offering stock options to employees.
  3. IPOs can fail if investor interest is low, market conditions are bad, or the company's performance declines after going public.
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Data Update 1 for 2022: It is Moneyball Time!

Musings on Markets • 19 implied HN points • 08 Jan 22
💰 Finance Data Analysis Investment Strategies Market Trends Company Valuation Economic Indicators Corporate Finance
  1. Having a lot of data isn't always helpful. Sometimes, too much information can make it harder to make good decisions.
  2. Just because everyone thinks something is right doesn't mean it is. Crowds can be wrong, so it's important to think critically about popular opinions.
  3. Using data effectively requires understanding and skill. Knowing how to read the data properly can help you make better investment choices.

China's Tech Crackdown: Its about Control, not Consumers or Competition!

Musings on Markets • 19 implied HN points • 01 Sep 21
💼 Business Tech industry Market Analysis Government Influence Company Valuation Investment strategy
  1. China's tech crackdown focuses on control by the government rather than protecting consumers or fostering competition. This means the government wants to maintain power over tech companies and the data they possess.
  2. Chinese tech companies have seen significant changes in their market value due to increased government regulations. Investors are now reassessing their expectations and pricing based on the new reality of government control.
  3. The success of Chinese tech companies stems from their ability to adapt to the local market needs and not just copying foreign models. However, their dependency on domestic growth makes them vulnerable to government actions.

Clouded Judgement 1.12.24 - Hard Truths

Clouded Judgement • 1 HN point • 12 Jan 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Startups Investing Market Trends Company Valuation
  1. In 2021, there was an influx of funding in the venture market, leading to challenges for startups to meet milestones in the future.
  2. Startups need to assess if their product has a unique market fit and can sustainably operate independently.
  3. Having honest conversations now about a startup's viability can prevent future struggles, especially as funding balances decrease.

The Sharing Economy come home: The IPO of Airbnb!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 02 Dec 20
💼 Business Economics Market Analysis Investments Company Valuation
  1. Airbnb's business connects people who want to rent out their homes with travelers looking for a place to stay. This model allows Airbnb to grow as more people become hosts and guests.
  2. The company has faced challenges like legal issues and the impact of COVID-19, which hit the travel industry hard. However, it also showed resilience and has started to recover as travel picks up again.
  3. For its IPO, Airbnb aims to raise money to pay off debt and invest in its future. Investors should be aware of the risks and market dynamics that could affect the company's value.

How much cash is too much? Looking at Apple

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 19 Jan 11
💼 Business Finance Investing Corporate Economics Valuation Corporate Finance Investment strategy Market Analysis Risk management Company Valuation
  1. Cash balance should be compared to low-risk investments, not just operating costs. It's important to know how a company is using cash, since unnecessary risk can harm investors.
  2. Companies like Apple that effectively manage cash can be trusted to use it wisely. A good track record is key to determining how much cash is too much.
  3. Too much cash can lead to bad investment decisions, which could hurt company value. Keeping cash can be smarter than spending it poorly, especially if the company is performing well.