The hottest Economic Indicators Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Stock Market Nerd β€’ 707 implied HN points β€’ 03 Feb 24
  1. Apple beat revenue estimates but had mixed performance in different product segments, especially in China.
  2. Mastercard surpassed revenue estimates and saw growth in various sectors like cross-border revenue and value-add services.
  3. Match's financial results were strong, although challenges like negative payer growth from price hikes are temporary.
  4. AMD ranked well in Cloud Workload Security and continues to expand its offerings with the potential for higher revenue and margins.
  5. CrowdStrike received recognition in Forrester's Cloud Workload Security report and shows promising growth potential with increased modules for clients.
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Daily Chartbook β€’ 1388 implied HN points β€’ 22 Jun 23
  1. The number of homes for sale in the U.S. has dropped to its lowest level and saw the first annual decline since April 2022.
  2. The median U.S. home sale price was $419,103 in May, just a 3.1% decrease from the previous year.
  3. The American Trucking Associations' For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index rose 2.4% in May after a decrease in April.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter β€’ 57 implied HN points β€’ 16 Feb 24
  1. Single-family housing starts were up 22% year-over-year in January, while multi-family starts experienced a significant decrease.
  2. There was an overall decrease in total housing starts in January, although November and December numbers were revised up.
  3. Permits held up better than starts in January, with likely impacts from severe weather last month.
Global Markets Investor β€’ 19 implied HN points β€’ 26 Feb 24
  1. Weekly performance update: Last week saw significant increases in major US indexes, VIX volatility, Bitcoin, and gold. Nvidia stood out with a 9% rise after surpassing earnings and guidance expectations.
  2. Nvidia's remarkable growth: Nvidia's market cap doubled to $2 trillion in just 8 months, making it the third largest US company. Its outstanding revenue forecast and stock performance pose a question about its future success.
  3. Chinese market support and US bank debts: Chinese authorities are propping up their stock market, while major US banks are facing challenges with bad property debt surpassing loss reserves. Keep an eye on US government bond yields and PCE inflation data for potential impacts on various markets.
Klement on Investing β€’ 3 implied HN points β€’ 15 Feb 24
  1. Markets react to surprises in economic data, not just the data itself. A deviation from consensus forecasts often triggers market movements.
  2. The size of the economic surprise matters. The impact can vary based on the type of data, with some like inflation having stronger effects.
  3. Economic indicators like inflation, unemployment, PMIs, and consumer confidence are crucial for investors to watch. Interest rates also play a significant role.
Klement on Investing β€’ 1 implied HN point β€’ 06 Mar 24
  1. Consumer sentiment surveys are essential indicators for future consumption, but some specific questions like the outlook on major purchases can predict consumption better than headline figures.
  2. Consumers tend to be overly optimistic about their future family finances compared to the overall economy, which can impact future consumption growth.
  3. The level of ex ante optimism, comparing expectations for family finances and the economy, can be a powerful predictor of future consumption growth, while ex post optimism influences savings ratios and credit usage.
Spilled Coffee β€’ 0 implied HN points β€’ 02 Mar 24
  1. The stock market has been reaching new all-time highs with strong performance across various sectors and asset classes.
  2. Despite Apple's underperformance compared to the S&P 500 and other tech stocks, it may present a potential buying opportunity as past dips in Apple have been followed by strong recoveries.
  3. The current market trend is leaning towards risk-on behavior, with evidence in the rise of high-risk assets like Bitcoin and certain ETFs.
Global Markets Investor β€’ 0 implied HN points β€’ 11 Mar 24
  1. The performance of major US indexes, Bitcoin, and gold, with insights into market volatility and inflation data, was a focus for the week.
  2. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's approach to rate cuts, inflation measures, and the impact on the market were discussed in the post.
  3. A comparison of the US economy's strength with that of the European Union, UK, Japan, and China, highlighting the support provided by the US central bank and government.
Global Markets Investor β€’ 0 implied HN points β€’ 01 Mar 24
  1. Stocks perform best in falling and stable inflation; commodities and precious metals perform well in rising inflation.
  2. During periods of falling inflation, stocks are favored, followed by bonds and real estate. Commodities tend to be the worst performers.
  3. In stable inflation environments, stocks still play a significant role, while real estate, bonds, commodities, and precious metals are also included in the portfolio.
The Tweetsift Report β€’ 0 implied HN points β€’ 06 Mar 23
  1. Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased by 1.7% in Q4 2022, despite declining annually by 1.7%.
  2. Nonfinancial corporate sector productivity rose by 0.6% in Q3 2022, contrary to previous reports of a 1.6% decline.
  3. Overall, the report indicates more bullish sentiments in labor productivity, with positive indicators surpassing negative ones.