The hottest Political trends Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top World Politics Topics

WEEKLY BRIEFLY NOTED: For 2024-11-27 We

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 115 implied HN points • 27 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Economic Policy Political trends Political Economy Social Issues
  1. Zero-sum thinking is on the rise, where people believe that economic growth takes away from someone else instead of benefiting everyone. This mindset can lead to less motivation and lower innovation in society.
  2. The belief that changes in the economy will harm individuals' existing benefits is a growing concern. Many people are starting to think that opportunities for advancement are limited.
  3. Recent predictions suggest that the U.S. economy could surprise us with better growth than expected. This positive outlook contrasts with the general fears of economic decline.

The good news is that the market thinks Trump is full of shit

Alex's Personal Blog • 197 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Voting Political trends Public Opinion
  1. There has been a noticeable shift in voting patterns, with Trump gaining support from younger and more diverse voters compared to previous elections.
  2. The stock market shows optimism for business growth under a Trump presidency, particularly in finance and tech, but there are concerns about his potential policies on tariffs and immigration.
  3. Many people fear negative impacts on social issues, international relations, and climate policy with Trump back in office, signaling uncertain times ahead.

sunday memepool: the red wave red pill

bad cattitude • 121 implied HN points • 17 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political trends Current Events Political Commentary Social Issues
  1. Change is a constant part of life, and it’s important to embrace it. Being open to new ideas can lead to growth and understanding.
  2. The last five years were marked by intense and sometimes overwhelming ideas. It shows how discussions and opinions can evolve and become more complex over time.
  3. Having a critical perspective on trends and ideas is valuable. It helps us navigate through confusion and make informed choices.

Does Liberal Democracy End Next Week?

The Weekly Dish • 165 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democracy Political trends Elections Political Philosophy Civil Rights
  1. Tribalism and extreme partisanship are growing problems in society. This can make it hard for people to connect and discuss differing opinions.
  2. Despite current challenges, there are signs that liberal democracy can endure. People still value freedoms and democracy, which is a positive sign.
  3. The future of liberal democracy is uncertain, but hope should not be lost. Engaging in conversations and understanding each other can help strengthen it.

Links to Consider, 11/14/2024

In My Tribe • 394 implied HN points • 14 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Inflation Political trends Social Issues
  1. Social issues are becoming more relaxed, and many activities that were once illegal are now accepted. This change shows a shift in American values, as old social norms are less effective.
  2. The recent elections showed that voters are focused on inflation, which influenced their choices. Many people felt dissatisfied with the Democratic candidates, especially Kamala Harris, leading to a shift towards Republicans.
  3. Traditional media like TV is losing younger audiences, while platforms like podcasts and social media are gaining popularity. This shift reflects a changing media landscape where people seek different ways to get their news.
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Browser's Castle

Malt Liquidity • 13 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political trends Media influence Online Discourse Social Commentary
  1. The online conversation is changing, with new voices breaking into mainstream topics like blogging and political discussions. It's now common to see unconventional ideas gaining traction.
  2. Many people are unaware of the depth of discussions happening in less conventional online spaces. This can lead to surprises as more mainstream individuals engage with different perspectives.
  3. The current political landscape is fluid, and those who can summarize and simplify complex ideas will shape future narratives. It's important for everyone to share their thoughts and engage in the conversation.

The Nadezhdin Phenomenon

Russian Dissent • 353 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24
🌍 World Politics Russian Politics Elections Opposition Political trends
  1. A new opposition candidate in Russia is gaining significant public attention and support, challenging the established political landscape.
  2. The emergence of Boris Nadezhdin as a popular presidential candidate reflects deeper political trends and divisions within the Russian government.
  3. Nadezhdin's campaign, focused on anti-war sentiments and democratic changes, is resonating with a growing number of Russian citizens, sparking civic activity and potentially impacting the legitimacy of upcoming elections.

I Don't Think Dan Le Batard Should Dump on Trump Voters

House of Strauss • 80 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Opinion Media Analysis Civic engagement Political trends
  1. Political discussions can get really intense because they affect people's lives. It's important to try to understand where others are coming from, even if you don't agree with them.
  2. Voting decisions are complicated and often involve many factors. People vote for candidates based on personal experiences and beliefs, not just political slogans.
  3. It's important to focus on connections with others and recognize their humanity, regardless of their political choices. Judging others harshly for their votes can create divides instead of understanding.

Election Update #12: Is the Democratic Enthusiasm Advantage Already Showing Up?

Phillips’s Newsletter • 83 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Turnout Political trends Polling Demographics
  1. Many people have already voted, showing a lot of early engagement. This trend is higher compared to most past elections, but still lower than during the pandemic in 2020.
  2. Women are leading in turnout, especially in key swing states. Their participation could play a big role in this election's outcome.
  3. The current election feels more like recent years (2022) than the previous presidential elections (2016, 2020). Polling predictions may not fully capture this shift in voter sentiment.

Democrats are hemorrhaging support with voters of color

Silver Bulletin • 507 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Demographics Polling Data Political trends Partisan dynamics
  1. Democrats are losing support with voters of color, particularly among working-class and younger individuals.
  2. Polls and election results are showing significant declines in support for Democrats among Black, Hispanic, and Asian American voters.
  3. The shift towards progressive policies and generational turnover may be contributing to the decline in support for Democrats among voters of color.

Election Update #11: The race hasn't "narrowed"

Phillips’s Newsletter • 80 implied HN points • 25 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Data Analysis Political trends Campaigns
  1. Trump's support may be increasing, or Harris is holding her lead steady. It's not clear which one is happening right now.
  2. Polls show that despite some recent changes, Harris's overall lead is still solid according to longer-term trends.
  3. Even though the numbers seem to be tightening, this election still has one of the most stable polling environments in US history.

Justin Trudeau is out. Even Canada has had enough.

Unreported Truths • 99 implied HN points • 06 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political trends Public Opinion Leadership Changes Elections Government Policies
  1. Justin Trudeau, the Prime Minister of Canada, is stepping down as his approval ratings have plummeted. Most Canadians are unhappy with his leadership.
  2. During the pandemic, Trudeau enforced strict lockdowns and vaccine mandates, which at first appeared popular. However, people's patience wore thin over time.
  3. Trudeau used controversial powers to break up protests against his rules, which led to backlash and ultimately contributed to his decline in support.

Post-Election Emergency Discount: 20% Off An Annual Subscription to PROOF

Proof • 17 implied HN points • 13 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Governance Voting Political trends
  1. You can get a 20% discount on an annual subscription to Proof, a popular politics newsletter. This offer is available until November 30, 2024.
  2. Proof provides over 425 exclusive reports focused on political issues, with more content added every week.
  3. The author of Proof is experienced in journalism, law, and has written bestsellers about politics, making this newsletter a credible source of information.

The incumbency advantage is disappearing. Maybe it's the algorithms' fault.

Silver Bulletin • 240 implied HN points • 07 Dec 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media bias Political trends
  1. The incumbency advantage in politics is fading, possibly due to algorithms and media influence.
  2. Historical data shows a shift in favorability towards incumbents in elections.
  3. The negativity in media coverage and algorithmic targeting may contribute to the unpopularity of incumbents across different countries.

Predicting the Future

The Cosmopolitan Globalist • 4 implied HN points • 02 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Forecasting Intelligence Psychology Cognition Political trends
  1. Predicting the future is hard because people often think they're better at it than they really are. Many make mistakes like being too confident or not paying attention to the facts.
  2. Some people, called superforecasters, are really good at making accurate predictions. They focus on facts, break problems into smaller parts, and keep track of their past predictions to learn from them.
  3. To improve predictions, it's important to express guesses as probabilities, look for different opinions, and stay open to changing your mind when new information comes in.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 27.12.2024

steigan.no • 5 implied HN points • 27 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Media Ethics Election Analysis Political trends International relations Health Policies
  1. Children in England are facing serious health issues due to junk food, leading to obesity and stunted growth. Experts warn that this unhealthy diet could have long-term impacts on their future health.
  2. Many families, especially those struggling financially, cannot afford healthy food, making them reliant on cheaper junk food options. This economic barrier exacerbates the problem of child obesity in the country.
  3. Recent military actions have escalated tensions in the Middle East, particularly with Israel's attacks on Yemen. Ye men leaders have vowed to respond in kind, which could lead to further conflict in the region.

All over but the shoutin'

Unreported Truths • 39 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Voting Political trends Candidates
  1. Free speech is very important, but we must respect the results of democratic elections, no matter who wins. It's vital for maintaining our democracy.
  2. There's currently no evidence of significant voting fraud, so we should trust the election process and accept the outcome calmly.
  3. A peaceful transfer of power is essential for democracy, and we should all encourage others to vote and participate in the election.

The Missing Theory of This Election Is “People Don’t Know Shit”

I Might Be Wrong • 9 implied HN points • 22 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Behavior Political trends Economic Policy Partisan Politics
  1. Voters often say they care about the economy, but many seem confused about how it's really affecting them. Even when things are getting better for some, others feel left behind.
  2. Despite claims of economic struggles, data shows that poor and middle-class wages have risen. People might be reacting based on their personal feelings instead of the overall statistics.
  3. The election results might suggest that people are responding to their frustrations rather than the real economic facts. Misunderstandings about economic conditions could lead to poor political decisions.

Possible Futures for American Democracy (2023-2040)

Think Future • 79 implied HN points • 13 Jul 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democracy Political trends Partisan dynamics Political parties Government Role
  1. Cassidy Steele Dale forecasts possible futures for American democracy from 2023-2040, helping us understand and prepare for what may come.
  2. Forecasting American democracy is based on major trends, scenario planning, and understanding critical variables such as voting, governance, freedoms, rights, and demographic shifts favoring Democrats.
  3. Trends over the past 40 years, responses to them, and party actions define the potential paths for American democracy, leading to either Democratic majorities reshaping the political landscape or GOP securing minority rule.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 23.12.2024

steigan.no • 3 implied HN points • 23 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political News Elections International relations Political trends
  1. Slovakia's Prime Minister Robert Fico met with Putin to secure cheap Russian gas. This move may upset other EU leaders as Slovakia tries to maintain energy ties despite European sanctions.
  2. In Germany, the political crisis is deepening as the AfD's candidate, Alice Weidel, leads in polls to become the next chancellor. This shift indicates rising support for right-wing politics in the country.
  3. In Romania, the government allegedly funded a fake TikTok campaign to discredit an election. This shows how misinformation can influence politics, raising concerns about election integrity.

Is This Our Future?

Some Unpleasant Arithmetic • 14 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Gender Issues Political trends Social Dynamics Cultural Commentary Public Policy
  1. There is a big gender gap in political views in South Korea, with young men leaning more conservative and young women supporting progressive causes. This divide is creating tensions between the two groups.
  2. Economic issues like high housing costs and job insecurity are worsening gender relations. Many men feel threatened by their experiences in the job market, leading to negative attitudes towards women.
  3. Women in South Korea are facing significant challenges, including sexual harassment and a strong societal expectation to prioritize family over career. This has pushed many to delay marriage and having children, contributing to low birth rates.

La politique de l’épuisement et l’épuisement de la politique.

Trying to Understand the World • 1 implied HN point • 25 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Political trends Political History Political culture Political Satire
  1. There are two main ways to interact with the past: one is to preserve and recreate it, while the other is to use it as inspiration to create something new. In modern society, the past is often exploited for political and financial gain.
  2. Today's politics often feels like a caricature, where real meaning and ideology are lost. Politicians focus more on getting attention rather than discussing significant issues, leading to extreme and superficial debates.
  3. Modern culture has become repetitive and disconnected from its roots, resulting in a shallow experience. This has affected how we create and appreciate art and culture, leading to a cycle of exhaustion and emptiness.

election 2020 / election 2022 / election 2024 / election 2040 . . .

the rohn report • 19 implied HN points • 06 Nov 20
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political History Political trends Bipartisanship
  1. Political leadership shifts in government are cyclical, with power moving back and forth between different parties over time.
  2. Human behavior can be influenced by our genetic makeup and evolutionary history, suggesting a balance of good and bad elements in our nature.
  3. Encouraging and supporting each other could be a promising alternative to the divisive nature of politics, fostering a more positive and collaborative society.

Thy Rod and Thy Staff

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 16 Feb 12
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legislation Congress Staffing Political trends Government
  1. There are over 30,000 people working in the legislative branch of the federal government. This number is small compared to the total of about 2.75 million employees in the executive branch.
  2. Members of Congress can hire their staff in various roles, but they have to follow certain rules and budget constraints. Each Representative can hire a maximum of 18 permanent staff members.
  3. In recent years, the number of staff working for congressional leadership has increased significantly, while the number of committee staff has actually decreased.

The Intense Focus on *White* Evangelicals Misses Where ‘The Action’ Is

Symbolic Capital(ism) • 0 implied HN points • 20 Dec 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Voting behavior Political trends
  1. Understanding electoral outcomes requires focusing on populations with growing influence or majorities, rather than shrinking or less significant groups.
  2. White evangelical voters have shown remarkable consistency in their voting behavior over the past two decades, making them less influential in explaining recent political outcomes.
  3. The decline of evangelical Christianity is occurring at a slower rate than other Christian denominations, with non-white evangelicals playing an increasingly prominent role in shaping political trends.

On anti-incumbency and partisan landslides

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 26 Sep 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Partisanship Voter Behavior Political trends
  1. It's important to separate anti-incumbency from partisan landslides when looking at elections. Mixing them up can make it harder to understand voter behavior.
  2. Anti-incumbency can be seen in polling, but it doesn't always lead to big changes in election outcomes. Voters often just move against one party rather than against incumbents overall.
  3. True anti-incumbency has specific signs, like many incumbents losing while the total number of party seats stays the same. This shows voters are rejecting their own party's members.

On Carpetbagging

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 06 Oct 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Congress Elections Representation Political trends Geography
  1. Many Senators are not born in the same state they represent. Historically, about 58% of them are from their state, but this has changed over time.
  2. Western expansion influenced where politicians were born, with more from the east initially moving to the western states. This has led to changing patterns of where politicians are from.
  3. Senators tend to have less local connection compared to House Representatives. This difference has narrowed since Senators started being elected by the public more often after 1914.

On legislative volume

Matt’s Five Points • 0 implied HN points • 12 Oct 11
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legislation Government Congress Political trends Policy Analysis
  1. Most laws in Congress are passed after October 1, with only about 16% being approved before that date. This shows that lawmakers need time to debate and finalize legislation.
  2. There is a clear link between the amount of legislation passed before and after October 1. More laws passed early often leads to more laws passed later, mainly because of the nature of the legislation being discussed.
  3. The 112th Congress didn't pass a huge number of laws, but its output before October 1 was similar to previous divided Congresses. This raises questions about what factors really influence legislative productivity.