The hottest Stocks Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

Links - 01/09/2024

Value Investing World • 452 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. In times of easy money, people tend to take risky investments over maintaining high standards.
  2. Choosing to abstain from risky investments and herd behavior requires uncommon strength.
  3. Check out valuable investment insights from sources like Howard Marks, Boyar Research, Mohnish Pabrai, and Fundsmith's annual letter.

"Time Is Of The Essence"

TSOH Investment Research Service • 393 implied HN points • 29 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Comcast's strong financial performance with record highs in adjusted EBITDA and EPS
  2. Comcast's focus on returning capital to shareholders through stock repurchases
  3. Key assumptions for Comcast's future success include segment stability, growth, and resisting transformative M&A

CHEAP JAPANESE STOCK INDEX FORWARDS

The MacroTourist • 412 implied HN points • 19 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The author has a new favorite Japanese stock index position betting on Nikkei outperforming S&P 500 and getting long volatility.
  2. The focus of the article is not on fundamental reasons for the position, but on a unique trading edge.
  3. The content of the post is available only to paid subscribers.

One Stock I'll Avoid Forever

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 23 implied HN points • 30 Jan 26
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. A specific S&P 500 stock is identified as one to avoid forever, with a firm stance against ever owning it.
  2. Recent developments this week made the negative view even stronger.
  3. The detailed explanation and reasons are behind a paywall and require a paid subscription to read.

💰 Stock-Based Compensation Explained

How They Make Money • 707 implied HN points • 24 Mar 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) is a remuneration strategy where companies reward employees with equity interests.
  2. SBC affects investors through ownership dilution, alignment of interests, and impact on company performance.
  3. There are different types of SBC such as stock options, restricted stock units, and performance shares, each with unique characteristics and implications.
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The Investment Case for Chinese Stocks

Modern Value Investing • 353 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Chinese stocks have underperformed global peers, but a potential reversal could be imminent due to recent policy changes and low valuations.
  2. The Chinese government has taken measures to support the stock market, including a significant rescue package and regulatory changes, indicating a shift in approach.
  3. Factors like global underweighting of Chinese stocks, a recovering Chinese economy, and potential monetary policy adjustments suggest a positive outlook for investing in Chinese stocks.

Portfolio Review - January 2024

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 399 implied HN points • 01 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The newsletter discusses investing in NU Holdings as a new position due to its growth potential in Latin America.
  2. The author shares insights on adding to their Auto Partner position, seizing an opportunity when the stock price dropped.
  3. The author presents a buy list, highlighting Evolution and NU as stocks to watch and potentially add to the portfolio.

Links - 01/15/2024

Value Investing World • 373 implied HN points • 16 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Investors need a margin of safety when investing in securities to account for human error and market volatility.
  2. Various podcasts and videos are available covering topics like top stocks for 2024, business strategies, and lessons from investors.
  3. Continuously learning and staying informed is crucial in making wise decisions, as wisdom doesn't come by chance.

Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023

Value Investing Substack • 373 implied HN points • 14 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The VIS Portfolio outperformed the S&P 500 both in up and down years, showing it's a zero-correlation portfolio.
  2. By focusing on undervalued stocks, the VIS Portfolio achieved similar or higher upside than the S&P 500 with lower downside risk.
  3. The VIS Portfolio has consistently beaten the S&P 500 across different time periods, showcasing the effectiveness of the value investing strategy.

Low Interest Rate Phenomenon: Sinking Ships Make Money

Investment Talk • 589 implied HN points • 09 Mar 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Cathie Wood's flagship Ark fund made $310 million in fees but wiped out $10 billion of investors' cash.
  2. ARKK fund saw a peak in inflows before a downfall, collecting fees even as share prices plummeted.
  3. Despite losing $10 billion for investors, Cathie Wood's fund still has significant support from loyal investors.

One Underperforming Stock I Keep Adding

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 19 implied HN points • 29 Jan 26
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Most of the portfolio has been beating the broader indexes so far this year.
  2. One specific holding has been a clear laggard and underperforming the rest of the portfolio.
  3. Despite that underperformance, the investor is adding exposure to the stock and shared an update for paid subscribers.

💥Bed Bath & Bagholders💥

PETITION • 569 implied HN points • 02 Apr 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Hudson Bay Capital and BBBY structured a deal involving convertible preferred stock, benefiting Hudson Bay financially.
  2. BBBY raised $225mm to address credit issues and pay vendors, but needed more liquidity for a turnaround.
  3. The deal with Hudson Bay also included warrants to buy $800mm of preferred stock, with conditions to protect Hudson Bay's downside.

2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook

Mule’s Musings • 777 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25
🕹 Technology Stocks
  1. In 2024, AI technologies surged while many other sectors, especially automotive and smartphones, struggled. Companies like Nvidia saw huge gains, showcasing a divide in performance across the industry.
  2. The semiconductor market is cyclical, meaning trends can shift quickly. This year, companies that did poorly last year, could potentially do well, while top AI names might not see the same explosive growth.
  3. AI advancements are driving up costs and creating new economic challenges for tech companies. There's a bigger focus now on how much it costs to develop and maintain AI, differing from past trends where costs were lower.

Links - 01/08/2024

Value Investing World • 314 implied HN points • 08 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Buy on the way down in investing for more volume and less competition.
  2. Be prepared for price markdowns when buying in early stages.
  3. Tranquility and occupation bring happiness over wealth and splendor.

Investing Update: 2025 Recap & 2026 Outlook

Spilled Coffee • 36 implied HN points • 03 Jan 26
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The market finished 2025 strong—S&P up about 16%, Nasdaq over 20%, and the Dow up 13%—continuing a multi‑year bull run while still seeing volatility, including a roughly 19% drawdown.
  2. Returns were concentrated and mixed across sectors and stocks. Only two mega‑cap techs beat the S&P, three sectors outperformed, and winners included communication services, semiconductors, gold miners, metals, clean energy, and silver.
  3. Active calls and stock picking paid off: a year‑end S&P forecast landed within 1% and an actively managed portfolio outperformed the S&P, showing active management can succeed but is hard to do consistently.

Second axiom of investing

Buggy Humans in a Messy World • 491 implied HN points • 04 May 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Stocks are businesses, and understanding their worth relative to price is crucial for investing.
  2. Shareholders are last in line to get paid, especially in high-leverage sectors like financial services.
  3. Valuation is risky in businesses where shareholders are at the bottom of the payment queue.

capital P, lowercase L

Martin’s Newsletter • 471 implied HN points • 17 Feb 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Martin Shkreli shares stock picks like NTLA, which he predicts will double in value
  2. He is passionate about software, particularly state management and the future of front-end/UI development
  3. He discusses criminal justice, biases in the legal system, and his personal interests like watching The Three-Body Problem

Daily Chartbook #279

Daily Chartbook • 2279 implied HN points • 14 Sep 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Mortgage demand at its lowest since 1996.
  2. Home prices near 1970 and 2008 levels, signaling a potential price normalization.
  3. National Financial Conditions Index suggests loosening financial conditions.

Portfolio Update

Spilled Coffee • 20 implied HN points • 20 Jan 26
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. A top investment conviction for 2026 is being doubled down.
  2. The move specifically involves one of the 'Mag 7' stocks, meaning a major tech position is being adjusted.
  3. The full portfolio update is behind a paywall and available only to paid subscribers.

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 99 implied HN points • 28 Apr 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Tesla's stock is mainly for those who believe in its future of self-driving cars, rather than just traditional vehicles. If you don't think cars will be autonomous in the future, you might want to skip investing in Tesla.
  2. Tech companies are expected to see significant earnings growth over the next five years. Some of the highest expected growth comes from companies like Micron and AMD, which currently have low earnings but high potential.
  3. Alphabet recently introduced a dividend, which is new for a company that typically reinvests its profits. This may attract more investors looking for immediate returns, similar to what Apple and Meta have done.

Market Movers - 8 December 2023

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 339 implied HN points • 08 Dec 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. MercadoLibre reported a record-breaking Black Friday with an 80% increase in Gross Merchandise Volume.
  2. Evolution has started a buyback program, repurchasing its own shares.
  3. NIO delivered a record number of vehicles in Q3 2023 but faces pricing pressure and lower margins.

The Value in Cannabis

Mindset Value • 196 implied HN points • 06 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Focus on investing where the opportunities are, like in the cannabis industry with high potential returns.
  2. Consider exploring investments in craft cannabis brands that show strong operational advantages and growth potential.
  3. Keep an eye on emerging opportunities in hemp-based beverages as a potential growth area in the industry.

2023 Performance Review

Modern Value Investing • 255 implied HN points • 29 Dec 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Achieved a total return of 174% in 2023, recovering from a 74% loss in 2022.
  2. Recovering from drawdowns over 50% can be challenging, requiring high returns.
  3. 2023 success attributed to active trading, contrarian views, and seizing opportunities.

Portfolio review August 2023

Asian Century Stocks • 393 implied HN points • 01 Sep 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Chinese stocks headlines are negative, but global stocks are more concerning to the author
  2. Portfolio experienced a pullback in August with a -3.8% decrease
  3. Disparity between falling commodity prices and expensive Indonesian equities observed

2024 Market Musing

Modern Value Investing • 255 implied HN points • 26 Dec 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Consider tax avoidance strategies when anticipating near term stock returns.
  2. Be cautious about the US stock market due to concerns about monetary policy and inflated valuations.
  3. Explore investing in emerging markets like South East Asia and China for potential growth opportunities.

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 59 implied HN points • 01 Jun 24
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The stock market often rises after hitting record highs, so there's less to worry about than some investors think. History shows the S&P usually has a positive return in the year after an all-time high.
  2. Many major companies are currently valued below their usual 5-year averages, meaning there might be good buying opportunities. It's worth looking at stocks like Amazon and JP Morgan as potential investments.
  3. Investing in dividend stocks is still important, but many options are becoming less attractive compared to bonds. Focusing on companies with lower dividend payout ratios can help mitigate risk.

Daily Chartbook #296

Daily Chartbook • 1886 implied HN points • 07 Oct 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Global food prices have steadied at a two-year low.
  2. Global GDP growth in Q3 has been solid, driving earnings growth into positive territory.
  3. Used car prices saw a 1.0% increase in September compared to August.

Sick from $NVDA FOMO? Here's the Vaccine

Value Investing Substack • 373 implied HN points • 28 May 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Value investors should not feel bad about missing out on short-term stock jumps like NVDA's recent +25% increase.
  2. It's important to avoid setting unrealistic benchmarks based on present-day reference points when evaluating past investment decisions.
  3. Embracing less-than-perfect outcomes and understanding the arbitrariness of present-day reference points can help investors overcome FOMO and focus on long-term success in stock markets.

Market Movers - 10 November 2023

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 359 implied HN points • 10 Nov 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Adyen saw a rise in net revenue and aims for strong growth with sustainable pricing strategies.
  2. Datadog reported strong Q3 earnings and achieved notable customer successes.
  3. Evolution approved an incentive program and may announce a buyback program in the future.

The Stocks I Did Not Expect To Like

Spilled Coffee • 24 implied HN points • 07 Jan 26
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. Price action and charts can reveal strong opportunities, so follow what the market is actually doing instead of story-driven hopes.
  2. Focus on relative strength and momentum—stocks making new highs often deserve attention regardless of whether they're labeled value or growth.
  3. Stay open-minded: profitable setups can come from legacy industrials, discount retailers, or online travel agencies, not only from flashy new tech or biotech.

Portfolio Review - October 2023

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 359 implied HN points • 03 Nov 23
💰 Finance Stocks
  1. The author discusses reducing their portfolio from 24 to 20 stocks by selling off positions in companies like SQ, DOCU, IIPR, and JNJ.
  2. They reinvested the proceeds into companies like AMZN, MELI, Adyen, and Evolution.
  3. The author is focusing on concentrated positions in companies like MELI and AMZN, with some cash holdings for future investments.