The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

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Decapitation Strike (December)

Thinking about... • 582 implied HN points • 01 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Governance Political parties Policy Making Political theory
  1. Trump's proposed appointments seem surprising but may be part of a larger plan to undermine the government. It's important to recognize this and not just react with shock.
  2. Health and law are vital for a democratic society. Appointing people who threaten health and the rule of law could damage the country significantly.
  3. Historical patterns show that control over key areas like defense and intelligence can lead to regime change. The individuals Trump chose have backgrounds that suggest they might weaken American institutions and empower personal agendas.

Silver Bulletin pollster ratings 2024 archive

Silver Bulletin • 4 implied HN points • 17 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Forecasting Analysis
  1. The Silver Bulletin has updated its pollster ratings for the 2024 presidential election, also keeping the old ones for reference. This helps everyone see how reliable different pollsters are.
  2. Not many new polls have come in since the last update, so the overall ratings haven't changed much. The most accurate pollsters from previous years are still at the top.
  3. The 2024 polling data includes some recent elections, but the accuracy of the polls has been similar to past years, with a noticeable bias in some cases. It's important to stay aware of this while following the elections.

Analyzing The Recall Of Pamela Price

The Discourse Lounge • 512 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Demographics Social Issues Local Governance
  1. Pamela Price's recall shows that political disagreements shouldn't lead to recalls unless there's serious wrongdoing. Many voters felt the recall was too harsh given the situation.
  2. Demographic changes in the area impacted voting results. Higher growth in White residents correlated with support for Price, while Hispanic communities leaned towards the recall.
  3. The lack of reliable local news played a big role in shaping public opinion against Price. Many residents relied on social media for information, leading to misperceptions about her performance as a District Attorney.

January 23, 2025

Letters from an American • 23 implied HN points • 24 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Government Judiciary Political parties
  1. President Trump recently defended his pardons for January 6 rioters, but many judges and reports reveal the violence at the Capitol was severe, with numerous officers injured. This has raised concerns about the legitimacy of these pardons.
  2. Trump's pardons seem to encourage January 6 rioters to pursue political positions, showcasing how loyalty to Trump may be used as a badge of honor in upcoming elections.
  3. There are ongoing legal challenges against Trump's executive orders, including attempts to end birthright citizenship. Many judges and states are pushing back against policies they view as unconstitutional.

Waiting at the Center of the Terrible 20s

CDR Salamander • 884 implied HN points • 01 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Budget National Security
  1. The 2020s are shaping up to be challenging due to economic, political, and budgetary issues.
  2. There's a significant national debt expected in 2025, with tax cuts expiring and other financial challenges.
  3. The US needs to prepare for the implications of the People's Republic of China's rise amidst these economic and political challenges.
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Biden’s Legacy: Covid Persecution, Censorship, and Across-the-Board Oppression

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 33 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Civil Rights Censorship
  1. Biden's presidency has faced criticism for increasing censorship and limiting freedom of speech. Instead of protecting democratic values, many believe he's used government power to suppress dissent.
  2. There are concerns about the unequal application of the law, with claims that Biden and his allies evade consequences while political opponents face serious legal challenges. This creates a sense of unfairness in how justice is applied.
  3. The Biden administration is accused of expanding its authority beyond reasonable limits, such as implementing strict vaccine mandates and surveillance practices. Critics feel this overreach undermines personal freedoms and individual rights.

Idiocracy and the Electrolytes of the Masses

American Dreaming • 169 implied HN points • 15 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Public Opinion Government Policy International relations
  1. Donald Trump's re-election could cause big changes in Europe, especially with NATO and relationships with Russia. Countries may need to boost their defenses if they can't rely on the US.
  2. There are worries Trump might change laws about presidential terms, which could allow him to hold on to power longer. This would be a big move away from democratic traditions.
  3. Many American voters seem more focused on cheap prices than moral issues, which might explain why they support Trump despite his past actions. It shows a disconnect between civic responsibility and consumer desires.

Dictators for a Day

Thinking about... • 542 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Dictatorship Civil Rights Elections Military Opposition
  1. Attempts at military dictatorship can happen in democracies, as shown by Yoon in South Korea. This situation is a warning for other democratic countries, including the United States.
  2. The response of lawmakers and citizens is crucial when a leader tries to take control. South Korean lawmakers and the public united against Yoon's martial law, showing strong resistance to authoritarianism.
  3. It's important for citizens to be aware and proactive about protecting their democracy. Collective action can help prevent a slide into dictatorship, so everyone needs to stay informed and ready to speak up.

Things To Do Before Trump Takes Office

OK Doomer • 171 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Society Activism
  1. Be prepared for real changes when Trump takes office. These changes will affect everyone personally, so it's better to act now.
  2. Many people believe 2030 is a key year to have plans in place. It's important to focus on surviving these next few years under a challenging regime.
  3. Contributing ideas and discussions can help build a helpful list of actions to take. Sharing strategies now can make a difference later.

Notes From the Periphery on the Recent Election in the Empire

Atlas of Wonders and Monsters • 186 implied HN points • 16 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Commentary Political culture Media influence Public Discourse
  1. The writer is overwhelmed by the amount of political news and feels the need to express their thoughts to feel better. It's like trying to clear a cluttered mind.
  2. They think the long U.S. election cycle is unhealthy and wish it were shorter, similar to elections in other countries. This way, people could avoid the stress that comes with such extended campaigning.
  3. Despite their reluctance to write about politics, they feel it’s necessary for their mental well-being, which shows how important it is for people to talk about things that bother them.

Once More Telling People That They Should Take Nate Silver for Their Guru on Questions in His Lane

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 222 implied HN points • 27 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Public Opinion Political Analysis Media influence
  1. Nate Silver is really good at understanding statistics and probabilities, so it's smart to listen to him when it comes to polls and predictions about elections.
  2. Billionaires don't know more about elections than anyone else; they often act based on their own interests and fears, not on secret insights.
  3. When looking at elections, focus on the polls instead of billionaires' actions. Polls can give us a clearer picture of what might happen, even if they're not perfect.

How We Voted in 2016 Contributed to UnitedHealth's Acquisition of Change Healthcare

HEALTH CARE un-covered • 479 implied HN points • 09 Apr 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Healthcare Regulation Judiciary Corporate
  1. The 2016 election had lasting effects on healthcare, influencing how major companies like UnitedHealth operate and acquire others. Our votes in elections can impact our everyday lives, including healthcare costs and data security.
  2. UnitedHealth acquired Change Healthcare despite government pushback, which raised concerns about competition and data security. The deal was approved partly because of a judge who favored business interests over regulatory caution.
  3. Big corporations, like UnitedHealth, are becoming more powerful, controlling more parts of the healthcare system. This trend can lead to increased costs and reduced patient protections, making it crucial to pay attention to political choices that affect healthcare regulations.

Commentator

Castalia • 359 implied HN points • 06 May 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Protests Elections Political parties Foreign Relations Social movements
  1. There's a growing divide within the Democratic Party between liberals and progressives, especially around the Israel/Palestine conflict. This split is becoming more visible as protests on campuses reflect differing worldviews.
  2. Protests are showing strong anti-Israel sentiments and are affecting US politics. These movements could add unexpected pressure on the current administration, similar to how unrest shaped past elections.
  3. Internationally, the situation in the Sahel is worsening as countries there are turning away from US partnerships and looking to Russia for support. This reflects a larger shift in global power dynamics.

Why You Should Ignore All the Polls

The Ruffian • 227 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Campaigns Political Analysis Voter Behavior
  1. Polls don't really tell you what you need to know about elections. They can be misleading and don't account for many factors.
  2. When you feel tempted to constantly check election updates, try doing something else instead. Activities like walking or listening to music can make you feel better.
  3. No matter how informed you think you are, you can't predict the outcome of elections. It's better to accept uncertainty than stress about it.

I, for one, am opposed to monarchy

Alex's Personal Blog • 98 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Legislation Politics Leadership
  1. Chime, a financial technology company, is planning to go public in 2025. This news has raised hopes for a surge of initial public offerings (IPOs) next year.
  2. There's a growing expectation that a single powerful figure, like Elon Musk, could influence political decisions more than traditional leaders. This shift raises concerns about the concentration of power in politics.
  3. Many tech industry supporters seem to prefer a strong leader who acts quickly without debate, akin to a king. This reflects a desire for streamlined control rather than involving the usual checks and balances in government.

You Can't Legislate How People Get Their Rocks Off & Your Mars Ride Keeps Blowing Up!

C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. • 18 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political issues Social Issues Government Elections Rights
  1. People have diverse sexual identities and preferences, and this can't be easily controlled or legislated by anyone. It's important to understand and accept the variety of experiences individuals have.
  2. The political landscape is heavily influenced by those in power trying to manipulate public opinion and suppress marginalized communities. This manipulation can create backlash against groups like LGBTQ+ individuals.
  3. The younger generation, particularly those around forty years old, hold significant power and are likely to demand change. This group could shift the balance of power in society as they grow in influence.

Sundowning in America: A Series: Part IV

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 192 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Political Commentary Government Trump
  1. Donald Trump struggled to fill a large venue, showing a decrease in support for his campaign. This suggests that his appeal may not be as strong as it once was.
  2. His comments and jokes at a rally raised concerns about the negative impact of his words on communities, especially among minorities. This behavior can be damaging and indicates a trend towards divisive politics.
  3. The current Supreme Court is viewed as biased and potentially threatening to fair election processes. There are worries that their interventions might further undermine democratic practices in the upcoming elections.

DRAFT: The Democratic Party Is too a Party Dedicated to Securing for the Workers by Hand & Brain the Full Fruits of Their Industry

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 176 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political parties Elections Economic Policies Labor Issues Social justice
  1. The Democratic Party is seen by some as not fully representing workers anymore. There's a belief that it has shifted focus to areas like digital change and globalization.
  2. Critics argue that Democrats support ideas like untrained immigration and globalization without enough caution. Others question what 'woke' ideas really upset the traditional worker base.
  3. There's a debate about who qualifies as a worker today. It's important to think about diversity in the worker identity beyond stereotypes of race and education.

The Election That Ended Liberalism.

JoeWrote • 214 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Political Ideologies Campaign strategies Government Policy
  1. The recent election showed that centrist liberalism failed to meet the needs of voters. Many people wanted significant change but didn't feel inspired by the Democratic candidates.
  2. Blame for the loss was quickly placed on various external factors instead of accountability within the Democratic Party. This pattern of blaming others prevents real solutions from emerging.
  3. Voters want real change and are open to both progressive ideas and Trump's platform. If Democrats don't offer appealing solutions, people may turn to extremes for answers.

It's easy from here

Gray Mirror • 156 implied HN points • 26 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Power Dynamics Governance Democracy Elections
  1. Power tricks people into thinking it belongs to them, when in reality, they belong to it. This means that real change often requires recognizing who truly holds power.
  2. The true influence in politics often lies with unelected bureaucrats and lobbyists rather than elected officials. This makes it difficult for citizens to understand how their government operates and to effect real change.
  3. To truly reclaim power, people need to shift their focus from trying to improve a flawed system to recognizing their lack of power in it and learning to take control of their political landscape.

What's Trump's Game on Tariffs?

I Might Be Wrong • 7 implied HN points • 12 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Government Trump Trade
  1. Trump's strategy with tariffs might be complicated, but it could also be based on game theory, similar to poker. This means he could be pressuring others to make concessions while playing a risky game.
  2. Nate Silver argues that Trump could be using a rational approach to tariffs, where he leverages his power against weaker opponents. The idea is that sometimes the stronger player can force the weaker player to back down or give in.
  3. However, relying on incorrect strategies can lead to failure. If Trump's inputs are wrong, his rational approach could result in negative outcomes for America.

Why I Hope Trump Will Win

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 215 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political culture Governance Bureaucracy Political Ideology
  1. The main issue in politics today is a big bureaucracy that keeps growing and makes things harder for everyone. This bureaucracy acts without clear control, making decisions that affect people negatively.
  2. Donald Trump is seen as a unique figure in politics because he openly challenges this bureaucratic system. He represents hope for those who want to push back against it.
  3. The problems caused by bureaucratic governance have been felt in many areas, like health and education. There is a desire for politicians to stand against this system and create a better future.

A Super Tuesday for Donald Trump

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1502 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Legislation Media Government
  1. Primary voters chose Trump and Biden, indicating a desire for a rematch, despite other challengers trying to offer alternatives.
  2. Nikki Haley's supporters continued to back her financially even when it became clear that her campaign wasn't successful, demonstrating loyalty and belief in her message.
  3. Across the Western world, new hate speech laws threaten freedom of speech, with Ireland, Canada, and Britain considering strict legislation.

Four big US election takes: Yes, it was the woke stuff.

Odds and Ends of History • 603 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Public Opinion Political Analysis Campaign strategies
  1. The concept of 'woke' issues played a role in the recent election outcomes. Many believe that focusing too much on these topics hurt certain candidates.
  2. There are key Democratic figures to watch. Their actions will show if the party is really ready to make changes and address its challenges.
  3. Polling data has been accurate again, suggesting it’s important to listen to what voters are saying instead of dismissing their concerns.

Global News Round-up - Offbeat News

Who is Robert Malone • 12 implied HN points • 05 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Public Opinion Political parties Government actions
  1. A poll in the UK shows Nigel Farage's Reform party is now more popular than the Labour party, leading to concerns about upcoming local elections.
  2. Support for the Ukrainian war is declining in Poland, with more citizens opposing military assistance and negative sentiments towards Ukrainians growing.
  3. The Scottish government clarified that they will not ban cats, reassuring pet owners after initial talks about recommendations that caused confusion.

Class War or Culture War?

Thinking about... • 431 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Inequality Culture Class Democracy
  1. America faces huge inequality, and it's crucial to talk about class and who benefits from it. Talking about who the wealthy are and how they gain power can help everyone understand their struggles better.
  2. Just addressing class issues isn't enough. Cultural factors play a big role in how people view these issues and who they support politically. Many people have strong feelings tied to identity that can affect their political choices.
  3. To create real change, we need to combine discussions about class with understanding cultural dynamics. Empathy and mutual understanding between different groups can help us work together to fight inequality and improve society.

My Interview with Renaud Beauchard and Pascal Clérotte at French Invaders

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 113 implied HN points • 10 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Elections Government Academia Pandemic response
  1. The conversation touched on various important topics, including German politics and the recent electoral trends in the U.S.
  2. Moving to East Germany is seen as an opportunity to be at the center of significant political changes.
  3. Restoring an old house is a big project that brings excitement, especially about having a real kitchen soon.

Welcome to Vichy America

Unpopular Front • 313 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Government Elections Public Opinion Political History
  1. The current state of America is compared to a Vichy regime, which is partly fascist and reflects a sense of defeat and exhaustion in democracy.
  2. This regime attracts a mix of different groups who may hide their true intentions while claiming to act in the nation's best interest.
  3. People might soon regret their support for leaders like Trump, realizing that their political choices have long-term consequences.

Why Bidenism Failed

JoeWrote • 44 implied HN points • 14 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Domestic Policy Foreign Policy Elections Social Issues Labor Rights
  1. Biden promised that nothing would fundamentally change, which led to many Americans feeling that he didn't deliver the change they wanted. They were looking for something different from the status quo.
  2. Biden did have some successes, like creating jobs through the American Rescue Plan and appointing Lina Khan for antitrust actions. These moves showed a connection to progressive values but were seen as not enough.
  3. His foreign policy, especially regarding Israel, upset many people and overshadowed his domestic achievements. This led to frustrations that contributed to the Democratic party's losses in elections.

Donald! Government Is Not A Business. It's A Service!

C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. • 18 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Public Policy Corporate Influence Social Issues
  1. Government should serve the people, not act like a business. Public services are meant to help everyone, not just make profits.
  2. There's a lot of waste in defense spending, which often benefits corporations more than the public. Many believe this misallocation of funds hurts social services like education and healthcare.
  3. A shift towards better management of resources could improve social security and other public services. Redirecting funds from military to social programs could help communities thrive.

Breaking the Democratic Double Standard

American Dreaming • 169 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Campaign strategies Voter Behavior Political Ethics
  1. The Democratic Party faces a tough challenge because they are seen as less trustworthy than Republicans. This double standard means that any mistake by Democrats is heavily criticized, while Republicans get a pass for bigger wrongdoings.
  2. Democrats have a harder time selling their ideas because they tend to be more complex and unfamiliar. This makes it difficult to convince voters, especially as people often prefer sticking with what they know.
  3. The structure of the Electoral College favors Republicans, allowing them to win without the popular vote, while Democrats struggle to do the opposite. This system is unlikely to change, which adds to the challenges for the Democratic Party.

WILL TRUMP SIDE WITH THE HARDLINERS ON RUSSIA?

Seymour Hersh • 30 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Presidency Political parties Public Opinion Foreign Policy
  1. The writer suggests that President Biden is showing signs of memory issues and confusion, which could impact his ability to serve. Many people close to him have observed his difficulties, making it a significant concern.
  2. Biden's poor performance in a debate against Trump highlighted his struggles and led to speculations about him not running for a second term. This decision seemed to come too late for a proper selection of a successor.
  3. There are questions about Trump's future decisions, especially regarding his stance on Russia, and whether he will align with more extreme views within his party. This could shape foreign policy in the coming years.

Saturday Commentary and Review #179

Fisted by Foucault • 161 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Foreign Policy Elections Economic Policies Public Opinion
  1. Trump's second term will face challenges due to the need for compromise in US politics and the divided support within the GOP. Expectation management is crucial because many factors could limit his ambitious plans.
  2. The discussion around liberalism is shifting, with some arguing that Trump represents a return to classic liberalism, while others believe his policies disrupt traditional liberal values. This highlights the changing definitions of liberal democracy.
  3. Europe is feeling the pressure from US economic policies, as countries like Germany struggle with the effects of competition and trade dynamics. The relationship between US demands and European economies is becoming increasingly strained.