The hottest Geopolitics Substack posts right now

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BRICS Develops a Multipolar Economic Architecture

Glenn’s Substack • 1099 implied HN points • 20 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Global Economy Geopolitics Economic Policy
  1. BRICS is working to create a new economic system that doesn't depend on the US. This means countries can trade and cooperate without worrying about US control.
  2. There is a strong desire among countries to join BRICS and work together to trade in their own currencies instead of the US dollar. This could help protect their economies from US influence.
  3. BRICS aims to foster connections between diverse nations, including rivals, to manage political issues through economic collaboration, rather than division. This could lead to a more cooperative global environment.

The End of Hegemony & Emergence of Multipolarity

Glenn’s Substack • 1119 implied HN points • 19 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics Hegemony International relations Geopolitics
  1. The US is no longer the dominant world power. There is a shift towards a multipolar world where multiple countries have influence.
  2. Western leaders struggle to imagine new ways of working in this multipolar world. They often want to cling to old ideas of Western dominance instead of adapting.
  3. Instead of trying to restore past power dynamics, the West should look for new opportunities that come with this change in global power.

The Folly of A War With Iran

The Chris Hedges Report • 548 implied HN points • 13 Jun 25
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Military International relations Middle East Conflict
  1. A war with Iran could lead to severe consequences, as Iran has strong military alliances and resources, making it a tough opponent. It wouldn't be an easy conflict for Israel or the U.S.
  2. The potential conflict might not only distract from human rights issues in Gaza and the West Bank, but also escalate tensions in the entire region, possibly making alliances stronger between Iran, Russia, and China.
  3. Past military interventions have often resulted in unforeseen complications and long-term struggles. The belief that a quick military solution will work against Iran ignores the lessons learned from previous wars.

Contours of a US-China Tech Grand Bargain

Interconnected • 709 implied HN points • 08 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Trade policy International relations Technology Policy Negotiations Geopolitics
  1. The US and China are working on a tech agreement that could change the way they trade technology and materials. This could lead to better cooperation on key tech issues like semiconductors and rare earth materials.
  2. China has advantages in supplying critical materials, while the US holds the edge in semiconductor technologies. Both sides will have to negotiate carefully to balance their needs and strengths.
  3. Access to the consumer tech market is crucial for both countries. A deal involving TikTok might help set guidelines for how Chinese companies can operate in the US, which could shape future technology negotiations between the two nations.

As US floats revival of Istanbul talks, Zelensky and Starmer scramble

Aaron Mate • 100 implied HN points • 28 Feb 25
🌍 World Politics Diplomacy Conflict International relations Political Leadership Geopolitics
  1. The US is considering restarting peace talks that were previously halted in Istanbul. This might open new discussions about resolving tensions.
  2. Zelensky and Starmer are actively trying to persuade Trump to support continued military action. They appear to be concerned about losing momentum in their efforts.
  3. The situation is dynamic as different leaders are scrambling to respond to changes in the political landscape. This could impact international relations significantly.
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DeepSeek Is Chinese But Its AI Models Are From Another Planet

The Algorithmic Bridge • 3344 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🕹 Technology Artificial Intelligence Geopolitics Open Source Machine Learning Software Development
  1. DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company, has quickly created competitive AI models that are open-source and cheap. This challenges the idea that the U.S. has a clear lead in AI technology.
  2. Their new model, R1, is comparable to OpenAI's best models, showcasing that they can produce high-quality AI without the same resources. It suggests they might be using innovative methods to build these models efficiently.
  3. DeepSeek’s approach also includes letting their model learn on its own without much human guidance, raising questions about what future AI could look like and how it might think differently than humans.

The Hostage Deal Is the Price of Israel’s Failures

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 3046 implied HN points • 15 Jan 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Middle East Conflict resolution Peace negotiations Geopolitics
  1. Israel is close to making a deal with Hamas to release captives. The first step involves freeing 33 hostages, including children and the elderly.
  2. The deal has three phases that could lead to the end of the conflict, but each phase relies on the success of the previous one.
  3. If the deal works, it will bring mixed feelings in Israel, with joy for the hostages' return but also anger and disappointment about the circumstances.

The Militarisation of Scandinavia & the Great Northern War 2.0

Glenn’s Substack • 1838 implied HN points • 06 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Military Affairs International relations Conflict Studies Security Studies
  1. Scandinavia is shifting from a peaceful region to a frontline for the US military, which might lead to more conflicts. Countries like Norway are hosting US military bases, causing Russia to feel threatened.
  2. The history shows that when one country's security increases, it often makes neighboring countries feel less secure, leading to a security competition. This was the case during the Cold War with Finland and Sweden acting as neutral states to reduce tensions.
  3. NATO's expansion, including Sweden and Finland joining, is seen by some as a major mistake. It might actually increase tensions rather than provide security, as past experiences suggest that surrounding a country with military alliances can provoke it.

Iran, Israel, USA and World War 3 | Chris Hedges | UNAPOLOGETIC

The Chris Hedges Report • 125 implied HN points • 20 Jun 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict Studies Geopolitics War Analysis
  1. The conflict between Israel and Iran could have serious consequences, including the risk of drawing the USA into a larger war.
  2. There are concerns about whether the shifting priorities of Israel and the Pentagon are genuine or just a cover for ongoing issues in the region.
  3. The actions of Arab states in response to the situation may lead to negative consequences for them in the future.

Niall Ferguson: The Vibe Shift Goes Global

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 6543 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
🎭️ Culture Trends Pop culture Aesthetics Geopolitics Society
  1. Culture influences politics and geopolitics, making it important to understand cultural trends.
  2. There have been distinct vibe shifts in pop culture over the years, each with its own style, like Hipster/Indie and Hypebeast/Woke.
  3. Recent changes in tech culture reflect a shift towards a more unfiltered environment, especially with Elon Musk's influence.

Our Sixty Days of Nuclear Chicken Have Begun

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 10440 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict Studies Nuclear policy Geopolitics Military Strategy
  1. The situation in Ukraine is getting riskier as peace talks are expected after Trump's inauguration. This is causing both Russia and the U.S. to escalate their military actions.
  2. Recent attacks involving U.S.-made ATACMS missiles have heightened tensions and alarmed Russian media. They are worried about this being a significant moment in history.
  3. There's a growing fear that we might be approaching a major conflict, with some comparing it to the dangers of the Cuban Missile Crisis. A nuclear response from Russia is now more likely, raising serious concerns.

Europe's Moment of Truth

Comment is Freed • 109 implied HN points • 22 Feb 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict analysis Military Affairs Geopolitics
  1. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is very important for Europe and needs careful analysis. It's crucial to rely on trustworthy sources and check what key players are saying to understand their priorities.
  2. Conflicts evolve in stages, so it's not wise to make firm predictions about the future. Instead, it's better to explore possible developments based on the current situation.
  3. Recent changes in U.S. support, especially Trump's comments about Zelensky, create uncertainty for Ukraine. This makes it vital to stay informed about how negotiations with Russia may influence future support.

We need to think about Africa

Wood From Eden • 1728 implied HN points • 24 Jan 25
🌍 World Politics Demography Migration Globalization Geopolitics Development
  1. Africa's population is growing quickly and will represent a large part of the world in the future. It's important for the rest of the world to pay attention to this change.
  2. Ignoring Africa's potential problems could lead to bigger issues later on. We may need to think about ways to help cope with possible crises.
  3. Instead of only debating about challenges in Africa, we should start thinking of solutions now. Preparing early can help everyone in the future.

BRICS enables Russia to displace US farmers

Glenn’s Substack • 1718 implied HN points • 02 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Global Economy Trade policy Geopolitics
  1. Russia and China are building a new trade route for grain. This helps Russia sell more food to China, taking market share away from US farmers.
  2. The BRICS nations are creating a new system that makes the US dollar less important in trade. This means countries can trade more freely without US influence.
  3. US farmers are struggling to get the information they need about global markets. Without this info, they can't make good decisions about what crops to plant.

Top Links 761 The limits of China's domestic market. Gold digging in Syria. African drone poliferation & the making of Balamory.

Chartbook • 343 implied HN points • 06 Jun 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Global Economy Geopolitics Conflict Studies Cultural Studies
  1. China's domestic market has limitations that affect its overall economic growth. Understanding these limits can help us see potential challenges for China's future.
  2. There is ongoing gold mining in Syria, which raises questions about the human and environmental cost. It's important to be aware of the impacts of such activities in conflict zones.
  3. African countries are increasingly using drones, which could change security dynamics on the continent. This shift might lead to both opportunities and risks for the region.

7 Implications of DeepSeek’s Victory Over American AI Companies

The Algorithmic Bridge • 1443 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
🕹 Technology AI Innovation Startups Geopolitics Market Trends
  1. DeepSeek is a new Chinese AI startup that has quickly become a big player in the AI world, challenging even leading American companies. This highlights a shift in innovation coming from China.
  2. DeepSeek's models are showing competitive results compared to top US models, thanks to their unique approaches and optimization strategies. They have managed to create effective AI solutions without needing as much expensive hardware.
  3. The company promotes an open-source philosophy, aiming to make AI technology more accessible. This could change how AI companies operate and compete in the market, possibly lowering costs for everyone.

The US is no longer our ally

Erik Examines • 179 implied HN points • 17 Feb 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Geopolitics Foreign affairs Conflict Studies
  1. The US is seen by some as no longer being a reliable ally, with divisions in its political landscape affecting international relationships. This raises concerns about how the US approaches foreign policy and engages with other countries.
  2. There's a belief that the US government is siding with far-right movements in Europe and challenging democratic norms. This shift is viewed as a significant change from past US leadership which was more aligned with traditional allies.
  3. Historical parallels are drawn to past aggressive actions by leaders, showing a worry that current US politics might lead to similar conflicts. Many people prefer to cling to the familiar, but change is coming whether they like it or not.

Why the US military should plan for human-level AI

Faster, Please! • 365 implied HN points • 14 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Military Policy Artificial Intelligence National Security Defense technology Geopolitics
  1. The US military needs to prepare for the future of AI, especially if it reaches human-level intelligence. This preparation is crucial because AI could change how wars are fought.
  2. Unlike nuclear fission, which clearly showed its potential for destructive power, the military uses of AI are still not very clear. It's harder to see what AI can really do for military purposes right now.
  3. There are calls for a major effort, similar to the Manhattan Project, to stay ahead in AI development, particularly to prevent adversaries like China from gaining an advantage. However, the exact military benefits of advanced AI are still uncertain.

Natan Sharansky: Why Can’t Israel’s Leader Visit Auschwitz?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 1534 implied HN points • 09 Jan 25
🌍 World Politics International Law Middle East Human Rights Antisemitism Geopolitics
  1. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu can't attend the Auschwitz commemoration due to war crime charges from the ICC. This situation is highly ironic since it's a significant event related to Jewish history.
  2. The ICC's charges against Netanyahu have been criticized by the Biden administration as having no legal basis, but Poland has not taken action to support his attendance.
  3. Important legal concepts like 'crimes against humanity' and 'genocide' were created by Polish-born Jews after the Holocaust, which adds another layer of irony to the accusations against Israel today.

Five things most people don't seem to understand about DeepSeek

Marcus on AI • 12133 implied HN points • 28 Jan 25
🕹 Technology AI Deep Learning Software Economics Geopolitics
  1. DeepSeek is not smarter than older models. It just costs less to train, which doesn't mean it's better overall.
  2. It still has issues with reliability and can be expensive to run if you want it to 'think' for longer.
  3. DeepSeek may change the AI market and pose challenges for companies like OpenAI, but it doesn't bring us closer to achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI).

The Cold War History of Export Controls

ChinaTalk • 415 implied HN points • 30 May 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Geopolitics Technology History Trade
  1. Export controls on technology have a long history, dating back to the Cold War, and they show how countries try to limit each other's advancements.
  2. The effectiveness of these controls depends heavily on cooperation between countries; without a united approach, it's hard to enforce such regulations.
  3. Tracking where technology goes after it's exported is crucial. If countries can't monitor this, it makes it easy for others to use loopholes and bypass the rules.

The Empire Burns The Middle East While US Homelessness Surges

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 1937 implied HN points • 30 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Homelessness Foreign Policy Geopolitics Media Critique Imperialism
  1. The situation in the Middle East is tense, with reports of violence and destruction affecting local hospitals and communities.
  2. US homelessness is on the rise, with a significant increase highlighting social and economic issues at home.
  3. There's a concern that the US government focuses on foreign issues while neglecting serious problems like poverty and homelessness in its own country.

DWN Interview with Harald Kujat: Ukraine Support Without Peace Strategy

Glenn’s Substack • 659 implied HN points • 08 Sep 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Geopolitics Conflict Studies European Politics Security Studies Diplomacy
  1. Neither Ukraine nor Russia can truly win the war. Both sides are unlikely to achieve their political goals, and ongoing support from the West may not change the military balance.
  2. Ukraine's recent offensive into Russian territory may turn out to be a risky move rather than a game-changer. The action could lead to greater military challenges as Ukraine stretches its resources thin.
  3. A peaceful resolution to the conflict seems increasingly distant. Both sides have strong preconditions for negotiations, and external factors like upcoming U.S. elections could impact the situation further.

Out of Gas

Doomberg • 7896 implied HN points • 03 Feb 25
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Energy Policy International relations Leadership Economic strategy
  1. Britain has faced a major decline in its global power and status over the years, driven by poor decisions by its leaders. This decline shows that just having a historic role doesn't mean a country is still significant today.
  2. Currently, Prime Minister Keir Starmer is trying to boost Britain's image by aiming to make it an AI superpower. However, investors are uncertain because of the country's bigger issues, especially in energy.
  3. The UK is struggling with low gas storage and high demand for energy, which makes its ambition for AI seem unrealistic. Without reliable and cheap energy, the goal to succeed in technology will be hard to achieve.

The Dangerous Obsession with Territory in a War of Attrition

Glenn’s Substack • 1418 implied HN points • 20 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict Diplomacy Military Geopolitics Territorial Issues
  1. In a war of attrition, the goal is to wear down the enemy, not just take land. Taking territory requires a lot of resources and can be costly.
  2. Territorial gains often get celebrated, but they’re not always strategic. Advancing too far can harm supply lines and weaken defenses.
  3. There's pressure in the West to support any gains by Ukraine, which complicates discussions about effective strategies. Sometimes, focusing on PR can overshadow the real military needs.

Data Warfare

How the Hell • 110 implied HN points • 12 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics National Security Defense Policy Military Strategy Intelligence Geopolitics
  1. Offensive data operations are being considered as a strategy against China. This means using information tactics to weaken their tech progress.
  2. The military industry is cautious about discussing these strategies openly. They think the ideas are good but worry about public talks.
  3. These operations aim to disrupt and slow down China's advancements in AI, which could have big implications for global technology competition.

Georgia On My Mind

Doomberg • 6668 implied HN points • 09 Feb 25
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics International relations European Politics U.S. foreign policy Conflict Studies
  1. The end of unipolarity makes Europe vulnerable and could lead to significant changes in global power dynamics.
  2. Georgia's political turmoil shows the influence of outside forces like the EU and Russia in the region.
  3. A shift towards a multipolar world means countries need to focus more on their own national interests rather than trying to solve every global issue.

The Saturday Read: A furious year

The Saturday Read • 419 implied HN points • 05 Oct 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict International relations Geopolitics History
  1. The Middle East is facing ongoing violence and conflict, especially after significant events like the Hamas attack on Israel. Many believe lasting peace will require changes in Iran.
  2. There is no single 'Catholic vote' in American politics; Catholics often have diverse views that don't fit neatly into either party. This means candidates should engage with Catholic voters carefully.
  3. Green Day's album 'American Idiot' had a powerful impact by encouraging youth to oppose George W. Bush. Its fun style helped spread a serious political message.

Assad Is Out, Woke Al-Qaeda Is In

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 2686 implied HN points • 08 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East Regime Change U.S. foreign policy Geopolitics Conflict
  1. The Syrian government led by Assad is being replaced, likely by groups supported by the U.S. This shows a shift in power dynamics in the region.
  2. Al-Qaeda has been rebranded as a more 'woke' group, with media portraying them in a softer light despite their violent past. This reflects a significant change in how such groups are viewed.
  3. The ongoing U.S. efforts in the area involve a long game strategy, suggesting that while current actions may not yield immediate results, they are part of a larger plan for eventual dominance.

This Is Not Appeasement, It Is Worse

Phillips’s Newsletter • 193 implied HN points • 14 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Foreign Policy International relations Geopolitics
  1. Trump is making concessions to Russia that could hurt Ukraine. He has suggested letting Putin back into the G7 and keeping Ukraine out of NATO.
  2. The U.S. seems to be giving Russia a lot of leeway during a difficult time for their military. This support appears to help Putin when he needs it most.
  3. Critics say calling Trump's actions appeasement is too simple, as he may be actively supporting Russia in troubling ways for Ukraine's future.

NATO's War on Russia

Glenn’s Substack • 1099 implied HN points • 19 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Geopolitics War Studies National Security Foreign Policy
  1. NATO's involvement in Ukraine started with the 2014 coup, which led to increased tensions with Russia. This has shaped the current conflict, making it more than just a territorial dispute.
  2. Russia's responses to NATO's actions have been cautious, as they fear escalating to nuclear war. They are carefully considering how to react without triggering a larger conflict.
  3. The narrative in Western media portrays Russia as the sole aggressor, ignoring the complexities of NATO's role. This can limit discussions on diplomatic solutions and foster more hostility.

Ukraine's Audacity

Diane Francis • 1338 implied HN points • 12 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Military conflict International relations Sovereignty Diplomacy
  1. Ukraine has launched a bold military operation by invading Russia with support from Western countries. Their goal was to show off their military strength and lower Russian morale.
  2. During the invasion, the Ukrainian army faced minimal resistance, with Russian guards fleeing and leaving their posts. This success showcased Ukraine's effective tactics.
  3. The U.S. responded positively to Ukraine's actions, reinforcing its support with additional military aid and confirming that this invasion wasn't seen as an escalation of the conflict.

Ukrainians Are Sick of the War. But We’re Not Allowed to Say It.

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 2202 implied HN points • 09 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Conflict International relations Geopolitics War Public Opinion
  1. Many Ukrainians are growing tired of the ongoing war, but fear speaking up due to pressure to show loyalty. This can lead to feeling isolated and worried about being labeled a traitor.
  2. In the beginning of the conflict, there was a strong sense of unity and bravery among Ukrainians, with many willing to help each other despite the chaos.
  3. As time passed, the initial triumph over Russian forces faded, and some leaders began to prioritize public image over the well-being of people, shifting focus away from a potential peace.

Trump And Israel Can't Wait To Start Bombing Iran

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 1802 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Military Action Government Geopolitics Public Opinion
  1. Israel and Trump's administration seem eager to attack Iran now that Syria's air defenses are out of the way. This could lead to airstrikes aimed at stopping Iran from developing nuclear weapons, despite lack of evidence for such activities.
  2. There's a belief that many political movements can be fake and serve to maintain the current power structures instead of creating real change. This suggests that people's frustrations are often redirected back into the system rather than helping them fight against it.
  3. The extreme wealth of billionaires is often seen as irrational. Instead of acting for the common good, their wealth accumulation is driven by personal issues and inner pain, harming society in the process.

The World of Graphite

Intercalation Station • 139 implied HN points • 16 Oct 24
🕹 Technology Materials science Energy Storage Supply Chain Geopolitics Sustainability
  1. Graphite is a key material for batteries, especially in electric vehicles, and there's been a shift from natural to synthetic graphite due to supply risks.
  2. China dominates the graphite supply, which creates concerns about over-reliance and geopolitical tensions, leading to increased global interest in local production.
  3. Synthetic graphite can be made from waste materials and has the potential to reduce environmental impacts if produced using renewable energy sources.

Netanyahu Hilariously Claims Israel Doesn't Seek To Intervene In Syria's Affairs

Caitlin’s Newsletter • 2039 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics Middle East International relations Conflict Regime Change Geopolitics
  1. Israel has been heavily involved in Syria, claiming it won't interfere while bombing the country and occupying parts of it. This seems contradictory and raises eyebrows.
  2. Syria is now opening up its economy, which could lead to outside influences taking advantage of its situation. This is often called disaster capitalism.
  3. There's a lot of anger towards wealthy elites as economic inequality rises. This could lead to serious social unrest if people feel they have no other options for change.

Misreading the Room

Doomberg • 6365 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🌍 World Politics International relations Geopolitics Energy Policy Latin America Authoritarianism
  1. Venezuela used to be one of the world's top oil producers but has seen its production decline by over 80% due to mismanagement and political issues. This has made the country really poor compared to its past.
  2. Maduro, the current president, has taken provocative actions as his power weakens, including making bold statements about 'liberating' Puerto Rico with military help.
  3. Venezuela has huge oil reserves and could be an important energy supply for the U.S., creating a potential interest in the country from U.S. leaders.

The American Empire is Losing Money in Europe. Will It Abandon Europe?

Glenn’s Substack • 859 implied HN points • 23 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics International relations Economics Political Economy Security Studies
  1. Europe is struggling because it is not adapting to the new multipolar world. Instead of building ties with other major economies, it is relying heavily on the U.S., which makes it weaker.
  2. Countries around the world are trying to diversify their economic connections to avoid too much dependence on a single superpower. Europe, on the other hand, is falling behind by sticking closely to U.S. interests.
  3. As the U.S. shifts its focus to Asia, Europe risks losing its political and economic relevance. If Europe doesn’t change its approach, it might find itself increasingly sidelined.

You're not going to like what comes after Pax Americana

Noahpinion • 55706 implied HN points • 07 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics Global order
  1. The global order is experiencing increased conflict and instability following the decline of Pax Americana.
  2. Recent events like the Hamas attack on Israel and the ethnic cleansing in Nagorno-Karabakh demonstrate the shifting power dynamics and challenges to peace.
  3. The rise of a multipolar world with new power players like China is ushering in a more chaotic international landscape.

Putin's Sudan

Diane Francis • 899 implied HN points • 19 Aug 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict Studies Geopolitics Humanitarian Issues Foreign Policy
  1. Sudan is currently experiencing a brutal civil war that has caused many civilian deaths and destruction, especially in its capital, Khartoum.
  2. Media attention has mostly focused on other conflicts, like the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, which means Sudan's crisis is often overlooked.
  3. Russia, under Putin, is involved in Sudan by providing mercenaries and exploiting its resources, worsening the humanitarian situation.