The hottest Political Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top U.S. Politics Topics

Chris Hedges on MOATS: Catastrophe for the Palestinians and the Region

The Chris Hedges Report • 137 implied HN points • 22 Dec 24
🌍 World Politics International relations Conflict Studies Middle East Human Rights Political Analysis
  1. The situation for the Palestinians is dire, leading to increased suffering and instability in the region.
  2. There are significant consequences for neighboring countries as the conflict escalates, potentially affecting their security and politics.
  3. Understanding this issue requires recognizing the historical context and ongoing impact on people's lives in the affected areas.

Stories We Tell Each Other.

Trying to Understand the World • 7 implied HN points • 12 Feb 25
💾 History Narrative Political Analysis
  1. History is full of unexpected twists and turns. Small decisions can change everything, and what seems inevitable often wasn't.
  2. Different perspectives shape how we understand events. The media often focuses on flashy stories rather than the complex, underlying issues.
  3. Writing about history or events isn't neutral. Every writer picks what to include and how to frame it, which influences how people interpret the past.

The Dumb Luck Of Donald Trump

The Weekly Dish • 144 implied HN points • 13 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Public Opinion Foreign Policy Presidential politics
  1. Russia's economy is suffering a lot right now, which could lead to a better situation for Ukraine.
  2. There is a conversation happening about how to negotiate a more favorable deal for Ukraine during this crisis.
  3. Donald Trump's actions might be seen as fortunate for some political strategies, despite the complicated circumstances.

the bonfire of media (and political) vanities

bad cattitude • 320 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political media Elections Political Campaigns Public Opinion Political Analysis
  1. Social media is changing how we view politics. People want to see candidates' real personalities rather than just scripted answers.
  2. Candidates like Kamala Harris are struggling to connect with voters because old political tactics are failing. In contrast, Trump’s casual and humorous approach is gaining attention.
  3. Voters are more interested in genuine discussions than traditional media formats. They want candidates to show their true selves and provide real answers.

"The Moment That Defined 2024"?

Michael Tracey • 145 implied HN points • 23 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Events Elections Public Opinion Media Coverage Political Analysis
  1. Gavin Newsom defended Joe Biden's ability to control nuclear codes at age 86, highlighting concerns about the practicality of such power in old age.
  2. The attempted assassination of Trump was dramatic but may not have a big impact on politics; it feels more random than ideologically driven.
  3. Biden's withdrawal from a certain situation stands out in 2024 as a significant moment that reflects the unique challenges of today's political climate.
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Samuel Charap's "Peace" Plan for Putin

Phillips’s Newsletter • 126 implied HN points • 28 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Making Foreign Relations Political Analysis Conflict resolution
  1. Samuel Charap's peace plan favors Russia and doesn't meet Ukraine's main goals. This makes it controversial and not well-received.
  2. Many people who opposed arming Ukraine have been influential in shaping U.S. policy, even though their views are now seen as harmful.
  3. Access to important decision-makers in Washington is key for getting ideas heard, and Charap has had that access despite his past positions against supporting Ukraine.

Dictator on Day One

The Cosmopolitan Globalist • 31 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Authoritarianism Government Policies Elections Political Commentary
  1. Many people are shocked by the actions of leaders, even if they expected bad things to happen. It's hard to believe that things could get so extreme.
  2. There's a growing concern that violence and authoritarian behavior are becoming normalized in society. People are starting to feel fear over expressing opposition.
  3. Changes in government policies, like how refugees and health organizations are treated, reflect a troubling shift away from compassion and global cooperation.

The Audit: 2024

Comment is Freed • 132 implied HN points • 21 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Campaign Strategy Public Policy
  1. It's important to review past predictions to see what worked and what didn't. This practice helps improve future insights and keeps one accountable.
  2. Analyzing elections at a detailed level, like looking at specific councils or seats, can provide more accurate predictions. This method shows the need to understand local issues better.
  3. Finding positive trends in difficult situations can be tough but necessary. It's good to challenge a negative mindset and look for hope in the community.

A Parade of Horribles

Can We Still Govern? • 263 implied HN points • 13 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Election Strategy Domestic Policy
  1. Trump's Cabinet picks have sparked concern. Some choices, like Marco Rubio for Secretary of State, seem okay, but many lack relevant experience.
  2. Kristi Noem, picked for Homeland Security, has limited understanding of national security. Her past actions raise doubts about her judgment and qualifications.
  3. Pete Hegseth, chosen as Secretary of Defense, is controversial due to his extremist views and previous military disqualification. His loyalty to Trump could shape military decisions in troubling ways.

In which insane German delusions about the near-certainty of a Harris presidency are dashed on the rocks of Trump's decisive victory

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 322 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Political Analysis Campaigns Public Opinion
  1. Donald Trump won the election by a large margin, securing more votes and sweeping key states. This shows a significant shift in voter support compared to previous elections.
  2. Media coverage leading up to the election was heavily biased and failed to accurately predict the outcome. Many people were misled by false narratives about the competitiveness of the race.
  3. The reaction from German officials and media after the election reveals their misunderstanding of American politics. They underestimated Trump's chances and overestimated Harris's appeal.

The Trump Bubble

Not Boring by Packy McCormick • 234 implied HN points • 13 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Government Policies Public Opinion Political Analysis
  1. There's a belief that we are in a 'Trump Bubble,' where excitement about new ideas and change can lead to real progress. This excitement can attract investment and resources into innovative projects.
  2. Bubbles can actually be good for innovation. When people think the future will be different and better, it encourages risk-taking and investment in new technologies.
  3. The current political environment is making people feel they can influence government policies. This sense of involvement can lead to better collaboration between the government and innovators.

Ask us your questions

Comment is Freed • 21 implied HN points • 04 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Current Events Public Policy International relations Political Commentary
  1. New subscribers are welcomed and encouraged to ask questions about any topics discussed. It's a great way to engage with the content.
  2. Recent topics covered include British politics, U.S. issues, and the situation in Ukraine, highlighting specific challenges and events.
  3. Subscribers can choose to submit their questions either publicly in the comments or anonymously via email for a response later.

Ignore the exit polls

The Dossier • 282 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Voting Polls Political Analysis
  1. Exit polls are often misleading and can manipulate how voters feel. They are not reliable indicators of actual election outcomes.
  2. These polls can create fear or doubt among voters, affecting their decisions at the polls. It’s important to stay confident and ignore this noise.
  3. Instead of relying on exit polls, focus on voting and trust that your voice matters. The real results will be clear when the polls close.

Corporate media is catching up: Trump is weak, economy is strong

The Signorile Report • 1418 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Election Media Economy Republican party Political Analysis
  1. Corporate media is acknowledging Trump's weakness and the strong economy in contrast to earlier narratives.
  2. Trump's representation as an incumbent, not a newcomer, is highlighted by media reports which could impact the 2024 election.
  3. Beltway reporters are recognizing positive feelings about the economy and how it could influence the election narrative.

Safe Bets, Lotto Tickets, and Vibes

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 1097 implied HN points • 08 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaigns Political Analysis Prediction Markets Betting
  1. Prediction markets help people place bets on political outcomes, including election results. It's a way to predict what might happen based on the money people are willing to gamble.
  2. There are different types of bets: safe bets on likely outcomes, long-shot bets on unlikely events, and those based on gut feelings or 'vibes.' Each type can be a strategy for making money in these markets.
  3. Overall, despite the uncertainty in politics, the belief is that democracy will continue to function and elections will still be certified. Even in the face of chaos, the systems in place are expected to hold.

Why Does Donald Trump Keep Happening?

The Ruffian • 270 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Voting behavior Political trends Party Dynamics
  1. Donald Trump keeps winning elections because he connects with a lot of people's feelings and fears. Many voters feel forgotten, and he makes them feel heard.
  2. The Democratic Party may be losing support because they struggle to relate to everyday issues that concern regular folks. They need to communicate better with their base.
  3. Looking ahead, it's important for all parties to listen more and understand what people really want. Engaging with the community can help rebuild trust and support.

What I got wrong in 2024

Michael Tracey • 96 implied HN points • 30 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Elections Policy Political parties Public Opinion
  1. The author believed Trump would choose a VP who projects stability to appeal to wealthy suburban voters but was surprised when he picked JD Vance instead. Vance's loyalty to Trump mattered more than traditional coalition strategies.
  2. In 2016, Trump's choice of Mike Pence helped solidify support from skeptical Christian Conservatives. This time, Trump no longer needed that reassurance from the same group.
  3. The idea was that Trump's VP pick would need to attract moderates who were put off by his style, but it turns out Vance was chosen for loyalty over such broader political strategies.

January 25, 2025

Letters from an American • 25 implied HN points • 26 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Government Political Analysis Political parties
  1. Pete Hegseth, a former Fox News host with questionable background, has become the Secretary of Defense. His confirmation shows how politics may override qualifications in important government roles.
  2. Trump's actions of firing multiple inspectors general raise legal concerns. These watchdogs help keep departments accountable, and their removal could signify a dangerous trend in political power use.
  3. A recent poll indicates that many people, even some Republicans, think relying on billionaires for advice is bad. This suggests that concerns about class influence in politics are becoming relevant again.

Why Did Trump Win?

Vinay Prasad's Observations and Thoughts • 272 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voter Behavior Political Analysis Public Policy Campaign Strategy
  1. Trump won because different voters had different reasons for supporting him. Issues like immigration and inflation resonated with many.
  2. His clear stances on controversial topics, like abortion and transgender issues, attracted some voters who felt more represented by him.
  3. Trump's personality and media presence helped him gain a following, while perceptions about his opponent's weaknesses were also influential.

Juggling for High Stakes, Nate Silver Expertly Keeps All the Balls in the Air

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 253 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political Analysis Demographics Campaign strategies
  1. Nate Silver analyzes the 2024 presidential polls by juggling different polls and what they say about the voters. He's trying to figure out whether the surprising results are due to model errors or actual changes in voter behavior.
  2. He believes that some pollsters may be hesitant to share results that seem too far from expected outcomes, leading to overly tight poll results. This herding effect makes it hard to know what's really going on in the electorate.
  3. Silver highlights the conflict between different polls, like Selzer's showing a lead for Harris in Iowa and Siena's favoring Trump in Arizona. If both polls are correct, it could suggest big shifts in voter preferences since past elections.

WEEKLY BRIEFLY NOTED: For 2024-12-24 Tu

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 84 implied HN points • 24 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Government Policy Election insights Public Opinion Current Events
  1. Consumers' expectations can shift based on political events, and that's something to pay attention to in economic forecasts.
  2. The rise of women's empowerment in writing and being heard was slow, but significant changes started around the year 1800.
  3. The distribution of goods in the Roman Empire heavily favored the Mediterranean, showing its central role in trade and economy.

Handicapping the Trump-DeSantis Faceoff

Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 2024 implied HN points • 24 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Policies Campaign Strategy Political Analysis
  1. DeSantis may try to claim Trump can't win by showing misleading polls in key battleground states.
  2. Trump might urge supporters to move to more MAGA-friendly media outlets like Newsmax and Real America's Voice.
  3. DeSantis may position himself as an anti-lockdown, anti-vaccine mandate candidate to try to split Trump's base.

Post Out of Order

David Friedman’s Substack • 251 implied HN points • 09 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political Analysis Party Dynamics Local Politics
  1. The author usually posts every three days but chose to share something out of the usual schedule. It's okay to mix things up sometimes!
  2. A specific news story showed surprising voting trends in New York neighborhoods, especially regarding Trump. It suggests that Democrats may need to rethink their strategies.
  3. The author humorously implies that New York Democrats should seek advice from Chicago to better understand voter turnout. It's a playful way to highlight unexpected election results.

Why is America "Trumpomuskovia"?

Thinking about... • 603 implied HN points • 09 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Elections Oligarchy Authoritarianism Governance
  1. America is becoming like a new regime called 'Trumpomuskovia,' which highlights how the country's leadership is increasingly unstable and personal, mainly focusing on figures like Trump and Musk.
  2. The term connects to Russia and suggests that the U.S. is influenced by oligarchs, reflecting a shift where money and personal power outweigh democratic processes.
  3. This new system is unstable, meaning it could collapse easily. The relationships between powerful figures like Trump and Musk could change quickly, leading to unpredictable outcomes.

Niccolo on Patrick Casey's Restoring Order: Syria and the Fall of the Assad Regime

Fisted by Foucault • 75 implied HN points • 23 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Middle East Political Analysis Geopolitics
  1. The discussion focuses on the recent events in Syria, specifically looking at the fall of the Assad regime and the roles of various players like Iran and Russia. It's important to understand who gained and who lost from this situation.
  2. The conversation also covers the concept of 'wishcasting' and the idea that the U.S. is unlikely to repeat previous military actions like in Iraq. This highlights changing perspectives on American intervention.
  3. The speaker is experimenting with audio content for their platform, planning to create short historical episodes. This shows a shift towards exploring history in a new, engaging format.

Once More Telling People That They Should Take Nate Silver for Their Guru on Questions in His Lane

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 222 implied HN points • 27 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Public Opinion Political Analysis Media influence
  1. Nate Silver is really good at understanding statistics and probabilities, so it's smart to listen to him when it comes to polls and predictions about elections.
  2. Billionaires don't know more about elections than anyone else; they often act based on their own interests and fears, not on secret insights.
  3. When looking at elections, focus on the polls instead of billionaires' actions. Polls can give us a clearer picture of what might happen, even if they're not perfect.

Why You Should Ignore All the Polls

The Ruffian • 227 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Campaigns Political Analysis Voter Behavior
  1. Polls don't really tell you what you need to know about elections. They can be misleading and don't account for many factors.
  2. When you feel tempted to constantly check election updates, try doing something else instead. Activities like walking or listening to music can make you feel better.
  3. No matter how informed you think you are, you can't predict the outcome of elections. It's better to accept uncertainty than stress about it.

A beautiful gilded cage

Men Yell at Me • 738 implied HN points • 23 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Public Figures Media Critique Cultural Commentary Gender Politics
  1. Melania Trump's autobiography seems to focus on her life as a victim of the media and not her husband's actions. She avoids discussing serious issues connected to his presidency.
  2. Her book portrays a life of privilege while ignoring the realities that come with it. Melania seems content to stay in her 'gilded cage,' benefiting from her situation.
  3. The idea that Melania and other white women voters are just victims of their circumstances is too simplistic. Many choose to support Trump because it aligns with their own interests.

The End of Work and the Future of Civilization?

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 11 implied HN points • 30 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Social Issues Labor Market Technology impact Political Analysis Civic engagement
  1. Artificial Intelligence is rapidly advancing, and it could soon take over many jobs, including professional and manual labor. This change might happen within just a few years.
  2. A lot of people are stuck in their views and find it hard to see other perspectives. This makes it tough to have open conversations about political and social issues.
  3. The impact of automation could lead to millions losing their jobs in the near future. The shift might create more unemployment than new job opportunities in some sectors.

High Crimes

KERFUFFLE • 97 implied HN points • 03 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Current Events Legal issues Public Opinion Government
  1. Hunter Biden's pardon by President Biden raises concerns about hypocrisy. Many are focusing more on the apparent double standards rather than the serious implications behind the decision.
  2. Some believe the pardon reflects a father's love for his son. However, critics argue that it overlooks significant issues regarding foreign influence and possible misconduct.
  3. The media coverage seems to downplay the more troublesome aspects of Hunter's actions. Key issues like foreign business dealings are not being adequately addressed in discussions about the pardon.

Four big US election takes: Yes, it was the woke stuff.

Odds and Ends of History • 603 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Public Opinion Political Analysis Campaign strategies
  1. The concept of 'woke' issues played a role in the recent election outcomes. Many believe that focusing too much on these topics hurt certain candidates.
  2. There are key Democratic figures to watch. Their actions will show if the party is really ready to make changes and address its challenges.
  3. Polling data has been accurate again, suggesting it’s important to listen to what voters are saying instead of dismissing their concerns.

Best of "Can We Still Govern?" in 2024: Readers Picks

Can We Still Govern? • 63 implied HN points • 23 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Public Policy Elections Political Analysis Identity politics Government Structure
  1. The 2024 presidential election brought a lot of focus on identity politics and its impact on candidates' success.
  2. There are growing concerns about the potential risks of political changes affecting government stability and operations.
  3. Cuts to government programs are often oversimplified and can harm valuable services that people rely on.

Nyhetsbrev steigan.no 19.02.2025

steigan.no • 5 implied HN points • 19 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Diplomacy Conflict resolution Political Analysis International relations
  1. There's a big shift in US-Russia relations where both sides are talking about normalizing diplomatic ties and ending the war in Ukraine. This could change many global dynamics.
  2. European countries seem confused and troubled by the US-Russia talks. They feel left out and worry about how this will affect their own positions.
  3. A recent study shows that organic farming is better for the environment and soil health than conventional methods. It highlights the benefits of organic practices in reducing emissions and improving biodiversity.

Friday Funnies: While Rome Burns,

Who is Robert Malone • 38 implied HN points • 10 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Current Events Public Policy Social Issues Political Commentary
  1. Wealthy millennials are leaving California more than any other state. This shows that many people are looking for better opportunities elsewhere.
  2. Los Angeles is facing significant challenges, and some experts are providing strong analyses of this situation. It's important to stay informed about local politics and developments.
  3. There are interesting nostalgic stories and visuals shared that transport viewers back to old times in places like Ireland. It highlights how much history and culture can be captured and appreciated.

Biden's parting Ukrainian sacrifice

Aaron Mate • 139 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy Military Actions Political Analysis International relations Crisis response
  1. The US is allowing long-range strikes into Russia, and the UK is supporting this decision. This could escalate tensions in the region.
  2. Ukraine seems to be caught in the middle of these decisions, often paying the highest price. It highlights the cost of being involved in global conflicts.
  3. Biden's administration appears to be making bold choices as it wraps up its term, which raises concerns about the implications for Ukraine's future.

Regrets, I have a few

Unpopular Front • 87 implied HN points • 26 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Elections Public Opinion Media Criticism Democratic Party
  1. It's important to be a leader and voice your opinions instead of just following the crowd, especially when you see issues that need addressing.
  2. Believing in the current political leadership can lead to complacency, and it's crucial to remain critical and aware of the system's flaws.
  3. Having the courage to make bold predictions and criticisms, even if they go against the grain, is necessary for true progress and understanding.

The E_ection Special

Soaring Twenties • 170 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Analysis Political culture Partisanship Political Commentary
  1. Election season brings a lot of noise and chaos online. It's easy to feel overwhelmed by political talk and negative content.
  2. This writing aims to provide a break from the stressful election narratives. It encourages creativity and humor to lighten the mood.
  3. There are diverse essays and fictional pieces that tackle election themes in fun and unique ways. This makes political discussions more enjoyable and less serious.

Trump Whispering and Ukraine

Phillips’s Newsletter • 86 implied HN points • 11 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Analysis Election Dynamics Foreign Policy Public Opinion Media influence
  1. People are too hopeful about Trump’s new ideas on Ukraine. It's based more on wishes than what he actually says.
  2. We should pay attention to Trump’s actual statements about Ukraine to understand his real thoughts. His words now are not much different from what he said before the election.
  3. Some recent comments from Trump on Ukraine might be more serious than people think. It's important to really look at what he means.