The hottest Mergers Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Business Topics
Big Technology 3127 implied HN points 14 Feb 25
  1. Elon Musk's recent offer to buy OpenAI for $97 billion may not be genuine; it could just be a strategy to disrupt the company. This move is raising a lot of attention and questions about his true intentions.
  2. Musk's actions seem aimed at blocking OpenAI's shift to a for-profit model, which might benefit his own AI ventures. By creating uncertainty around OpenAI's financial future, he could gain a competitive edge.
  3. The ongoing public disputes between Musk and OpenAI's leaders are creating distractions that may hinder OpenAI's progress. This drama is drawing attention away from their technological advancements and focusing it on personal feuds.
BIG by Matt Stoller 34149 implied HN points 21 Feb 24
  1. The Kroger-Albertsons merger faces challenges due to potential criminal activity discovered, leading to antitrust suits and trials to block the deal.
  2. The merger could worsen the grocery market situation with fewer stores, higher prices, and data implications for suppliers, consumers, and workers.
  3. Evidence found of Kroger and Albertsons colluding in wage suppression by avoiding hiring each other's workers, raising concerns and prompting legal action.
BIG by Matt Stoller 20856 implied HN points 14 Feb 24
  1. The oil and gas industry is going through a significant wave of consolidation, with mega-mergers happening between major companies.
  2. The mergers and acquisitions in the industry are driven by challenges in increasing production, high finance strategies, and the desire to showcase access to reserves to investors.
  3. The consolidation will likely lead to squeezed suppliers, reduced innovation, and a shift of industry power from domestic firms to global entities.
Frankly Speaking 152 implied HN points 19 Dec 24
  1. Cylance was acquired by Arctic Wolf for a low price because it wasn't performing well under Blackberry. They lost money and weren't competitive in the endpoint security market.
  2. Arctic Wolf aims to enhance its services by integrating Cylance's AI and technology, making it more appealing to businesses looking for effective security solutions.
  3. The acquisition could help Arctic Wolf diversify and strengthen its offerings ahead of a possible IPO, potentially attracting mid-sized companies searching for value in security services.
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Liberty’s Highlights 884 implied HN points 10 Jan 24
  1. The market often surprises people and goes through cycles of confusion and growth.
  2. US recessions have been less frequent, signifying stability, but opportunities for growth still exist.
  3. Merger talks and developments in companies like Synopsys, Ansys, Nvidia, and Intel show shifts in technology landscapes.
Off to Lunch 687 implied HN points 07 Feb 24
  1. Barratt Developments is acquiring Redrow in a £2.5 billion deal, creating the largest housebuilder in the UK
  2. The all-share deal values Redrow's shares at a 27% premium, with Barratt shareholders owning 67.2% of the new company
  3. The merger expects to save up to £90 million in annual costs and position Redrow as the premium housing brand within the group
Enterprise AI Trends 443 implied HN points 19 Jul 24
  1. AI startups need to spend a lot of money to build strong defenses, like buying data and companies, instead of just focusing on AI features.
  2. Having unique data is more valuable for AI startups than having great technology or user experience.
  3. Established companies have a big advantage because they already own important data. New AI startups may struggle to compete without something really special.
SatPost by Trung Phan 79 implied HN points 15 Nov 24
  1. Apple's approach to mergers and acquisitions often focuses on acquiring talent rather than large companies. They prefer smaller deals to bring in experts for new technologies.
  2. Chick-fil-A has become hugely successful with only a few thousand locations by keeping their restaurant experience efficient and engaging. Their franchise model is very selective, ensuring high-quality operators.
  3. Duolingo emphasizes user engagement over strict educational methods because they know it’s crucial to keep users motivated in a competitive app landscape.
Klement on Investing 3 implied HN points 04 Feb 25
  1. If a company gets a takeover offer, they should consider negotiating instead of accepting it right away. There's a good chance they can get a better deal.
  2. Research shows that most takeover deals do not fail and often result in the target company receiving more favorable terms. About 80% of modified deals end up giving more money to the selling company.
  3. Overall, companies approached for a takeover have a 94% chance of either keeping the original offer or getting a better one by negotiating.
HEALTH CARE un-covered 519 implied HN points 28 Nov 23
  1. Cigna is looking to acquire Humana to strengthen its position in the Medicare Advantage market. This is important because Medicare Advantage is a growing and profitable area in health insurance.
  2. If the deal goes through, Cigna and Humana together would have around 30 million health plan enrollees in the U.S., but they would still be smaller than their main competitor, UnitedHealthcare.
  3. Cigna's focus on this acquisition shows that they see it as a strategic move to grow, especially since both companies are shifting away from their commercial insurance businesses.
HEALTH CARE un-covered 419 implied HN points 11 Dec 23
  1. Cigna decided not to merge with Humana after Wall Street reacted negatively to the idea. Instead, they will buy back $11.3 billion worth of their shares to please investors.
  2. Cigna's stock dropped significantly when the merger news broke but soared back up after the buyback announcement. This shows how much Wall Street values quick returns over company growth strategies.
  3. The share buyback won't help improve healthcare access or quality for Cigna's customers. It's mainly a move to boost stock prices and please shareholders.
The Security Industry 13 implied HN points 10 Jan 25
  1. In 2024, there were 362 cyber acquisitions, which is a significant increase from the previous years. This shows how fast the cybersecurity industry is changing.
  2. The total value of disclosed acquisitions reached nearly $49.9 billion. Many deals were notable, including big companies like HPE and IBM making major purchases.
  3. Out of all the acquisitions, a majority were strategic, while a smaller portion involved private equity firms. This highlights different approaches companies are using to grow in the cybersecurity space.
Kvetch 43 implied HN points 02 Nov 24
  1. Winning doesn't mean you're safe; you have to keep working to stay ahead. A single misstep can lead to losing everything.
  2. In a competitive environment, confidence can be dangerous. Overestimating your position might let opponents take advantage.
  3. Timing and knowledge are crucial in business deals. A well-timed offer can change the game, just like knowing when to reveal important information in politics.
In My Tribe 394 implied HN points 13 Mar 24
  1. In the realm of machine learning, size isn't everything. Intelligence is seen as a continuous process, not just about having the largest model.
  2. Rather than betting on one ultimate model, the future may hold multiple specialized uses for machine learning, like in medicine where different applications can thrive.
  3. Building specific applications in machine learning could be more successful than pursuing a one-size-fits-all approach, as seen in historical business scenarios.
Jon’s Newsletter 279 implied HN points 02 Apr 23
  1. There are talks about a possible merger between Apple and Disney because they could create more value together than apart. Both companies have strong content and distribution networks that could complement each other well.
  2. Disney is currently facing challenges, including job cuts and a shift to digital streaming. CEO Bob Iger is dealing with a lot of changes and questions about the company’s future direction.
  3. If Apple were to buy Disney, it might be a big win for both. Analysts think that it could increase value for Apple shareholders significantly, making it a potentially worthwhile investment.
The Counterbalance 137 implied HN points 28 Apr 23
  1. The UK's decision to block the Microsoft / Activision merger shows courage and defends against concentrated economic power.
  2. The UK's action signifies a global shift against the dominance of digital tech giants post-Brexit.
  3. Blocking the merger protects UK citizens, businesses, and consumers while promoting a more resilient economy.
Net Interest 12 implied HN points 15 Nov 24
  1. European governments are selling off their stakes in banks after a period of crisis, with billions of dollars worth of shares being returned to private ownership.
  2. Monte dei Paschi di Siena, the world's oldest bank, is showing signs of recovery and profitability after facing multiple near-failures over its long history.
  3. Management changes and a new business plan at Monte dei Paschi di Siena suggest the bank is optimistic about future growth and possibilities of mergers and acquisitions.
Pekingnology 30 implied HN points 14 Nov 24
  1. Ning Gaoning played a key role in significant mergers and acquisitions in China. His leadership at major companies helped shape the chemical industry in the country.
  2. The acquisition of Syngenta by ChemChina was the largest overseas buy by a Chinese company, costing over $43 billion. This move aimed to upgrade China's agricultural technology and meet international standards.
  3. Financing large acquisitions is complex and required careful planning. ChemChina successfully collaborated with Sinochem to secure funding through a combination of loans and bonds for the Syngenta deal.
DeFi Education 379 implied HN points 23 Dec 21
  1. Rari Capital and Fei Protocol are merging, with TRIBE tokens from Fei being exchanged for RGT tokens from Rari at a specific ratio. This merger is important as it's the first of its kind in the DAO space.
  2. The merger aims to eliminate Rari's debt, which was a result of a prior hack, by having Fei use its funds to pay off the liabilities. This move helps Rari start fresh financially.
  3. There are concerns about the pricing method used for the merger, as many feel that RGT holders received a bad deal. This raises questions about how to value tokens fairly in future mergers.
The Last Bear Standing 47 implied HN points 23 Feb 24
  1. Capital One is acquiring Discover Financial Services, creating the largest vertically integrated card provider and the sixth largest U.S. bank by deposits.
  2. Both Capital One and Discover have seen a rise in bad credit among their subprime borrowers in the past two years.
  3. Consumer credit quality has been deteriorating sharply as pandemic savings decrease, interest rates rise, but consumer spending remains high.
Exponential Industry 39 implied HN points 07 Jun 23
  1. 3D printing companies have significant business overlap due to the small industry size.
  2. 3D printer manufacturers have struggled in public markets, with high costs per part compared to other manufacturing methods.
  3. The hope for 3D printer companies lies in continual mergers to reduce costs until printing technology enables a declining per-unit cost curve.
Nongaap Investing 2 implied HN points 12 Dec 24
  1. Hershey is showing signs of potential mergers and acquisitions. This might mean they are looking to grow through buying other companies.
  2. The governance style at Hershey focuses on transparency and communication. This can help build trust with investors and stakeholders.
  3. Investors should pay attention to any signals from Hershey about their future plans. These signals can give clues about the company's direction and strategy.
Good Better Best 2 implied HN points 15 Nov 24
  1. SaaS companies can use acquisitions to improve their products, which lets them raise prices confidently by adding new features.
  2. Acquisitions help expand a company's offerings into a platform, allowing them to bundle products and sell them together more effectively.
  3. By acquiring diverse companies, a SaaS leader can use extreme discounting to win competitive deals, making it easier to attract new customers.
Sector 6 | The Newsletter of AIM 19 implied HN points 05 Nov 23
  1. There has been a big increase in companies buying up data analytics and AI businesses recently. Over 25 acquisitions happened this year, which is a lot more than the 15 last year.
  2. Major companies like Accenture, IBM, and Snowflake are very active in this space. Accenture alone spent about $2.5 billion on 25 acquisitions to boost its AI and analytics services.
  3. These acquisitions help companies improve their tech capabilities, like inventory management and engineering, making them more efficient and innovative.
Startupology 19 implied HN points 03 Jul 23
  1. Vodafone and Three UK plan to merge to become the largest mobile operator in the UK.
  2. Merging may reduce prices for consumers but also raise concerns about market competition.
  3. Regulators will play a critical role in deciding if the merger is beneficial for customers or not.
The Intersection 19 implied HN points 27 Mar 23
  1. When considering rebranding, it is essential to have a clear trigger such as a change in the business direction or a product update for successful outcomes.
  2. Rebranding efforts should not be triggered by superficial reasons like a new CEO or CMO, but rather by substantial changes in the company's core.
  3. A successful rebranding requires a thoughtful integration with the product or service, not just a surface-level change for the sake of change.
Net Interest 7 implied HN points 15 Mar 24
  1. In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the UK government allowed a significant bank merger to ensure financial stability despite concerns about competition.
  2. The idea of promoting competition through challenger banks was embraced but has struggled to reduce the dominance of the Big Four banks in the UK.
  3. Despite efforts to increase competition, mergers between existing players, like Virgin Money and Nationwide, have become a significant strategy to challenge the Big Four banks.
The Tweetsift Report 3 HN points 20 Mar 23
  1. Swiss government forced UBS and Credit Suisse merger without shareholder consent
  2. UBS expects the merger to create a powerful asset management entity with cost-cutting plans
  3. The combined entity will focus on sustainable value for shareholders and strategic growth
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 18 Nov 15
  1. Pfizer's interest in acquiring Allergan is partly about buying growth. However, overpaying for this growth could hurt Pfizer's value, and Allergan's fast growth doesn't guarantee it’s a good buy.
  2. The U.S. corporate tax system is criticized for being too high and inconsistent, pushing companies like Pfizer to consider moving their headquarters abroad to save on taxes.
  3. Many see Pfizer's acquisition as potentially immoral due to the tax avoidance angle. However, business leaders often prioritize shareholder value over patriotic concerns.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 06 Sep 16
  1. The Tesla and SolarCity deal raised serious concerns about potential conflicts of interest. Elon Musk was heavily involved in both companies, which made people worry about whether he was making decisions that were best for shareholders.
  2. The investment banks involved in valuing the deal, Lazard and Evercore, faced challenges in justifying the merger. They had to convince both sets of shareholders that the deal was a win for everyone, which is often a tough balancing act.
  3. The valuations provided by the banks were criticized for being poorly constructed and based on questionable assumptions. It seemed like they relied too much on management's cash flow forecasts without proper scrutiny, which raised doubts about their thoroughness and ethics.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 14 Sep 16
  1. Fairness opinions are supposed to check if a deal is fair, but many appraisers do it poorly. They often rely on numbers from company management, which can lead to biased results.
  2. These opinions don't really protect shareholders like they were meant to. Instead, they're often just a way for boards to avoid scrutiny after a deal.
  3. To improve fairness opinions, there should be stricter rules and penalties for appraisers and managers who don't follow fair practices. This could help make the valuation process more trustworthy.
Musings on Markets 0 implied HN points 22 May 18
  1. Walmart bought a big stake in Flipkart to enter the growing Indian retail market. They hope this investment will help them compete against Amazon, which is also trying to grow in India.
  2. Flipkart has been growing quickly but is losing a lot of money. This raises concerns about whether it can survive on its own without Walmart's support.
  3. Walmart's decision to acquire Flipkart shows their effort to fight against Amazon's dominance. However, some investors worry that they may have overpaid and that this move could signal Walmart's struggles rather than its strength.