In My Tribe

In My Tribe explores complex societal, political, and economic issues with a focus on skepticism, the importance of epistemology, and the critique of managerial elites and institutional dynamics. It addresses contemporary social debates, including drug policy, gender roles, and the influence of libertarianism, while promoting intellectual discussions.

Societal and Epistemic Analysis Political and Economic Views Drug Policy and Regulation Gender Dynamics in Institutions Racial Perceptions in Legal Systems Generational Cultural Shifts Evolutionary Perspectives on Behavior Managerial Class Critique Cultural and Political Discussions Religious Authority in Modern Societies Financial Regulation Economics and Sociology Political Beliefs Formation Libertarianism Health Insurance Policy

Top posts of the year

And their main takeaways

Economics Links, 2/2/2025

410 implied HN points • 02 Feb 25
💰 Finance Economics Investing Market Trends Sustainability Energy
  1. The rising 10-year Treasury yield means higher costs for government debt and could hurt stock prices as investors change their expectations.
  2. Traders need to be careful with market momentum, as it can shift unexpectedly, leading to losses when everyone stops buying at high prices.
  3. Renewable energy projects face high costs to connect to the grid, and large battery systems have limitations, raising questions about their reliability.

Dan Williams on Democracy and Technocracy

410 implied HN points • 31 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Democracy Technocracy Political Power Political institutions Public Opinion
  1. Democracy can face challenges because not everyone has the same knowledge or values. People's differing abilities can make equal input in politics problematic.
  2. Experts often try to control information to influence voters, but these efforts can be ineffective and lead to public resentment instead of understanding.
  3. Our political systems should focus on how power is shared and maintained. It's important to prevent a concentration of power and ensure it can change hands peacefully.

What's Holding Up Progress?

410 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24
🕹 Technology AI Innovation Regulation Economics Transport
  1. Self-driving taxis could change the way we think about car ownership. They might make owning a personal car feel less safe over time.
  2. Many great ideas from the past are still unused because of rules and culture blocking them. There's a huge potential in reviving these old ideas in new ways.
  3. Regulations are slowing down progress, especially in Europe. The rules are making it harder for economies to grow, even though they should be benefiting from things like a big market.

Economics Links, 1/25/2025

410 implied HN points • 25 Jan 25
💰 Finance Economics Investing Market Trends Data Analysis Political Economy
  1. Many experts believe that relying on government decisions can be inefficient because it often favors those with political power instead of addressing real needs.
  2. Inequality is a natural part of society, and efforts to eliminate it through government action can lead to problems, including promoting wokeness.
  3. Economic data can often be misleading due to measurement errors, making it hard to trust figures that inform important decisions like GDP or monetary policies.

Economics Links

394 implied HN points • 24 Dec 24
💰 Finance Macroeconomics Interest Rates Consumption Inflation Government Policy Economic Theory
  1. Cato's wish list includes ideas for government reform, like raising Social Security retirement ages. Some of these suggestions might not be politically popular, but they show a push for change from a libertarian angle.
  2. There's a big difference in how academics and policymakers view the impact of interest rates on consumption. Academics think higher rates could boost future consumption, while policymakers see them as a negative for the economy.
  3. Scott Sumner highlights the issues with measuring inflation. He argues that inflation numbers are often confusing and imprecise, which also affects how we understand productivity changes.
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Trust and Accountability

394 implied HN points • 15 Dec 24
🎭️ Culture Sociology Trust Accountability Cooperation Society
  1. Cooperation in society happens when people can gain rewards for working together, and when there are consequences for dishonesty. It's not about being inherently good or bad.
  2. High-trust societies don't just happen; they depend on rules and systems that encourage honesty and discourage cheating.
  3. Understanding human cooperation is complicated, especially as social groups grow bigger. It's a key part of how societies function.

AI and the individual human

394 implied HN points • 07 Feb 25
🕹 Technology AI Digital Media Economy Creators Future work
  1. The internet has made it cheaper and easier for creators to produce and share their work, but it’s tough to get noticed among all the content out there. The real challenge now is standing out and getting attention.
  2. As AI advances, it could change the workplace dramatically. Some believe that many roles might be automated, leading to a future where individuals work more independently or in smaller firms.
  3. The success landscape for creators seems to favor a few big winners, like major companies, while many individuals struggle to make a sustainable income. This creates a winner-take-most environment where most won't profit significantly.

Links to Consider, 11/14/2024

394 implied HN points • 14 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Inflation Political trends Social Issues
  1. Social issues are becoming more relaxed, and many activities that were once illegal are now accepted. This change shows a shift in American values, as old social norms are less effective.
  2. The recent elections showed that voters are focused on inflation, which influenced their choices. Many people felt dissatisfied with the Democratic candidates, especially Kamala Harris, leading to a shift towards Republicans.
  3. Traditional media like TV is losing younger audiences, while platforms like podcasts and social media are gaining popularity. This shift reflects a changing media landscape where people seek different ways to get their news.

Fertility Links, 12/8/2024

394 implied HN points • 08 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Demographics Fertility Policy Society Marriage
  1. By 2050, the working-age population will mostly come from Africa and India, with Nigeria's population matching that of the entire EU. This shift will affect global dynamics significantly.
  2. To boost fertility rates, experts suggest giving parents financial incentives right when children are born, rather than long-term support. They also recommend policies that encourage marriage, as married couples tend to have more children.
  3. In Britain, there's a need to change how families are treated in the tax system. Encouraging larger families through better policies and communication about the fertility crisis could help address declining birth rates.

Changes in the Demand for College

394 implied HN points • 18 Oct 24
🚌 Education Higher education Gender Issues Cultural Trends Youth culture
  1. More women are going to college, but many young men feel it's not a masculine environment. This creates a gap where some boys are looking for other paths instead.
  2. There's a belief that too many people are attending college, especially those who may not need a degree for their career goals. It might be better for those individuals to seek alternative options.
  3. The way colleges handle dating and social interactions may be discouraging relationships, leading some to think less about the college experience as a place to meet partners.

Facebook's Challenges

379 implied HN points • 25 Oct 24
🕹 Technology Social media Content Moderation Advertising Artificial Intelligence
  1. Facebook struggles with content moderation because it has to balance user complaints. If they are too strict or too lenient, someone will be unhappy.
  2. Switching to a subscription model would likely not work well for Facebook since it would lose valuable user data that helps target ads.
  3. Facebook sees TikTok as a competitor and has changed its platform to reach users who want to connect with strangers, which has led to some issues with political content.

Psychology Links, 1/19/2025

379 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
📖 Philosophy Self-deception Social Behavior Ethics
  1. Many adults get stuck at a certain stage of moral development, which limits their understanding of complex societal issues. It's important to transition to a higher stage to deal with modern challenges.
  2. People often don't recognize their true motives and tend to present themselves in a better light. This self-deception can make us overly optimistic about ideas like socialism.
  3. Some people are naturally inclined to enforce social norms, which can lead to dangerous ideologies if not kept in check. It's essential to be aware of these tendencies in order to maintain a balanced society.

Getting it Right vs. Getting Ahead

379 implied HN points • 05 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Leadership Decision-making Academia Policy Organizational Behavior
  1. In a meeting, people can either aim to show they were on the winning side or focus on what will lead to the best long-term results. These two priorities often clash, especially in organizations.
  2. In academia, flattering important figures may help someone advance, even if it doesn't contribute to real knowledge. This can lead to challenges for those who prioritize truth over personal gain.
  3. It's common for workers to try to guess what their managers want rather than providing honest opinions. This can result in a culture where the truth is overlooked for the sake of advancement.

How Does "Reasoning" Work?

379 implied HN points • 04 Feb 25
🕹 Technology AI Computer Science Philosophy Reasoning
  1. Reasoning in AI often involves finding and using analogies to solve problems. Just like a chess program cuts down on bad moves, AI looks for the best comparisons to answer a question.
  2. Human thought relies heavily on metaphors, which are used to understand new ideas. These metaphors can be good or bad depending on how well they fit the situation.
  3. Both humans and AI have strengths and weaknesses in reasoning. AI can be quicker but may miss the deeper meaning in a question, while humans can make creative leaps but might take longer.

Neither Robot Nor Baby

364 implied HN points • 13 Jun 25
📖 Philosophy Ethics Metaphysics AI Impact Human condition
  1. The folk theory of mind suggests that humans have feelings and decision-making abilities, while AI does not. This means we shouldn't think of AI as having a mind like ours.
  2. AI operates based on code and rules, not feelings or intentional decisions like humans have. Mistakes made by AI don't come from emotional reactions like they would in a person.
  3. While AI can cause harm, it's not because it has its own mind. It's important to recognize that AI's actions reflect human intentions, whether they're intended or not.

Economics Links, 5/16/2025

364 implied HN points • 16 May 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Economics Housing Spending Policy
  1. The China shock might not be as bad as people think; cheap imports could help U.S. manufacturers by lowering their costs and making them more competitive.
  2. In Los Angeles, strict zoning laws have made housing scarce. This has led to high home prices and an increase in homelessness, making it tough for many to afford a place to live.
  3. Republicans are facing challenges with the federal budget, especially with rising entitlement spending. It's hard to fix the deficit by just cutting other spending without reforming entitlements.

Fertility Links, 1/29/2025

364 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25
🎭️ Culture Family Society Demographics Marriage Parenting
  1. Declining birth rates lead to more uncertainty for people choosing to have children. Many feel isolated as they navigate parenthood alone, without others in their circle sharing the same experience.
  2. Marriage, when built on cooperation and trust, leads to better outcomes for families. However, changing societal norms and laws are shifting it toward a system where partners may not fully commit.
  3. Africa's population is growing rapidly, and concerns about its implications are rising. This might lead to shifts in global demographics and create challenges if issues in African societies remain unresolved.

Election Links

364 implied HN points • 14 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Economics Policy Criticism
  1. Elections are needed for people to give up power, but they often lead to fear and anger, making them tough to navigate. It can feel like a necessary evil.
  2. Mainstream economists are worried that neither candidate is addressing serious economic issues, like the future of Social Security and Medicare. It's frustrating when major problems aren't talked about honestly.
  3. Critics say some proposals, like expanding Medicare or helping first-time homebuyers, could actually lead to higher costs for everyone. Policies might sound good but can have unexpected negative effects in the long run.

Business and Economics links, 1/12

364 implied HN points • 12 Jan 25
💼 Business Economics Entrepreneurship Finance Investment Market Analysis
  1. Co-founder relationships are really important for startup success. If co-founders don't get along, it can lead to the startup failing.
  2. Economic analysis often relies on metaphors, which can lead to different interpretations. It's normal for people to disagree about economic ideas.
  3. The debate over resource prices shows that neither side always wins. Long-term data suggests that market dynamics can be complex and unpredictable.

Putting the I in Team

364 implied HN points • 02 Dec 24
💼 Business Management Workplace Teamwork Employee Relations Organizational Behavior
  1. Teamwork relies on everyone doing their part. If some people don't contribute, it can hurt the whole team's chances of success.
  2. Hiring people who are responsible and committed can help encourage teamwork. When employees feel connected to their mission or colleagues, they're less likely to slack off.
  3. Measuring how well employees cooperate can improve teamwork. Giving clear examples of what good teamwork looks like can help everyone understand how to contribute.

Statistical Methods Links, 5/17/2025

364 implied HN points • 17 May 25
  1. A lot of European immigrants in the early 1900s didn't fully fit in and went back home. Many who returned struggled to adapt, showing that the idea of everyone easily blending in might be misleading.
  2. Social media's impact on teen mental health isn't as big as once thought. Family issues like abuse or neglect have much stronger links to mental health problems in young people.
  3. As people age, their IQ seems to be more influenced by genetics rather than their upbringing. This might be partly due to how we measure IQ, which could have more errors in younger people.

Links to Consider, 11/22/2024

349 implied HN points • 22 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Populism Regulation Mental health Social media Executive Power
  1. There are situations where the law isn't followed as written, and officials can create their own rules. This can lead to them only helping those who know how to navigate these unofficial processes.
  2. Some experts believe that a more advanced society might need less democracy, with more reliance on specialized knowledge and secrecy. This suggests a shift away from traditional democratic values.
  3. Social media can amplify extreme voices, which affects how society views issues and political figures. It mixes up the way we see our neighbors and can deepen divisions.

The 2028 Election

349 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Voter trends Party Dynamics Social Issues
  1. Voters often select candidates based on what they dislike instead of what they like. This can lead to politicians misunderstanding the actual public sentiment.
  2. Democrats are facing challenges attracting diverse groups who are increasingly open to Republican ideas. They need to engage these groups as equals rather than treating them as inexperienced.
  3. The future political landscape will depend on people's economic feelings and the dynamics between masculine and feminine approaches in society. Both of these factors could shape the 2028 election.

My son-in-law's job is safe

349 implied HN points • 06 Jun 25
🕹 Technology AI Software Architecture Development Programming
  1. Software architecture is important for maintaining clean code. It's better to separate data and logic to avoid complications later.
  2. AI can quickly generate code, but it still needs guidance on architectural decisions.
  3. Working on the project is a balance between exploring new technology and refining the foundational structure.

Links to Consider, 10/20/2024

334 implied HN points • 20 Oct 24
🎭️ Culture Human connection Community Engagement Family Dynamics Cultural shift Technology impact
  1. It's important to connect with nature, family, and community for a happy life. These connections help us feel more fulfilled and supported.
  2. Privatizing bank regulation could lead to fewer financial crises. A monitoring group could help keep banks in check without relying on federal agencies.
  3. Cultural changes have made raising kids more difficult over time. As society shifts, fewer families having many children reduces support for larger families.

Economics Links, 5/26/2025

318 implied HN points • 26 May 25
  1. Eating out is less common in Europe, suggesting that even though GDP says America is richer, people's experiences tell a different story. The data can be uncomfortable for many because it challenges their beliefs.
  2. New research shows that expanding Medicaid can save lives and reduce mortality among low-income adults. This contradicts earlier studies that found no link between health insurance and better health, making it a topic worth discussing.
  3. Our choices between immediate satisfaction and future well-being can create conflict within ourselves. This makes it hard to balance market freedom with the need to protect individuals from poor decisions, as both sides of the political spectrum have different views about regulation.

Social Learning Links, 1/28/2025

318 implied HN points • 28 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory Rhetoric Bureaucracy Activism Epistemology
  1. Barton Swaim discusses Cipolla's idea of classifying people into four categories: helpless, bandit, intelligent, and stupid. He argues that even well-credentialed elites can act stupidly, benefiting themselves while causing harm to others.
  2. Lorenzo Warby warns against the dangers of activism, suggesting that it attracts manipulative personalities who use power without accountability. This can lead to aggressive behavior and undermine responsible governance.
  3. Dan Williams highlights a debate about whether ordinary citizens can understand today's complex world and argues for giving more decision-making power to experts. This raises questions about the nature of democracy and who truly understands political issues.

Links to Consider, 10/31/2024

318 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Education Gender Issues Energy Policy Cultural critique
  1. There are concerns about universities becoming less helpful and more like madrassas, which could harm scientific progress. Some people think we need to seriously rethink how universities operate.
  2. A new app called SocialAI lets users interact with AI-generated comments, creating a fake social network experience. This raises concerns about loneliness and real connections in our increasingly digital lives.
  3. Many men today feel that dating is harder and that their identities are being criticized. Surveys show that while people support gender equality, some men are feeling unwanted and frustrated.

No More Forms to Fill Out

318 implied HN points • 08 Jun 25
🕹 Technology AI Software Education Communication Innovation
  1. Filling out forms is a common part of life, but it often feels outdated. Instead of forms, we could use conversations with AI to make communication easier.
  2. Using AI like Claude, teachers can upload their syllabi and have an interactive conversation to turn their ideas into structured course content. This way, the process becomes more collaborative and flexible.
  3. This new method allows for ongoing adjustments and real-time feedback, leading to a stronger connection between the content and the user's needs. It's not just about filling out information, but working together to create something meaningful.

LLM Links, 1/27/2025

318 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
🕹 Technology AI Education Bioengineering Data science Innovation
  1. AI is improving quickly, making it easier for students to answer essay questions by providing high-quality responses from various texts. This change may reduce the value of traditional essay exams.
  2. A World Bank project in Nigeria successfully used AI in education, enhancing learning equivalent to nearly two years in just six weeks. This shows promise for AI to help education in underdeveloped areas.
  3. OpenAI is developing AI models to transform science, including engineering proteins that enhance cellular functions. This could lead to significant advancements in fields like bioengineering.

LLM Links, 2/1/2025

318 implied HN points • 01 Feb 25
🕹 Technology AI Innovation Automation Machine Learning Digital Tools
  1. OpenAI's new AI agent, ChatGPT Operator, can take actions online for users, like booking services. However, some feel it doesn't yet handle more complex tasks very well.
  2. Different users highlight various ways they use AI, showing that it can be useful for specific inquiries, but many still feel they are stuck in old routines.
  3. AI technology is advancing fast, leading to concerns about job loss and social changes. People think the impacts of AI will evolve slowly, despite rapid progress in the tech itself.

Statistical Methods Links

303 implied HN points • 10 Jan 25
🏥 Health Politics Mental health Public Health Substance Use Social media
  1. The more time teens spend on social media, the more likely they are to face mental health issues. This shows a clear relationship between social media use and negative effects on mental well-being.
  2. Historical evidence suggests that violence can lead to increased social advantages, but it doesn't prove that violence is beneficial overall. There could be alternative outcomes for peaceful behavior that aren't considered.
  3. Combining multiple studies doesn't automatically correct biases in research. If all the studies have flaws, their average result will likely still be flawed.

Transforming Education: AI-Powered Seminar Learning at Scale

303 implied HN points • 01 Jun 25
🚌 Education Online Learning AI Technology
  1. Distance learning is often boring and lacks human interaction, leading to high dropout rates. People want more engaging, conversation-based classes like those in elite schools.
  2. AI can create virtual classmates with different personalities to enhance learning. This setup allows for dynamic discussions and personalized learning experiences, similar to real seminars.
  3. There’s a big market for this kind of innovative education. Many corporations and universities are looking for ways to make learning more engaging and scalable, which this AI seminar approach can meet.

Using AI: Queries, Conversations, and Projects

303 implied HN points • 11 Jun 25
🕹 Technology AI Machine Learning Human-computer interaction Software Development Educational Technology
  1. A conversation with AI is different from simply asking a question. You can explore topics more deeply and learn from the back-and-forth interaction.
  2. Using AI for projects is essential to becoming skilled with it. It’s like doing a group assignment, where you can create something together.
  3. Providing clear instructions and materials to AI helps it assist you better. Treating it like a partner, rather than just a tool, can lead to better results.

AI links, 5/25/2025

303 implied HN points • 25 May 25
  1. AI could change how education works, even allowing AI to be part of dissertation committees. Professors might become mentors and guide students more effectively than machines can.
  2. The advertising model on the internet has thrived because micro-transactions were too complex for users. But with AI handling payment decisions, new ways of buying content might emerge.
  3. AI is changing how companies receive customers. They might not come through traditional websites anymore, making it important for businesses to adjust how they present their information.

Social Learning Links, 5/28/2025

303 implied HN points • 28 May 25
  1. Academic publishing is growing rapidly, leading to issues like citation inflation and the creation of unusual topics just to keep up with trends.
  2. Family structure has a big impact on children's success, with kids from married parents being more likely to graduate from college compared to those from unmarried parents.
  3. Studying economics can change students' political views, making them less liberal, as it teaches how markets work through systemic forces rather than individual actions.

Inauguration Links

288 implied HN points • 20 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Policy Elections Political Opinion Education
  1. Betsy DeVos suggests that getting things done in Washington takes a lot of time because many people are stuck in their ways. She believes it's important to focus on those who are open to new ideas.
  2. John Cochrane offers economic advice, saying a flat tax could work better than the current system, and that direct payments might be a smarter way to redistribute wealth. He admits he's leaning towards a libertarian view on taxes.
  3. Marc Andreessen praises Donald Trump's understanding of business and issues like energy management, suggesting that his experience can help tackle difficult problems effectively.

Links to Consider, 10/15/2024

288 implied HN points • 15 Oct 24
📖 Philosophy Epistemology Ethics Free speech Psychology Society
  1. Personality tests like the Big Five or Myers-Briggs might not be very good at predicting important life outcomes. Their accuracy isn't much better than just guessing.
  2. Free speech has changed over time, moving from a focus on persuading others to simply expressing one's own beliefs. This represents a shift in how we communicate and engage with each other.
  3. Modern societies often value citizenship over family ties, which affects people's views on having children. Many may feel pressured to prioritize social status over family-building.

Social Learning Links, 5/21/2025

288 implied HN points • 21 May 25
  1. In India, women's work participation varies by religion, with higher rates among Christians and Buddhists compared to Muslims and Sikhs. However, Indian women abroad tend to work much more, indicating cultural shifts in attitudes toward female employment.
  2. Research shows that women in academic science are often on par with men regarding funding and job offers, though biases still affect their salaries and teaching ratings. Fewer women apply for these jobs, but those who do are more likely to succeed.
  3. In urban areas like Portland, despite efforts to become 'smart cities,' issues like homelessness and crime persist. This suggests that technical solutions alone may not address deeper social problems or improve quality of life.

Do Tariffs Reduce Trade Deficits?

288 implied HN points • 22 Jan 25
💰 Finance International Trade Macroeconomics Tariffs Economic Policy
  1. Understanding international economics is complicated and involves many factors. It's not just simple numbers, but a mix of many different elements.
  2. A country's trade surplus is linked to its ability to save more than it invests. Countries that save well will usually end up holding other countries' debt like U.S. Treasury bills.
  3. Imposing tariffs might not significantly reduce trade deficits. Instead, currency appreciation can offset any potential benefits from tariffs, so real change depends more on national savings rates.