Philoinvestor

Philoinvestor Substack explores the mindset of a business owner and long-term investor, focusing on global economic trends, stock market analyses, and investment strategies. It covers company-specific insights, market dynamics, geopolitical impacts on economies, and personal investment philosophies, alongside discussions on achieving success and balance in investing and life.

Stock Market Analysis Investment Strategies Global Economic Trends Company Insights Geopolitical Impact Investor Mindset Market Dynamics Personal Development Long-term Investing Economic Policies

The hottest Substack posts of Philoinvestor

And their main takeaways

STAY VIGILANT.

176 implied HN points • 23 Dec 23
💰 Finance Investment Personal Finance Health Focus
  1. Focus on self-care and quality of life over just pursuing success.
  2. Reduce distractions like excessive internet use to improve focus and engagement.
  3. Structure markets around your life for better career results and quality of life.
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True Zen Never Stops.

137 implied HN points • 07 Dec 23
📖 Philosophy Adversity Persistence Patience
  1. Embarking on the path to self-actualization is a lifelong task.
  2. Keep striving as if you are never there, for 'there' does not exist.
  3. Develop tools like focus, mental fortitude, self-determination, and persistence to help you reach greater heights.

Bad Companies & Value Traps

157 implied HN points • 05 Nov 23
💰 Finance Investing Competitive Analysis
  1. Make sure you invest in actual businesses and not just options or bets.
  2. Watch out for changes in a company's business model and the competitive environment.
  3. Pay attention to management quality and their alignment with shareholders.

War in the Middle East.

157 implied HN points • 07 Oct 23
🌍 World Politics Middle East Conflict Global Influence International relations
  1. Palestinian militants crossing into Israel led to conflict escalation with rockets launched from Gaza.
  2. Internal political issues and criticism from allies like the US are creating challenges for Israel's coalition government and its policies.
  3. Regional dynamics, like China's involvement in Middle East affairs, suggest a shift in power dynamics and alliances.

Becoming a Master-Investor

137 implied HN points • 06 Oct 23
💰 Finance Investing
  1. Learn continuously and improve by combining knowledge and experience.
  2. Simplify your approach and focus on constant improvement.
  3. Develop patience, emotional control, and adaptability in the investing journey.

Announcing Breakout by Philo.

58 implied HN points • 23 Dec 23
💰 Finance Markets Trades Analysis Subscription
  1. Breakout by Philo is a new sub-newsletter analyzing markets and trade setups from a technical perspective.
  2. The goal of Breakout is to listen to markets intelligently without predicting outcomes.
  3. Breakout is included in the Philoinvestor subscription with no additional charge and comes with a 20% discount for the first year.

Dealing with randomness.

216 implied HN points • 23 Jul 23
📖 Philosophy Luck Success Belief Adaptation Self-development
  1. Luck plays a significant role in life, but one must also believe in making their own luck.
  2. Adapt, adjust, and remain flexible to overcome challenges and achieve success.
  3. The journey towards a goal is as important as the goal itself; challenges sculpt one's character and lead to personal growth.

Shadows & Traps

216 implied HN points • 25 Jun 23
📖 Philosophy Investing Reality
  1. Investors are often chained to shadows - like obsessions with market factors, analyst targets, and narratives.
  2. True investors break free from ideological chains, focusing on long-term business value over short-term noise.
  3. Great investing is like alchemy - balancing analytical skills with understanding the shadows that influence prices.

Is the Euro here to stay?

275 implied HN points • 09 Feb 23
  1. The Euro's future faces uncertainties due to rifts and debt crises within the EU.
  2. The EU may struggle to find common ground on key issues, leading to potential member exits.
  3. The structure of the Eurozone could face challenges, impacting economic growth and political dynamics.

Losing control of Africa.

137 implied HN points • 18 Aug 23
🌍 World Politics Africa China Turkey Russia France
  1. Africa has a complex history with colonial influences, resulting in challenges and inequalities.
  2. Decolonization in Africa has led to artificial states and ongoing struggles, with foreign powers often serving their own interests.
  3. Countries like China, Russia, and Turkey are increasing their influence in Africa, challenging traditional powers like France.

Peak American Empire

216 implied HN points • 25 Feb 23
🌍 World Politics Geopolitics International relations Global Economy
  1. The dominance of the US dollar is at risk due to changing global dynamics and potential shifts away from the Petrodollar Agreement.
  2. The US military's extensive expenditure is becoming unsustainable in the face of rising global competition and economic changes.
  3. The world is transitioning towards a multipolar order with increased conflict and alternative power structures, marking a decline in traditional American hegemony.

Megapost Part #3

98 implied HN points • 04 Jul 23
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Market Analysis Financial Strategy
  1. Megapost Part #3 on Philoinvestor website with updates on ASOS and investment insights.
  2. Philo shares insights on ASOS narrative versus reality, focusing on the company's financial moves and transformation strategy.
  3. ASOS strengthens balance sheet with new financing, equity raise, and shift to new commercial model for profitability.

This is a Netflix world, and we are all living in it. Part #1

58 implied HN points • 16 Sep 23
💼 Business Media Streaming Big Tech
  1. Netflix has seen significant gains while Legacy Media companies like Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, and Paramount have faced declines.
  2. Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) pivot has been challenging for Legacy Media companies due to lack of scale and high losses.
  3. Big Tech companies like Apple, Amazon, and Google have disrupted the media space with their robust distribution networks and significant resources.

Antero Resources (AR)

216 implied HN points • 03 Oct 22
  1. Antero Resources is an energy producer with a focus on LNG export
  2. The shale industry faced challenges due to price competition from Saudi Arabia and OPEC, leading to bankruptcies
  3. OPEC's price production tactics significantly dropped energy prices from 2014 to 2016

Why I don't like Transocean.

98 implied HN points • 03 Apr 23
💰 Finance Investing Bankruptcy Debt
  1. Offshore drilling sector faced challenges from oil price bust and Covid-19.
  2. Companies like Valaris and Seadrill filed for bankruptcy but restructured.
  3. Transocean is a major offshore driller with a heavy debt load and high interest expenses.

Valaris. Unlocking more value.

98 implied HN points • 11 Mar 23
💰 Finance Investing Geopolitics
  1. Valaris has the largest fleet of rigs and the best balance sheet after relieving itself from massive debt in 2021
  2. Constructive oil price environment is driving major oil companies to allocate capital to offshore projects, benefiting Valaris
  3. Geopolitical tensions and increasing demand for offshore rigs due to supply security concerns are creating opportunities for Valaris

What the hell is happening? August 2022

196 implied HN points • 15 Aug 22
  1. A recession is defined by economic decline spread across sectors and lasting more than a few months.
  2. Do not let recession fears impact investment decisions; focus on long-term opportunities.
  3. Inflation is sticky and affects businesses short-term, but seek assets with lasting value regardless of inflation.

Vermilion Energy (VET)

176 implied HN points • 10 Aug 22
  1. Vermilion Energy is an oil & gas company that will earn about 40% of its value in 2022.
  2. Oil & gas prices have been affected by geopolitical events, like the Russian invasion into Ukraine, causing prices to soar.
  3. Transitioning away from fossil fuels will be a long and complex process, and oil & gas remain crucial for meeting energy needs.

I'm quitting coffee.

176 implied HN points • 26 Jul 22
  1. Caffeine has negative side effects like dehydration and headaches.
  2. Quitting caffeine should be done slowly to avoid withdrawal symptoms.
  3. Reducing caffeine intake can lead to benefits like steady energy and improved focus.

Downside at Moderna.

78 implied HN points • 04 Apr 23
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Company performance Executive Compensation Business strategy
  1. Moderna has faced significant insider selling of stock by top executives, leading to questions about their management and future prospects.
  2. Despite recent success with COVID vaccine sales, Moderna is now facing a period of cash burn and uncertainty as they seek to pivot post-pandemic.
  3. Investors in Moderna are banking on the company's RNA-technology pipeline to potentially deliver groundbreaking solutions, but there is high risk involved.

What the hell is happening? July 2022

176 implied HN points • 07 Jul 22
  1. U.S. 10-year inflation expectations are down, fighting against inflation.
  2. Energy stocks took a beating while growth stocks remained steady or rose.
  3. Euro faces challenges due to ECB policy changes, impacting markets and the economy.

Realpolitik > Justpolitik!

137 implied HN points • 22 Aug 22
  1. Germany's energy security is in jeopardy due to the Russian invasion and EU sanctions.
  2. German politics are shifting as a result of the energy crisis, impacting party standings and policies.
  3. The pressure for Germany to change its energy policies may force a shift from ideology to practicality.