The hottest Agriculture Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Construction Physics • 19834 implied HN points • 14 Mar 26
  1. Attacks around the Strait of Hormuz and mass insurer withdrawals have effectively shut the waterway, stopping most commercial shipping and sending oil and other commodity prices sharply higher.
  2. The disruption is spilling into other systems: fertilizer supplies and production are constrained, desalination and water infrastructure face damage risks, and pollution from strikes is creating public health hazards.
  3. Governments are using emergency tools like releasing strategic reserves and proposing a short Jones Act waiver, but widespread force majeure claims and a pulled insurance market mean supply shocks and higher prices could last.
BIG by Matt Stoller • 26700 implied HN points • 09 Mar 26
  1. A widening Iran conflict could trigger an oil price shock that ripples through fuel‑dependent industries like airlines, farming, shipping, plastics, and semiconductors, and financial markets may be underestimating the risk.
  2. If oil‑rich states need cash and sell their U.S. investments, that could crash stock prices and expose fragile, opaque parts of finance and highly concentrated corporate supply chains.
  3. A downturn might just deepen consolidation and bailouts that strengthen monopoly power, or it could open a rare chance for anti‑monopoly reforms given rising public opposition to concentrated power; the outcome is uncertain but not hopeless.
Construction Physics • 26515 implied HN points • 22 Jan 26
  1. Over long periods most commodities—especially agricultural products and many minerals—have become cheaper in real terms because production technologies and processes improved and scaled up.
  2. In the last few decades that trend has weakened or reversed: oil, natural gas, beef, pork, and many crops have tended to rise in price since about 2000.
  3. Whether a commodity gets cheaper over time depends on how much its production can be automated and expanded (which pushes prices down) versus being limited by depletion, extraction difficulty, cartels, policy, or demand shocks (which push prices up).
Doomberg • 7451 implied HN points • 07 Feb 26
  1. Roundup and Roundup Ready GMO seeds let farmers spray one broad-spectrum herbicide over crops, making weed control much simpler and hugely profitable for seed and chemical companies.
  2. Heavy use of glyphosate created major problems. Health concerns led to global litigation after the WHO called it 'probably carcinogenic', and corporate fallout reshaped the industry.
  3. Relying on the same herbicides across huge acreages produced resistant weeds, and now spreading 'superweeds' threaten current farming systems; pairing new GMO traits with more chemicals often encouraged even more over-the-top spraying, which worsened resistance.
Doomberg • 8012 implied HN points • 02 Jan 26
  1. Saskatchewan sits on an enormous, flat, and predictable potash-rich evaporite formation that formed when an ancient sea repeatedly evaporated, which makes large-scale mining relatively easy and cheap.
  2. The province is the world’s dominant potash producer with vast reserves and supplies roughly a third of global potash needs, making it a major source for fertilizer and a key supplier to the U.S.
  3. Rising geopolitical assertiveness in the Western Hemisphere raises the risk that a sparsely populated, resource-rich place like Saskatchewan could become a strategic target or subject to pressure.
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The Honest Broker Newsletter • 1884 implied HN points • 10 Feb 26
  1. Economic development-driven adaptation has been the main force improving climate-sensitive outcomes like crop yields, reduced deaths, and lower damages, even as the climate changes.
  2. Because adaptation’s costs and benefits are local and immediate, it often delivers larger near-term improvements than distant mitigation, and costly mitigation that slows growth can hurt the poor and weaken adaptation.
  3. Mitigation is still necessary to limit long-term warming, but it should focus on measures and R&D that provide immediate local economic benefits so they don’t undermine development and adaptation.
The Crucial Years • 4025 implied HN points • 26 Dec 25
  1. The 2026 midterm elections are pivotal and could either entrench authoritarian power or give people the leverage needed to protect democracy and advance climate policy.
  2. The federal government is actively blocking renewable projects and privileging fossil-fuel interests, using shaky national-security and political rationales that hurt jobs, energy independence, and the climate.
  3. Despite political headwinds, clean-energy momentum keeps growing — cheaper solar, rooftop adoption, booming e-bike use, and agrivoltaics are real wins — while huge fossil projects like the Alaska LNG pipeline look risky and likely to burden taxpayers.
David Friedman’s Substack • 314 implied HN points • 02 Mar 26
  1. In the short run, warming tends to make us worse off because societies and systems are optimized for current conditions, but over centuries people can move, change crops, and adapt so long-run effects may be less harmful or even beneficial.
  2. Moderate warming can increase habitable land (cold areas warm more than hot ones) and CO2 fertilization raises crop yields and lowers water needs, while land loss from sea-level rise is much smaller than these potential gains.
  3. Burning all known fossil fuels could raise global temperatures by roughly 12°C over millennia and raise sea level by about 50 meters, which would be severe for many regions but, judging by past warm periods, not necessarily globally uninhabitable; the rate of warming matters because rapid change would be far more catastrophic than slow change that allows adaptation.
Chartbook • 615 implied HN points • 31 Jan 26
  1. Mississippi and other American rice farmers are in serious trouble, with crop losses and economic strain threatening rural livelihoods. This could have wider impacts on food supply and local economies.
  2. U.S. power is undergoing an 'enshittification' where its effectiveness and legitimacy are eroding because of internal dysfunction and poor policy choices. That weakening makes American global influence less reliable.
  3. The PCF headquarters played a significant role in the making of the Indian constitution, showing how political organizations shaped the founding legal framework. Understanding that role helps explain key constitutional choices.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 347 implied HN points • 10 Feb 26
  1. Canada is moving to strengthen economic ties with China as part of a strategy to reduce dependence on the United States.
  2. Concrete steps include allowing a limited number of Chinese-made electric vehicles and removing tariffs on Canadian canola to boost exports.
  3. Donald Trump publicly attacked the arrangement, calling it a disaster and suggesting the U.S. views Canada’s friendlier trade posture toward China as part of the broader U.S.–China confrontation.
Chartbook • 543 implied HN points • 24 Jan 26
  1. Big tech is actively courting investment from wealthy Gulf states, which raises questions about funding, influence, and long-term strategic partnerships in the AI industry.
  2. Policymakers are subsidizing ranchers, using direct payments to shape rural economies, land use, and environmental outcomes.
  3. Looking back at Schumpeter reminds us that democracy can be viewed as a competitive process led by elites, emphasizing leadership selection and the limits of mass participation.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 463 implied HN points • 30 Jan 26
  1. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is touring under the MAHA banner to promote the Trump administration’s new dietary guidelines and to push dairy as an important part of American diets.
  2. He visited Kreider Farms, a large family dairy with a 1,600-cow milking operation, and the owners and he emphasized the benefits of milk and dairy products.
  3. His dietary proposals have ruffled feathers in Washington, and he used the trip to also discuss other topics like legalizing marijuana and a personal anecdote about sharing a Big Mac with Trump.
The Honest Broker Newsletter • 1315 implied HN points • 12 Dec 25
  1. Insurance companies are making record profits even as headlines claim a climate-driven insurance crisis, and recent premium hikes seem driven in part by rules to account for “climate risk” and the growth of risk-modeling services.
  2. The issue presents data across many areas — dark oil tankers, moderates’ confidence in science, an energy skills gap, red-state/blue-state electricity price differences, southern-hemisphere wheat, and a comeback of climate-realist views.
  3. More analysis is coming, including a follow-up on insurance and climate and a ranked list of major climate-research scandals, and the full material is available to paying subscribers.
The Rotten Apple • 63 implied HN points • 09 Mar 26
  1. Major Middle East shipping lanes are being closed or avoided, forcing ships to reroute around Africa and lengthening transit times; that raises freight and insurance costs and threatens perishable cargoes.
  2. Disruptions to Gulf oil and gas are pushing up fuel and fertiliser prices and cutting fertilizer availability, which will raise farming and processing costs and could reduce food production worldwide.
  3. Buyers are diversifying suppliers to cope, but higher prices, diverted cargoes and rushed sourcing increase the risk of food fraud and safety problems like mislabeling, counterfeit goods, expired products and mycotoxin contamination.
The DisInformation Chronicle • 640 implied HN points • 06 Jan 26
  1. A federal rule allows treated sewage sludge labeled as “biosolids” to be spread on farmland, which can introduce pathogens and chemical pollutants into the air, soil, water, and food supply.
  2. People living near land-applied sewage report serious acute and chronic health problems—like nausea, respiratory issues, infections, and neurological symptoms—while officials often downplay or dismiss their complaints.
  3. Community members organized, did independent research, formed a nonprofit, and are pushing for federal action to stop land-disposal of sewage and push for safer waste solutions.
Sustainability by numbers • 273 implied HN points • 09 Feb 26
  1. Direct subsidies make meat and dairy only a little cheaper at the shelf — typically cents to a few tens of cents per kilogram, which translates to small percentage changes that don’t close the price gap with meat substitutes.
  2. Much of the support is decoupled or absorbed into land rents and farmer incomes, so cutting subsidies would lead to some farm exits and small production drops but only modest retail price rises.
  3. The effective route to shift diets is cheaper alternatives: lowering the cost of meat substitutes (or reallocating support to them) matters far more than simply removing meat subsidies.
The Global Jigsaw • 119 implied HN points • 04 Oct 24
  1. Raising cows and sheep produces a lot of methane, which is a major contributor to climate change. This is because methane is released when these animals digest their food and is much worse for the planet than carbon dioxide.
  2. Livestock generates 18% of global greenhouse gas emissions, which is even more than the transport sector. This includes not just the methane from their digestion, but also emissions from raising feed and pasture.
  3. A Japanese seaweed startup has found a way to cut methane emissions from cows by adding a specific type of red algae to their feed. This could reduce their methane output by more than 90%.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 125 implied HN points • 21 Feb 26
  1. Tariffs and trade fights have severely hurt farmers' incomes, with soybean prices collapsing so some couldn't break even.
  2. Cuts to federal sustainability programs removed important support and made it harder for farms to survive.
  3. Even if some tariffs are struck down, the damage to long-built export markets may not be fixed and farmers still face ongoing uncertainty about future policy.
Sustainability by numbers • 439 implied HN points • 20 Jan 26
  1. Farmed honeybee colonies and global honey production have generally increased, so managed honeybees (kept as livestock) are doing relatively well in many places.
  2. Many wild bee species are declining: their ranges and recorded species richness have fallen and some face higher extinction risk.
  3. More managed honeybees can harm wild bees by competing for resources and spreading pathogens, so rising hive numbers do not mean all bee species are thriving.
The Works in Progress Newsletter • 31 implied HN points • 09 Mar 26
  1. A single wild plant, Brassica oleracea, was bred into many different vegetables—cabbage, kale, broccoli, cauliflower, Brussels sprouts, kohlrabi, gai lan, and more—by selecting for different edible parts.
  2. Its plant biology and genome made that easy: changing the shoot apical meristem’s timing produced leaves versus flower clusters, and polyploidy (extra gene copies) gave lots of genetic variation with less risk.
  3. Domestication likely began around the Mediterranean in antiquity and spread with people, and today wild and local landrace cabbage populations hold genetic diversity we can use to breed more resilient crops for future climates.
The Rotten Apple • 84 implied HN points • 23 Feb 26
  1. Unsafe crops (like aflatoxin‑contaminated peanuts) can push sellers to commit fraud, shipping goods through illicit routes so contaminated food reaches consumers. This kind of fraud raises both economic and health risks because it often involves forged certificates and bypassed testing.
  2. Sudden trade spikes in transit countries, unexplained price drops, and porous borders or corrupt officials are clear red flags and enablers of food fraud. Businesses should watch trade data and supply chains for these warning signs.
  3. Glyphosate is used widely and remains controversial: legal rulings, scientific debate, and political pressures show its safety is uncertain while residues can enter food when sprayed on crops before harvest. That uncertainty makes it a major food‑safety and policy issue for the food system.
Adetokunbo Sees • 104 implied HN points • 14 Feb 26
  1. The world finances destruction far more than protection: about $30 is spent harming nature for every $1 spent on nature-based solutions, funneling trillions into damaging activities.
  2. Ecosystems are being lost faster than we can restore them: roughly 15 billion trees are cut while only 5 billion are planted each year, and rivers and oceans grow more polluted despite cleanup efforts.
  3. Harmful subsidies and overconsumption make short-term profits but create massive long-term costs; cutting fossil fuel use and investing in nature-based solutions could prevent trillions in future damages.
As If We Were Staying • 15 implied HN points • 13 Mar 26
  1. A personal journey from biotech and capitalist life to regenerative farming shows that confronting climate reality often means remaking your life and work to fit a future that can last.
  2. Seeing capitalism like a tumor highlights how systems shape people’s habits and protections, so real change means healing both the structures and the people adapted to them.
  3. The answer lies in relational thinking and local care — reconnecting with land and community through restorative practices creates hopeful, durable ways of living.
Adjacent Possible • 245 implied HN points • 13 Jan 26
  1. The turn to agriculture was not an obvious human advance for ordinary people; it often brought harder work, poorer health, and greater vulnerability to disease and famine.
  2. There’s a long, puzzling gap between the first domestication of crops and the later rise of agrarian states, which shows the shift to farming was complicated and drawn out.
  3. A surprising piece of evidence from Cold War spy-satellite imagery in the 1960s helped explain that gap and changed how scholars think about early agriculture.
Adjacent Possible • 284 implied HN points • 05 Jan 26
  1. A new five-part, mid-length series will explore the birth of agriculture, cities, and early states in a deep, serialized essay format.
  2. Each essay will be paired with an interactive NotebookLM bundle of sources, quotes, and multimodal extras so readers can query the material and explore further.
  3. The project tests a new AI-enabled publishing model that both monetizes long-form work and uses recent revisionist scholarship and archaeological discoveries to challenge familiar origin stories.
Chartbook • 286 implied HN points • 21 Dec 25
  1. A large international survey found high levels of physician burnout, with 43% of American doctors reporting they feel burned out.
  2. The roundup brings together diverse geopolitical and economic topics—like UK deconvergence, the kola trade, and industrial "tank farms"—alongside striking images and historical material.
  3. The content is a curated, subscription-supported collection that mixes free and paid posts to fund its continued publication.
The Works in Progress Newsletter • 31 implied HN points • 26 Feb 26
  1. Africa began with uniquely difficult endowments — low population density, weak education, concentrated landholding, and fragmented politics — and those constraints help explain its slower growth; as these preconditions improve, disciplined policies that combine land reform, export-focused industry, and directed investment could make a big difference.
  2. When smallholder farmers get secure tenure, inputs, training, and market access, productivity and poverty reduction follow reliably, making agricultural reform the clearest and most persuasive path to broad-based gains.
  3. Export-led manufacturing is a much harder route today because China dominates low-cost production, automation reduces labor intensity, and globalization has slowed, so services-led growth or other alternative paths may be more realistic for many African countries even if they produce lower-wage, lower-skill jobs.
Who is Robert Malone • 43 implied HN points • 20 Feb 26
  1. Cartoons criticize political leaders for disrespecting national symbols like the American flag.
  2. There is a call for an America First agriculture policy, arguing the government should prioritize fixing U.S. farming instead of focusing on feeding other countries.
  3. Humor and satire are used to make political points, with jokes and quotes stressing that laughter can help convey uncomfortable truths.
Trevor Klee’s Newsletter • 298 implied HN points • 02 Dec 25
  1. By 2025, materials science, plant/animal breeding, and energy systems are closest to the ambitious technical goals, while medicine, disaster control, and especially precise weather control lag well behind.
  2. Without a major AI revolution, the next five years will bring steady gains: renewables, storage, materials, and crop improvements will move substantially, but life extension, earthquake/eruption control, and weather steering will only improve modestly.
  3. If abundant, well-aligned superintelligent AI appears by 2030, discovery and design in medicine, materials, energy, and agriculture could accelerate dramatically, yet physical scaling, safety, regulation, politics, and the chaotic nature of weather will still constrain full realization.
Breaking the News • 897 implied HN points • 12 Jul 25
  1. The Wonderful Company is helping improve education in California's Central Valley by supporting local charter schools. These schools focus on fitting their curriculums to the needs and culture of their communities.
  2. Programs at these schools aim to prepare students for college early and make higher education feel accessible. Students even take college-level classes while still in high school.
  3. The schools also emphasize health and community support, offering services like free meals and medical clinics. This approach aims to tackle local issues like obesity and access to healthcare.
Who is Robert Malone • 15 implied HN points • 26 Feb 26
  1. Industrial farming has damaged soil biology so crops can be less nutritious, because tillage, synthetic fertilizers, and pesticides break the fungal and microbial networks that make trace minerals plant-available.
  2. Regenerative practices—no-till, cover crops, diverse rotations, and adding organic matter—rebuild soil life, and you can see measurable improvements in soil function within a few years and in crop micronutrients within about 5–10 years.
  3. Expect a short-term yield dip and more year-to-year variability during the transition, but long-term benefits include better drought resilience, lower input costs, improved nutrition, and often comparable or better yields if you maintain diversity and patience.
@adlrocha Weekly Newsletter • 129 implied HN points • 21 Dec 25
  1. The food supply chain is critically important but built for maximum efficiency, so features like just-in-time inventory, long refrigerated transport, and minimal buffers make it brittle and prone to cascading failures.
  2. Extreme consolidation and geographic specialization concentrate risk in a few companies and regions, creating single points of failure that can shut down large parts of the global food system.
  3. Fixing it requires re-aligning incentives toward resilience. Building regional processing hubs, strategic reserves, and crop/supplier diversity will cost more but reduce the chance of catastrophic shortages.
Who is Robert Malone • 11 implied HN points • 02 Mar 26
  1. AI is already changing farming by turning satellites, sensors, and models into practical tools that let farmers treat each part of a field differently and monitor crops and soil in real time.
  2. Regenerative agriculture focuses on rebuilding soil health, water retention, and biodiversity, and AI helps by managing local complexity, offering tailored advice and virtual simulations, and enabling cheaper continuous verification so farmers can get paid for real ecological outcomes.
  3. There are real risks — who owns and benefits from farm data, training bias toward wealthy farms, and high technology costs — so fair data governance, accessible financing, and smart policy are needed to prevent widening inequalities.
Harnessing the Power of Nutrients • 1697 implied HN points • 12 Sep 23
  1. Support for the PRIME Act can lead to more affordable and accessible local meat options by allowing farmers to use local butchers without costly USDA intermediaries.
  2. Passage of the PRIME Act would increase access to local slaughterhouses, improve food safety, boost food security, and contribute to the local economy.
  3. Taking action by calling or emailing legislators to support the PRIME Act, meeting with representatives, and spreading awareness can make a significant impact on the future of local meat production.
Letters from an American • 32 implied HN points • 07 Feb 26
  1. The president and his team have used racist imagery and doctored photos to stoke racial divisions and try to break the broad coalition opposing them, but those tactics are rallying criticism instead of support.
  2. Immigration and law enforcement actions reveal mismanagement and apparent constitutional abuses, with chaotic chains of command and people detained without clear legal authority.
  3. Policy moves across the administration—from stripping civil service protections and pushing strict voter ID rules to mishandling public health, jobs, and support for farmers—risk harming communities and undermining democratic norms.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 612 implied HN points • 28 Jul 25
  1. Many French winemakers are nearing retirement, and there aren't enough young people interested in taking over their businesses. This could lead to a loss of a long-standing tradition in winemaking.
  2. One case highlights a family vineyard with generations of history, but the current generation decided against continuing the tradition. They found it too complicated and not profitable enough.
  3. The future of French wine is uncertain, and without new interest and investment from younger generations, this aspect of cultural heritage may decline.
Experimental Fat Loss • 106 implied HN points • 24 Dec 25
  1. Seed oil availability has risen a lot over the decades — in the U.S. it climbed from roughly 270 kcal/person/day in 1961 to about 715 today, so seed oils now make up a large share of average daily calories.
  2. The dataset reports food "supply," not what people actually ate, and it has harmonization and reporting problems across countries, so absolute numbers and direct comparisons should be treated cautiously.
  3. Different seed oils have very different linoleic acid content and countries use different mixes, so potential health impact varies; some countries have stopped or reversed the rise (e.g., Japan, France) while many others saw rising seed‑oil supply alongside increases in obesity.
Longer Tables with José Andrés • 628 implied HN points • 05 Feb 24
  1. Cxffeeblack founders aim to honor the roots of coffee and shift the industry's narrative to support communities of color.
  2. Renata and Bartholomew highlight the importance of recognizing the African heritage of coffee to preserve the future of the crop and support indigenous farmers.
  3. Consumers are encouraged to find gratitude in their coffee consumption, embrace peace, and consider the deeper stories behind the products they consume.
Faster, Please! • 639 implied HN points • 12 Jul 25
  1. ChatGPT can pilot spacecraft effectively in simulations, which could lead to future uses in autonomous satellite control and deep space missions.
  2. New gene therapy research shows promise for restoring hearing in children with genetic deafness, marking a significant advancement in medical treatments for congenital conditions.
  3. The US Army is testing robotic coyotes to prevent bird collisions with aircraft, showing innovative ways to solve wildlife management issues near airfields.
A Biologist's Guide to Life • 22 implied HN points • 12 Feb 26
  1. Biotechnology—from ancient agriculture to modern medicine—powers food and health and has transformed human society and life expectancy.
  2. Research tools like sequencing, PCR, CRISPR, and lab automation accelerate discovery and are often easier to commercialize than whole crops or drugs because they avoid heavy clinical and scaling barriers; selling them means convincing scientists they cut costs or enable new, publishable work.
  3. Building biotech companies is very different from building software: it requires lab space, expensive reagents, patents, regulatory know-how, and often partnerships with big ag or pharma, so science training should better prepare people for these practical business and legal realities.