The Honest Broker Newsletter β’ 1599 implied HN points β’ 10 Feb 25
- IEA scenarios are not predictions but imaginative sequences that help envision possible futures. They aim to guide policy but vary in how closely they match reality.
- Outlook scenarios from the IEA have performed better than normative ones, showing a steady rise in global energy demand instead of a decline.
- There are big gaps between IEA projections for solar and nuclear energy and real-world outcomes, highlighting the need for better understanding and scenario evaluation.