The hottest Polls Substack posts right now

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Some Fascinating Poll Results - Americans are starting to agree on some very important things

startupdreams • 741 implied HN points • 29 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Election interference Government Trust
  1. 70% of Americans are concerned about election interference by the FBI or intelligence agencies, showing lack of confidence in elections.
  2. 71% of Americans believe wide-ranging reform is necessary to prevent election interference by government institutions, indicating a bipartisan distrust in government.
  3. A large majority of Americans are not surprised that the FBI violated its own policies, highlighting a bipartisan distrust of the FBI.

Prison and the Presidency

Who is Robert Malone • 23 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigning Judiciary Polls Candidates
  1. The polls might not accurately reflect voter sentiment, with a noticeable shift towards Republican registration that could impact outcomes.
  2. If Trump wins, there may be attempts to remove him from office through legal challenges and other tactics.
  3. There is concern about Trump's legal issues leading to imprisonment, and how this would affect his presidency and the political landscape in the U.S.
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February 21, 2025

Letters from an American • 26 implied HN points • 22 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Polls Public Opinion Policy
  1. Elon Musk's influence in Trump's administration seems to be unpopular with many Americans. A lot of people think he's overstepping and worried about privacy issues.
  2. Trump's approval ratings are low, with many Americans disapproving of his actions, like budget cuts and treatment of immigrants. Even some Republicans oppose his pardons for Capitol riot offenders.
  3. State governors are pushing back against Trump's approach, asserting the need for rule of law and refusing to comply with his directives like those affecting transgender athletes.

Results from poll #1

The Counterfactual • 79 implied HN points • 12 Jan 24
🕹 Technology AI Cognitive Science Research Polls Language Models
  1. A new paid option allows subscribers to vote on topics for future articles. This way, readers can influence the content being created.
  2. This month's poll showed that readers chose a study on using language models to measure text readability. This will be the focus of upcoming research and articles.
  3. In addition to the readability study, there will be future posts about the history of AI, learning over different timescales, and a survey to learn more about the audience's interests.

The Cocoon Election

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 176 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Polls Age Presidency
  1. The current presidential candidates are significantly older than the average age of past presidents and the average age of death for former presidents, raising concerns about capability for such a stressful role
  2. Polls show that Trump is consistently leading over Biden in national polls, suggesting a strong showing for Trump in the upcoming election
  3. Despite the dissatisfaction with current choices, there is a lack of viable alternatives in the current presidential election

Young Voters Are Furious at Biden. That’s Nice.

American Dreaming • 215 implied HN points • 10 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Polls Voting Youth Foreign Policy
  1. Critics argue that young voters are angry at Biden due to his support for Israel, but data shows this may not be impacting his re-election chances.
  2. Despite concerns about young progressive voters turning away from Biden, the data indicates that they are not a significant voting bloc and may not sway elections.
  3. Changing his stance on Israel/Palestine would not benefit Biden politically, as it could alienate reliable voters to cater to a smaller, less reliable group.

The Musk Who Wanted to Be King

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 20 implied HN points • 24 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Movements Political parties Polls Government
  1. People are feeling hopeful about the Democrats winning the upcoming election. Many believe early voting shows strong support for them.
  2. There's a push to encourage voters in swing states to choose Democrats, especially using tools like the Reach app to connect with uncommitted voters.
  3. Even if Democrats win, the system is seen as corrupt and broken. There's a need for a new movement to make real changes and address issues like wealth inequality and environmental challenges.

Snippets 14: US polls; the Westminster Wasteland; the Cabinet Office sabotaging the PM's office; PRC v USA...

Dominic Cummings substack • 17 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Media Government Campaigns
  1. Swing voters are noticing Biden's age and mental sharpness, while insiders in the Democratic party are still in denial about these issues. They need to wake up to the reality that he may not be a strong candidate moving forward.
  2. Many politicians and media insiders are trapped in a bubble that prevents them from seeing the true sentiments of ordinary voters. This disconnection can lead to misguided strategies and decisions that do not resonate with the public.
  3. The political landscape is shifting, with increasing frustration over traditional media's narratives. People are looking for alternative sources of information and growing weary of the same old stories that don't reflect their experiences.

Robert Hur Just Gave Democrats An Off-Ramp

Gideon's Substack • 42 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democrats Special counsel Election Polls
  1. Special counsel Robert Hur hinted that President Biden may not be mentally capable of criminal conspiracy, posing a challenge for the Democrats.
  2. The Democrats face the task of convincing the public that Biden is fit for the presidency amid doubts about his capacity raised by Hur's comments.
  3. The Democrats have a tough decision ahead on whether to stick with Biden for the election or make a change based on public perception and past electoral outcomes.

Why did Indian exit polls get it so very wrong?

Get Down and Shruti • 6 implied HN points • 05 Jun 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Media bias Public Opinion Political Analysis
  1. Media bias may have influenced the exit polls, with some outlets showing strong support for Modi. This bias springs from the government's power over media companies.
  2. There are concerns about preference falsification, where voters might say they support Modi due to fear of backlash. However, evidence suggests this is not the primary issue.
  3. A major problem is faulty sampling. Without recent census data, pollsters struggle to accurately represent the diverse Indian electorate, leading to unreliable exit poll results.

Elite? Or Ultra-Citified?

In My Tribe • 2 HN points • 21 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Political Influence Political Beliefs
  1. A buzzy poll about elites actually surveyed a specific group that does not represent the entire elite population.
  2. The criteria used to define 'elite' in the poll may not be very strict, potentially leading to a misrepresentation of the group.
  3. The 'ultra-citified' cohort, while affluent and educated, tends to think and behave notably differently from the rest of the American population.

FIVE POINTS: A Recess is Not a Vacation

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 11 Aug 17
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Elections Congress Political Ideology Political Behavior
  1. Polls might not reflect true public sentiment. Many survey responses depend on how questions are asked and the current political context, which can lead to misleading conclusions.
  2. Members of Congress often work just as hard back in their districts as they do in Washington. They use this time to explain their votes and engage with voters, which can be very demanding.
  3. Congress is struggling with staffing and resources. Many staff members feel overwhelmed, which impacts Congress's ability to effectively do its job and maintain a check on the presidency.

Trump '23/'24

Wide World of News • 0 implied HN points • 02 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Trump Supporters Polls Campaign Finance Indictment
  1. Many Republican figures and donors are showing support for Donald Trump following his indictment.
  2. A poll conducted after Trump's indictment shows him with a significant lead over potential Republican challengers like Ron DeSantis.
  3. Speculation on the impact of Trump's indictment on his political future suggests uncertainty about potential legal repercussions.