The hottest Lending Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics
CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 191 implied HN points • 26 Feb 26
  1. Single-family serious delinquency rates for Freddie and Fannie ticked up slightly in January (Freddie 0.60%, Fannie 0.59%) but remain very low and at or below pre-pandemic levels.
  2. Fannie Mae’s multi-family delinquency rate declined in the latest report but is still near the elevated levels seen during the housing bust.
  3. Serious delinquencies are concentrated in older bubble-era vintages (2004 and earlier, 2005–2008), while loans originated from 2009–2025 show much lower delinquency rates; the report also counts loans in forbearance as delinquent even though they aren’t sent to credit bureaus.
Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 333 implied HN points • 26 Jan 26
  1. A 10% cap on credit-card interest would push banks to play it safe and pull back, leaving many people without credit cards or access to credit.
  2. Bank leaders say such a cap would harm the economy and could trigger a recession, so they oppose it and won’t voluntarily comply without a law.
  3. Forcing or enforcing a rate cap could create big unintended harms that outweigh any short-term affordability gains for consumers.
QTR’s Fringe Finance • 35 implied HN points • 27 Feb 26
  1. Regional banks and private credit are fragile because they're heavily exposed to commercial real estate, subprime auto loans, and generous valuations on illiquid loans.
  2. Investors suddenly sold bank positions hard, indicating the market is finally recognizing those underlying credit weaknesses.
  3. Fresh macroeconomic data triggered the sell-off, showing that broader economic signals can quickly reveal credit stress and that the situation isn’t out of the woods.
Erdmann Housing Tracker • 105 implied HN points • 06 Feb 26
  1. Fixed-rate mortgages give borrowers predictable payments by shifting inflation/speculation risk onto the loan, which raises interest rates and makes mortgages more expensive.
  2. The Fixed Amortization/Adjustable Principal (FA/AP) is a floating-rate loan where you pay a fixed scheduled payment and the lender adjusts the principal each year to reconcile the difference with the market rate.
  3. FA/AP produces lower and more dependable starting payments (about 20% lower in the example) with only small annual payment changes, and backtests show it keeps debt-to-income from rising materially over the loan term.
Fintech Radar • 10 implied HN points • 01 Mar 26
  1. Stripe is exploring buying all or parts of PayPal — likely eyeing Braintree or Venmo — which would merge merchant infrastructure, consumer wallets, and crypto rails into a single payments powerhouse.
  2. Coinbase opened stock and ETF trading to all US users and teamed up with Yahoo Finance, letting people trade thousands of equities (and fund trades with USDC) so stocks and crypto live on one platform.
  3. Block cut about 4,000 jobs, betting that new AI capabilities can replace large swaths of work and turning the company into a much smaller, more automated organization — a move that could signal similar shifts across fintech.
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CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 19 implied HN points • 12 Feb 26
  1. Mortgage delinquencies rose in the fourth quarter of 2025 to a 4.26% rate, up about 27 basis points from the prior quarter and roughly 28 basis points year‑over‑year, while foreclosure starts held at 0.20%.
  2. Delinquencies increased across conventional, FHA, and VA loans, with FHA showing the biggest deterioration — about 11.52% delinquent and a notable jump in 90+ day delinquencies and foreclosure inventory.
  3. The rise appears linked to the expiration of pandemic-era FHA relief and uneven labor market conditions, and newer loan cohorts (2022–23) are struggling more than 2020–21 vintages, though improving FHA originations and moderating rates could help ease stress.
Erdmann Housing Tracker • 42 implied HN points • 22 Jan 26
  1. The conversation examines how mortgage lending standards have influenced the housing market.
  2. Shane Phillips from UCLA’s Lewis Center for Regional Policy Studies shares policy perspectives on lending and its effects.
  3. A full, one-hour interview is available online for anyone who wants a deeper look at these issues.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 71 implied HN points • 26 Dec 25
  1. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw single-family serious delinquency rates rise to about 0.58% in November, a small month-over-month and year-over-year increase but still below pre-pandemic highs.
  2. Delinquency is concentrated in older loan vintages: Fannie’s 2004-and-earlier and 2005–2008 loans have much higher serious delinquency rates, while loans from 2009–2025 show very low delinquency.
  3. Fannie Mae’s multi-family delinquency rate has climbed to its highest level since the housing bust (excluding the pandemic), signaling rising stress in the multi-family sector.
Fintech Business Weekly • 59 implied HN points • 14 Dec 25
  1. Pipe generated only $7.1M in revenue in 2024 while burning about $47M, pursued an ambitious Uber partnership and growth plan, then abruptly laid off roughly half its staff, leaving its strategy and runway in question.
  2. The OCC gave conditional national trust charters to five crypto-related firms (Paxos, Ripple, BitGo, Fidelity, and Circle’s bank), imposing detailed compliance conditions and drawing criticism from banking and state regulators about oversight and risks.
  3. Enova is acquiring Grasshopper Bank, which would give Enova a large deposit base to lower its funding costs and boost profitability for its subprime lending business, but the deal needs regulatory approvals and faces consumer advocacy scrutiny.
The Fintech Blueprint • 491 implied HN points • 19 Apr 23
  1. Apple has launched a Savings account with a 4.15% yield through Goldman Sachs, creating a disruptive financial product.
  2. Goldman Sachs plays a significant role in the product's distribution, benefiting from Apple's massive consumer base.
  3. Other big tech companies like Google, PayPal, and Ant Financial have also made inroads into financial services, showcasing a trend towards tech-powered banking.
The Transcript • 379 implied HN points • 30 Oct 23
  1. Consumers are spending through their excess savings accumulated during COVID
  2. Economic conditions are softening in several markets
  3. Higher rates are impacting larger ticket item purchases
DeFi Education • 399 implied HN points • 12 Jul 23
  1. GHO is a new stablecoin by Aave, aimed at competing with existing stablecoins like DAI. It will charge a lower borrowing fee of 1.5% compared to MakerDAO's 3.5%.
  2. Aave needs to create demand for GHO to be successful. Without incentives or market makers, people might not want to hold or use GHO.
  3. The security of GHO has issues, as some audits pointed out potential problems in the code. This raises concerns about how reliable it will be for users.
DeFi Education • 1079 implied HN points • 07 Apr 22
  1. Centrifuge connects real-world assets to blockchains. It helps digital assets become loans using real things like invoices.
  2. The main product, Tinlake, helps create lending markets based on tokenized assets. This makes it easier for businesses to get financing.
  3. Centrifuge is part of a growing trend to bring traditional finance and blockchain together. This could change how we think about loans and investments.
Fintech Business Weekly • 89 implied HN points • 03 Aug 25
  1. A major fraud scheme linked to the SBA 7(a) loan program involved a company called WaterStation, which is accused of running a Ponzi scheme and taking millions in loans that weren't properly secured.
  2. Lenders, including UniBank and Celtic Bank, allegedly knew or should have known about the fraudulent activities but continued to provide loans, causing severe financial harm to investors.
  3. The fallout from this fraud has led to numerous lawsuits, with victims struggling to repay loans for machines that mostly did not exist, highlighting serious issues in the oversight of loans by the SBA.
DeFi Education • 479 implied HN points • 05 Jan 23
  1. Genesis Global is a big player in the crypto world, dealing with trading, lending, and custody services.
  2. They have millions in trades and provide services mainly for big clients like institutions.
  3. The current situation suggests that they might be facing some tough challenges ahead.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 19 implied HN points • 08 Dec 25
  1. Falling mortgage rates triggered a surge in refinances, lifting servicer refinance retention to a 3.5‑year high and making rate‑and‑term refinances the dominant activity; non‑bank servicers retained far more borrowers than banks.
  2. Mortgage performance strengthened as national delinquencies fell to about 3.34%, well below pre‑pandemic levels, although FHA loans remain an outlier with higher non‑current rates.
  3. Home prices firmed modestly with the ICE Home Price Index up 0.8% year‑over‑year in November, but gains are uneven — the Northeast and Midwest lead, the South and West lag, and single‑family homes are outperforming condos.
DeFi Education • 839 implied HN points • 05 Apr 22
  1. Real World Assets (RWAs) have a huge potential market, which could greatly impact both crypto and traditional finance. It's a new area where the value of physical things can be brought onto the blockchain.
  2. DeFi protocols are strongly influenced by speculative behavior in crypto markets. When prices go up, there's more trading and borrowing, but when the market cools down, activity drops significantly.
  3. Challenges like legal issues and the need for standardized processes exist in the RWA space. However, if solved, RWAs could provide stable investment opportunities even during crypto market downturns.
The Last Bear Standing • 72 implied HN points • 22 May 25
  1. SoFi has changed from focusing on high-quality student loans to riskier personal loans and credit card consolidations. This shift has put the company in a tougher spot than before.
  2. The way SoFi accounts for its loans is unusual compared to other banks, which can create a false sense of financial strength. This method allows them to report higher earnings but exposes them to more risk.
  3. As a bank, SoFi must follow strict regulations that weren't a concern when they were just a tech company. If they don't manage their finances carefully, they could face serious consequences from regulators.
Rohit’s Newsletter • 98 implied HN points • 14 Sep 23
  1. Building financial products like credit cards or loans requires careful consideration of compliance regulations, risk models, operations, and funding models.
  2. Fintech infrastructure products can assist in building credit products, but integration can be complex due to a lack of standard setup.
  3. To effectively build a lending product, break it down into steps like acquisition, underwriting, origination, funding, and servicing.
DeFi Education • 459 implied HN points • 29 Mar 22
  1. Aave is a platform where you can borrow and lend money safely. It lets users earn interest on their funds.
  2. This post provides updates on various DeFi protocols like Alchemix, Dopex, and Yearn that have been researched before.
  3. It is part of a series that aims to keep subscribers informed about the latest changes in DeFi projects.
Concoda • 356 implied HN points • 25 Jun 23
  1. Money markets are markets for lending and borrowing money efficiently
  2. Dealers borrow cash using repo and lend it out in reverse repo to earn a profit from the spread
  3. Understanding money market rates is key to navigating financial articles and terminology
Fintech Business Weekly • 104 implied HN points • 27 Oct 24
  1. Goldman Sachs and Apple have to pay nearly $90 million due to issues with how they handled customer complaints about the Apple Card. They didn't follow the rules about resolving billing errors and misleading customers about financing options.
  2. The final open banking rule is now in place, but it faces a legal challenge from big banks who argue it could increase fraud and harm consumer data safety. This rule aims to give consumers more control over their financial data.
  3. SoLo Funds, a peer-to-peer lending service, is facing a lawsuit for allegedly misleading customers about loan costs. The company has been criticized for operating without the necessary licenses and using confusing practices.
Turnaround • 494 implied HN points • 05 Oct 20
  1. OCEN is a new credit infrastructure that could revolutionize lending in a way similar to how UPI transformed payments.
  2. It is a protocol, not a switch, and its potential lies in the consumer products that can be built on top of it.
  3. OCEN aims to address India's credit distribution problems by making access to credit easier for the Next Billion Users and SMEs, potentially reducing the concentration of capital.