The hottest Election Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top U.S. Politics Topics

Young Voters Are Furious at Biden. That’s Nice.

American Dreaming • 215 implied HN points • 10 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Polls Voting Youth Foreign Policy
  1. Critics argue that young voters are angry at Biden due to his support for Israel, but data shows this may not be impacting his re-election chances.
  2. Despite concerns about young progressive voters turning away from Biden, the data indicates that they are not a significant voting bloc and may not sway elections.
  3. Changing his stance on Israel/Palestine would not benefit Biden politically, as it could alienate reliable voters to cater to a smaller, less reliable group.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:

30,000 registration mailers and the problem with the phrase "technically true"

The End(s) of Argument • 19 implied HN points • 30 Apr 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Misinformation Evidence Political Discourse
  1. The importance of providing context when presenting facts. In the example of 30,000 registration mailers, key details like the mailers not conferring voting rights were crucial.
  2. The issue with the phrase "technically true" and how it can be misleading. Just because something is 'technically true' doesn't mean it's not deceptive when used selectively to support an argument.
  3. Highlighting the necessity of clear, undistorted evidence in making claims. It's crucial to ensure that the evidence presented truly supports the argument being made.

America is unlikely to defeat a peer opponent

America in Crisis • 59 implied HN points • 07 Dec 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Military Economy Election Policy Parties
  1. America is struggling to maintain hegemony due to shifts in military production potential favoring autocratic powers.
  2. Building up military power would strain government finances, potentially leading to higher deficits and inflation.
  3. To revive capabilities like the Arsenal of Democracy, a political dispensation supporting non-financial production needs to replace the current focus on shareholder wealth under the Reagan dispensation.

The 2024 Presidential Election Hinges on Cities

The New Urban Order • 59 implied HN points • 20 Nov 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Cities Voter Turnout Political Campaigns
  1. Cities consistently have lower voter turnout compared to suburban and rural areas.
  2. Urban voters tend to be overwhelmingly Democratic, which leads to neglect from both Republican and Democrat campaigns.
  3. The 2024 Presidential Election is expected to focus on cities as an unexpected battleground, especially concerning the turnout of Black and Hispanic voters.

Who Is the Next President?

Fake Noûs • 271 implied HN points • 27 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Debate Campaign
  1. The Republican nomination for the next president is likely to go to Trump due to strong support and lack of serious challengers.
  2. The Democratic nominee for the next president is expected to be Biden, with little competition, despite concerns about health and moderate views.
  3. In a potential rematch between Trump and Biden, factors like inflation, Biden's policies, and health may heavily influence the outcome.

The Democrats Need to Make a Bold Move--Now

Phillips’s Newsletter • 78 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Policy Government
  1. The Democratic Party should make a bold move now, similar to how FDR approached challenging situations in the past.
  2. It is essential for Europe to respond promptly to the comments made by Donald Trump regarding NATO and Russia.
  3. The need for real boldness is emphasized, indicating a potential call to action for the Democratic Party to consider for the future.

To America, Biden Has No Rivals. To Iran? It's RFK Jr.

Séamus Malekafzali • 138 implied HN points • 26 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Presidential campaign Political landscape Foreign Relations
  1. Biden is perceived as having no rivals in America for the Democratic primary in 2024.
  2. In Iran, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s presidential campaign is seen as a significant rivalry.
  3. Despite low approval ratings, Biden's strong party support diminishes chances for other Democratic candidates to challenge him.

Florida Republican Governor Seeks to Thwart Trump’s White House Return

The Newsguy -- Steve Herman • 58 implied HN points • 25 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Presidential Race Political Dynamics Social media Political strategy
  1. Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is challenging Trump for the presidency next year.
  2. DeSantis faced technical glitches during his Twitter Space launch as a presidential candidate.
  3. DeSantis aims to win over Trump's traditional support base, focusing on conservative values and criticisms of Trump.

On this week's barrage of nightmare scenarios about a second Trump term

Think Future • 39 implied HN points • 07 Dec 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Policy Candidates
  1. Differentiate between reports of facts, forecasts, and nightmare scenarios when analyzing a candidate's potential actions.
  2. Forecasts can contain a mix of facts and nightmare scenarios, providing varied perspectives on what may happen.
  3. Understanding the overlap between these perspectives helps grasp possible outcomes of political scenarios.

URGENT: The Supreme Court rules 9-0 that states must allow Donald Trump on the presidential ballot

Unreported Truths • 74 implied HN points • 04 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legal Supreme Court Election Insurrection Voting Rights
  1. The Supreme Court ruled unanimously, 9-0, that states must allow Donald Trump on the presidential ballot.
  2. States cannot disqualify candidates for federal office as insurrectionists, according to the Supreme Court decision.
  3. The unanimous decision was a rebuke to leftist lawyers who argued for disqualifying Trump, emphasizing that voters deserve the final say.

NYT: Donald Trump has been indicted

The Reactionary • 144 implied HN points • 30 Mar 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legal Election Prosecution Political strategy Criminal charges
  1. Donald Trump has been indicted by a Manhattan grand jury for his role in paying hush money to a porn star.
  2. The indictment is seen as a historic development that could impact the 2024 presidential race and mark Trump as the first former president to face criminal charges.
  3. The timing of the indictment raises questions about political motivations and potential effects on the 2024 election, with concerns about prosecution tactics and potential impact on Trump's chances during trial and appeal.

Pandermonium!

Slack Tide by Matt Labash • 175 implied HN points • 01 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Trump Republicans Law Media
  1. There's a lack of normalcy in today's political landscape and political figures are not held to traditional standards of morality.
  2. Hypocrisy is no longer a concern as many political figures operate without clear principles.
  3. Republicans are rallying around Trump despite legal challenges, showcasing a shift towards embracing embattled figures for financial and political gains.

URGENT: The report from prosecutors on Joe Biden's handling of classified documents might be WORSE for him than an actual indictment

Unreported Truths • 68 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Investigation President Election
  1. Prosecutors found no basis for criminal charges against Joe Biden for handling classified documents
  2. Report suggests Biden may be too senile for criminal charges, making his ability to stay as President questionable
  3. Biden's memory issues highlighted in the report, impacting his portrayal and political implications

Crowded, Diverse Republican Presidential Field Expands

The Newsguy -- Steve Herman • 39 implied HN points • 28 Jun 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Debates Policies Political Dynamics
  1. More than a dozen Republican candidates are gearing up to challenge President Biden in the upcoming election.
  2. Former President Trump remains a prominent figure in the Republican field despite facing legal challenges.
  3. The Republican primary race is diverse, with candidates like Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, and Francis Suarez entering the fray.

‘The Original Intent of the Founders Is Very Clear’: Trump Should Be Kept off 2024 Ballot

The Washington Current • 19 implied HN points • 05 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Supreme Court Insurrection Constitution
  1. The Supreme Court will hear arguments on whether Donald Trump should be kept off the 2024 ballot due to his involvement in the Jan. 6 attacks.
  2. The 14th Amendment can disqualify someone from holding public office for engaging in insurrection against the federal government.
  3. Legal experts argue that Donald Trump should be disqualified from running for office based on the original intent of the founders and his actions.

Robert Hur Just Gave Democrats An Off-Ramp

Gideon's Substack • 42 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democrats Special counsel Election Polls
  1. Special counsel Robert Hur hinted that President Biden may not be mentally capable of criminal conspiracy, posing a challenge for the Democrats.
  2. The Democrats face the task of convincing the public that Biden is fit for the presidency amid doubts about his capacity raised by Hur's comments.
  3. The Democrats have a tough decision ahead on whether to stick with Biden for the election or make a change based on public perception and past electoral outcomes.

BREAKING NEWS: Trump, Zuckerberg, Musk, Greenberg, Yass, TikTok—Dozens of Far-Flung Narratives Are Suddenly Coming Together As Trump Seeks a New Surety Bond to Avoid Ruin

Proof • 57 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Legal case Foreign Relations
  1. Trump is seeking a new surety bond to avoid financial ruin, with a focus on securing a larger bond to replace the current deal with Greenberg's Chubb.
  2. There are intersecting narratives involving Trump, Zuckerberg, Musk, Yass, TikTok, and more, with significant events like TikTok ban bill, Navarro's upcoming incarceration, and secretive meetings between Trump and Musk.
  3. Understanding the complex interactions among these narratives offers insights into the significant 2024 presidential cycle and sheds light on unprecedented events shaping U.S. politics and international trade partnerships.

Why Nikki Haley’s Supporters Stood by Her

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 55 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Campaign Finance Republican party
  1. Nikki Haley suspended her campaign for president without endorsing Donald Trump, continuing to use her voice for her beliefs.
  2. Despite the writing being on the wall, many of Haley's donors kept supporting her because they believed she represented the values and ethics a Republican candidate should have.
  3. Haley's supporters, though possibly in the minority, could still sway the November election by either supporting a third-party candidate or voting for Biden.

Sunday Strip: Legends of the Fall

Who is Robert Malone • 34 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Joe Biden Campaigns Political Satire
  1. The NFL playing two national anthems at the Super Bowl has stirred controversy, as it is seen as divisive and part of a radical racial agenda
  2. Quotes from politicians like Rep. Burgess Owens stress the importance of unity over division in America, especially regarding meritocracy and patriotism
  3. Missteps by fact-checkers in aiding politicians can lead to distortions in the public perception and contribute to political agendas

BREAKING NEWS: Donald Trump Now Leading Candidate to Become Next Speaker of the House, Likely to Use Role to Impeach Biden and Obstruct His Own Pending Civil and Criminal Cases

Proof • 77 implied HN points • 06 Oct 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election House Impeachment Legislation Policies
  1. Donald Trump was considered a top candidate for Speaker of the House, planning to use the role to impeach Biden and obstruct pending cases.
  2. Trump's late-breaking decision to endorse Jim Jordan instead of running himself increased the likelihood of Jordan becoming Speaker.
  3. There is concern that a Trump speakership could lead to economic turmoil, interference in Biden's administration, and potential obstruction of justice in Trump's legal cases.

RUSSIAGATE'S MISSING PIECES

Seymour Hersh • 76 implied HN points • 01 Jun 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Investigations Election Intelligence Government Campaign
  1. John Durham's report suggests that Russiagate was initiated by the Clinton campaign and aided by political reporters and senior FBI officials.
  2. Durham's inquiry reveals that the Clinton campaign might have funded the Steele Reports and Alfa Bank allegations to smear a political opponent.
  3. The focus of Durham's report was on who knew about the alleged Clinton Plan intelligence, indicating a potential political smear campaign.

9-0

Gideon's Substack • 23 implied HN points • 04 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Supreme Court Court rulings Election
  1. The Supreme Court unanimously decided that Colorado cannot remove former president Donald Trump from the state's primary ballot under the 14th Amendment.
  2. A 5-4 majority ruled that only Congress can lay the groundwork for applying constitutional provisions to individuals running for office, emphasizing democratic legitimacy.
  3. The decision highlights the importance of democratic accountability and the need for consistency in the Court's rulings to maintain legitimacy and protect American democracy.

Why are Hispanics Mobilizing Around Trump?

Who is Robert Malone • 22 implied HN points • 22 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Immigration Polling Border Democrats
  1. Hispanic Americans are mobilizing around Trump due to issues like border security and the belief he can fix the economy.
  2. Legal Hispanic immigrants feel frustrated by the US government prioritizing illegal immigrants with resources and benefits.
  3. Recent polling shows a significant shift in Hispanic voter support towards Trump, signaling a potential change in the 2024 election.

A Super Tuesday Guide to All Trump’s State and Federal Cases—and There Are More Than You Realize—As Well As Critical Updates on Several Developments Likely to Impact Voters’ Votes

Proof • 31 implied HN points • 05 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Legal Cases Presidential candidates Political landscape
  1. Super Tuesday voters should be aware of the numerous state and federal legal cases facing Donald Trump, which could impact his candidacy significantly.
  2. Nikki Haley's strong fundraising and increasing support, combined with the skepticism towards Trump among Haley voters due to his legal issues, suggest a potentially competitive Republican primary.
  3. The immense legal troubles, financial challenges, and health concerns surrounding Donald Trump make his candidacy for the 2024 GOP nomination uncertain, despite media presumptions.

Gallego 'Not Concerned' About Potential 3-way Race for Sinema's Seat

The Washington Current • 19 implied HN points • 15 Feb 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Candidates Senate Campaign Parties
  1. Rep. Ruben Gallego is confident in his campaign to succeed Sen. Kyrsten Sinema despite potential three-way race.
  2. Sinema abandoned the Democratic Party in December but has not confirmed if she will seek reelection.
  3. Gallego emphasizes focusing on connecting with Arizonans about important issues to win the race.

Finnish news recap, week 13: Election and... not much else

Ahpocalypse Now • 19 implied HN points • 05 Apr 23
🌍 World Politics Election Government NATO Media AI
  1. Finnish election results showed a shift in power from the center-left to the right-wing parties
  2. The formation of the new government in Finland is uncertain as different party alliances are being considered
  3. Apart from the election, other news includes Turkey voting on NATO accession and signs of sluggishness in the Finnish housing market