The hottest Currency Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top World Politics Topics

How do we measure whether China's economy is "ahead" of America's?

Noahpinion • 20059 implied HN points • 04 Jan 25
💰 Finance Economics Trade GDP Currency Growth
  1. There are different ways to measure the size of economies, like using nominal GDP or purchasing power parity (PPP). Depending on the method, we can get very different perspectives on whether China's economy is ahead of America's.
  2. The exchange rate can change the perception of an economy's size, especially if a country's currency is weak. If China's yuan strengthens, it could suddenly appear larger than the U.S. economy in nominal terms.
  3. When comparing economies, it's important to consider local prices and living standards. For a more accurate view of how people live and what they can afford, using PPP is crucial despite its complexity and potential inaccuracies.

How to Defend Cash in under 5 Minutes

Altered States of Monetary Consciousness • 637 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
💰 Finance Currency Economics Digital Payments Monetary Policy
  1. Cash is important to protect against digital payment surveillance and control. Transitioning to a fully cashless society can lead to loss of personal freedom and privacy.
  2. Instead of arguing against the convenience of digital payments, it might be better to present a new perspective on why cash is valuable. Analogies can help get the message across more easily.
  3. Educating others about the risks of a cashless society takes practice. Finding quick, relatable ways to share your views can be more effective than trying to challenge established beliefs directly.

The Frankfurter Index

Doomberg • 6098 implied HN points • 30 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investment Currency Commodities Economic Theory Financial Analysis
  1. The price of everyday items can help us understand the true value of money over time. For example, the cost of hot dogs compared to the price of gold shows how much the dollar has changed.
  2. While the value of the US dollar has been decreasing, it's important to look at prices in relation to gold to see the bigger picture. Gold has been a constant measure of value throughout history.
  3. Some people worry that we will run out of oil, but advancements in technology suggest otherwise. Oil and gas companies are innovating and have plenty of resources available.

Top Links 627 Is the dollar overvalued? Larry Summers feeling good. Gold & the price of a Rolex & The Rise and Fall of the Italian economy.

Chartbook • 329 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
💰 Finance Economics Investments Currency Market Trends Global Finance
  1. The dollar's value is being questioned right now, which is important for understanding the economy. Many people are debating whether it's too high or just right.
  2. Larry Summers, a noted economist, seems optimistic about the economic outlook. His confidence might suggest some positive trends ahead.
  3. There are intriguing comparisons being made between gold prices, the cost of luxury items like Rolexes, and the state of Italy's economy. These links can help highlight larger economic patterns.

Lula Hoops

Doomberg • 5190 implied HN points • 29 Oct 24
💰 Finance Currency Investments Global Economy Central Banking
  1. Gold prices have been rising significantly and outperforming the S&P 500 lately, reaching all-time highs in many currencies.
  2. There's speculation that central banks are accumulating gold as they explore options for a new currency to compete with the US dollar, particularly involving a potential BRICS currency backed by gold.
  3. At the recent BRICS summit, there were concerns that Brazil's president might not fully support efforts to move away from the US dollar, which could impact the success of this new currency initiative.
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Money is a Test (What Money Means)

Neckar’s Notes • 120 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
💰 Finance Currency Economics Investment Wealth Management
  1. Money changes people's lives and values in big ways. For example, in post-Soviet society, people had to quickly learn what money meant, which turned traditional roles upside down.
  2. It's said that everyone believes in money, even if they don't share the same beliefs about religion or nationalism. Money is that powerful and universal.
  3. Our feelings about money often come from our past and family. It's not just about numbers; it's an emotional subject that many struggle with.

Could the USD Hyperinflate?

The Informationist • 1592 implied HN points • 07 May 23
💰 Finance Inflation Markets Currency Investments Assets
  1. Hyperinflation is when a currency loses value rapidly due to extreme inflation.
  2. Some currencies have hyperinflated in the past, like those of Yugoslavia, Zimbabwe, and Hungary.
  3. While there is a chance the USD could hyperinflate, it is likely one of the last currencies to do so and owning hard assets can help protect against hyperinflation.

The Wholesale Rape Of Canada, by the US Dollar.

C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. • 18 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
💰 Finance Currency Trade Economics International Investment
  1. Canada has a lot of valuable resources and talent, but many Canadians are struggling with homelessness. This is partly because their economy is being affected by how the US operates.
  2. The Canadian dollar is tied too closely to the US dollar, making it harder for Canada to sell its goods at fair prices. This creates issues for Canadian businesses and workers.
  3. Many Canadians are frustrated with American influence and feel it's time to focus more on their own economy and products. This could lead to significant changes in how Canada interacts with American businesses.

Don’t Panic About A Yen “Free Fall”

Japan Economy Watch • 239 implied HN points • 01 May 24
💰 Finance Currency Economy Trade Intervention Exports
  1. The danger is not a sudden financial crisis, but rather slow erosion of Japan's economic competitiveness and living standards.
  2. The yen's recent fluctuations do not indicate a free fall, but rather show volatility in the currency market.
  3. Japan has the resources to prevent a currency free fall and stabilize the yen value through interventions and its international assets.

Money as Addiction

Altered States of Monetary Consciousness • 864 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
💰 Finance Monetary Systems Economic History Currency
  1. Addiction can distort our sense of agency, making us act out of instinct rather than choice.
  2. Solutionism creates a narrative that presents our dependencies as voluntary choices, leading to a cycle of justification for those dependencies.
  3. Monetary systems, like addiction, can create a state of involuntary dependence presented as a state of voluntary choice, reshaping our societies and individual lives.

BRICS New Development Bank de-dollarizing, adding Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Zimbabwe as members

Geopolitical Economy Report • 797 implied HN points • 09 Jun 23
🌍 World Politics BRICS Currency
  1. The BRICS New Development Bank is de-dollarizing its loans, promoting local currencies, and adding new members like Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Zimbabwe.
  2. The NDB's goal is to finance infrastructure investments, combat poverty, create jobs, and promote environmentally sustainable development among its members.
  3. The World Bank is controlled by the United States, unlike the NDB, which is a truly multilateral institution without veto power for any single nation.

Germany Surpasses Japan At #3 Nominal GDP Spot

Japan Economy Watch • 319 implied HN points • 17 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economy GDP Currency Population Competitiveness
  1. The reversal of rank in GDP between Germany and Japan is largely due to currency fluctuations, rather than significant changes in real GDP, population, or workforce size.
  2. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) offers a more accurate comparison of economic power by adjusting for currency exchange rate differences.
  3. Japan's slower growth in comparison to Germany is influenced by changes in population size, with significant implications for economic performance and global influence.

NY Times is wrong on dedollarization: Economist Michael Hudson debunks Paul Krugman's dollar defense

Geopolitical Economy Report • 518 implied HN points • 16 May 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Currency International Trade Global Markets US Hegemony
  1. Economist Michael Hudson debunks Paul Krugman's arguments on de-dollarization, highlighting historical economic misconceptions by Krugman.
  2. Krugman dismisses the importance of controlling the world's reserve currency, arguing it's overrated, but fails to address the impact of capital flows on currency values.
  3. Krugman's defense of the US dollar relies on tautological reasoning, stating the dollar is powerful because it's widely used, without acknowledging geopolitical shifts away from the dollar.

Can the EU Squeeze Hungary?

The Overshoot • 235 implied HN points • 31 Jan 24
🌍 World Politics EU Financial system Currency
  1. European leaders are exploring financial warfare against Hungary due to obstruction over aid to Ukraine
  2. Inflicting financial pain on Hungary may not work as the country has developed defenses against external pressure
  3. Hungary has had a persistent large current account surplus since the 2008 financial crisis

Yen’s Short-Term Fluctuations and Long-Term Weakness

Japan Economy Watch • 299 implied HN points • 14 Dec 23
💰 Finance Currency Economy Inflation Interest Rates Trade
  1. Short-term fluctuations of the yen depend on interest rate gaps between Japan and the US, influencing investors to buy/sell yen.
  2. Long-term weakness of the yen is influenced by the competitiveness of Japanese exports, affecting the overall value of the yen.
  3. The purchasing power of the yen relative to its trading partners has decreased significantly over the past 50 years, impacting Japanese households and companies.

How The First Reserve Currency Died

The Dollar Endgame • 379 implied HN points • 19 Sep 23
💾 History Currency Global Trade
  1. Reserve currencies have played a vital role in upholding global dominance for empires throughout history by offering a widely accepted medium of exchange, fueling borrowing, spending, and state funding for wars of expansion.
  2. History does not follow a linear path but rather a cyclical pattern, with repeated 80-year cycles known as Fourth Turnings, marked by moments of crisis and upheaval that reshape societies and nations.
  3. The rise and fall of the Dutch Guilder, the first global reserve currency controlled by the Dutch through the powerful United Dutch East India Company, exemplify the dynamics of economic dominance and empire-building in the past.

Endgame #1

The Dollar Endgame • 359 implied HN points • 26 Aug 23
💰 Finance Economics Global Markets Currency International Trade Cryptocurrency
  1. Argentina is facing a severe economic crisis with massive currency devaluation and high inflation, but there is hope for stabilization with proposed governmental changes and monetary reforms.
  2. China's property market is experiencing significant challenges, with key real estate firms facing default, worker payment issues, and the country slipping into deflation, raising concerns for a possible global recession.
  3. The BRICS alliance, particularly China and Russia, is strategizing to lessen dollar dominance by expanding membership and discussing possible alternatives, like involving major oil exporters and establishing a new reserve currency, amidst complexities and challenges in implementing such changes.

¥144 Is Weakest Since Last November

Japan Economy Watch • 359 implied HN points • 23 Jun 23
💰 Finance Economy Interest Rates Inflation Currency
  1. The weakening of the yen is closely tied to the gap between Japanese and American 10-year government bond rates, with a 97% correlation.
  2. Investors are learning to trust the statements of central banks like the BOJ and US Fed more, impacting market behavior and currency values.
  3. The chronic weakness of the yen reflects Japan's loss of competitiveness, leading to a trade deficit, higher consumer prices, and lower real wages.

De-dollarization Attack

Diane Francis • 559 implied HN points • 13 Apr 23
💰 Finance Currency Economics Global Markets Monetary Policy International Trade
  1. The US Dollar is seen as a stable and reliable currency globally, much more so than other national currencies and cryptocurrencies. This stability comes from a strong economy and the trust in its government.
  2. Russia's attempts to promote the use of the Chinese Yuan and create a new currency are unlikely to weaken the dominance of the US Dollar. In fact, they may end up increasing China's dependency on dollar reserves for stability.
  3. While there is some competition in global currencies, none are poised to replace the dollar until they are backed by strong, dynamic economies that have military power and stable governments.

Endgame #2

The Dollar Endgame • 319 implied HN points • 28 Sep 23
💰 Finance Currency Bonds Market Analysis Economic Impact Government shutdown
  1. Japan is facing challenges with its currency and bond market, with the USD/JPY crossing critical levels and the market pressuring the Yen amidst debt concerns.
  2. The US bond market is experiencing significant turbulence, with record lows in various instruments and rising yields posing challenges for investors.
  3. China is grappling with an economic slowdown fueled by a declining property market and potential need for widespread bailouts, leading to concerns about the country's economic future.

Saturday Commentary and Review #154

Fisted by Foucault • 323 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Censorship Currency Global Markets Political Influence
  1. Poland experienced challenges with judicial reform and resistance to western liberal mandates.
  2. There is a shift towards illiberal methods in the name of defending democracy, exemplified by actions in Poland and Germany.
  3. Efforts to de-dollarize economies like China's seek to strengthen financial security and reduce vulnerabilities in the global economic system.

A Tale of Two Currencies

BowTiedMara - Geoarbitrage & Mobility Assets • 137 implied HN points • 24 Apr 23
🌍 World Politics Currency Inflation Monetary Policy Central Bank Financial Crisis
  1. Argentina has a history of economic turmoil with multiple currency crises and hyperinflations.
  2. The government deficit in Argentina has grown significantly since 2011, leading to economic challenges.
  3. Potential solutions for Argentina's economic crisis include complete dollarization, adopting a Bitcoin standard, or exploring joint currencies with other countries like China.

Video: Weakest Real Yen In Half Century Reflects Deterioration of Japan’s Competitiveness

Japan Economy Watch • 279 implied HN points • 14 Nov 22
💰 Finance Economy Currency Competitiveness Monetary Policy Trade
  1. In the short term, Tokyo has limited options to address yen's weakness primarily due to the gap between American and Japanese interest rates.
  2. The weak yen reflects not just monetary policy differences but also a significant decline in Japan's real competitiveness over the years.
  3. To improve the situation, Japan needs to focus on reforms that enhance the country's underlying efficiency, making Japanese firms competitive in the global market once again.

Inflation: Japan Stands Alone, Part II

Japan Economy Watch • 299 implied HN points • 08 Sep 22
💰 Finance Economy Inflation Interest Rates Currency Government Policy
  1. Bank of Japan faces a dilemma with interest rates and the yen due to the growing gap between Japan and other countries' interest rates.
  2. Japan's weak domestic demand and a very weak yen are impacting consumer spending and business investment negatively.
  3. There is uncertainty around whether speculators will force the Bank of Japan to raise 10-year bond rates above 0.25% in response to the weak yen.

¥/$ May Be Heading to ¥125

Japan Economy Watch • 239 implied HN points • 24 Mar 22
💰 Finance Currency Economy Trade Interest Rates Inflation
  1. The yen may be heading towards ¥125, which would be its weakest level in 20 years, mainly due to factors like interest rate gaps between US and Japan.
  2. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and supply chain disruptions are contributing to yen weakening, despite historical perceptions of yen as a safe-haven currency during crises.
  3. Japan's shift from trade surpluses to deficits impacts its currency, and a weak yen may no longer be seen as entirely beneficial, especially if oil prices keep rising.

Does A Weak Yen Really Help Japan?

Japan Economy Watch • 199 implied HN points • 12 Feb 22
💰 Finance Economics Currency Trade Income Inflation
  1. A weak yen has atrophied Japan's economic muscles as it relies on it like a crutch, impacting household income and overall economic growth negatively.
  2. Japan's export-driven growth fueled by a weak yen contrasts with Korea's growth driven by innovative products and efficiency improvements, leading to a significant difference in economic performance.
  3. The weak yen raises import prices and benefits big companies over consumers, showing how it indirectly transfers income and highlights the impact on inflation and household spending.

What is Yi Gang trying to say in his 1st interview after retiring from PBoC?

Pekingnology • 71 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
🌍 World Politics Economics Monetary Policy Currency Financial history Central Banking
  1. Yi Gang discussed the historical significance of Jiaozi, the first paper money, and its implications for currency policies
  2. He emphasized the importance of competition under constraints for a successful monetary system
  3. Yi Gang highlighted the necessity of establishing and enhancing modern central bank systems to maintain currency stability

Why I Bitcoin

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 41 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
💰 Finance Bitcoin Investment Currency Regulation
  1. Understanding Bitcoin's network and cryptography is key to realizing its intrinsic value.
  2. Bitcoin presents a unique opportunity for diversifying wealth outside the traditional monetary system.
  3. Bitcoin's potential for global adoption and decentralized nature make it a compelling investment option.

The Gold Standard Is Back: BRICS To Intro Gold-Backed Reserve Currency

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 28 implied HN points • 10 Jul 23
💰 Finance Currency De-dollarization Global Trade
  1. BRICS countries are planning to introduce a gold-backed reserve currency, challenging the US dollar's dominance.
  2. The move could lead to a devaluation of fiat currencies and pose a shock to the global fiat money system.
  3. This announcement is part of a larger plan to de-dollarize and shift away from the US dollar as the world's global reserve currency.

Introducing: Klima the world's first carbon currency

Activist Futurism • 39 implied HN points • 14 Sep 21
🔮 Crypto Environmental Activism Currency Blockchain Decentralized
  1. Klima is the world's first carbon currency, backed by carbon offsets and incentivizing the absorption of carbon.
  2. KlimaDAO aims to build a monetary system that prices in carbon, rewarding pro-climate actions.
  3. Activists and supporters of transformative social change are now being drawn into the world of crypto through the introduction of Klima, the 'apex of environmental activism'.