The hottest Stock Market Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

NuScale Power and more broadly Small Modular Reactors (SMRs): A horse-and-buggy business model in the age of the automobile.

Chadvesting • 0 implied HN points • 09 Nov 23
💼 Business Energy Renewables Nuclear power Stock Market Legal issues
  1. NuScale Power and Small Modular Reactors face challenges after pilot project cancellation and cost overruns.
  2. Renewable energy like wind and solar are becoming more cost-effective compared to small modular reactors.
  3. The traditional baseload model of nuclear energy is becoming less compatible with the evolving energy landscape.

Investing Update: Is Inflation Reigniting? 

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Inflation Recession Oil
  1. The S&P 500 has been on a significant upward trend, reaching record highs in recent weeks with impressive gains over several consecutive weeks.
  2. Historically, February has been a weak month for the S&P 500, and concerns about the market's performance during election years have been raised.
  3. Early indicators suggest a potential reignition of inflation, despite some positive economic data, with a focus on declining number of stocks above the 50-day moving average.
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The Nvidia Surge

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Companies Earnings Valuation
  1. Nvidia is experiencing an incredible surge in its stock price, reaching historic levels of growth which are uncommon for a company of its size.
  2. Nvidia has surpassed major companies in market value and stock performance, becoming one of the top companies globally.
  3. Despite the impressive growth, there are concerns about Nvidia's future, such as competition, supply chain risks, and the hype surrounding AI driving its valuation.

Investing Update: What Flows Are Telling Us

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 17 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economics
  1. January CPI inflation was higher than expected at 3.1%, causing some concerns, especially in the housing sector.
  2. Retail sales in January dropped more than anticipated, breaking a 9-month winning streak, despite persistent challenges.
  3. Investors have shown increased interest in technology stocks, while concerns arise regarding job cuts and sectors like energy facing underweight positioning.

Investing Update: Hedge Funds Buys & Holdings

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 24 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Hedge Funds Earnings Market Analysis
  1. The stock market experienced a significant boost, with all three major indices reaching new all-time highs.
  2. Nvidia's exceptional earnings led to a remarkable single-day market value increase, highlighting its crucial role in the market.
  3. Hedge funds are showing increased interest in high-risk, high-growth tech companies, indicating a rising appetite for risk and growth in the market.

Why A Stock Market Pullback Is Likely

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Market volatility Financial planning
  1. The stock market is likely to experience a pullback because history shows that periods of continuous growth are always followed by downturns.
  2. Investors should be prepared for market volatility, as on average there are 3 pullbacks and a correction every year.
  3. Selloffs are a normal part of investing, and understanding the different levels like pullback, correction, bear market, and market crash can help investors navigate through fluctuations.

Investing Update: I Bought 2 Stocks

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 09 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Economic outlook Retail Investors Company analysis
  1. Investors continue to feel comfortable investing in stocks as the market remains near all-time highs with positive trends.
  2. The economy is not slowing down; in fact, it's accelerating with strong signs of growth ahead according to experts like Apollo's Torsten Slok.
  3. US stock allocations are at their highest level since November 2021, with retail investors being net sellers but overall optimism in the market.

Welcome to All things Finance

All Things Finance • 0 implied HN points • 30 Nov 22
💰 Finance Stock Market
  1. The newsletter 'All Things Finance' uses pictures to simplify complex financial topics like the stock market.
  2. The author, Priyanka Nath, aims to explain financial concepts in a visually engaging way.
  3. Readers can subscribe to 'All Things Finance' to receive more insights on finance through visuals.

Are US technology stocks in a new bubble?

Global Markets Investor • 0 implied HN points • 04 Apr 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Valuation Tech Stocks
  1. The analysis of US technology stocks being in a bubble is crucial as historical data showed the tech sector's previous dramatic drop, which took over 15 years to recover from, making it a significant risk for investors.
  2. The current market scenario, with factors like Quantitative Easing and heavy government intervention, makes a complete repeat of the past bubble unlikely. However, even a 20-30% drop could be painful for investors, given the high levels of capital at risk.
  3. US households now hold nearly 50% of equities in their portfolios, similar to the levels seen in the early 2000s, raising concerns about the amount of capital exposed. Examining historical measures and leading indicators will be key to determine if US tech stocks are overvalued or in a bubble.

Top 5 financial posts of the trading week 10/2024

Global Markets Investor • 0 implied HN points • 11 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Economic Indicators Stock Market
  1. The performance of major US indexes, Bitcoin, and gold, with insights into market volatility and inflation data, was a focus for the week.
  2. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's approach to rate cuts, inflation measures, and the impact on the market were discussed in the post.
  3. A comparison of the US economy's strength with that of the European Union, UK, Japan, and China, highlighting the support provided by the US central bank and government.

Top 5 financial posts of the 5/2024 trading week

Global Markets Investor • 0 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economy Bonds
  1. Stock market saw significant gains after earnings reports from Meta, Amazon, and Apple, along with positive US non-farm payrolls data
  2. Low S&P 500 hedging cost and VIX trading at low levels suggest market euphoria, but any negative surprises could lead to a rapid spike in VIX
  3. Global liquidity cycles impact stock markets, but even in times of liquidity, bear markets can occur during significant adverse events like financial crises or pandemics

Don't be fooled by Wall Street analysts

Global Markets Investor • 0 implied HN points • 28 Dec 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Forecasting Financial Analysis Economic Trends
  1. Wall Street analysts have consistently missed S&P 500 year-end targets by an average of 15.7% from 2018 to 2023.
  2. It's hard for even the most renowned financial firms to predict exact stock market values, showing the importance of personal research.
  3. Despite sophisticated analysis, Wall Street analysts often get S&P 500 projections wrong, emphasizing the value of independent thinking in investment decisions.

HOSE quá tải

Thái | Hacker | Kỹ sư tin tặc • 0 implied HN points • 14 Mar 21
💰 Finance Stock Market Software Technology Risk management Investing
  1. The HOSE stock exchange in Vietnam is overloaded and facing challenges with its software, prompting discussions about potential solutions from companies like FPT.
  2. There are concerns regarding the effectiveness and timeline of proposed solutions, as well as the ability to handle the high trading volume of HOSE compared to other exchanges.
  3. Software development projects, especially complex ones like this, often face uncertainties in timelines and outcomes, with estimates being difficult to pinpoint accurately.

PureCycle Technologies: The Nikola of Recycling

funnybusiness • 0 implied HN points • 16 Aug 21
💰 Finance Fraud Short selling Investing ESG Stock Market
  1. PureCycle Technologies executives failed to address critical allegations and instead doubled down on their ambitious projections.
  2. Insiders of PureCycle Technologies increased their pay-outs and could potentially sell 100% of their shares before the company generates any revenue, raising concerns about their commitment to long-term success.
  3. Red flags have been identified in the business model of PureCycle Technologies, including questionable supply chain agreements, unproven technology, and unrealistic rapid expansion plans.

Future prospects in a secular cycle crisis

America in Crisis • 0 implied HN points • 12 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Crisis Inflation Stock Market Economic Policy Political parties
  1. The US is experiencing a crisis similar to historical patterns of great nations, but this time, the crises may not be resolved in the same dramatic ways due to modern circumstances like interventions by economic policymakers.
  2. Civil strife in America may resemble the Troubles in Northern Ireland, but the country's size and past responses to radical movements indicate that major turmoil might not lead to political revolution.
  3. The current economic focus is on inflation, with predictions indicating that actions like interest rate adjustments could impact the economy by fall and potentially lead to a soft landing, altering the investment environment.

Stock market paradigms

America in Crisis • 0 implied HN points • 21 Feb 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Market Analysis Stock Valuation Financial Policy
  1. Stock market valuation tools need to evolve with changing market paradigms, as seen with the shift in P/R values over time
  2. The emergence of new market paradigms, like one that disconnects stock market value from underlying company value, can impact stock market behavior
  3. Historically, stock market paradigms have shifted based on economic cultures and policy changes, influencing investor behavior and market trends

Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, has slashed Berkshire Hathaway's stake in $AAPL holdings by 50%.

Apple Wire • 0 implied HN points • 03 Aug 24
💼 Business Investing Stock Market Economy Corporate Finance Financial News
  1. Warren Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway, has sold half of its Apple stock, dropping their holdings from 790 million to 400 million shares. This surprised a lot of people in the investment world.
  2. Despite this sell-off, Apple recently reported strong earnings, showing a revenue increase of nearly 5% and profits up almost 8% compared to last year. This is good news for Apple, even with Berkshire reducing their stake.
  3. Berkshire Hathaway has also been selling other investments, including shares in Bank of America, and now has a significant amount of cash available, totaling $277 billion. This could mean they are preparing for new investment opportunities.

What happens to stocks when the Fed pauses on rate hikes?

Jon’s Newsletter • 0 implied HN points • 19 Jun 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Interest Rates Economic Trends Investment strategy Market Analysis
  1. When the Fed pauses rate hikes for three months or more, it usually boosts stock performance. Historically, stocks saw average gains of over 8% during these pauses.
  2. Shorter pauses in the tightening cycle have mixed results. In some cases, stocks went up mildly, while in others, they saw small declines.
  3. If the Fed maintains the pause until September, it suggests a positive outlook for stocks, especially if interest rates have peaked. However, if rates continue to rise, the market impact is less clear.

Investor Taxes and Stock Prices: Threading the Needle!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 11 May 21
💰 Finance Taxation Investments Stock Market Economic Policy Wealth Management
  1. Investor taxes on capital gains and dividends can greatly impact their returns. If taxes increase, investors need to earn more before taxes to maintain their desired profit.
  2. Higher taxes on investors can lower stock prices. This happens because investors adjust their expectations for returns, leading to decreased overall company valuations.
  3. Changes in tax laws affect how companies manage their finances. When taxes change, businesses might choose to keep more cash rather than giving it back to investors, impacting the market.

The Price-Value Feedback Loop: A Look at GME and AMC!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 03 Feb 21
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Valuation Economic Theory Corporate Finance
  1. The stock price and a company's value can be very different. Price is about what buyers are willing to pay, while value is about the company's actual worth based on its profits and risks.
  2. When a company's stock price goes up or down, it can create a feedback loop that affects its overall value. For example, higher stock prices can make it easier for a company to get loans or attract employees.
  3. Issuing new shares when the price is high can bring in cash, but it's a bit of a gamble because it can also lower the stock price if not managed carefully. It's all about finding the right balance.

The Storming of the Bastille: The Reddit Crowd targets the Hedge Funds!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 29 Jan 21
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Hedge Funds Short selling Market Trends
  1. Small investors on Reddit targeted hedge funds by buying stocks like GameStop, leading to dramatic price increases. This story shows a classic David versus Goliath scenario, where everyday people are challenging big money players.
  2. Short selling is a risky investment strategy where someone bets against a stock. When the stock price goes up instead of down, short sellers can face huge losses, which is what happened to some hedge funds when GameStop prices soared.
  3. This situation highlights the changing dynamics in investing, where everyday investors now have more power through social media and online trading. It challenges the traditional views of expertise in finance and the role of individual investors.

A Viral Market Update XIV: A Wrap on the COVID market, premature or not!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 05 Nov 20
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Stock Market Economic Trends Risk management
  1. The COVID-19 pandemic caused major shifts in financial markets, with significant gains in technology and healthcare sectors while energy and real estate suffered. Companies that adapted quickly have done better than those that did not.
  2. Younger and high-growth companies have gained more value during the crisis, while older and low-growth firms have lost ground. This shows a trend towards investing in future potential rather than established stability.
  3. The stock market's recovery suggests that investors are hopeful about the economy bouncing back despite ongoing uncertainties. This reflects a belief that the worst of the crisis has passed, even though challenges remain.

Illusion, Perception and Reality: Stock Splits and Index Inclusions

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 01 Sep 20
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Valuation Market Trends Behavioral Finance
  1. Stock splits and index inclusions may seem unimportant, but they impact market behavior. They can cause prices to move even without changes in a company's real value.
  2. Value events, gap events, and pricing events are all different types of stock market occurrences. Each type changes prices in different ways, whether by affecting value, closing price gaps, or changing investor sentiment.
  3. Traders often react to stock splits and index changes to capitalize on market momentum. However, long-term investors should focus on fundamentals instead of getting swayed by these temporary market changes.

An Ode to Luck: Revisiting my Tesla Valuation

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 30 Jan 20
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Valuation Risk management Company analysis
  1. Investing in Tesla brings mixed feelings. Some people believe in its huge potential, while others think it's too risky and overpriced.
  2. Luck played a big role in when to buy or sell Tesla stocks. It's important to recognize the difference between lucky timing and real investment skill.
  3. The future of Tesla depends on its ability to grow and make profits. Investors need to consider how well Tesla can compete in the busy car market.

US Equities: Resilient Force or Case Study in Denial?

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 01 Oct 19
💰 Finance Stock Market Investment Strategies Market Analysis Risk Assessment Economic Trends
  1. The stock market has been strong despite bad news, but investors feel unsure and divided about the future. It’s hard to know whether to be optimistic or pessimistic right now.
  2. Some people worry that stocks are overpriced compared to history, but it's important to consider if earnings have also increased. Prices can be high, but that doesn't necessarily mean they’re not justified.
  3. A few big companies have driven a lot of the stock gains, which can be concerning. However, this concentration isn't new, and it often reflects changes in the economy and how businesses operate.

January 2019 Data Update 8: Dividends and Buybacks - Fact and Fiction

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 08 Feb 19
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Policy Corporate Finance Data Analysis
  1. Companies are spending a lot more on stock buybacks compared to dividends. This trend has been growing since the 1980s, with more than 60% of cash returned to shareholders coming from buybacks in recent years.
  2. There's a debate about whether buybacks are good for the economy. Some say they help shareholders while others believe the money should be reinvested in businesses or used to increase wages for workers.
  3. Not all companies use buybacks in the same way. Larger, mature companies tend to buy back more stocks, but many smaller or high-growth companies are still focused on building their businesses instead.

Is there a signal in the noise? Yield Curves, Economic Growth and Stock Prices!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 07 Dec 18
💰 Finance Economic Indicators Investment Strategies Monetary Policy Stock Market
  1. Yield curves can give clues about the economy, but they are not always reliable predictors. It’s important to consider all the data when interpreting changes in the yield curve.
  2. The short end of the yield curve seems to have a stronger link to economic growth, while the long end shows little correlation. This suggests that short-term rates are more significant for understanding economic trends.
  3. In recent years, the relationship between yield curves and economic performance has changed. It's essential to be cautious when using past indicators to predict future markets, as the economic environment is different now.

January 2017 Data Update 10: The Pricing Game!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 10 Mar 17
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Valuation Global Markets
  1. When comparing stock prices, it's better to use price multiples like PE or EV to EBITDA instead of looking at share prices alone. Share prices can be misleading and don't tell the whole story.
  2. Different regions and sectors have their own pricing trends, which means some stocks may be cheap in one market but overvalued in another. Always check the broader picture before investing.
  3. Don’t blindly rely on common rules for finding cheap stocks. It's important to understand the reasons behind a stock's price rather than just focusing on numbers.

Superman and Stocks: It's not the Cape (CAPE), it's the Kryptonite(Cash flow)!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 24 Aug 16
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Valuation Economic Indicators Market Trends
  1. CAPE might not be the best way to judge if stocks are too expensive. It doesn’t give a clear picture of market value or future performance when compared to simpler earnings measures.
  2. Investment success relies on what alternatives you have, like comparing stocks to bonds. With bond rates low, stocks might look tempting even at higher CAPE values.
  3. Cash flow is key to stock value. Companies returning more cash to shareholders than they earn could face trouble, which affects stock prices.

Tesla: It's a story stock, but what's the story?

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 14 Jul 16
💼 Business Investing Stock Market Entrepreneurship Corporate strategy Economic Trends
  1. Tesla is a 'story stock', which means its value is more about its narrative and less about numbers. People invest based on the exciting story of Tesla rather than current profits.
  2. Shifts in the company's story can cause big changes in its stock price. Even small news can move the stock a lot if it affects how people view Tesla's future.
  3. Elon Musk plays a huge role in Tesla's identity. Supporters see him as a visionary, while others view him as reckless. How investors feel about Musk can heavily influence their opinions on Tesla's value.

Icahn exits, Buffett enters, Whither Apple? Value and Price Effects of Big Name Investing

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 06 Jun 16
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Valuation Financial Analysis Market Trends
  1. The entry or exit of famous investors, like Carl Icahn or Warren Buffett, can influence how people perceive the value of a stock. Their actions might suggest they have special insights about the company’s future.
  2. There are different types of investors, such as insiders, activists, traders, and value investors, and each one can impact stock prices and perceptions in different ways. Knowing who is buying or selling can help you understand the market dynamics better.
  3. It's important to trust your own investment judgment rather than just following what big name investors do. Confirmation bias can lead you to only see evidence that supports your beliefs, so staying true to your analysis is key.

Lazarus Rising or Icarus Falling? The GoPro and LinkedIn Question!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 23 Feb 16
💼 Business Investment Stock Market Social media Technology Companies
  1. GoPro's stock has dropped significantly due to slower sales and increased competition. Investors are unsure if it can bounce back or if its best days are behind it.
  2. LinkedIn has seen different trends with more stability in revenue growth. It generates most of its income from subscriptions and matches, not just ads, which helps it stand out.
  3. Valuing companies like GoPro and LinkedIn involves considering their products and market positions. Both have unique challenges but show different paths for future success.

No Mas, No Mas! The Vale Chronicles (Continued)!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 26 Sep 15
💰 Finance Investing Valuation Stock Market Corporate Finance
  1. Valuing companies in tough situations, like Vale, can give investors better returns if done right. Even when the market is uncertain, having a value estimate can still be useful.
  2. Political and country risks can have long-lasting effects on investments. Inconsistent political situations can make it harder to predict investment outcomes.
  3. The amount of debt a company holds can worsen its financial problems. High debt levels can limit a company's ability to recover from market downturns, making cautious investment essential.

Go Pro: Camera or Smartphone? Social Media or Electronics? Price or Value?

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 16 Oct 14
💰 Finance Investing Valuation Market Analysis Stock Market
  1. GoPro targets a specific market of active, social media users, which is different from traditional camera users. This focus helps them stand out in a crowded market.
  2. The competition for GoPro is growing, as other brands and smartphones become more capable of taking action photos and videos. GoPro needs to maintain its unique edge to keep its market share.
  3. Investing in GoPro carries risks because their future growth depends on both attracting new users and staying ahead of competitors. This balance is tricky and not guaranteed.

Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble: The Costs and Benefits of Market Timing

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 16 Jun 14
💰 Finance Market Analysis Investment Strategies Economic Indicators Stock Market Risk Assessment
  1. There are different types of people who warn about stock market bubbles, like Doomsday Bubblers and Rational Bubblers. Each type has its own view on whether we are in a bubble or not.
  2. A bubble can be defined as a situation where stock prices rise significantly without support from the actual company's earnings or fundamentals. It's important to notice the difference between a real bubble and just market fluctuations.
  3. Deciding whether to react to a potential bubble is tricky. You could either reduce your investment in stocks or try to profit from a correction, but both options have their own risks and costs.

Return to the firing line: Revisiting Tesla and hopefully living to tell the tale!

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 25 Mar 14
💰 Finance Investing Valuation Stock Market Company analysis
  1. Tesla has shown great revenue growth, nearly doubling its earnings in a year. This means the company is selling more cars and making more money.
  2. The company's operating losses have decreased, indicating they are becoming more profitable. This is a good sign for investors looking for a healthier business.
  3. Tesla's recent investments, like the Gigafactory for batteries, suggest they are planning for future growth. However, they need to ensure these investments lead to higher revenues without hurting profit margins.

Love the company! Love the product! Love the stock? An Update on Apple

Musings on Markets • 0 implied HN points • 09 Sep 13
💼 Business Investing Finance Stock Market Technology Corporate strategy
  1. Even the best CEOs can make mistakes. Steve Jobs had a lot of talent, but he sometimes lost touch with what customers wanted.
  2. Having the best technology doesn't guarantee success. Many factors like timing and market needs play a huge role in whether a product wins.
  3. Liking a company doesn't mean its stock is a good investment. It's important to separate personal feelings from financial facts when investing.