The hottest Stocks Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics
A Havenstein Moment. 963 implied HN points 01 Feb 24
  1. Mass delusions are not rare, they have happened throughout history.
  2. Valuations have not mattered in technology investments, past history has shown this.
  3. Investment decisions based purely on valuation may not always lead to profits.
Spilled Coffee 24 implied HN points 23 Feb 26
  1. He bought one of his three stock picks for 2026, specifically a software company.
  2. He shared a full breakdown of the trade, including what he bought and the price paid per share.
  3. The detailed write-up is behind a paywall and available only to paid subscribers.
Compounding Quality 1788 implied HN points 08 Jun 23
  1. Screen for quality stocks by looking at criteria like revenue growth, earnings growth, FCF/earnings, ROIC, net debt/FCFF, and debt/equity ratios.
  2. Investing in companies with strong financials and good balance sheets is crucial for long-term success.
  3. Tools like Stratosphere can help you screen for quality stocks, even if you don't have access to Bloomberg.
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Irrational Analysis 279 implied HN points 01 Jun 24
  1. Some investors exhibit group-think behavior, leading to irrational market actions.
  2. Investing in the semiconductor industry requires thorough research and understanding of the market dynamics.
  3. HBM/Micron presents a unique investment opportunity due to increased demand and supply constraints.
Compounding Quality 904 implied HN points 14 Jan 24
  1. Luxury goods have enduring appeal and never go out of fashion
  2. The company being highlighted is a strong player in the luxury industry with a diverse portfolio of brands and global presence
  3. The company has shown strong financial performance with consistent revenue and cash flow growth, making it an attractive investment option
Behavioral Value Investor 29 implied HN points 13 Feb 26
  1. Read Joel Tillinghast’s Big Money Thinks Small and answer six focused questions about his investment style, background, best and worst investments, stock ideas, and an AI-based prompt.
  2. His approach emphasizes finding small, undiscovered companies by doing on-the-ground research and favoring inexpensive stocks judged by current profits and cash flow, combining a Peter Lynch–style search with a Neff-like value focus, while recognizing how randomness can affect short-term results.
  3. Participants should post all answers in a single comment, engage respectfully with others, and note that the next assigned book is The Investment Checklist.
QTR’s Fringe Finance 24 implied HN points 14 Feb 26
  1. A big price drop doesn't automatically mean the investment idea is wrong.
  2. The core fundamental drivers supporting the long-term thesis remain intact, so the opportunity still exists despite the decline.
  3. The decline makes the risk profile clearer, and after reassessing, the long-duration opportunity can still justify holding or buying.
Asian Century Stocks 805 implied HN points 10 Jan 24
  1. Cocoa prices have spiked due to poor crops in West Africa, leading to challenges for chocolate producers.
  2. The tightness in the cocoa market is expected to persist, but historically, markets tend to return to balance within three years.
  3. High cocoa prices impact processors and chocolate manufacturers, who eventually pass on costs to consumers over approximately two years.
Spilled Coffee 44 implied HN points 31 Jan 26
  1. Materials and energy are getting big inflows and clean technical breakouts, so those sectors look poised to lead the next move higher.
  2. Semiconductors are signaling market leadership and could pull big-cap tech higher, while software is deeply out of favor with record-low hedge fund exposure—so it may be a rebound opportunity but still carries AI-related downside risk.
  3. Consumer confidence and labor-market indicators are weakening even as stocks hit highs, and with February’s historical weakness after a positive January, economic pain reaching consumers could create downside risk.
Jon’s Newsletter 179 implied HN points 09 Jun 24
  1. Coffee stocks might help protect against inflation, according to investor Bob Iaccino. He believes that investing in commodities like coffee is a smart move right now.
  2. Tesla has divided opinions among investors and analysts, making it a complicated stock to assess. While some see great potential in Tesla's future, many analysts remain cautious.
  3. Nvidia's rapid rise in market value highlights the growing importance of AI technology. Analysts suggest sticking with major players like Nvidia and AMD as they are likely to keep gaining traction.
Compounding Quality 746 implied HN points 11 Jan 24
  1. The Wisdom of Crowds can lead to remarkably accurate predictions.
  2. Learning from others and collaborating can result in more knowledge and insights.
  3. Choosing stocks based on sound investment rationale and data can lead to successful investments.
Spilled Coffee 44 implied HN points 28 Jan 26
  1. Netflix’s fundamentals look very strong: revenue has climbed from about $20B to $45B, operating income surged to roughly $13B, and free cash flow turned positive near $9B.
  2. Despite those gains the stock is about 36% below its 52-week high and trades near $85, which suggests a disconnect between price and business performance.
  3. Investors remain cautious and are holding off buying for now; many want a lower share price or a clearer catalyst before committing.
Invariant 609 implied HN points 21 Jan 24
  1. Analyzing investments should involve a holistic reflection and critical thinking.
  2. Consider the importance of probability and odds in decision-making.
  3. Recognize that in financial markets, competition influences opportunity and the importance of value over price.
QTR’s Fringe Finance 25 implied HN points 08 Feb 26
  1. A curated 26-stock portfolio is outperforming the S&P 500 by about 5% on an equal-weighted basis, which suggests the selection process is working.
  2. If forced to buy only four stocks, the approach would be three familiar names plus one new small position added recently.
  3. The four picks are chosen across different risk profiles and narratives to blend pessimism, durability, and long-term optionality.
Jon’s Newsletter 59 implied HN points 29 Jul 24
  1. Tech stocks have faced some tough times lately, with a drop in the NASDAQ 100. Investors are cautious and waiting to see how major companies perform in their earnings reports.
  2. During election years, financial and tech stocks typically do well, showing good returns. This trend is backed by past market behaviors where these sectors get investor attention.
  3. Investing in copper appears shaky right now due to issues in China’s property market, but experts still believe in its long-term potential, especially linked to renewable energy needs.
Invariant 609 implied HN points 14 Jan 24
  1. 22nd Century Group focused on developing low-nicotine cigarettes but didn't consider if consumers wanted the product.
  2. The company struggled with profitability and faced challenges even after receiving authorization for their products.
  3. Shifting focus to a different product with conventional nicotine levels came too late for the company to recover.
Jon’s Newsletter 179 implied HN points 26 May 24
  1. Companies with high profit margins are doing really well. For example, Nvidia has a gross profit margin of 78%, which is impressive compared to others like Amazon and Apple.
  2. There are good opportunities in the bond market now. After a long time, stocks aren't the only option for investors looking for decent returns.
  3. Amazon is expected to overtake Walmart in sales next year. With Amazon's growth in cloud services, it's on track for $711 billion in revenue, compared to Walmart's $703 billion.
Snowball 550 implied HN points 28 Jan 24
  1. Tesla stock has dropped significantly, raising questions for long-term investors.
  2. The Chinese government aims to regain investor trust in their financial markets after a significant drop in the CSI 300 index.
  3. Generative AI is disrupting the entertainment industry, potentially leading to more immersive storytelling experiences.
Philoinvestor 491 implied HN points 26 Jan 24
  1. NVIDIA's stock price increased significantly faster than its earnings, raising questions about its valuation.
  2. The launch of Chat GPT led to a surge in demand for GPUs and an uptick in NVIDIA's stock.
  3. Microsoft's $10 billion investment in Open AI and the AI hype train are contributing factors to the current market dynamics.
Spilled Coffee 24 implied HN points 07 Feb 26
  1. The market is deeply split: the Dow hit a record 50,000 and the equal-weight S&P made a new high while the Nasdaq and software stocks plunged.
  2. Capital is rotating out of mega-cap tech, AI names, and crypto into value and cyclicals — energy, materials, industrials, emerging markets, and small caps are leading.
  3. Breadth is expanding and ETF flows suggest a regime shift, and historically that kind of rotation (not just distribution) has preceded further gains over the next 6–12 months.
Irrational Analysis 159 implied HN points 23 May 24
  1. Irrational Analysis is heavily invested in the semiconductor industry, giving insights into the comical undervaluation of NASDAQ:ARM.
  2. Nvidia's massive demand for GB200 and Grace CPUs could have significant implications for ARM (LTD)'s value and future performance.
  3. Nvidia Grace CPUs might exceed sell-side expectations, potentially propelling ARM (LTD) value beyond current projections.
QTR’s Fringe Finance 35 implied HN points 21 Jan 26
  1. Forcing a takeover of Greenland would look like overreach and weakness, not strength; seizing territory signals an empire that’s compensating rather than leading.
  2. Aggressive moves would shatter credibility with allies, neutrals, and investors, making the country seem reckless and pushing people toward safer assets like gold.
  3. Loss of reserve status happens quietly through market reactions, so the real indicator is how bond, currency, and gold markets reallocate capital afterward.
Snowball 825 implied HN points 14 Sep 23
  1. Consider investing children's savings in the stock market for long-term growth potential.
  2. Opening a brokerage account in your name to hold ETFs or stocks for your child and then gifting it to them can be a tax-efficient way to invest for their future.
  3. Ensure to handle legal aspects like declaring the donation to the tax authorities and consider equal distribution among multiple children to avoid inheritance disputes.
Investment Talk 766 implied HN points 24 Oct 23
  1. Warren Buffett likes companies that aggressively repurchase their shares, calling them 'share cannibals'
  2. Share repurchases can increase ownership stakes in companies without extra cost
  3. Berkshire Hathaway indirectly increased ownership in companies like Apple and American Express through share repurchases
Value Investing World 452 implied HN points 18 Jan 24
  1. Value investing involves envisioning the future and solving puzzles to make successful investments.
  2. Haslam family sells remaining shares of Pilot Travel Centers to Berkshire Hathaway.
  3. Watch Nassim Nicholas Taleb speaking at Science and Business Days 2023 on video.
The Bear Cave 466 implied HN points 15 Jun 25
  1. A new report revealed that Tenet Healthcare may have received overpayments from Medicare, suggesting possible financial troubles ahead.
  2. Several companies, including Avis Budget Group and Symbotic, are dealing with executive resignations amidst potential SEC investigations, indicating instability.
  3. Activist researchers are raising concerns about various companies, including Groupon and GRAIL, highlighting risks that could impact their future performance.
Value Investing World 432 implied HN points 17 Jan 24
  1. Trying to assign precise values to investments can be misleading and inaccurate.
  2. Security analysis does not require exact intrinsic value, just a rough estimate that indicates whether it's a good buy or not.
  3. Consider the imperfect nature of valuing businesses when making investment decisions.