The hottest Military Affairs Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top World Politics Topics
Caitlin’s Newsletter 1932 implied HN points 20 Mar 26
  1. Professional warmongers never admit their policies were wrong; they insist wars fail only because of poor execution, not because the idea was bad.
  2. John Bolton is a prime example of this hypocrisy—he pushed for regime change in Iran without a viable plan and now blames others for not preparing properly.
  3. The imperial system elevates the least wise and least compassionate people, and that dynamic makes radical, systemic change urgently necessary.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 13029 implied HN points 11 Oct 24
  1. Ukraine's situation is worsening as they struggle against renewed Russian advances. Zelensky is seeking support from allies to end the conflict but is facing growing pressures.
  2. There are discussions about a potential ceasefire, but Zelensky is caught between showing strength and the reality of needing to make concessions. He wants to maintain the appearance of not giving up land.
  3. Infighting and low morale are rising among pro-Ukrainian supporters. Many feel that the West won't provide the necessary support to achieve victory against Russia.
Simplicius's Garden of Knowledge 13848 implied HN points 06 Oct 24
  1. Ukrainian troops are facing major issues, like mutinies and lack of resources. Many soldiers are unwilling to fight due to insufficient training and equipment.
  2. The fall of Ugledar shows how serious the losses are for Ukraine. Brigades are being dramatically reduced in numbers, with some units losing nearly all their members.
  3. There's a growing sentiment among Ukrainian soldiers and officials that negotiations might be necessary to end the conflict. Many are feeling the emotional and physical toll of the ongoing war.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 2086 implied HN points 26 Feb 26
  1. Some U.S. officials reportedly want Israel to strike Iran first so an Iranian retaliation against U.S. assets would create political cover for a U.S. war.
  2. Government leaders and mainstream media are pushing misleading or false claims about Iran’s intentions and capabilities to manufacture public support for military action.
  3. Because the U.S. and Israel have pursued sanctions, military deployments, covert actions, and attacks that escalate tensions, any Iranian retaliation that kills U.S. or Israeli troops would be the consequence of those provocations and thus their responsibility.
Who is Robert Malone 44 implied HN points 20 Mar 26
  1. The post highlights a witty exchange by President Trump and treats it as a funny, crowd-pleasing moment that celebrates surprise and boldness.
  2. It mocks government fear-mongering about backyard eggs and raw milk, arguing that’s absurd when many public restrooms are dirtier and more hazardous.
  3. It shifts to lighter, personal notes about the spring equinox and farm life, celebrating longer days, renewal, and the pleasure of getting outside.
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Common Sense with Bari Weiss 389 implied HN points 10 Mar 26
  1. The president said he could declare the Iran war over right now and claimed key objectives, like rolling back Iran’s weapons programs, have been met.
  2. At the same time he kept emphasizing reasons to keep fighting long enough to make results stick, suggesting an impulse to “finish the job” rather than quit early.
  3. A former deputy national security adviser thinks the president probably won’t take the offered off‑ramp and is more likely to let the conflict continue for weeks to ensure durable outcomes.
Glenn’s Substack 1838 implied HN points 06 Sep 24
  1. Scandinavia is shifting from a peaceful region to a frontline for the US military, which might lead to more conflicts. Countries like Norway are hosting US military bases, causing Russia to feel threatened.
  2. The history shows that when one country's security increases, it often makes neighboring countries feel less secure, leading to a security competition. This was the case during the Cold War with Finland and Sweden acting as neutral states to reduce tensions.
  3. NATO's expansion, including Sweden and Finland joining, is seen by some as a major mistake. It might actually increase tensions rather than provide security, as past experiences suggest that surrounding a country with military alliances can provoke it.
Phillips’s Newsletter 637 implied HN points 06 Mar 26
  1. Endemic corruption and the replacement of competent officers with loyalists and fanatics have hollowed out decision-making, morale, and expertise across the US military and diplomatic corps.
  2. The Iran bombing has exposed unprecedented operational failures — including large friendly‑fire losses, poor industrial/logistical preparation, and a confused articulation of strategic goals despite months of warning.
  3. Those failures carry dangerous consequences: likely catastrophic civilian harm (including a struck girls' school), the US being used to advance other countries' interests, and serious damage to alliance diplomacy and credibility.
Nonzero Newsletter 463 implied HN points 05 Mar 26
  1. The U.S. and Israel seem to be pursuing options that could intentionally weaken or collapse Iran’s government, and the likely succession of Mojtaba Khamenei would signal deeper IRGC control and raise the risk of internal fragmentation or civil conflict.
  2. Voluntary AI safety commitments are fraying — moves like Anthropic’s policy changes and government pushback suggest self-regulation won’t reliably prevent dangerous outcomes, so stronger, enforceable rules are needed.
  3. China is pulling ahead on technologies like drones, batteries, and EV platforms, but those gains don’t automatically mean an American loss because deep commercial and engineering ties can create mutually beneficial cooperation.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 268 implied HN points 05 Mar 26
  1. They’re devoting intensive, around-the-clock reporting and expert analysis to the unfolding Iran war to help readers understand what’s happening and why it matters.
  2. Former Marine Aaron MacLean is joining as a columnist and host of the School of War podcast and will host a live discussion at noon ET with retired General Frank McKenzie.
  3. Full coverage is behind a paid subscription, and new subscribers can get seven days free to access all reporting and livestreams.
ChinaTalk 1571 implied HN points 28 Jan 26
  1. Xi has moved from purging enemies to purging close military allies, removing a whole generation of PLA leaders and tightening his personal control over the armed forces.
  2. The leadership used dramatic public accusations — including claims of leaking nuclear secrets and corruption — as a tool to disgrace, justify, and deter purges beyond ordinary anti-corruption steps.
  3. The shake-up leaves the Central Military Commission hollow, hurts morale and succession planning, and raises questions about military readiness and how Xi will staff and trust a younger cohort of commanders.
Chartbook 486 implied HN points 08 Feb 26
  1. US corporate profits are a central economic story, with implications for markets, investment and inequality.
  2. Global public spending is highlighted as a key force shaping national and international economic outcomes through government budgets and policies.
  3. The newsletter warns of a renewed nuclear arms race as a major geopolitical risk and also urges embracing “legitimate strangeness,” valuing unconventional ideas and identities.
Glenn’s Substack 739 implied HN points 22 Aug 24
  1. NATO's involvement in the war may blur the lines between a proxy war and direct conflict, raising concerns about escalation.
  2. Russia has been cautious in its response to NATO actions, as retaliating could lead to a larger global conflict.
  3. The recent invasion of Kursk by Ukraine and NATO has led to significant Ukrainian casualties and weakened defensive positions, with NATO's role now more apparent.
Glenn’s Substack 519 implied HN points 30 Aug 24
  1. Both Israel and Ukraine are in conflicts they can't win and are escalating their actions instead of seeking peace. This makes the situation more dangerous.
  2. The countries are trying to involve the US more deeply in their wars, hoping that American support will change their fortunes.
  3. There is a lack of serious discussions or diplomatic efforts to address the escalating tensions, which could lead to a wider conflict.
Letters from an American 30 implied HN points 09 Mar 26
  1. The current leadership is treating military action like a staged performance, using merch and movie-style media and downplaying solemn moments. That approach looks disrespectful and suggests there wasn't a serious plan for what comes next.
  2. The strikes have produced deadly, real-world consequences — U.S. service members and many civilians have died, and incidents like attacks on ships and a school show the conflict is widening. Those actions are also hurting the economy at home through higher oil and gas prices.
  3. This behavior reflects a long-standing 'cowboy' individualist ideology that favors unilateral, rule-breaking force and sidelines legal or moral constraints. It also exposes a political choice to fund war heavily while cutting domestic programs, showing a troubling mismatch in priorities.
Unreported Truths 19 implied HN points 15 Mar 26
  1. The Constitution gives Congress the power to declare war, so presidents shouldn’t skip Congress or the public just to preserve a claimed tactical advantage.
  2. Arguments that lawmakers will leak plans or that debate would give the enemy time are weak and don’t justify hiding broad war aims from Congress.
  3. Pure tactical surprise rarely delivers lasting victory, and military success alone can’t solve political problems, so leaders should require clear goals, risks, and timelines before committing to war.
TK News by Matt Taibbi 684 implied HN points 06 Dec 25
  1. Allegations have emerged that US forces fired on survivors of Venezuelan maritime strikes, and if true that would be a clear violation of the laws of war.
  2. Senior officials are publicly defending the strikes as necessary deterrence, which normalizes aggressive tactics and makes it harder to tell when orders cross legal lines.
  3. The dispute has triggered a heated debate over refusing illegal orders and has already caused political and security disruptions; legal experts say shooting wounded or shipwrecked survivors is explicitly prohibited.
Glenn’s Substack 439 implied HN points 04 Jul 24
  1. NATO is struggling in Ukraine and needs to either negotiate or increase its military involvement.
  2. The situation is tense and we may be close to a direct conflict between NATO and Russia.
  3. Political issues in Western countries are worsening, but NATO continues to escalate the situation instead of seeking dialogue.
Diane Francis 819 implied HN points 13 May 24
  1. French President Macron is ready to send troops to support Ukraine if they ask for help. This shows strong support for Ukraine against Russia.
  2. Britain is allowing Ukraine to use British weapons to attack Russian targets, which raises the stakes in the conflict.
  3. Putin is threatening to use nuclear weapons as a scare tactic after facing setbacks in battle, and leaders like Zelensky want to keep pressure on him to prevent this threat.
Doomberg 5101 implied HN points 11 Dec 24
  1. Tajikistan's economy relies heavily on remittances from migrant workers in Russia, making the relationship between the two countries very important.
  2. China has invested a lot in Tajikistan and benefits from its natural resources, showing how connected these countries are through trade.
  3. Recent export restrictions by China on critical minerals like antimony can affect the US, especially in military and technology sectors, increasing concerns in the Pentagon.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 1848 implied HN points 12 Jun 25
  1. The US might be heading for war with Iran again, with officials warning about potential attacks and military evacuations happening in the region.
  2. If Iran retaliates to an Israeli attack, it could cause a large-scale conflict that would be worse than past wars in the Middle East.
  3. The current situation could be avoided if the US stopped supporting Israel, but it's clear that the US has chosen to remain involved.
Diane Francis 1199 implied HN points 15 Jan 24
  1. Europe is realizing the serious threat Russia poses, leading to stronger military support for Ukraine. Countries like Germany and the UK are stepping up with more weapons and defenses.
  2. Despite heavy losses, Ukraine is making gains and has the support of its allies. They believe that if they keep fighting, they can defeat Russia and reclaim their land.
  3. There's growing unity among European nations, and many are considering tough measures like seizing Russian assets to help Ukraine. Leaders are optimistic about ultimate victory against Russia's aggression.
All-Source Intelligence Fusion 1037 implied HN points 03 Jul 25
  1. A new aid group in Gaza is causing danger for civilians trying to get food. Many people have been hurt or killed while seeking help from these sites, which are backed by the US and Israel.
  2. The UN has refused to work with this aid group because it believes the way it's set up puts lives at risk. Civilians often have to go through dangerous areas to access food, leading to tragic outcomes.
  3. The aid group's leadership includes former military and intelligence officials, raising concerns about their intentions. Critics argue that the group may be more focused on military goals than truly helping those in need.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 1131 implied HN points 22 Jun 25
  1. Recent U.S. Air Force attacks have created a sense of significant change in the Middle East. People feel hopeful that these actions might help stabilize the region.
  2. There's a belief that successfully damaging Iran's nuclear program could bring freedom to its people and potentially impact the wider Middle East.
  3. Many see this moment as a potential turning point for millions in the region and for those watching globally.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 1043 implied HN points 30 Jun 25
  1. A recent war with Iran caused a lot of destruction in Israel, with missiles hitting cities and research facilities. Many people were injured, and some were killed, highlighting the human cost of conflict.
  2. The Weizmann Institute, a key research center in Israel, suffered significant damage. This loss not only destroyed physical buildings but also years of valuable research that could have helped treat diseases like cancer.
  3. The devastation from the conflict shows how hard it is to measure the true cost of war. While some numbers can be counted, many personal stories and long-term impacts are much deeper and harder to assess.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 2768 implied HN points 07 Dec 24
  1. H.R. McMaster believes it's important for Americans to see all sides of Donald Trump's presidency, not just the good or the bad.
  2. McMaster shares insights about his experiences during Trump's first foreign trip, highlighting how Trump thinks and makes decisions.
  3. He's hosting a book club discussion about his book 'At War with Ourselves,' focusing on his time as National Security Adviser and the challenges faced during that period.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 2086 implied HN points 07 Feb 25
  1. The narrative around Gaza's conditions has changed, going from denying any destruction to suggesting it needs to be evacuated due to its unlivable state.
  2. There is a shift in how supporters of Israel talk about the situation, moving from defending military actions to now acknowledging the devastation as a reason for evacuating the population.
  3. Controlling the narrative is crucial, as it reflects how the powers involved justify their actions amidst changing circumstances and agendas.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 1029 implied HN points 13 Jun 25
  1. Israel has been focusing on Iran's nuclear program for over 20 years, making it a major target. They believe that taking military action could lead to significant changes in Iran's government.
  2. Israel has started a large military operation aimed at destroying Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities. This includes targeting key leaders in Iran's military.
  3. The success of this operation is still uncertain, and it will take time to see if Iran's defenses can withstand the attacks from Israel's forces.
All-Source Intelligence Fusion 671 implied HN points 21 Jul 25
  1. The book highlights the key role of Tomas Rakusan in the CIA, especially in covert operations against Russia after the 2016 election. His leadership helped improve intelligence regarding Russia's actions.
  2. While the book provides valuable insights into CIA leadership, it doesn't delve deeply into topics like privatization and technology in intelligence operations.
  3. The author, Tim Weiner, presents a strong opinion on various political figures and events, and his analysis offers a critical view of U.S. intelligence operations and their moral implications.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss 463 implied HN points 13 Aug 25
  1. Putin doesn't see Ukraine as a real country, which complicates any peace talks. He wants to control Ukraine to make Russia stronger.
  2. Past U.S. presidents often misjudge Putin's intentions, which leads to bad decisions in dealing with Russia.
  3. Any meeting between the U.S. and Russia about Ukraine needs to include Ukraine itself, or it won't be fair or effective.
Diane Francis 1618 implied HN points 05 Jun 23
  1. Canada is giving little military support to Ukraine, especially compared to what other countries like the US are doing. The government has also not met its NATO defense spending commitments.
  2. Trudeau's government lacks expertise, hiring outside consultants for guidance and has made several decisions that hurt Canada's energy sector and military capabilities. This raises concerns about national security.
  3. There are serious issues of foreign influence on Canadian politics, especially from China, which have not been adequately addressed by Trudeau and his administration.
TK News by Matt Taibbi 1438 implied HN points 23 Nov 24
  1. The use of missiles in Ukraine is escalating, with one missile being identified as potentially the first intercontinental ballistic missile used in a conflict. This is a significant step in warfare technology.
  2. Russia has updated its nuclear doctrine to include non-nuclear states in conflicts with its territory, raising fears that nuclear weapons could be used against Ukraine.
  3. Amid the serious global events, some people seem unbothered or unaware of the impact this escalation has on international relations and security.
Diane Francis 939 implied HN points 31 Jul 23
  1. Wagner, a private military group, is a key part of Putin's strategy and makes a lot of money from warfare and operations around the world.
  2. Putin uses Wagner not just for military actions but also to gain influence and control over resources in African countries, often through illegal means.
  3. Despite issues in Ukraine, Putin remains strong because of his partnerships and the ongoing power of groups like Wagner in the global landscape.
Diane Francis 1099 implied HN points 24 Jun 23
  1. Prigozhin, a Russian warlord, openly rebelled against the government, criticizing the war in Ukraine as unjust and driven by greed.
  2. His actions have created unrest within Russia, as some military units are refusing to fight against him, which could weaken Putin's hold on power.
  3. Even if Prigozhin fails in his rebellion, he has already challenged Putin, highlighting discontent and a potential shift in power dynamics within Russia.
Diane Francis 579 implied HN points 14 Dec 23
  1. Nicolas Maduro, the president of Venezuela, is a strong ally of Putin and has worsened his country's economy despite its oil wealth.
  2. Maduro has allowed Russian companies and military groups to operate in Venezuela, contributing to his regime's security and resource extraction.
  3. Recently, Maduro claimed land in Guyana and threatened invasion, which is seen as a distraction from his own economic issues and has raised tensions in the region.
Diane Francis 779 implied HN points 14 Aug 23
  1. South Korea has increased its support for Ukraine, marking a significant shift in its international stance. This is partly due to South Korea's own history of being affected by Russian aggression during the Korean War.
  2. The country has been exporting military supplies to Ukraine and is officially joining its alliance, showcasing its readiness to confront threats from North Korea and Russia.
  3. A South Korean soldier, Sgt Kim Jae-kyung, has actively campaigned for support of Ukraine, reminding people that South Korea received help from many nations in its own time of need.
Diane Francis 939 implied HN points 03 Jul 23
  1. Ramzan Kadyrov, a leader in Chechnya, has shown loyalty to Putin but could also cause trouble in the North Caucasus region. His past actions and armed forces make him a figure to watch closely.
  2. The North Caucasus is home to many non-Russian people who have faced harsh treatment. As Russia weakens, there could be movements for independence in this area.
  3. Many people in the North Caucasus are unhappy with Russia's military actions, especially since they have lost many young men in the conflict. This growing resentment might lead to changes in the region soon.
Diane Francis 659 implied HN points 04 Sep 23
  1. Recent military coups in former French colonies, like Gabon and Niger, reflect growing instability as local governments lose support and seek new alliances. This situation is often fueled by foreign powers, especially China and Russia, looking to expand their influence.
  2. France's past colonial actions led to many African countries facing issues like dictatorship and lack of democracy, which has contributed to current unrest. Many African nations feel abandoned by France, leading to a rejection of French military assistance.
  3. As countries like China and Russia gain power in Africa, France is struggling to keep its influence. New leadership may not guarantee democracy, but there is a hope for fair elections and rights, though many see these coups as just swapping one corrupt leader for another.
Glen’s Substack 19 implied HN points 05 Sep 24
  1. Russia is planning to set up a new anti-satellite system, which could threaten U.S. space assets and communications. They might even use a nuclear weapon in space, which would disrupt electronics on a wide scale.
  2. Putin aims to control low Earth orbit because it's crucial for modern warfare and global communication. This control could help him negotiate better with the U.S. over arms talks.
  3. The U.S. should ignore Putin's threats and focus on improving its own space defenses. It's important for the U.S. to have a strong plan in space to counter Russia's ambitions.