The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

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Chartbook 336 Trump's victory in 2024: consolidating the anti-PMC coalition.

Chartbook • 2660 implied HN points • 26 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Political Identity Populism
  1. Trump's victory in 2024 showed that the divide in U.S. politics is still very close, with many voters split almost evenly between the two main parties. This means no dramatic changes were seen in the overall support for each side.
  2. There is a growing tension between the Professional Managerial Class (PMC) and the working-class voters who feel disconnected from the traditional Democratic party values. This conflict has fueled the rise of anti-PMC sentiments, particularly among those who feel disenfranchised.
  3. The Democratic party has struggled to maintain support among diverse groups, especially working-class voters, leading to challenges in winning elections. The current political climate reflects deep-seated frustrations that both major parties need to address to stay relevant.

How would the EU react to a second US coup attempt?

Gulf Stream Blues • 59 implied HN points • 24 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections International relations Democracy Political Leadership
  1. The EU is anxious about the upcoming US election and how the results could affect their political stability. They are worried about a possible repeat of Trump's refusal to concede and the chaos that could follow.
  2. EU leaders might face a tough choice on whether to recognize a win for Kamala Harris if Trump doesn't concede. This could create divisions within Europe, especially with leaders like Viktor Orban supporting Trump.
  3. If Trump attempts another coup, the EU’s response will be complicated. Many European countries rely on the US for security, leaving them unsure about how to react to a potential US dictatorship.

Jake Tapper's Unoriginal Sin

Unreported Truths • 61 implied HN points • 04 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Journalism Government Elections Public Policy Media Criticism
  1. Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson's book 'Original Sin' lacks new and important information about Joe Biden's mental decline. It mostly restates what many already knew.
  2. The media has praised the book as groundbreaking, but it does not address its own failures in covering Biden's issues during his presidency.
  3. Good journalism should question authority and seek the truth, rather than just echoing popular opinions or the status quo.
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Poetic Justice for Jay Bhattacharya. Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2606 implied HN points • 02 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Government Foreign Relations Criminal Justice
  1. Jay Bhattacharya faced a lot of pushback for questioning COVID-19 lockdowns, but now he's nominated to lead the NIH. It feels like he's getting the recognition he deserves after being silenced.
  2. Tulsi Gabbard is facing unfair accusations of being a Russian asset due to her past views and meetings. People believe she should have a chance to explain herself in a confirmation hearing instead of being labeled.
  3. Hunter Biden received a controversial pardon from his father, Joe Biden, just before leaving office. This decision has upset many, including some Democrats, because it seems he's getting special treatment compared to others.

Waiting for the Great American Realignment

American Dreaming • 107 implied HN points • 10 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political trends Elections Voting behavior Party Affiliation Public Perception
  1. Recent elections show that party loyalty is still strong, with very few voters switching from one party to another. Most Democrats and Republicans are sticking with their party's candidates.
  2. Voter demographics are changing, especially when it comes to education and income. More educated voters are leaning towards Democrats, while non-college educated voters are increasingly supporting Republicans.
  3. Despite claims of a major political shift, the overall patterns in voting and party support remain surprisingly stable. There's no clear evidence of a significant realignment in American politics.

February 19, 2025

Letters from an American • 22 implied HN points • 20 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Elections Government International relations Defense
  1. The U.S. is shifting its support away from Ukraine and leaning towards Russia, which is causing concerns about international alliances. This change in support reflects the interests of former President Trump rather than the American people's wishes.
  2. Negotiations between the U.S. and Russia have started, but Ukraine is being excluded from these talks. This raises questions about Ukraine's future sovereignty and whether peace can be achieved without their involvement.
  3. American military and political leaders are worried that Trump's approach is weakening NATO and could lead to further Russian aggression in Europe. There is a call for stronger unity among European nations to counter this threat.

Washington Gets the Full Musk Treatment

Nonzero Newsletter • 474 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Political parties Administration
  1. A lot of Americans think their government is run by a small group of powerful people. This idea shows concern about inequality in political power.
  2. Elon Musk's approach to leadership involves major cutbacks and challenges to existing processes. This style can lead to significant changes in organizations like the government.
  3. There are growing worries about the safety of AI as the US and China compete for technological dominance. Leaders emphasize that this race could have dangerous consequences.

America This Week, Friday, November 8th, 2024 Livestream: Election Week Postmortem, 10 am ET

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 3952 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Political Commentary Media Current Events
  1. There will be a live discussion about the recent elections on November 8, 2024. It's a chance to go over what happened during the election week.
  2. The show is hosted by Walter Kirn and Matt Taibbi. Viewers can tune in to hear their insights and analysis.
  3. The livestream is open to everyone and will take place at 10 am ET. People are encouraged to join for this special event.

In Soviet Germany, the government protests YOU

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 230 implied HN points • 11 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Protests Government Elections Political parties Activism
  1. Protests in Germany are increasingly targeting those labeled as 'the right,' which now includes not just far-right parties but also center-right ones. This means many voters are being seen as needing 'reeducation.'
  2. The government is allegedly using taxpayer money to finance protests against political opposition, which raises questions about fairness in democracy. Nonprofit groups linked to the state are involved in organizing these protests.
  3. There is a growing tension in German politics where opposition to the ruling parties is being met with protests and accusations of extremism, which might push voters towards more populist, right-wing parties.

Make America Great Again

Disaffected Newsletter • 2657 implied HN points • 14 Jul 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Public Opinion Political Debate Policy Issues
  1. The author has experienced a change in perspective about Trump, moving from dislike to enthusiastic support. It's okay for people's views to evolve over time.
  2. There is a strong feeling that it's essential not to let Democrats stay in power, as it may lead to negative outcomes. Many feel passionately about political responsibility in this context.
  3. Despite acknowledging Trump's flaws, there is admiration for his courage and defiance. Many appreciate leaders who stand strong and fight for their beliefs.

The AI Story Will Roll On in Trump’s Second Term

Big Technology • 3502 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Governance Political strategy Political History
  1. AI technology is becoming increasingly important and cannot be overlooked, especially with key figures in tech having connections to the political landscape. This means the AI story will remain a big topic as politics unfold.
  2. Trump's new presidency will likely influence AI regulations and policies, particularly around open-source AI and tariffs. This could impact major tech companies and their strategies moving forward.
  3. The evolution of generative AI has just begun, and it's becoming crucial for businesses. However, many AI startups are still struggling financially, which could shape the future of the industry.

Democrats Still Aren’t Listening. Texan Sheriffs vs. Mexican Cartels. Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1669 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Policy Issues Legislation Government
  1. Many Democrats are struggling to understand why they lost support from working-class Americans. It's important for them to reconsider their focus on cultural issues that many voters see as distractions.
  2. In Texas, local sheriffs like Roy Boyd are actively fighting against drug cartels and human smuggling. Their creative approaches, like launching specific task forces, are showing real results.
  3. President-elect Trump is suing pollsters after they predicted a different outcome in Iowa. This may be part of a larger strategy to challenge media and regulatory norms around political speech.

A Note from Bari—and Our Big Thanksgiving Deal

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2712 implied HN points • 27 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Journalism Public Opinion Political Analysis
  1. The Free Press has grown to over 935,000 subscribers, showing strong support and trust from the audience. This growth is almost double compared to last year.
  2. They have covered significant events like the presidential election, focusing on real issues and voices from everyday Americans, which has shaped their trusted reporting.
  3. The organization is expanding its presence through documentaries, podcasts, and live events, aiming to engage with the community and enhance its media offerings.

Mantic Monday: Judgment Day

Astral Codex Ten • 13283 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Democracy Political Climate Foreign Policy
  1. Elections can feel like a wild rollercoaster ride, creating a lot of anxiety and drama for everyone involved. Many people are so tense about the outcomes that it can affect their mental health.
  2. Prediction markets offer a way for people to bet on outcomes, but they can be unreliable. Sometimes, one big bet can skew results, leading to people misinterpreting the chances of candidates.
  3. In the end, elections are more than just picking leaders; they're a moment where everyone feels the weight of the future. It's a reminder of our shared hopes and fears, no matter our backgrounds.

Welcome to Vichy America

Unpopular Front • 313 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Government Elections Public Opinion Political History
  1. The current state of America is compared to a Vichy regime, which is partly fascist and reflects a sense of defeat and exhaustion in democracy.
  2. This regime attracts a mix of different groups who may hide their true intentions while claiming to act in the nation's best interest.
  3. People might soon regret their support for leaders like Trump, realizing that their political choices have long-term consequences.

The Trump-Colombia Crisis That Trump Deliberately Created and Then “Fixed,” Explained in One Paragraph

Proof • 275 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Immigration Media Trump
  1. Trump often creates problems and then claims to solve them, which confuses the public and media.
  2. His immigration plans are very expensive and not well thought out, leading to higher costs for taxpayers.
  3. The media frequently fails to explain these issues clearly, leaving many people misinformed.

ATW Livestream Tonight at 8 PM ET/7 PM CT

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 1976 implied HN points • 09 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy Political Analysis Current Events
  1. There's a livestream event happening tonight at 8 PM ET. It's a good chance to catch up on recent news.
  2. Walter Kirn and Matt Taibbi will discuss the busy events of December. Expect insights into current political happenings.
  3. You can tune in on YouTube or Rumble. Make sure to check out their social media for updates.

Noah Smith on Trump 2.0 and Asia + Future of the New Tech Right

ChinaTalk • 340 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Elections International relations Defense Strategy Political Analysis
  1. The tech right is becoming a powerful group within the Trump administration, focused on deregulation to improve the business environment in America.
  2. Nuclear weapons could greatly stabilize regions like East Asia, and countries like Japan and South Korea should consider developing their own for better security.
  3. Taiwan should leverage its tech industry to become a key supplier of defense products, like drones and batteries, to enhance its economic stability and defense against China.

Biden’s Hunter Hypocrisy, What’s Happening in Syria, and More

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2230 implied HN points • 03 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Relations Political Scandals Government Policy
  1. Hunter Biden was pardoned by his father, President Biden, despite earlier claims that such a pardon would not happen. This has raised questions about honesty and the use of presidential powers.
  2. The situation in Syria is escalating, with rebel groups challenging the government's authority, which adds to the existing tensions in the Middle East.
  3. Many people struggle with smartphone addiction, as shown by an artist who quit her phone to regain control over her life and live in the moment.

Frail Infirm Grifters

Points And Figures • 1145 implied HN points • 06 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Reform Elections Political parties Campaign strategies
  1. Many politicians in Washington are quite old and some are not able to fulfill their duties. There's a belief that term limits could help keep Congress fresh and accountable.
  2. Political dynasties are common, with certain families holding positions for generations. This makes it hard for new ideas and leaders to emerge.
  3. To improve politics, ideas like limiting the number of years someone can serve, taxing former politicians who lobby, and changing their retirement benefits are suggested.

Secrets Of The Median Voter Theorem

Astral Codex Ten • 13834 implied HN points • 23 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political parties Political theory Political strategy
  1. The Median Voter Theorem suggests that candidates will gravitate towards the political center to win elections. This means that in a fair competition, it's likely they will align closely with the beliefs of average voters.
  2. In real life, candidates often have to balance different voter bases, especially during primary elections, which can pull them away from the center. This can lead to contradictions in their positions when they face general elections.
  3. Political parties may not always be as rational as the theorem suggests. Instead of moving to the center, they can sometimes collude by proposing extreme policies, which keeps them equally distant from the median voter but serves their interests together.

Prediction is Very Difficult, Especially About the Future

The Honest Broker Newsletter • 1089 implied HN points • 26 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Predictions Government Policy International relations
  1. Making predictions about the future is really hard and can be very humbling. It's often surprising how wrong we can be when looking back at our guesses.
  2. Some predictions that rely on complex models don't always give us the best answers. Sometimes, simpler insights work better for making quick decisions.
  3. Evaluating how well we did with our predictions can help us learn. It's important to look back and see where we were right or wrong to improve for next time.

Links For November 2024

Astral Codex Ten • 12664 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Political parties Public Opinion Campaigns
  1. Ancient Chinese customs included burying people with passports for the afterlife. This practice was believed to help them gain entry into the underworld.
  2. A new drug for schizophrenia is approved, showing promise for fewer side effects and better treatment for negative symptoms, but it has a high starting price.
  3. Recent studies show that teaching experience may not be as important as previously thought, as using less experienced teachers can lead to worse student performance.

Freighthopping

Doomberg • 7015 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Governance Energy Policy Political trends Environmental Policy
  1. Colorado has shifted from a swing state leaning Republican to strongly Democratic in recent elections. This change reflects a broader trend of leftward political movement in the state.
  2. Governor Jared Polis is promoting renewable energy, especially wind power, which now generates a significant portion of Colorado's electricity. He seems to be inspired by policies from other progressive leaders.
  3. An interesting proposal called SunTrain aims to transport renewable energy using trains instead of traditional power lines. This could provide a new way to move excess energy while utilizing existing rail infrastructure.

Is WWIII Already Underway? Is Hegseth Toast? Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2054 implied HN points • 05 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political News Elections Government International relations Social Issues
  1. There are serious questions about Pete Hegseth's nomination for Secretary of Defense, as he faces multiple allegations and public scrutiny. Even his own mother had to defend him on TV, which isn't a good sign.
  2. Young Canadians are increasingly dissatisfied with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, feeling financial pressure that is leading them to consider more conservative options. This shift is significant, as this generation once strongly supported him.
  3. Many young Russians are escaping to Bali to avoid being drafted into the Ukraine war. They express feelings of being caught in a conflict they don’t support and want to find a safe place away from the violence.

Keep Calm, Carry On ... And Wait

The Weekly Dish • 180 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Public Opinion Political culture Media influence
  1. It's important to stay calm when dealing with political uncertainty. Panicking doesn't help, so taking a deep breath can be a good start.
  2. Waiting can sometimes be a strategic choice in politics. Instead of rushing to make decisions, giving things time might lead to better outcomes.
  3. Understanding the past can help us navigate current events. Reflecting on previous election cycles can give us insights into what might happen next.

Tech’s Winners and Losers From Trump’s Election

Big Technology • 3002 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Campaigns Public Opinion Technology influence
  1. Prediction markets became popular during the 2024 election and helped forecast the winner correctly. These markets showed how people bet on political outcomes and made a mark in the election process.
  2. Elon Musk actively supported Trump through X, showing his strong influence in the tech and political landscape. His endorsement highlighted the connection between tech giants and their political preferences.
  3. Silicon Valley investors were openly backing Trump, hoping for financial gains if he won. This shows how the tech industry is intertwined with politics and how investments can be linked to election outcomes.

unpardonable pardons

bad cattitude • 291 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Policy Law Corruption
  1. The pardoning of individuals related to January 6 raises serious concerns about justice and accountability. It seems to give a free pass to those who may have acted unlawfully while in power.
  2. A dangerous precedent is set when political figures can use pardons to avoid consequences for their actions. This undermines trust in the system and holds the potential for abuse of power.
  3. Despite the pardons, there's still a chance to pursue the truth by calling on those involved to testify. They could face new charges for lying, which might encourage honesty and accountability moving forward.

Why Democrats won't build their own Joe Rogan

Taylor Lorenz's Newsletter • 10689 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Influencers Democratic Party Conservatism
  1. The right has built a strong network of influencers who promote their message, but the left lacks similar support and reach in media.
  2. Conservative content creators often receive substantial funding and institutional backing, allowing them to grow rapidly and gain credibility.
  3. The Democratic Party seems uninterested in fostering a progressive media ecosystem, making it hard for left-leaning influencers to compete.

Meet Kemi Badenoch, New Tory Leader and Would-Be Thatcher. Plus. . .

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1576 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Leadership Party Politics Public Policy Political Legacy Elections
  1. Kemi Badenoch is the new leader of the UK Conservatives and faces big challenges after her party's recent losses. She wants to fix her party and bring back traditional values to revive the UK economy.
  2. Badenoch sees herself as a defender of classic liberal values, which she believes are under threat. She wants to protect ideas like free speech and the rule of law from progressive ideologies.
  3. Angela Merkel's legacy is viewed negatively now compared to eight years ago, with critics pointing to her policies as contributing to Europe's issues today. Her memoir tries to explain her controversial decisions during her time in office.

Incessantly calling men toxic is a bad way to get their votes

The Rubesletter by Matt Ruby (of Vooza) | Sent every Tuesday • 2994 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political parties Public Opinion Media influence
  1. Calling men toxic all the time isn’t a good strategy to win their votes. It’s better to understand and address their feelings instead.
  2. Instead of only focusing on culture wars, politicians should talk about real issues that affect people's lives, like economic struggles.
  3. Men have their own challenges and need to feel valued and heard. Engaging them positively is key to gaining their support.

The US Surrenders!

C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. • 18 implied HN points • 13 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Policy Diplomacy Economics Military
  1. Trump has lost a lot of power in his dealings with Russia, making him appear weak. This puts Russia in control of peace talks and future negotiations.
  2. The U.S. economy is struggling, similar to how Rome fell in the past. There are calls to cut military spending and close bases abroad to improve the situation.
  3. Trump is in a difficult position, being blamed for economic problems and conflicts. Both Democrats and Republicans seem to want him to take the fall for these issues.