The hottest Earnings Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Business Topics

1/30/2024: Google Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations

depression2022 • 19 implied HN points • 30 Jan 24
💼 Business Tech Finance Earnings Investors Technology
  1. Google's Q4 earnings beat expectations.
  2. There is concern about Google's search business in the future due to changing user behavior and competition from AI applications like ChatGPT.
  3. Google Cloud revenue growth accelerated in Q4, making it profitable, but there are concerns about the changing landscape of AI and its impact on Google's services.

Starbucks Shares Plunge After Sales, Earnings Miss

Dr.John B’s Newsletter • 8 HN points • 01 May 24
💼 Business Finance Sales Earnings Market Profitability
  1. Starbucks experienced a significant drop in sales and earnings, leading to a plunge in shares due to a 4% decrease in global comparable store sales
  2. The decrease in sales was particularly notable in China where competition with lower prices impacted transactions and average spend negatively
  3. Despite new store openings, Starbucks struggled to offset the declining sales in existing cafeterias due to various factors like colder weather, cautious consumers, and conflicts globally
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Mobileye's Rancid Kitchen Sink

Irrational Analysis • 19 implied HN points • 06 Jan 24
💼 Business Finance Technology Earnings Investing Semiconductor
  1. Mobileye's CFO actions hinted at potential manipulations with revenue and earnings data, raising concerns of corporate mismanagement.
  2. The preliminary financial outlook for 2024 revealed a significant decline in revenue that might continue for a few quarters, hinting at wider challenges in the automotive semiconductor market.
  3. Investors are advised to diversify into safer stocks, considering the uncertainties in the auto semi industry, with Mobileye's situation being a concerning outlier.

Six metrics to assess public miners in earnings season

Miner Weekly • 39 implied HN points • 11 Mar 23
💰 Finance Earnings Regulation Financial News Hardware & Infrastructure Corporate News
  1. Unique metrics are essential for evaluating public bitcoin mining operations, alongside traditional financial metrics like gross margin and P/E ratio.
  2. Metrics such as Realized Hashrate, Price-to-Hash ratio, and Net-Debt-to-Hash ratio provide a holistic view of publicly listed mining operations' health.
  3. Having a variety of metrics helps in assessing the state of mining stocks, especially crucial during uncertain market conditions like a bearish trend.

This company mined bitcoin for free in Q3

Miner Weekly • 19 implied HN points • 09 Nov 23
💰 Finance Earnings Regulation Hardware Corporate Financial
  1. Bitcoin's price and hashprice have been on the rise, showcasing a positive trend in the market.
  2. Several mining companies found success through industry consolidation amid challenges faced by others in the past year.
  3. Riot Platforms effectively mined bitcoin for free in Q3 by leveraging power curtailment credits, showcasing innovative cost-saving methods in the mining industry.

Lawler: Update on American Homes for Rent (AMH)

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 19 implied HN points • 27 Feb 24
💰 Finance Real Estate Investments Rental market Inflation Earnings
  1. American Homes for Rent (AMH) saw a decline in occupancy rate last quarter, contrasting with Invitation Homes.
  2. The average monthly rents of INVH and AMH seem to lead the CPI's Rent of Primary Residence by about two quarters, and rent growth has remained above the overall inflation rate.
  3. Rental inflation remains elevated for many single-family renters despite certain limitations in the rent trend comparisons and geographic focuses of these companies.

Clouded Judgement 11.8.24 - Q3 Earnings + Fed Update

Clouded Judgement • 5 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
💰 Finance Economics Investing Earnings Monetary Policy Market Trends
  1. The Fed has lowered interest rates by 0.25%, now sitting at 4.5% - 4.75%. This move aims to support economic growth and labor market stability.
  2. Software companies reported strong Q3 earnings, with all 29 companies exceeding estimates. There's a positive trend in guidance for future quarters as well.
  3. Overall, companies in the software sector are seeing good growth in metrics like Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which suggests a brighter outlook for the industry.

Clouded Judgement 3.8.24

Clouded Judgement • 6 implied HN points • 08 Mar 24
💰 Finance Guides Earnings Valuation Metrics Stock Performance Market Analysis
  1. Some 2024 company guides are below consensus, possibly indicating a conservative approach to set achievable targets.
  2. SaaS businesses value is often based on revenue multiples, considering future growth potential.
  3. Analyzing EV/NTM Rev Multiple versus NTM Rev Growth can show how cheap/expensive a stock is relative to growth expectations.

Clouded Judgement 5.19.23

Clouded Judgement • 13 implied HN points • 19 May 23
💼 Business Software Stocks Earnings Valuation Metrics
  1. Cloud software companies saw a boost in stock prices, but operating performance is not as positive.
  2. Companies added less new ARR in Q1 '23 compared to the previous year, indicating a headwind in new bookings.
  3. Median revenue growth rate declined in Q1 '23, along with net retention rates, CAC payback periods, but FCF margins showed improvement.

A Look Back at Q1 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement • 12 implied HN points • 20 Jun 23
💼 Business Earnings Metrics Guidance Performance Valuations
  1. Analysis of Q1 public cloud software earnings provides insights for startup entrepreneurs on managing their businesses.
  2. Indications suggest a potential bottoming phase in the software industry with hopes for reacceleration by the year's end.
  3. Metrics such as revenue performance, growth, and sales efficiency play key roles in evaluating the success of a quarter for cloud businesses.

Clouded Judgement 5.26.23

Clouded Judgement • 12 implied HN points • 26 May 23
💼 Business Finance Software Earnings Valuation Metrics
  1. Snowflake reported weakening consumption trends in April/May compared to Feb/March.
  2. The change in data retention policies by customers was a big factor in consumption weakness for Snowflake.
  3. Snowflake's report raises questions about the anticipated acceleration in consumption software and highlights the volatility of consumption models.

Major mining pubcos. have come out of crypto winter, at least for now

Miner Weekly • 0 implied HN points • 13 May 23
💰 Finance Mining Earnings Regulation News Corporate News
  1. Major mining public companies have shown improved financial performance after the crypto winter of 2022.
  2. Mining companies have managed to reduce the all-in cost of mining by 10-20%, contributing to increased profitability.
  3. Operational efficiency remains crucial for mining companies as they aim to generate positive earnings, especially as they approach the next bitcoin halving.

Google Search Mania

Sector 6 | The Newsletter of AIM • 0 implied HN points • 02 Nov 23
🕹 Technology Search Engine AI Advertising Earnings Data Analytics
  1. Google is always trying to improve its search engine with new technology like generative AI, which helps make searches smarter and more useful.
  2. The company recently had a good quarter, making 11% more money than last year, mostly from ads related to its search services.
  3. With over $59 billion from advertising, it's clear that Google's search engine is still a major driver of its profits.

Big Tech’s Revenue Soars, Indian IT Plummets

Sector 6 | The Newsletter of AIM • 0 implied HN points • 01 May 23
💼 Business Technology Finance Earnings Investments Market Trends
  1. Big tech companies are seeing their revenues grow a lot, with a 41% increase reported recently. This is good news for investors and shows that these companies are recovering from previous setbacks.
  2. In contrast, Indian IT companies are struggling and experiencing losses in their latest quarterly results. Experts believe they might bounce back in the next couple of quarters.
  3. The rise in big tech revenue is partly due to cost-cutting measures, like layoffs and stopping less profitable projects. Many are now looking forward to how they'll invest in new technology like Generative AI.

Did Netflix Just Make Their Best Strategic Move in the Last Five Years?

The Entertainment Strategy Guy • 0 implied HN points • 25 Jan 24
💼 Business Entertainment Streaming Strategy Competition Earnings
  1. Netflix made a strategic move by acquiring WWE rights, addressing growth limitations by expanding into live content.
  2. The deal with WWE signals Netflix as a potential bidder for other sports rights, which may affect the future of sports media rights.
  3. Despite past skepticism, Netflix's strong performance in 2023 suggests the need for a rethink of their competitive position.

Deep dive on Axon ($AXON)

Jonah’s Growth Stocks • 0 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investment Earnings Valuation Risks
  1. Axon, formerly known as Taser, is a company worth paying attention to in the investment world.
  2. Paid subscribers of Jonah's Growth Stock Deep Dives get in-depth analysis on stocks and access to investment portfolios.
  3. Detailed information on Axon, such as stock performance, market cap, and financial reports, is available for those interested in investing.

Deep dive on Toast ($TOST)

Jonah’s Growth Stocks • 0 implied HN points • 20 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Earnings Valuation Business
  1. Paid subscribers to Jonah's Growth Stock Deep Dives get detailed insights and access to investment portfolio updates.
  2. Toast ($TOST) is a company based in Boston, Massachusetts, with details on its IPO, stock price, market cap, and more.
  3. The post covers an outline with sections like Company Background, Opportunity, Competitive Advantages, Valuation, and more for paid subscribers.

Part 1: Deep dive writeup on Albemarle ($ALB)

Jonah’s Growth Stocks • 0 implied HN points • 12 Feb 23
💰 Finance Investment Stocks Trading Earnings Valuation
  1. Albemarle (ALB) is a company expected to show strong revenue and earnings growth due to the increasing demand for lithium from the EV industry.
  2. ALB is considered undervalued, trading at a low multiple of earnings despite the positive growth projections.
  3. Analysts are cautious about ALB's future performance, but if EV adoption remains strong, the stock could outperform.

The Nvidia Surge

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Companies Earnings Valuation
  1. Nvidia is experiencing an incredible surge in its stock price, reaching historic levels of growth which are uncommon for a company of its size.
  2. Nvidia has surpassed major companies in market value and stock performance, becoming one of the top companies globally.
  3. Despite the impressive growth, there are concerns about Nvidia's future, such as competition, supply chain risks, and the hype surrounding AI driving its valuation.

At the Crossroads: Bitcoin ETFs & Coinbase

Coin Metrics' State of the Network • 0 implied HN points • 21 Feb 24
💰 Finance Crypto Investing Earnings Regulation Market Analysis
  1. The launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs has led to significant changes in Bitcoin distribution and trading volume, with inflows into new ETFs and outflows from existing ones.
  2. Coinbase's Q4 2023 earnings reported strong revenue, with a notable increase in transaction revenue and diversification into subscription and services revenue.
  3. Coinbase's revenue growth is attributed to factors such as staking services, stablecoins, and new business verticals, showcasing strategic diversification and adaptation to market trends.

Investing Update: Hedge Funds Buys & Holdings

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 24 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Hedge Funds Earnings Market Analysis
  1. The stock market experienced a significant boost, with all three major indices reaching new all-time highs.
  2. Nvidia's exceptional earnings led to a remarkable single-day market value increase, highlighting its crucial role in the market.
  3. Hedge funds are showing increased interest in high-risk, high-growth tech companies, indicating a rising appetite for risk and growth in the market.

Investing Update: Is Energy The New Leader

Spilled Coffee • 0 implied HN points • 16 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Markets Earnings Commodities Stocks
  1. The S&P 500 finished down for two consecutive weeks for the first time since October, showing a short-term cooling trend after many positive weeks.
  2. Energy has emerged as the top performing sector in 2024, with notable gains in oil and energy stocks outpacing the Nasdaq 100.
  3. Commercial real estate prices are rebounding and attracting investor interest, leading to substantial inflows into real estate-related investments, especially REITs.

Coca-Cola is getting a boost from higher prices

Dr.John B’s Newsletter • 0 implied HN points • 01 May 24
💼 Business Earnings Market Share Revenue growth
  1. Coca-Cola has been able to increase prices and gain market share due to the strength of its brands, leading to revenue and profit growth.
  2. The company saw a significant boost in organic revenue in the first quarter of 2024, exceeding analyst estimates and leading to an increase in full-year growth forecast.
  3. Sales of Coca-Cola products were affected by the war in Gaza, with volume growth impacted in the first quarter and uncertainty about future impacts.

Meta loses $200 billion in value as Zuckerberg focuses earnings call on all the ways company bleeds cash

Dr.John B’s Newsletter • 0 implied HN points • 26 Apr 24
💰 Finance Technology Investment Markets Earnings Expenses
  1. Meta loses $200 billion in value due to increased spending and investment forecasts, particularly for boosting artificial intelligence tools.
  2. Despite strong quarterly results, including a significant increase in revenue and profit, the market reacted negatively to Meta's plans of heavy spending on AI.
  3. Mark Zuckerberg emphasizes the long-term potential of AI for Meta, but investors remain skeptical about the company's ability to effectively monetize new AI services and generate revenue.