The hottest U.S. Politics Substack posts right now

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Your guide to watching the US election

Comment is Freed • 63 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Voting Political Analysis
  1. Polls are hard to trust this election because they might be missing certain groups of voters. Some people who usually don’t vote are expected to show up but are less likely to answer polls.
  2. Different states have different rules for counting votes, which can make it tricky to know the results quickly. Some states can count early votes before polls close, while others cannot.
  3. US exit polls are often not very helpful for predicting results. Unlike the UK, they don’t provide clear insight into voting intentions and motivations.

Loose Lips, Loose Cannon

Diane Francis • 239 implied HN points • 30 Sep 21
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Military Politics Government International relations Leadership
  1. General Milley faced criticism for making secret calls to China to prevent war threats during Trump's presidency. He believed it was necessary to calm fears about US intentions.
  2. Milley reassured political leaders and the military about the controls in place for launching nuclear weapons, indicating a serious concern about Trump's behavior during that time.
  3. Despite the controversies, Milley emphasized his loyalty to the country and commitment to civilian control over the military, highlighting the importance of military independence from politics.

If Zohran Wins

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 21 implied HN points • 24 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Voting Policy Campaigns
  1. Zohran Mamdani is gaining a lot of support and could win the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. His rise in the polls is surprising and shows he has become a strong candidate.
  2. Ranked-choice voting means the final results will take time, but early results could tell us a lot. If Mamdani stays close or takes the lead against Andrew Cuomo, it could show a shift in voter preference.
  3. If Mamdani wins the primary, it could change the landscape for the general election and might lead to significant changes in city leadership. His victory would symbolize a win for newer ideas and change.

On academic standards, fair play and Claudine Gay, or: Why principled liberal opposition is the wrong response to unprincipled malicious problem glasses-wearing charlatans

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 147 implied HN points • 04 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Academic standards Plagiarism Antisemitism Higher education
  1. The Associated Press backtracked on their plagiarism allegations against Claudine Gay.
  2. Some readers question the reasons behind Gay's resignation.
  3. Gay's resignation symbolizes a defeat for diversity in American higher education.
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Is It Possible That We Are Winning?

Anxiety Addiction & Ascension • 39 implied HN points • 30 Jan 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Sports Medicine History
  1. Novak Djokovic's victory at the Australian Open symbolizes a triumph over challenges, including the government's vaccination stance.
  2. There is a potential shift in the tide of public opinion, indicated by significant events like Novak's win and other global developments.
  3. The current state of global affairs reflects a complex battle where heroes and symbols play an important role in bringing hope and courage to the fight.

June 12, 2025

Letters from an American • 22 implied HN points • 13 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Legislation Immigration Public Safety Elections
  1. Senator Alex Padilla was forcibly removed and handcuffed while trying to ask a question at a press conference. This shows a concerning response to a senator seeking accountability.
  2. Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem hinted at using military force against California's government, raising fears of a coup against democratically elected officials.
  3. Trump's administration is increasingly militarizing responses to immigration issues, which has raised alarms about the possible abuse of military power in domestic politics.

Xi at Trump's inauguration? China likely still weighing options

Pekingnology • 52 implied HN points • 26 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics International relations Political Analysis Bilateral Relations Diplomatic Strategy
  1. Trump invited Xi to his upcoming inauguration, marking a unique diplomatic gesture. It's not common for a U.S. president to invite a foreign leader to their inauguration.
  2. China is considering whether or not to attend. They might choose to send a representative instead of Xi himself to avoid potential risks and uncertainties.
  3. If China decides to accept the invitation, it could strengthen their relationship with the U.S. while also showing commitment to peaceful cooperation between the countries.

Join my Conversation with Lyman Stone

In My Tribe • 45 implied HN points • 16 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Demography Fertility Public Policy Social Issues Global trends
  1. There will be a Zoom talk about worldwide fertility decline. It's a chance to learn about why it's happening and what could be done about it.
  2. The talk is happening on January 20 at 8:45 PM New York time. Attendees can join and ask questions after the discussion.
  3. The event is for paid subscribers, and the conversation may be recorded for later viewing on YouTube.

Single Point of Failure

The Radar • 19 implied HN points • 23 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Supreme Court State legislature Electoral process Norms
  1. In the US presidential election system, a loophole exists that could result in a legally stolen election, if not addressed
  2. The system relies on electors to cast their votes based on the popular vote in their state, but sometimes electors break their pledges, creating vulnerabilities
  3. The Supreme Court has highlighted the potential vulnerability in the system where state legislatures could manipulate electors' votes, circumventing the will of the people

June 19, 2025

Letters from an American • 21 implied HN points • 20 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Foreign Policy National Security Political parties Legislation Middle East
  1. The U.S. is facing tension with Iran over its nuclear program, especially after Trump pulled out of a previous deal. This has led to new rounds of negotiations and military actions.
  2. There is a divide among Trump's supporters regarding potential military intervention in Iran, with some opposing it while others see backing Israel as important for their beliefs.
  3. Congress is pushing back against Trump's power to unilaterally start a war, emphasizing that only they have the authority to make such serious decisions.

Here comes 2022

Diane Francis • 199 implied HN points • 03 Jan 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Predictions Optimism Trends Analysis News
  1. It's a good idea to stay optimistic, especially at the start of a new year. Positive thinking can help set a good tone for the months ahead.
  2. Many predictions are made at this time, but it's important to focus on what we can control. Preparing for the future while staying adaptable is key.
  3. Regular updates and newsletters can help keep people informed and engaged. It's great to have consistent communication, especially during changing times.

The Gringo-Mexican Standoff

Diane Francis • 319 implied HN points • 18 Mar 21
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Immigration Drug policy Border Security Political Debate Criminal Justice
  1. The situation at the US-Mexico border is not just about immigration but largely driven by drug cartels that control the flow of migrants and drugs between the two countries. These cartels are exploiting the system for profit.
  2. Many people crossing the border as asylum seekers are actually just trying to bypass immigration laws, which is causing strain on US border officials. The asylum system is being manipulated by some migrants who are helped by these cartels.
  3. A serious approach is needed from both the U.S. and Mexico to tackle the drug problem and illegal migration. This includes changing laws, treating addiction as a health issue, and reinforcing law enforcement efforts against cartels.

June 11, 2025

Letters from an American • 22 implied HN points • 12 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Public Opinion Government Policies
  1. Many voters are unhappy with President Trump's policies, with most disapproving of his handling of various issues like immigration and the economy.
  2. Scientists are voicing their opposition to government health policies, concerned that political agendas are compromising public health research.
  3. Despite Trump's insistence on a trade deal with China, it seems more like a temporary solution rather than a substantial agreement, causing ongoing economic uncertainty.

Still Bleeding Talent

The Radar • 39 implied HN points • 05 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Military Leadership Retirement Talent Management
  1. Having centralized and coercive talent management systems can drive out top talent. It's crucial to create a talent market with incentives and agency for individuals.
  2. Military services, like the Army, need to address actual root causes of officer attrition such as lack of control over their futures, poor leadership, and excessive stress on family and relationships.
  3. Outdated talent management models within military services contribute to high attrition rates and lead to the rise of poor leaders. Reevaluating these models is essential for the services to reach their full potential.

The FIRST law Elon Musk and DOGE should ask Donald Trump to dump

Unreported Truths • 54 implied HN points • 13 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Law Corporate Surveillance Rights
  1. A new law requires companies to report their owners' information to the government. Many people think this is a bad idea because it expands government control.
  2. A judge recently ruled that this reporting requirement could be unconstitutional. He said it goes against the principles of how states manage corporate laws.
  3. Business owners could face big fines if they don’t comply with these rules. If the government doesn't drop the appeal against this ruling, many people will be unhappy.

They’re Coming for Your Porn

American Dreaming • 61 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Legislation Civil Rights Social Issues Political Movements
  1. There's a growing movement in some states to criminalize pornography, and this could affect many people, including teachers and libraries. The laws are being pushed mainly by conservative groups who believe it harms society.
  2. Many states now require people to prove their age to access adult content, which raises concerns about online privacy and data security. This could lead to personal information being exposed or abused.
  3. Instead of banning porn, better sex education is needed to help young people understand relationships and sexual health. Open conversations about sex can help prepare kids for the realities of adulthood.

What "Mandate for Leadership" Says About the GOP's Governing Philosophy

Can We Still Govern? • 124 implied HN points • 06 Mar 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Authoritarianism Conservative movement Trump administration Political Ideologies
  1. The GOP's governing philosophy outlined in 'Mandate for Leadership' leans towards authoritarianism and challenges traditional democratic norms.
  2. The document highlights a disdain for science and evidence, advocating for the dismissal of agencies producing research on climate change.
  3. There is a push in 'Mandate for Leadership' to purge ideologically suspect individuals, including enforcing terminations for past participation in diversity, equity, and inclusion programs.

Bad Moon Rising

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 17 implied HN points • 14 Jul 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political theory National Security Civil Rights Authoritarianism Public Policy
  1. There are serious concerns that the U.S. could move toward a situation similar to past genocides, targeting groups like ethnic minorities and political opponents. It's important to pay attention to warning signs that are happening now.
  2. Rhetoric that dehumanizes certain groups, like calling immigrants 'poison,' mirrors language used in historical genocides. This shows how dangerous ideas can spread and lead to violence if left unchecked.
  3. The potential for future violence hinges on current politics and attitudes, especially among those in power. People need to be aware of these changes to help prevent them from escalating.

Will the Joker Emerge?

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 54 implied HN points • 10 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Healthcare Violence Public Opinion Political Discourse
  1. There is a growing anger in America towards the healthcare system that many feel fails them, and this anger can sometimes lead to dark admiration for violent actions against those seen as part of the problem.
  2. People across the political spectrum are finding common ground in their discontent, highlighting a significant rift between ordinary citizens and established institutions, including politicians and the media.
  3. As society changes, traditional forms of celebrity and loyalty are diminishing. New figures may emerge who attract attention, but they could challenge the status quo in unexpected ways.

Harry and Meghan's Nuke

Diane Francis • 319 implied HN points • 11 Mar 21
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Monarchy Racism Media Geopolitics
  1. The British Royal Family is facing serious scrutiny after Harry and Meghan's revealing interview. The couple shared troubling experiences about racism and mental health struggles within the royal circle.
  2. Many Commonwealth nations, like Barbados, are reconsidering their ties to the monarchy. This shift is fueled by historical issues like colonialism and recent revelations from Harry and Meghan's stories.
  3. There is a growing call in countries like Australia and Canada to replace the monarchy with local leadership. People feel it's time for a head of state who truly represents their nation's citizens.

The Case for Unabashed Black Patriotism

Journal of Free Black Thought • 55 implied HN points • 25 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Race relations Patriotism Social Policy Inequality Identity politics
  1. Racial inequality is a real issue, but focusing only on it can be harmful. It's important to recognize broader social problems while also acknowledging these realities.
  2. The narrative that black people adopt about their country matters greatly. They can choose to see the U.S. as a place of opportunity or as a site of oppression.
  3. True equality for black Americans comes from claiming their rights and opportunities directly, rather than waiting for others to grant them equality.

Work. Wealth. Wisdom.

UnfairNation by Ehsan Zaffar • 3 implied HN points • 16 Dec 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Campaign Finance Civic engagement Civil Rights Local Politics Public Policy
  1. Fund the fight. Even modest donations to candidates, organizations, and lawsuits can make a big difference in winning fights and holding power accountable.
  2. Build solutions locally. Start or support community-focused projects and training programs that create practical systems to reduce inequality and help people directly.
  3. Document and show up. Record and report misconduct by officials, and volunteer or support local groups so resistance and relief happen where people live.

More on the Violence in L.A.

KERFUFFLE • 21 implied HN points • 10 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Protests Violence Immigration Police Civil Rights
  1. There was violence during recent immigration protests in Los Angeles, with protesters throwing rocks at police vehicles. This shows a tense and escalating situation between protesters and law enforcement.
  2. The California Highway Patrol responded to the chaos by closing parts of the freeway, indicating that safety was a major concern during the protests.
  3. A detailed discussion on the events is available through an interview, presenting different perspectives on the situation in Los Angeles. Listening to it can provide more context about the unrest.

The Media Beast Targets the Reform

Who is Robert Malone • 22 implied HN points • 10 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Media Health Public Policy Reform
  1. Mainstream media can quickly rally against individuals or changes they don't like. They work together to amplify their messages and create a strong narrative.
  2. Government agencies, like the NIH, can face pushback when they try to make big changes. Even small dissenters can get a lot of attention from the media.
  3. Despite the challenges, some leaders are making proactive changes for reform and transparency. Their efforts show that change is possible, even against tough opposition.

The Super

Disaffected Newsletter • 99 implied HN points • 08 Dec 22
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Education Social Issues Public Policy Identity politics Media
  1. Social Emotional Learning (SEL) is being criticized as a form of brainwashing in American public schools.
  2. Some school officials are very focused on supporting trans and non-binary youth, even to the point of removing political materials from public areas.
  3. There are discussions around unusual topics, like a nuclear waste official who has been in trouble for stealing luggage.

Thoughts on DEI

Logos • 19 implied HN points • 20 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Diversity Inclusion Policy Workplace Social justice
  1. Diversity is important because it brings different perspectives that can lead to better solutions and helps companies find talented individuals from various backgrounds.
  2. However, diversity can also create challenges, like communication issues and making it harder to reach agreement among team members.
  3. To improve diversity, companies should focus on hiring more entry-level candidates. This helps bring in a wider variety of talents right from the start, despite potential downsides like lower average pay for minority groups.

We have filed our responses to the defense motions to dismiss in Berenson v Biden

Unreported Truths • 59 implied HN points • 17 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Legal issues Civil Rights First Amendment Lawsuits Government Accountability
  1. A lawsuit was filed to challenge how the government, Twitter, and Pfizer worked together to ban someone from social media. One email showed direct communication between these parties about that ban.
  2. There are important legal questions about whether people whose First Amendment rights were violated can sue the government for money. Currently, federal law doesn’t clearly support this for First Amendment claims.
  3. Another key point is if unvaccinated people are considered a protected group under the law. This case argues that their rights as individuals should be protected, rather than focusing on their vaccination status.

Rabbit Holes 🕳️ #106

Creative Destruction • 41 implied HN points • 12 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Media Narratives Public Debate Society Leadership
  1. The phrase 'I don't know' is fading away as we rely more on instant answers from technology. This makes us confident but might not actually improve our understanding.
  2. In today's world, attracting attention is often more important than having meaningful conversations. We live in a chaotic ‘attention economy’ where spectacle often beats substance.
  3. There seems to be a rising sense of carelessness in society where people are less willing to help or contribute. This may be due to broader social issues that demotivate personal responsibility.

Stop the Genetic Panopticon!

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 3 implied HN points • 14 Dec 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Surveillance Immigration Border Security Privacy Rights Civil Liberties Law enforcement
  1. The proposal would require travelers to provide five years of social media posts and a DNA sample, creating a large linked database of online activity and genetic information.
  2. Collecting this information would greatly expand government surveillance and make it easier to profile or monitor people without clear boundaries.
  3. The plan raises serious privacy and civil liberties concerns and needs public scrutiny, legal limits, and safeguards to prevent abuse.

Election Update #9: No, Trump is Not Leading Now

Phillips’s Newsletter • 67 implied HN points • 10 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Campaigns Political Analysis Public Opinion
  1. Polls can make people feel either hopeful or scared. Some people focus on good polls, while others worry about bad ones.
  2. Currently, there isn't much change happening in the election race. Even events that seemed impactful didn't really alter the polling results significantly.
  3. It's important to avoid getting too excited or too worried about polls. Small shifts don't always mean big changes in the election outcome.

Stuck in the Middle With You

Some Unpleasant Arithmetic • 18 implied HN points • 29 Jun 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Public Opinion Political theory Partisan dynamics Governance
  1. Moderate candidates often perform better in elections because they appeal to a wider range of voters. This suggests that being somewhat centrist can help win more votes.
  2. Voter preferences are shaped by deeper values and social factors, like trust and cultural norms. These influences can affect how people vote, even if those preferences seem irrational.
  3. While some argue that voters are not smart enough for democracy, it's essential to allow people to express their choices. This can lead to a better understanding of what the public really wants and needs.

Dereliction of Duty

The Radar • 39 implied HN points • 01 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Military Housing Leadership Veterans Legislation
  1. Privatized military housing has led to neglect and substandard living conditions for military families, with reports of black mold, sewage, and pest infestations.
  2. The use of non-disclosure agreements by private landlords to silence complaints from military families about poor living conditions is unethical and unjust.
  3. The decision to privatize military housing has resulted in a lack of accountability and oversight, leaving servicemembers and their families vulnerable to exploitation.