The hottest Risk Substack posts right now

Thomas Malthus' failed predictions about population collapse due to lack of food production highlight the importance of human ingenuity and adaptation.
Historical panics like Y2K and overpopulation have turned out to be false alarms, raising skepticism about modern fears of AI extinction risk.
AI concerns should consider real-world evidence of harm as AI capabilities grow, the skepticism surrounding expert predictions, and the existing safeguards and regulations in place.

Setting aggressive goals challenges us to grow beyond our current limits and embrace progress.
Shifting from 'or' level-thinking to 'and' level-thinking opens up new possibilities and challenges assumptions about tradeoffs.
Embracing risks can lead to breakthroughs in personal growth, as breakdowns can be gateways to transformation and increased capacity.

When pursuing something you're passionate about, initial performance may decrease due to facing new fears and vulnerabilities.
Fixating on risks can harm performance and hinder opportunities; it's essential to set boundaries for assessing risks.
To maintain performance with risk, track it at intervals that mitigate ruin, and balance between your long-term vision and daily actions.

The new AI Executive Orders are heavily critiqued for their lack of embracing uncertainty, trust in human capability, and dictating innovation outcomes.
OpenAI introduces a tool that allows users to create ChatBots without coding, an interesting advancement in AI accessibility.
A new AI wearable device called AI pin aims to replace traditional phones, projecting information on the user's hand, signaling possible future tech advancements.

Some AI experts have raised concerns about the risks associated with AI, emphasizing the need to prioritize mitigating these risks alongside other existential threats like pandemics and nuclear war.
The statement by the experts has sparked discussions on whether allocating resources to mitigating AI risks should be as high of a priority as addressing other more immediate and evident threats.
While acknowledging the importance of considering AI existential risks, the argument is made that currently, these risks are still largely hypothetical and should be approached with caution in terms of resource allocation.

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Geoff Hinton, an AI pioneer, has transitioned from working to improve prediction machines to expressing concern about the risks posed by advanced AI technology, including the potential flood of fake information on the internet.
Hinton's short-run concern involves the influx of false content online, leading to doubts about the truthfulness of information, but he anticipates a future equilibrium where trusted sources will emerge to combat misinformation.
In the long run, Hinton worries about the unforeseen behaviors AI systems may learn, the potential threat they pose to humanity, and the ethical implications of advanced AI technologies affecting jobs and posing existential risks.

Consider getting the first available vaccine rather than waiting for a 'better' one, as all vaccines help prevent severe illness.
Factors like fear of getting sick with Covid-19 and fear of infecting others influence decisions on vaccine choice and timing.
Public health officials should provide realistic information and choice on vaccine types to address individual preferences while considering public allocation rationale.

The ocean/atmosphere system is already changing, and latest studies suggest these changes may have dire implications for the world.
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) is at risk of an abrupt shift that could impact global climate regulation.
An article on this topic is recommended reading for political, business leaders, and investors globally.

Luck can be categorized into different types, such as blind luck, luck created by motion, luck created by skill, and luck created by reputation. Each type requires different approaches to increase the likelihood of experiencing luck.
Fortune favors the bold - taking action and moving towards your goals can increase your chances of creating your own luck. Being in the right place at the right time can lead to fortunate outcomes.
Building on skills and reputation can attract luck. By honing your craft and becoming well-known for your expertise, you can open doors to exciting opportunities that bring success and fulfillment.