Pekingnology ⢠113 implied HN points ⢠11 Feb 26
- Global politics is moving away from fixed blocs toward issue-by-issue cooperation, with different coalitions forming around climate, trade, security, and technology. Shared interests and rules will often matter more than ideological alignment.
- Europe will act as an independent balancing pole, keeping its values and security ties while engaging pragmatically with partners on trade, green tech, and multilateral reform. It will cooperate where interests align but keep its own strategic autonomy.
- Middle powers and smaller states will hedge and pick interests rather than choose sides, creating a contested multipolar order that can enable cooperation on big problems like climate and health but also leave disputes over trade, market access, and industrial policy.