The hottest Geopolitics Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top World Politics Topics
C.O.P. Central Organizing Principle. 12 implied HN points 28 May 25
  1. Kiev should consider surrendering to Russia to save lives. It's suggested that the current leadership may be leading people into danger.
  2. Past actions by leaders like Trump have shown a lack of genuine desire for peace, especially with military strikes being prioritized over diplomacy.
  3. Russia is unlikely to engage positively with the US after recent events and is focused on its military goals in Ukraine.
Glenn’s Substack 179 implied HN points 17 Jun 24
  1. NATO and Russia have had tensions for 30 years, leading to a potential conflict. It's important to understand this history to see how we got here.
  2. There is a growing idea of a multipolar world, especially in Eurasia, that could lead to more stability. Different countries working together can balance power and prevent wars.
  3. Shifting from a Western-dominated world to a multipolar approach might help create a more peaceful global environment. Looking beyond just one powerful nation can support better international relations.
ChinaTalk 459 implied HN points 06 Dec 24
  1. China recently restricted exports of critical minerals like germanium and gallium in response to U.S. semiconductor controls. This shows how trade tensions can impact global supply chains.
  2. Lessons from a past incident in 2010 highlight that China can use its control over rare earth exports as a political tool. This could lead to further supply vulnerabilities for countries reliant on these materials.
  3. To avoid dependency on a single country for critical minerals, nations should work on diversifying their supply sources. Expanding production options is key to maintaining access to important technology.
Caitlin’s Newsletter 1522 implied HN points 03 Feb 24
  1. The US administration is actively dropping bombs in the Middle East while claiming not to seek conflict there.
  2. The US military strikes have been described as 'retaliatory' despite lacking evidence linking Iran to the attacks.
  3. The US empire continuously engages in conflict in the Middle East, despite claiming to not seek conflict and painting itself as a victim.
Democratizing Automation 261 implied HN points 27 Jan 25
  1. Chinese AI labs are now leading the way in open-source models, surpassing their American counterparts. This shift could have significant impacts on global technology and geopolitics.
  2. A variety of new AI models and datasets are emerging, particularly focused on reasoning and long-context capabilities. These innovations are making it easier to tackle complex tasks in coding and math.
  3. Companies like IBM and Microsoft are quietly making strides with their AI models, showing that many players in the market are developing competitive technology that might not get as much attention.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:
Phillips’s Newsletter 79 implied HN points 20 Dec 24
  1. France has a historical vision for strong leadership in Europe, which includes being independent from other powers like the USA.
  2. In the past, French leaders wanted to build the country's economic and military strength, especially its nuclear capabilities.
  3. Currently, there seems to be a hesitation in France to fully step into the role of leadership, even in a moment that could be significant for the country.
Matt Ehret's Insights 1316 implied HN points 16 Sep 23
  1. Forward-thinking politicians once believed in a rules-based liberal order as the only option.
  2. Joe Biden was an early advocate for the 'End of History' and the new world order.
  3. The rise of a multipolar alliance and initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative have challenged the unipolar world order.
Diane Francis 1518 implied HN points 24 Jul 23
  1. The Prigozhin affair shows that Russia is controlled by a group of wealthy oligarchs who care more about money than the well-being of their people. This makes it hard to negotiate or find solutions to the ongoing war.
  2. Putin's response to the Prigozhin situation reveals his weakness and the corruption within the military. Despite military losses, he continues to escalate the conflict instead of seeking peace.
  3. To effectively end the war, the West needs to take strong actions against Russian oligarchs and their assets. The future of Russia may involve breaking it into smaller states, similar to what happened with the Soviet Union.
Diane Francis 1298 implied HN points 12 Oct 23
  1. The relationship between Russia and Iran is dangerous as they support each other's military activities and share resources. This partnership can worsen conflicts in the Middle East and pose threats globally.
  2. Russia has been using the situation in Israel to distract from its own actions in Ukraine. The narratives pushed by Russia aim to weaken Western support for Ukraine while exploiting the violence in Israel.
  3. To find peace, it's important for both Russia to be stopped in Ukraine and for Hamas and Hezbollah to be dealt with. A united effort from wealthy Arab nations, alongside the U.S. and Europe, is needed to negotiate a two-state solution for Palestinians.
Comment is Freed 73 implied HN points 18 Dec 24
  1. The 1979 Iranian Revolution set off events that may lead to more revolutions in the region. People are wondering if the current Iranian government could be next to face a challenge.
  2. The fall of the Assad regime in Syria seemed surprising but was also expected by some. The future of Syria is uncertain, and things will definitely change from now on.
  3. Iran and Russia are major losers after their support for Assad. They invested a lot of time and resources but are now facing setbacks in their influence over the Middle East.
Diane Francis 899 implied HN points 14 Dec 23
  1. The EU has started talks to let Ukraine join, showing strong support for Ukraine against Putin. This decision represents unity among European nations.
  2. Hungary's Prime Minister faced pressure from other leaders, including a tactful dinner invitation from Macron. This helped to avoid any vetoes on Ukraine's accession.
  3. The EU's support for Ukraine's fight means that Putin's strategy to divide and conquer has failed. Ukraine is now backed by a stronger coalition of nations.
Castalia 339 implied HN points 18 Apr 24
  1. Israel and Iran are in a tense situation, but neither seems eager for a full-blown war. Both countries are more focused on saving face rather than escalating the conflict.
  2. The war in Ukraine is dragging on, with Ukrainian troops feeling exhausted and struggling for resources. The leaders need to rethink their strategies before it's too late.
  3. Trump's upcoming court trial could significantly impact the election season, as he will be tied up in the courtroom. It creates a unique situation that could shape the political landscape in America.
Chartbook 429 implied HN points 02 Dec 24
  1. There is an ongoing issue of oil smuggling, especially involving imports to China from Iran and Venezuela, where they are labeled as coming from Malaysia.
  2. Bolivia is experiencing a significant crisis that is impacting its stability and economy.
  3. There's a trend of exploring deeper insights into the long-term pricing of copper and art, indicating a shift in how these markets might evolve.
Chartbook 386 implied HN points 11 Dec 24
  1. The BRICS nations are becoming more important in global politics. Their influence is growing as they work together more.
  2. There are discussions about the implications of Trump's deportation plans. Many are analyzing what these plans might mean for society and politics.
  3. Climate change is a big concern, especially with events like the 2026 World Cup on the horizon. Countries are preparing for its impact and strategizing for future challenges.
Castalia 479 implied HN points 05 Mar 24
  1. The research and writing process can feel like stepping into another time, as the author immersed himself in 1942 to better understand that historical period. This experience helped him connect with his characters and the events they were navigating.
  2. In 1942, many believed that fascism showed efficiency and strength compared to liberal democracies, but by the end of the year, perspectives shifted as victories by the Allies began to change the tide of World War II.
  3. The legacy of understanding Nazism as a unique evil has shaped modern politics, leading to a focus on identifying and combatting extremism, something that continues to influence current political discussions.
Diane Francis 959 implied HN points 23 Nov 23
  1. Ukrainian President Zelensky warned that Russian forces are planning to attempt a coup in Ukraine by the end of 2023. He has already survived multiple assassination attempts.
  2. Zelensky stressed the importance of Ukraine's fight for freedom, stating that a Russian victory would threaten NATO countries like the Baltics and Poland.
  3. He urged global powers like China and the U.S. to pressure Russia to stop its aggression, highlighting the need for unity among Ukrainians and their allies.
Aaron Mate 200 implied HN points 21 Oct 24
  1. Zelensky warned that some Western countries wanted a long war in Ukraine, even if it meant Ukraine could suffer severely.
  2. He chose to ignore this warning and sided with Western leaders who pushed for ongoing fighting instead of peace.
  3. Now, Zelensky seems to be facing the consequences of that choice, feeling abandoned by those same allies he listened to.
Phillips’s Newsletter 115 implied HN points 26 Nov 24
  1. European countries are starting to talk about their own military actions, especially regarding Ukraine. This shows a shift in how they view their defense responsibilities.
  2. There's a question about whether Europe can really defend itself without support from the USA. Many believe that it's not just about ability, but also mindset.
  3. The main issue isn't capability; it's whether European nations can picture themselves being independent in defense matters. It's more about perception than actual strength.
Diane Francis 639 implied HN points 25 Jan 24
  1. The conflict in Gaza is spreading, involving more countries and possibly leading to a larger war in the Middle East.
  2. Iran and Russia are actively trying to provoke the U.S. and distract from their own challenges, aiming to weaken America's influence.
  3. This situation could lead to more violence and instability, with the potential for greater harm to civilians and a complicated global response.
Matt Ehret's Insights 1159 implied HN points 26 Jun 23
  1. Throughout history, there have been instances where shadowy actions have been exposed but often don't lead to significant consequences.
  2. American leaders like Lincoln, FDR, and JFK fought against imperial impulses and tried to shine a light on these shadowy forces.
  3. Recent events like the Durham Report have shed light on the fabrication of Russiagate, showing the importance of alliances with countries like Russia and China to counter the global empire.
ChinaTalk 548 implied HN points 24 Oct 24
  1. Taiwan has become a leader in the semiconductor industry, mainly due to effective industrial policies, the rise of TSMC, and a focus on education and talent. This development is crucial for understanding Taiwan's economic success.
  2. TSMC's success can be attributed to a mix of technological advancement and customer service. They prioritize satisfying customer needs, which is vital for maintaining their competitive edge.
  3. Taiwan's geopolitical situation makes its chip industry crucial for global supply chains. With rising tensions globally, TSMC's role is likened to a protective 'Silicon Shield' for Taiwan, reflecting its importance in international relations.
Diane Francis 1478 implied HN points 26 Jun 23
  1. Russia is not just a country; it's an empire with lots of powerful groups fighting for control. This makes it feel more like a mafia organization than a united nation.
  2. Yevgeny Prigozhin, a former friend of Putin, has become a powerful figure by criticizing the military and gaining public support. He raised concerns about how the war is being fought and how soldiers are treated.
  3. Putin's recent challenges show he's losing control. His inability to handle internal conflicts weakens his leadership and could lead to bigger changes in Russia's future.
An Africanist Perspective 1128 implied HN points 19 Aug 23
  1. Decoupling the United States' West Africa policy from France could benefit both sides by strengthening relations and providing mutual economic and geopolitical advantages.
  2. The rise in anti-French sentiment in Africa could lead to a wider anti-West sentiment, potentially impacting America's standing in the region and relationships with individual African countries.
  3. Public opinion in African states is becoming increasingly important in shaping foreign policy decisions, highlighting the need for major global powers to have capable allies and engage meaningfully with the region.
Diane Francis 759 implied HN points 21 Dec 23
  1. Ukraine needs more military aid from the US and Europe to defend itself against Russia. Without this support, Russia could gain even more territory.
  2. If Ukraine gets the right amount of funding and military equipment this year, it could turn the situation around and push back Russian advances.
  3. If Ukraine loses, it would not only be a big shift in power but could also mean more US troops in Eastern Europe to handle the aftermath.
Diane Francis 779 implied HN points 15 Dec 23
  1. Hungary's leader, Viktor Orban, is blocking financial support for Ukraine, causing frustration among EU members. This has made talks about Ukraine joining the EU more complicated.
  2. Orban has been criticized for corrupt practices and controlling the media in Hungary. His actions might even lead to Hungary being suspended from the EU if he continues to break its rules.
  3. Ukraine's hopes for a European future depend heavily on financial support, which is now uncertain. Without this funding, winning the war and joining the EU could be impossible for Ukraine.
ChinAI Newsletter 609 implied HN points 22 Jan 24
  1. China's chip imports dropped for the first time in consecutive years due to geopolitical factors and increased demand in emerging industries like 5G and AI.
  2. China has been focusing on localizing chip production to reduce the trade deficit, with the self-sufficiency rate increasing from 16.6% in 2020 to 23.3% in 2023.
  3. In the past ten years, China's chip industry experienced significant growth, with chip imports and exports doubling in quantity and value.
Diane Francis 179 implied HN points 30 May 24
  1. China is closely watching the outcome of the war in Russia. They may have plans to reclaim territories they lost in the past.
  2. If Russia faces significant changes in leadership, it could lead to instability across its vast territory.
  3. The historical claim over areas like Manchuria could become a priority for China if Russia weakens.
Black Mountain Analysis 530 implied HN points 09 Feb 24
  1. The discussion focused on the Tucker Carlson / President Putin interview and its impact on the conflict and Western audience.
  2. There was an in-depth analysis of the geopolitical dynamics influencing the conflict in Ukraine.
  3. They explored various aspects such as denazification, the possibility of World War III, military leadership changes, and potential developments in Ukraine.
  4. Explore the full episode to delve into these insights.
Diane Francis 839 implied HN points 30 Nov 23
  1. Putin has built a powerful system in Russia that's very wealthy and focused on military strength. He controls a lot of valuable resources, more than anyone else in the world.
  2. The amount of money Putin has is staggering, making him the richest person by some estimates, even though he isn't listed as a billionaire anywhere. Most Russian billionaires are actually just working for him.
  3. This huge amount of wealth allows Putin to have a lot of influence over world affairs and wars, showing how money can shape power and control in the world.
Geopolitical Economy Report 1096 implied HN points 10 Sep 23
  1. Most people in Germany and France blame the United States or NATO for the war in Ukraine, according to a survey by anti-Putin activists.
  2. The public opinion may not significantly affect government policies, as seen by Germany's Foreign Minister's statement about supporting Ukraine despite public opinion.
  3. Results from the polls show that many Europeans perceive the conflict in Ukraine not just as Kiev versus Moscow but as a larger proxy war involving NATO and the US against Russia.
Glen’s Substack 39 implied HN points 06 Sep 24
  1. Ukrainian General Syrskyi explained that the Kursk operation aims to stop Russian forces from launching new attacks and to boost Ukrainian morale.
  2. He noted that Ukrainian troops have successfully halted Russian advances in the Pokrovsk direction, showing that their strategy is working.
  3. Syrskyi emphasized the need for Ukraine to be smarter in warfare due to Russia's material advantages, focusing on effective tactics and high-tech weaponry.
Thinking about... 324 implied HN points 11 Dec 24
  1. There is a project called Safe Terrain that aims to clear Ukrainian lands of dangerous mines using robots. This helps keep people safe and allows them to go back home.
  2. De-mining is very risky for humans, so using robots for this job is a safer solution. The project needs about $10,000 more to fund thirty robotic platforms for this purpose.
  3. Support from the public can make a big difference for this project. Donating or sharing the message can help keep Ukrainians safe and support their return to normal life.
Glen’s Substack 39 implied HN points 05 Sep 24
  1. Ukrainian military chief Kyrylo Budanov is using new technology like sea drones to attack the Russian navy in the Black Sea. This modern strategy is similar to Sir Francis Drake’s historic tactics.
  2. Ukraine’s use of unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) is changing naval warfare and helping them take on Russia's stronger navy. These drones are proving effective in disrupting supply lines and targeting enemy ships.
  3. Despite being outmatched in the Black Sea, Ukraine's innovative use of USVs is forcing Russia to alter its strategies and pull back its naval forces, which might help Ukraine resume its grain exports.
Diane Francis 1159 implied HN points 07 Aug 23
  1. A recent meeting in Jeddah with global leaders, excluding Russia, highlighted the widespread recognition of Russia's aggressive role in the Ukraine war.
  2. Putin's actions have severe consequences beyond Ukraine, affecting global food and energy supply, and creating instability in other regions, especially Africa.
  3. The meeting served as a crucial step for countries to come together to stop Putin, showing that this war is not just a regional issue but a global problem that needs collaboration to solve.
Diane Francis 879 implied HN points 16 Nov 23
  1. The US and China are trying to improve their relationship to avoid conflicts and create rules for their economic competition. Both countries want to cooperate for their own benefits.
  2. China's economy is struggling, while the US is doing better, leading China to change its approach, especially after distancing itself from Russia. This change shows China's focus on economic connections over military alliances.
  3. During the summit, the leaders emphasized the importance of communication and addressing shared concerns. This effort aims to ease tensions and strengthen their crucial trading relationship.
Diane Francis 1059 implied HN points 28 Sep 23
  1. Putin is under pressure to improve Russia's military situation quickly. His aggressive tactics are leading to more risks and causing problems for his already strained forces.
  2. Russian military leaders face issues with payments and morale, creating a culture of incompetence. Some officers even sold information to Ukraine, showing a lack of trust and discipline.
  3. Ukraine is gaining ground with new support from Western weapons, making it harder for Russia to maintain control, especially in Crimea. This shift could lead to significant changes in power if Ukraine succeeds.
Diane Francis 1039 implied HN points 09 Oct 23
  1. Israel's surprise attack by Hamas has highlighted serious issues within its government and military. The focus on internal politics and building settlements may have weakened their military readiness.
  2. Iran's involvement in the attack is significant, as it aims to strengthen regional opposition to Israel and disrupt potential peace deals. This raises worries about a broader conflict in the region.
  3. The ongoing conflict raises questions about how Israel can effectively respond without worsening its internal divides or causing more civilian harm, as the situation in Gaza remains dire.
Doomberg 231 implied HN points 09 Jan 25
  1. Natural gas is a key issue in the relationship between Russia and Europe. This topic has a long history and is very relevant today.
  2. The geopolitical situation is changing rapidly, which affects how countries interact regarding energy resources.
  3. Looking ahead, it's important to understand the current gas crisis to anticipate future developments in energy supply and security.