The hottest Diplomacy Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top World Politics Topics
Eunomia β€’ 334 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 24
  1. Biden's response to the war in Gaza shows the consequences of giving another state unlimited support.
  2. Many Democrats believe that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza, yet Western governments are hesitant to act on this evidence.
  3. Public confidence in Biden's ability to handle international crises is low, especially after his support for Israel during the Gaza conflict.
ChinaTalk β€’ 133 implied HN points β€’ 04 Mar 24
  1. AI can enhance diplomacy by streamlining bureaucratic tasks, providing accurate data for negotiations, and improving analysis processes.
  2. Risk management in the State Department varies for different tasks: while tasks like HR and IT services can run faster to match the private sector, activities like foreign assistance and passport services require a higher burden due to their public impact.
  3. Strategic use of transparency can be a strength for the U.S. in diplomacy, as seen in the Biden administration's doctrine. Leveraging transparency internally and externally can have strategic advantages over closed societies.
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Informer β€’ 235 implied HN points β€’ 05 Feb 24
  1. Israel's political class is preparing for early elections as unity in politics fades.
  2. The tension in Israel is escalating as families of hostages demand their return over the war objective of 'destroying Hamas'.
  3. Recent incidents and realizations are exposing the truth behind the war in Israel, leading to potential street battles and difficult political decisions.
Aaron Mate β€’ 167 implied HN points β€’ 13 Feb 24
  1. Biden seeks $61 billion to 'future-proof' Ukraine war instead of engaging in diplomacy with Putin
  2. The White House and bipartisan lawmakers favor a prolonged proxy war in Ukraine over talks with Moscow
  3. The decision to reject Putin's call for talks signals a focus on militarization and financial investment in the conflict
Sinification β€’ 176 implied HN points β€’ 09 Feb 24
  1. A second term for Biden may mean a more stable relationship with China, but also potential challenges like increased competition and pressure on Chinese scientific innovation.
  2. A second term for Trump could ease external strategic pressure faced by China, but it might lead to a tougher stance on China and increased complexity in economic and security rivalry.
  3. The Trump administration's policies might reduce some external strategic pressure on China, create more space for international alliances, and exert less pressure on China in the ideological field compared to the Democrats.
An Africanist Perspective β€’ 1128 implied HN points β€’ 19 Aug 23
  1. Decoupling the United States' West Africa policy from France could benefit both sides by strengthening relations and providing mutual economic and geopolitical advantages.
  2. The rise in anti-French sentiment in Africa could lead to a wider anti-West sentiment, potentially impacting America's standing in the region and relationships with individual African countries.
  3. Public opinion in African states is becoming increasingly important in shaping foreign policy decisions, highlighting the need for major global powers to have capable allies and engage meaningfully with the region.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 837 implied HN points β€’ 16 Sep 23
  1. China and Venezuela have deepened their strategic partnership, challenging the hegemonic mindset and sanctions imposed by the US.
  2. Venezuela has significant economic potential due to its vast oil and gas reserves, attracting interest from China as a reliable energy partner.
  3. The growing alliance between Venezuela and China symbolizes a shift towards South-South cooperation, emphasizing mutual development and multipolarity in today's global landscape.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 797 implied HN points β€’ 21 Sep 23
  1. The US government admitted that the Chinese balloon incident was not related to spying, but likely due to strong winds, debunking the initial accusations.
  2. The media and US government exaggerated the situation, using it to create a Cold War-like propaganda against China, though evidence later proved otherwise.
  3. Despite the claims of surveillance capabilities, subsequent analysis showed that the balloon's sensors were never activated over US territory, making the entire scandal a manufactured crisis.
Foreign Exchanges β€’ 727 implied HN points β€’ 22 Sep 23
  1. A new status quo in the south Caucasus region is emerging following recent events in Nagorno-Karabakh.
  2. A ceasefire has been declared between Azerbaijan and Karabakh, with Karabakh authorities agreeing to disarm their defense forces and remove Armenian military forces.
  3. Concerns about potential ethnic cleansing and the implications for Armenia's diplomatic relationships are key issues arising from the situation.
kamilkazani β€’ 334 implied HN points β€’ 29 Nov 23
  1. The siege of Mariupol was a significant tragedy in 2022, shedding light on the city's complex history and industrial importance.
  2. Crimean Khanate had a unique political structure, different from the Ottoman Empire, with elements of a military democracy.
  3. Crimean Khanate was ethnically diverse, hosting various groups and languages, and eventually succumbed to Russian influence in the 18th century.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 857 implied HN points β€’ 03 Aug 23
  1. Burkina Faso's President Ibrahim TraorΓ© takes a strong stand against imperialism and neocolonialism, inspired by revolutionary leaders like Thomas Sankara and Che Guevara.
  2. The new government in Burkina Faso has forged alliances with countries like Nicaragua, Venezuela, and Cuba, aiming to break free from Western dominance and historical colonial ties.
  3. Prime Minister Tambèla's visits to Venezuela and Nicaragua showcase Burkina Faso's efforts to strengthen ties with Latin American revolutionary movements, building on historical solidarity and shared struggles.
An Africanist Perspective β€’ 1345 implied HN points β€’ 27 Mar 23
  1. The US faces challenges competing with China in Africa due to ineffective policy tools and institutions.
  2. America's focus on humanitarian aid and public health through USAID limits its ability to compete effectively with China in infrastructure and commercial projects in Africa.
  3. The structural and institutional biases within American foreign policy result in a lack of attention to African priorities, hindering the ability to effectively engage with the continent.
All-Source Intelligence Fusion β€’ 361 implied HN points β€’ 08 Nov 23
  1. The Campaign to Stop Killer Robots fired a government relations manager over comments about Israel's actions in Gaza.
  2. The firing occurred just before a significant vote by the United Nations General Assembly on autonomous weapons.
  3. There were conflicts of interest and controversy surrounding the termination, including involvement of Austria and Palestine.
Bad News β€’ 1159 implied HN points β€’ 03 Mar 23
  1. The prospect of war with Iran is increasing, especially with recent comments from U.S. Ambassador to Israel and new military operations.
  2. The U.S. and Israel are collaborating on military exercises and contingency plans against Iran, indicating a serious military posture.
  3. The U.S. military's Support Sentry plan shows a strategic framework for potential military action against Iran, with consequences beyond war.
Pieter’s Newsletter β€’ 117 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 24
  1. The International Court of Justice (ICJ) rulings can have complex outcomes with both parties claiming victories.
  2. The ICJ provides a platform for countries to address atrocities and grievances, even if compliance and effectiveness can be limited.
  3. Legal actions against countries for war crimes can have political motivations and use the ICJ as a tool, even if actual compliance is questionable.
Fisted by Foucault β€’ 104 implied HN points β€’ 25 Jan 24
  1. The article discusses South Africa's personal connection to defending Palestine and its efforts at the International Court of Justice, seeking to address the Israel-Palestine conflict.
  2. Germany's commitment to Israel's security as a 'reason of state' is explored, reflecting on the historical context and political decisions made by Angela Merkel.
  3. Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's take on the Gaza conflict and his perspective on the root cause behind the terrorist attacks in Israel.
Michael Tracey β€’ 71 implied HN points β€’ 13 Feb 24
  1. The war in Ukraine has resulted in a significant disaster with high casualties and impacts on Russia and US relations.
  2. The Senate passed a large 'national security' bill for Ukraine, Israel, and the Indo-Pacific, highlighting the prioritization of war expenditures.
  3. There seems to be a lack of realistic and articulate strategies in resolving the war, with many stakeholders barreling forward with attritional warfare.
Sinocism β€’ 963 implied HN points β€’ 17 Feb 23
  1. Consider the implications of the US-China balloon incident and potential Biden-Xi phone call or Blinken-Wang Yi meeting.
  2. Reflect on how the visit of US deputy assistant secretary of defense for China to Taiwan will be viewed by PRC policymakers.
  3. Analyze what Wang Yi may achieve at the Munich Security Conference and during his visit to Russia.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 737 implied HN points β€’ 24 Jun 23
  1. The US is seeking India's help in forming an alliance against China, even though India's Prime Minister Modi has links to far-right Hindu-supremacist groups.
  2. Modi's BJP party and regime in India have a history of inciting violence against minorities and undermining left-wing activism.
  3. The US aims to use India to weaken the BRICS bloc and isolate China and Russia, with efforts to sway India away from its traditional non-aligned foreign policy.
An Africanist Perspective β€’ 692 implied HN points β€’ 27 May 23
  1. South Africa's exclusion from the G7 Summit suggests a decline in its global influence and ability to engage as a middle power.
  2. Historically, South Africa missed opportunities to establish itself as a key player in Africa, affecting its ability to leverage regional influence.
  3. To enhance its geopolitical position, South Africa can focus on building strong continental partnerships, particularly in sectors like trade, security, and climate issues.
Geopolitical Economy Report β€’ 279 implied HN points β€’ 24 Sep 23
  1. The changing world order is reflected in the rapid pace of international summits like BRICS, G20, G77, and the UN General Assembly.
  2. Russia's pivot towards the Far East, specifically in Vladivostok, showcases a strong focus on development and economic collaboration with Asian countries.
  3. De-dollarization and the use of e-currencies, such as blockchain mechanisms, are potential avenues for creating alternative payment systems within the global majority.
Demodexio β€’ 132 implied HN points β€’ 10 Dec 23
  1. USA government agencies often compete with each other, hindering effective foreign policy.
  2. Corruption in nominal allies undermines USA efforts, highlighting the need for harmony among agencies.
  3. Establishing a single point of contact with allies can prevent allies from playing different USA agencies against each other.