The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

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WHAT WE DON'T KNOW ABOUT THE PRESIDENTS WE ELECT

Seymour Hersh • 83 implied HN points • 17 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Policy Presidency Political History Political Analysis
  1. Presidents can be surprising; it's hard to know if they will promote peace or conflict. Actions can differ from what they say during elections.
  2. Former presidents can influence current events, and new leaders may work together for peace despite their past differences.
  3. Historical examples show that popular figures may not always act in ways that align with their public personas. It's important to critically assess their actions.

Polls vs Early Voting: the real data is bullish for Trump

The Dossier • 391 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Voting Campaigns Media
  1. Polls can be misleading and don't always reflect the true situation. What's more important is the actual voter turnout.
  2. Republican voters are showing strong motivation and participation in early voting. This could be a good sign for Trump's campaign.
  3. The media often pushes narratives that may not align with the reality of voter enthusiasm. It's key to focus on the numbers rather than just headlines.

Will some Democrat Senators vote for RFK Jr?

Vinay Prasad's Observations and Thoughts • 107 implied HN points • 10 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Health Senate Political Reform
  1. Some Democrat Senators might support RFK Jr. because they believe he can bring about important changes, especially in food policies and health regulations.
  2. Concerns about infectious diseases like measles and polio are overshadowed by the more pressing issues of chronic diseases caused by poor diet and exposure to harmful substances.
  3. Partisan politics and groupthink may prevent more Democrats from supporting RFK Jr., even when they see the benefits he could provide in health and wellness.

Our First Trump 2.0 Test (and How to Pass It)

Nonzero Newsletter • 372 implied HN points • 15 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Public Opinion International relations Social Issues
  1. Many Republicans and Democrats change their views on election fairness based on whether their side wins. This shows how closely tied our beliefs are to our political outcomes.
  2. The Biden administration is still providing military aid to Israel even though they didn't meet certain requirements. This decision suggests a complex relationship between the U.S. and Israel, despite past expectations for accountability.
  3. Top AI companies are struggling to create more advanced models. There are concerns that they might be running out of high-quality training data, which could slow down progress in AI development.

Will Reform Kill the Tory Party?

Comment is Freed • 109 implied HN points • 05 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political parties Elections Political Analysis Leadership Public Opinion
  1. The current political landscape shows a lack of confidence in the Tory leader, Kemi Badenoch, with people even betting on Nigel Farage as a potential Prime Minister candidate. This reflects a growing dissatisfaction within the party.
  2. Reform Party has gained attention with some wins in local elections and defections from former Tory MPs, suggesting they may become a more serious competitor against the Tories.
  3. The Tory Party is facing increased pressure and vulnerability, especially among younger voters, making it possible for another party to challenge their position as the main party on the right.
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About my smashed shed

Jeff Giesea • 359 implied HN points • 15 Jul 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Political Reform Civic engagement Political violence
  1. Events happen that we can't control, like storms or trees falling, but how we react to them can make a difference. We can shape some outcomes by our actions.
  2. American democracy is fragile right now, much like a damaged shed. It needs rebuilding and improvement to feel secure again.
  3. Choosing to engage in democracy and work together for reforms is essential. It's up to us to strengthen the system for the future, especially for the next generation.

The People's Cabinet

Thinking about... • 680 implied HN points • 11 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Political parties Opposition Democracy
  1. A people's cabinet is a new idea for positive opposition to the current government. It's made up of elected officials who are responsible and can guide public opinion.
  2. The term 'shadow cabinet' doesn't resonate with Americans, so better names like 'people's cabinet' or 'alternative cabinet' should be considered. The name should reflect equality and a focus on serving the public.
  3. Creating a people's cabinet can provide a way to hold the government accountable. It can also offer new ideas and perspectives during times of political conflict.

Coping with Trump

Comment is Freed • 77 implied HN points • 14 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Diplomacy Governance Political parties
  1. Allies of the U.S. found it tough to deal with Trump during his first term, facing challenges in asserting their values against his right-wing stance.
  2. The relationship between Trump and leaders like Merkel showed a clash of confidence, with leaders trying to stand firm against his policies.
  3. Currently, due to changing global circumstances, allies are likely to take a less confrontational approach if Trump returns to power.

The Counter-Revolution Begins

The Upheaval • 899 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Revolution Elections Management Democracy Resistance
  1. This moment is a critical chance to change the political landscape and challenge current power structures. If this opportunity is missed, it might not come again for a long time.
  2. There's a strong desire for systemic reform and more democratic control over governance. This enthusiasm needs to be organized and directed to make real changes happen.
  3. Focus, organization, and discipline are essential moving forward. The team needs to be well-prepared to take quick action to fight back against entrenched opposition.

NEW POLL SHOWS MUSK EFFECT: AfD at new high, Free Democrats in collapse, Christian Democrats and Greens too weak for a coalition

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 134 implied HN points • 31 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Political parties Public Opinion Election interference
  1. A recent poll shows a rise in support for the AfD party in Germany, reaching a new high. This suggests shifts in political preferences among voters.
  2. The Free Democrats are experiencing a significant drop in support, indicating trouble for that party right now.
  3. The traditional parties like the Christian Democrats and Greens may struggle to form a coalition, as their support is too low.

Labour and the challenge of coherence

Comment is Freed • 81 implied HN points • 12 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Governance Public Policy Political parties Elections
  1. The Labour party is struggling to make progress in government, facing frustrations from both members and leadership. This has been made tougher by external challenges like fiscal issues and global tensions.
  2. Keir Starmer, the leader, prefers practical decision-making over deep philosophical discussions, but this can hinder a clear direction for governance. Without guiding principles, it's hard for his team to make confident decisions.
  3. There's a lot of activity within the government, but it lacks a coherent strategy. Different departments may have conflicting agendas, which can lead to confusion and ineffective use of resources.

NOTES FROM THE ROAD

TRANSFORM with Marianne Williamson • 3026 implied HN points • 02 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Elections Government Democracy Society
  1. The American people have a history of standing up and making things right when they realize the importance of a cause.
  2. The current economic situation in America is dire, but there is hope with a shift towards fair policies and economic justice.
  3. To address the challenges facing the country, it is essential for Americans to come together and make informed decisions about the future.

Keir Starmer needs to prepare for a world without America

Odds and Ends of History • 1206 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Climate Governance International relations Political parties Elections
  1. America's political situation is very unstable, and this could lead to problems for the rest of the world. If the U.S. struggles to maintain its role as a superpower, it could change global security and trade.
  2. Without strong American support, countries like Russia and China may act more aggressively. This could result in more conflict, especially in places like Taiwan and the South China Sea.
  3. Countries that share democratic values, like those in Europe, should work together more closely. For Britain, reconnecting with Europe may be necessary to ensure security and stability in an uncertain global environment.

How China-Bashing Fuels the Fentanyl Crisis

Nonzero Newsletter • 496 implied HN points • 22 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Drug policy Political Rhetoric Public Health Foreign Relations Elections
  1. Fentanyl is causing a huge problem in the U.S., killing more people than several wars combined. It affects many lives, from kids to adults, and costs the economy a lot of money.
  2. China used to be the main source of fentanyl in the U.S., but after 2019, their role changed. Now, Mexican drug cartels make the drug using chemicals from China.
  3. Politicians are blaming China to gain votes, but the reality is more complex. A better understanding of the crisis is needed to solve it, rather than just pointing fingers at another country.

Why Israel Won’t Take the Win

Nonzero Newsletter • 519 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Military Affairs Political strategy Elections International relations
  1. Israel has an opportunity to declare victory after the death of a key Hamas leader, which might allow for a ceasefire and de-escalation of conflict.
  2. The U.S. has sent troops and missile defense systems to Israel, but this support may encourage Israel to continue its aggressive actions rather than seek peace.
  3. There are concerns that U.S. military support for Israel could drag the U.S. into broader conflicts and worsen America's global reputation.

Where are the Realists Defending Trump?

Phillips’s Newsletter • 95 implied HN points • 11 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Governance Political theory International relations
  1. Great powers, especially nuclear ones, act to protect their interests. This means they are sensitive to threats near their borders.
  2. The idea of security and power is important in international relations, with all states seeking to ensure their safety, no matter their government type.
  3. Donald Trump is using language that aligns with realist views in foreign policy, particularly in how he frames issues related to Russia.

Democrats Are Still Getting Rolled by Their Interest Groups

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1462 implied HN points • 11 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Political strategy Labor relations
  1. Interest groups have a strong influence on the Democratic party, often guiding their decisions and actions.
  2. Political strategies focusing on character and rhetoric might overlook the importance of representing wider coalitions.
  3. Recent labor strikes, like the one involving longshoremen, highlight the challenges Democrats face when balancing interest group demands with broader voter concerns.

genghis trump

bad cattitude • 366 implied HN points • 26 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Politics Elections Governance Public Opinion Social Issues
  1. Pride and arrogance can lead to downfall, as shown by ancient Greek beliefs about nemesis. If people get too confident, they might face consequences.
  2. Many people see Trump as a force against an untrustworthy system. They believe he represents their frustration with the current state of politics.
  3. The political climate is shifting, and people are looking for change. There's a growing interest in whether new leadership can improve their situation.

Trump 47: Lessons from the First Term

The Reactionary • 56 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Administration Policies Executive orders
  1. Trump plans to start his new term strong by signing many executive orders quickly. This includes important actions like securing the southern border and restoring military members related to COVID-19 vaccine policies.
  2. Having experience from his first term will help Trump avoid chaos this time. He will have a better grasp of staffing, trust issues, and avoiding the turmoil seen in his initial presidency.
  3. A quick start is crucial because the positive momentum can be disrupted by opposition efforts that might arise, like conspiracy theories or impeachment attempts.

Top Links 543 French billionaires. CGT election panel. America's manufacturing disasters & plunging global fertility.

Chartbook • 371 implied HN points • 27 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Economy Elections Manufacturing Demographics Billionaires
  1. There are 543 billionaires in France, which shows a significant level of wealth concentration in the country. This number can spark discussions about wealth distribution and economic policies.
  2. America is facing major challenges in its manufacturing sector, leading to concerns about economic stability and job security. Understanding these issues can help us think about the future of work and industry.
  3. Global fertility rates are declining, which could have long-term effects on population growth and economic dynamics. This trend raises important questions about family planning and societal changes.

America 2.0: Taxation Without Representation

donaldjeffries • 1434 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Legislation Corruption Elections Representation
  1. The concept of term limits for politicians is important to prevent career politicians from holding office indefinitely.
  2. The legislative branch of government in the United States has historically ceded power to the judicial and executive branches.
  3. There is a call for more representation diversity in Congress to better serve the interests of the common people.

The Second Truth: The Unhealthy Aristocracizing of US Politics

Phillips’s Newsletter • 77 implied HN points • 16 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political corruption Government Elections Political parties
  1. US politics has become dominated by wealthy families, changing the purpose of political parties. This means parties are now more about personal gain than serving the public.
  2. Since the 1980s, there has been significant corruption and financial gain among political leaders, resulting in an unhealthy system.
  3. Past political dynasties, like the Adamses and Roosevelts, operated differently and were less about family legacy compared to recent political families.

It’s going to be A Week

Alex's Personal Blog • 65 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Executive orders Media influence
  1. Trump's inauguration brings many expected executive orders. These include controversial policies like a large deportation program and ending birthright citizenship.
  2. There's a prediction that Waymo will soon take the lead over Uber in rides in major cities, indicating a shift in the ride-sharing landscape.
  3. Trump's entry into the crypto space with his own 'shitcoins' raises concerns about regulation and market integrity in the cryptocurrency industry.

Sunday Strip: The Near is End

Who is Robert Malone • 57 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Policy Political parties Law
  1. Trump's actions and statements continue to generate strong feelings among the public. Many people are engaged in discussions about his influence on politics.
  2. There seems to be a struggle between maintaining a healthy lifestyle and the options available in restaurants, reflecting a larger challenge in urban living.
  3. The experience of watching something intriguing can make it hard to stop, which can lead to consuming more information than initially intended.

Dingus of the Year: JD Vance

Men Yell at Me • 660 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Satire Elections Social Issues Public Figures Political Commentary
  1. JD Vance has been declared the Dingus of the Year for 2024 due to his controversial actions and opinions.
  2. The 'undecided voter' was also highlighted as a Dingus, often seen as indifferent to pressing social issues.
  3. Despite the negativity, there were some positive developments in 2024, including a significant fundraising effort for abortion access and the legalization of same-sex marriage in Thailand.

Who Does Tucker Carlson Think He Is?

Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 2830 implied HN points • 12 Mar 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Podcasts Media Elections Conservatism
  1. Tucker Carlson is attempting to wield significant influence in the 2024 election through his show and actions.
  2. Peter Navarro raises concerns about Tucker Carlson's loyalty to Donald Trump and his focus on ratings over policy.
  3. Navarro suggests cutting ties with Fox News and seeking alternative conservative shows and podcasts.

Scrip, Apokálypsis, Ho'oponopono & High Strangeness

Dr. Pippa's Pen & Podcast • 53 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Government Policies Political theory
  1. The shift in power from Biden to Trump has significant implications, including a new way of fundraising through cryptocurrencies that could change political contributions.
  2. Trump's new currency strategy could allow him more control over funding without relying solely on Congress, as he builds his own financial resources.
  3. There is growing unrest among military operatives regarding secrecy around Unidentified Aerial Phenomena, indicating a possible shift in how classified information is managed and revealed.

Odds and Ends #48: The most important week of Labour government so far?

Odds and Ends of History • 737 implied HN points • 23 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Policy International relations News
  1. New Zealand's Parliament is unique and different from what you might expect. The atmosphere there is more relaxed and open to discussions.
  2. There's a discussion about a very significant week for the Labour government, suggesting it may have impacted its future direction strongly.
  3. A British tech company has reached unicorn status, showing that innovation and success are happening in the UK tech scene.

January 30, 2025

Letters from an American • 24 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Current Events Government Elections Public Safety Trump administration
  1. An American Airlines jet collided with a military helicopter over Washington, D.C., leading to a tragic crash with no survivors. It's a reminder of how quickly life can change.
  2. President Trump blamed others for the crash instead of taking responsibility, saying it was due to poor decisions made by previous administrations. This reflects his ongoing criticism of government regulations.
  3. The Trump administration has made significant changes to federal positions and safety protocols, with reports indicating that critical air traffic control operations were understaffed at the time of the accident.

Fani Willis is Disqualified

The Reactionary • 148 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legal issues Elections Judicial system Political Ethics Government Accountability
  1. Fani Willis, the Fulton County District Attorney, has been disqualified from the criminal case against Donald Trump. This means she and her office can no longer lead the prosecution.
  2. A judge noted serious concerns about fairness and honesty in how the prosecution was handled. It was found that there were problems with the relationships and testimonies of those involved in the case.
  3. The ruling from the Georgia Court of Appeals emphasized that the disqualification is needed to maintain public trust in the court proceedings. Without this action, the legitimacy of the prosecution was seen as compromised.

In latest effort to keep AfD out of government and save German democracy, ex-Stasi officer is appointed to a cabinet minister post in Thüringen

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 170 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Government Democracy Political History
  1. A new government in Thüringen called the 'blackberry coalition' was formed to keep the AfD party out of power. This coalition includes very different parties working together for a common goal.
  2. The appointment of Tilo Kummer, a former Stasi officer, as a cabinet minister is a notable change. This is the first time a person with such a background has held a government position in Germany.
  3. The political situation is tense, with many people raising concerns about the compromises made to prevent the AfD from ruling, even if it means working with parties they previously disagreed with.

Will Trump’s Election Unleash Bibi?

Nonzero Newsletter • 327 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Policy Middle East Political alliances Security
  1. Netanyahu is excited about Trump's re-election, hoping for a better relationship after past tensions. He believes this could strengthen the US-Israel alliance.
  2. There are concerns that Netanyahu might use Trump's win to escalate actions against Iran's nuclear program. Reports suggest he has plans for increased military action now that Trump is back in office.
  3. Israeli officials think Trump's administration will be more supportive than Biden's when it comes to military strategies, especially regarding Iran. They see a big difference in how each president handles Israel's goals.

the bonfire of media (and political) vanities

bad cattitude • 320 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political media Elections Political Campaigns Public Opinion Political Analysis
  1. Social media is changing how we view politics. People want to see candidates' real personalities rather than just scripted answers.
  2. Candidates like Kamala Harris are struggling to connect with voters because old political tactics are failing. In contrast, Trump’s casual and humorous approach is gaining attention.
  3. Voters are more interested in genuine discussions than traditional media formats. They want candidates to show their true selves and provide real answers.

Social and Emotional Patronage

The J. Burden Show • 1557 implied HN points • 11 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Social Issues Elections Governance Ideology
  1. Patronage in politics involves an exchange of power and support, seen throughout history with politicians granting gifts for votes.
  2. Social and Emotional Patronage explains why individuals support a regime for emotional and social status rewards, even if they don't see direct material benefits.
  3. The loyalty to a regime can be maintained through social and emotional rewards, rather than purely monetary gains, showcasing the power of status and belonging.

White House May Have Violated Presidential Records Act By Altering Biden’s “Garbage” Remark In Transcript

Michael Shellenberger • 1123 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Political Commentary Media Public Opinion
  1. The White House may have changed Biden's words in a transcript, which could break the Presidential Records Act. It looks like they tried to soft-pedal a remark he made about Trump supporters.
  2. Biden was caught on video saying that the 'only garbage' he sees is related to Trump's supporters, despite attempts to clarify it afterward. This has led to mixed messages from the White House and media.
  3. Past Democratic leaders, like Obama and Clinton, have also made negative comments about Trump voters, indicating a pattern of disdain within the party towards those who support the opposite side.