The hottest Elections Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top World Politics Topics

At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#27)

Noahpinion • 13411 implied HN points • 07 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Legislation Social media Bipartisanship Poverty
  1. There are signs of Americans pushing back against the divisive thinking of the past decade, with small acts like a country music singer performing a duet to bridge divides.
  2. Political leanings between young men and women may not be diverging as dramatically as suggested by viral charts, indicating a need to be cautious with data interpretations.
  3. Unions and semiconductor companies have found ways to cooperate, showing that determined industrial policy can overcome labor disputes with significant financial incentives.

Election Countdown, Six Days to Go: Simple Questions About What’s Ahead.

Breaking the News • 1398 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Rhetoric Campaign strategies Voter Behavior Judicial system
  1. Polls may not accurately capture voter excitement, especially among women, which might lead to surprising results in the election.
  2. There are concerns that Trump isn't trying to win new voters and is instead focused on maintaining his base and planning for post-election strategies.
  3. The rhetoric used by Trump and some rallies can be alarmingly similar to dangerous historical rhetoric, raising concerns about the direction of political discourse.

A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong

Silver Bulletin • 1606 implied HN points • 03 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political Analysis Voter trends
  1. A new poll in Iowa shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, which is surprising given recent trends favoring Trump. This could mean a shift in political dynamics in the state.
  2. Pollster Ann Selzer is known for her accurate predictions, but this bold claim may not hold up given the statistical uncertainties involved. The margin of error could sway the actual results significantly.
  3. Different polls are showing varying results, which highlights the uncertainty and complexity of polling in elections. Some polls are seen as more reliable than others, making it hard to know which to trust.
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Who Is Going to be the Next Mayor of New York?

Political Currents by Ross Barkan • 11 implied HN points • 26 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Candidates Polling Governance Political trends
  1. Mayor Eric Adams is likely to lose the re-election in 2026 due to low approval ratings and issues of corruption in his administration.
  2. There are currently five main Democratic candidates who might run to replace him, with some emerging women candidates as potential long-shots.
  3. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo is showing interest in running again and seems to be leading in the polls, making the race more competitive.

The Looming Tech Takeover

Nonzero Newsletter • 304 implied HN points • 17 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Government International relations
  1. Facial recognition technology is causing serious problems, like wrong arrests. It's important to question the reliability of these tools.
  2. Trump is getting a lot of support from tech leaders as he prepares for his second term. This close relationship could change how tech and politics interact.
  3. Biden and Trump are both taking credit for a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict. However, it seems Trump’s envoy may have played a bigger role in making it happen than Biden did.

Election Countdown, 11 Days to Go: Reasons to be Brave.

Breaking the News • 1500 implied HN points • 26 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Civic engagement Political Commentary Media influence Voting Rights
  1. People should be brave and confident in their beliefs, especially during political campaigns. It's important to face challenges with determination and pride.
  2. Leadership and hope are powerful motivators for citizens. Most Americans want to strive for a better future together rather than succumb to negativity.
  3. Collaboration across political lines is essential. It’s crucial to focus on unity and the things we stand for, rather than getting lost in division and despair.

ATW Livestream Tonight at 8 PM ET/7 PM CT

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 1620 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Commentary Government Public Policy Media
  1. There is a livestream event called 'America This Week' happening tonight at 8 PM ET. It's a great chance to tune in and catch some interesting discussions.
  2. The hosts, Matt Taibbi and Walter Kirn, are planning to talk about the upcoming election and how it relates to current events. It sounds like a timely topic with Election Day just around the corner.
  3. They might even include some Halloween themes in their discussions, like what Janet Yellen said about the U.S. dollar. It should be a fun and informative episode!

ONE VIDEO: Donald Trump & the Very Large Faucet on the U.S.-Canadian Border

Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality • 345 implied HN points • 04 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Elections Policy Analysis Media Critique Political Satire
  1. Donald Trump's comments show he has a unique view on how water resources work, particularly regarding water flowing from Canada to California. Many people around him seem to lack the willingness to correct his misunderstandings.
  2. He claimed that turning a 'faucet' could solve California's water issues and that this would cause the state to thrive, ignoring the complexities of water management and environmental concerns.
  3. Trump's statements indicate he believes he could improve the agricultural situation in California significantly, but his ideas seem unrealistic and overlook important facts about irrigation and ecology.

Europe's Final Fate

Diane Francis • 839 implied HN points • 18 Jul 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Foreign Policy International relations Defense Economy
  1. The upcoming U.S. presidential election will impact Europe's future, especially regarding NATO and the Ukraine war. The choice between an internationalist or an isolationist president affects how the U.S. supports Europe.
  2. If the U.S. reduces its role in NATO, Europe might need to increase its military spending and support Ukraine on its own. This could lead to economic instability in Europe as they face ongoing conflicts.
  3. European leaders feel frustrated about U.S. politics but recognize they must adapt regardless of who wins in America. Cooperation will be essential, regardless of the situation.

Trump And The Dirty Little Secret of US Power

Phillips’s Newsletter • 115 implied HN points • 06 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Government Policy Diplomacy Elections Political strategy
  1. Trump has suggested that the U.S. could take over Gaza, comparing it to a vacation spot like the Riviera. This plan would involve displacing the current Palestinian residents.
  2. This idea echoes previous proposals where Trump showed interest in acquiring territories like Greenland and Canada. It seems he believes the U.S. should expand its territory.
  3. Trump's proposal has received support from some political figures, indicating a willingness among certain leaders to back controversial ideas related to U.S. power.

Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?

Singal-Minded • 1147 implied HN points • 11 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Surveys Voter Behavior Political Bias Public Opinion
  1. Some surveys might show that Trump voters are more misinformed than Harris voters, but this could be due to bias in the questions asked.
  2. Americans often answer political questions based on feelings or general ideas rather than specific facts, so misinformation can come from both sides.
  3. The way questions are framed can lead to results that unfairly label one group as less informed than the other, proving we need balanced questions for fair evaluation.

Reminder: Zoom Q&A Tonight

Nonzero Newsletter • 112 implied HN points • 06 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political News Elections Government Activism Political theory
  1. There's a Zoom Q&A scheduled for tonight where topics will include the early weeks of Trump 2.0. It's a chance to discuss other NonZero-related subjects as well.
  2. The call starts at 8 pm Eastern Time and will last about 90 minutes. Make sure to join if you're interested in these topics!
  3. This post is meant for paid subscribers, so if you're not subscribed, you might need to sign up to participate in the discussion.

Dominant But Vulnerable

Bulwark+ • 6584 implied HN points • 17 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political parties Legal issues Public Opinion Media Coverage
  1. Iowa caucuses confirmed Trump's dominance in the GOP but also showed his vulnerability in the general election.
  2. Low turnout in Iowa suggests an enthusiasm problem among GOP voters and a significant portion signaling they are Never Trump.
  3. Trump's active legal battles and courtroom campaign strategy may rally his base but could risk alienating swing voters in the general election.

'ZERO EMPATHY, ZERO SHAME'

Seymour Hersh • 43 implied HN points • 17 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Political Ideologies Leadership Policy
  1. The federal budget can be cut more wisely, starting with reducing military spending like the F-35 program, instead of cutting essential services.
  2. Trump believes he has unlimited power as president, which raises concerns about his intentions for another term.
  3. Elon Musk's young team in the Treasury Department may be using their skills in ways that benefit him financially, raising questions about ethics in government contracts.

An Open Letter to Nikki Haley

Bulwark+ • 6073 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Elections Parties Politicians Campaigns
  1. The Republican party is facing challenges and Nikki Haley is encouraged to speak up against Trump
  2. Nikki Haley is urged to be honest and bold in her campaign, speaking out against Trump and embracing her true beliefs
  3. The importance of Nikki Haley addressing her past actions, speaking out against Trump, and potentially shaping a new role for herself

Save Daylight Savings Time

Silver Bulletin • 642 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Policy Governance Legislation Elections Public Opinion
  1. Eliminating Daylight Savings Time would mean losing a lot of daylight in the summer for most Americans. People enjoy having more evening light, especially for outdoor activities.
  2. Year-round standard time might make mornings darker, which can negatively affect people's routines and mood. This could make things tougher for kids going to school early.
  3. While the idea of eliminating Daylight Savings Time seems to aim for efficiency, it could end up being very unpopular as it takes away something beneficial without offering enough advantages in return.

Controversial opinion: Democrats can win men back

Sex and the State • 23 implied HN points • 10 Feb 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political strategy Gender Issues Party Dynamics Voter Behavior
  1. Democrats need to focus more on winning back male voters if they want to be successful. Many believe that focusing only on women has caused the party to lose touch with men.
  2. There is evidence that some men are feeling left behind and more reactionary. Democrats should engage these men and offer them better alternatives to the right's messaging.
  3. It’s important for the Democrats to change their approach and focus on broader issues that matter to men, rather than just cultural or gender debates. They need to present realistic solutions that appeal to all voters.

Game Theory For Michigan Muslims

Astral Codex Ten • 4404 implied HN points • 08 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Voting Political Behavior Political theory Public Opinion
  1. Sometimes people vote for a worse candidate because they want to send a message to a better one. This creates a tricky situation in politics.
  2. Voting can involve strategy, where people's choices may not just reflect who they like best. They might choose based on tactics to influence future outcomes.
  3. In communities like Michigan's Muslim population, collective voting decisions can show how groups weigh risks versus rewards when choosing candidates. This highlights their unique political dynamics.

The Trump campaign has no grassroots Gen Z meme energy

Jeff Giesea • 818 implied HN points • 08 Aug 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Campaigns Media Elections Social Issues
  1. The Trump campaign lacks the young, grassroots support it had in 2016. It feels slow and less exciting compared to before.
  2. Kamala Harris is gaining momentum with strong support from young people and the media. Her recent rallies have drawn large crowds, showing enthusiasm for her campaign.
  3. Harris is innovating and adapting faster than Trump, which helps her in fundraising and polling. This gives her an advantage as the election approaches.

You don't have to endorse anyone, you can just vote (and other thoughts on the election)

The Intrinsic Perspective • 4533 implied HN points • 04 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Endorsements Voting Political Bias
  1. Endorsements from celebrities and public figures are more common now in elections. Many famous people have publicly supported candidates like Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
  2. Polls and prediction markets are often unreliable in predicting election outcomes. Their predictions don't always match the real results.
  3. Voting should be seen as an expression of your values. You don’t need to endorse someone to make your voice heard at the polls.

All Our Elections are Stolen. It is Why Nothing Works Without Money Printing

Welcome to Absurdistan • 5208 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Corruption Government Policy Politics
  1. The post discusses how elections are being manipulated through various techniques like multiple voter IDs, dead people voting, and ineligible ballots being cast.
  2. There is a focus on the impact of cheating in elections, stating that it can make the country ungovernable and lead to financial instability.
  3. The role of money printing in sustaining the economy is highlighted, suggesting that policies like climate regulation and diversity initiatives may have negative economic impacts.

Silver Bulletin 2024 election night coverage

Silver Bulletin • 1380 implied HN points • 05 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political Analysis Voter Behavior Campaigns
  1. It's important to keep track of election night numbers for candidates like Trump and Harris. Knowing the latest results helps us understand how the election is going.
  2. You can join a chat during election night to discuss the results with others. It's a good way to share thoughts and hear different perspectives.
  3. This information is aimed at paid subscribers, so it's exclusive content for those who support the publication. Being a paid member allows for access to more in-depth analysis.

How Young Canadians Lost Faith in Justin Trudeau

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 751 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Parties Voter trends Public Opinion Economic Policy
  1. Young Canadians are feeling financial stress, even with good jobs, due to high costs of living and taxes. They're finding it harder to buy homes and plan for the future.
  2. There's a noticeable shift in young voters moving away from Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party towards the Conservative Party. Many feel that their economic worries aren't being addressed.
  3. Issues like high housing costs and inflation are making young people rethink their political loyalties. They are prioritizing financial stability over previously supported values.

Transcript - America This Week November 1, 2024: "The Celebrated New York Times Election Week Hit Job"

TK News by Matt Taibbi • 1347 implied HN points • 02 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Misinformation Political Analysis Political Commentary
  1. There is a collaboration between The New York Times and Media Matters that appears to target misinformation, especially around election content. Critics argue that this could influence public perception unfairly.
  2. Media Matters is described as an ideological group that aims to combat conservative misinformation, raising questions about its role as a source for mainstream news agencies.
  3. Concerns were raised about the timing of the article's release, just before the election, which some believe may affect the voting process and public understanding of the issues.

Trump Team Taps Dr. Matthew J. Memoli as Acting NIH Director, to Control Political Games and Push Aside Lawrence Tabak

The DisInformation Chronicle • 2075 implied HN points • 23 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Government Public Health Elections Policy Science
  1. Dr. Matthew J. Memoli has been appointed as the acting NIH director to help ease tensions within the agency during the transition.
  2. There are concerns about the previous NIH leadership, particularly Lawrence Tabak, who some claim has been dishonest and evasive regarding the origins of the COVID pandemic.
  3. Memoli's leadership could lead to changes within NIH, as the Trump transition team aims to remove other officials linked to past controversies and restore transparency.

There’s more herding in swing state polls than at a sheep farm in the Scottish Highlands

Silver Bulletin • 1434 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Polls Elections Voting Public Opinion Campaigns
  1. Many swing state polls show very close results, which seems suspicious. It's not normal for so many polls to match so closely in a tight race.
  2. Some pollsters lean towards the common opinion instead of reporting their own findings. This tendency to 'herd' can lead to less accurate overall polling results.
  3. Polling strategies may create pressure to avoid showing clear leads, causing inaccurate predictions. This can lead to surprises on election day, as true voter sentiment might not be reflected.

2024 Was the Year I Didn't Change Much

Richard Hanania's Newsletter • 2633 implied HN points • 27 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political Commentary Elections Ideological analysis Cultural critique Immigration Policy
  1. The writer feels more confident that mainstream political science accurately describes society, as there's no sign of a democracy in crisis and the economy is growing well.
  2. The writer has become disillusioned with the Tech Right, observing that talented individuals in right-wing circles can start falling for misinformation and conspiracy theories.
  3. Despite facing criticism, the writer values intellectual honesty over maintaining friendships, believing it’s essential to prioritize truth and integrity in discussions about politics and social issues.

Why Is Trump Suing the Media?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 524 implied HN points • 19 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Law Public Opinion Political strategy
  1. Trump is suing media companies, claiming they misrepresented polling data in a way that influenced the election. He believes this was part of a broader scheme against him.
  2. The lawsuit against The Des Moines Register and its pollster stemmed from a misleading poll predicting a loss for him. He sees it as a significant error that affected public perception.
  3. This legal action appears to be part of Trump's strategy to challenge and punish media outlets that he feels have treated him unfairly or inaccurately.

Hopium comes at a high price

Silver Bulletin • 1050 implied HN points • 19 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polling Political Analysis Democratic strategy
  1. Polls showed mixed results, but overall, they were generally accurate in predicting the election outcome. This means people shouldn't overreact to polling numbers, no matter how close the elections get.
  2. Many Democrats believed in a winning narrative that didn't match the polling data. This led to a false sense of security about their candidates' chances.
  3. Voter concerns about issues like inflation, immigration, and candidate age were often ignored by Democratic leaders, which contributed to their electoral struggles. Listening to these concerns is important for future success.

Cordon sanitaire against Alternative für Deutschland begins to crack, as desperate CDU say they are open to AfD support in passing proposals to stem mass migration

eugyppius: a plague chronicle • 198 implied HN points • 24 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Political parties Migration policy Public Opinion Legislation Elections
  1. The CDU party in Germany is now considering working with the AfD party to address migration issues. This is a big change because they usually avoid that party.
  2. Recent violent incidents involving migrants have increased pressure on CDU to take a stronger stance on migration policies. This has forced them to rethink their political strategies.
  3. If the CDU does start cooperating with the AfD, it could shift the entire political landscape in Germany and make other parties less relevant.

Stochastic Terror

Disaffected Newsletter • 779 implied HN points • 15 Jul 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Media Violence Society Gender
  1. The media can influence public perception and actions, which has been evident in political events, including attempts on leaders' lives. It's important to be aware of how narratives are shaped.
  2. Society often overlooks the reality of women's violence, which can lead to misunderstandings about abusive behaviors, even when they are clearly happening.
  3. There are diverse topics discussed in the media that range from serious issues to light-hearted humor, showcasing varied perspectives and cultural commentary.

Predictions and Prophecies for 2025

Contemplations on the Tree of Woe • 2601 implied HN points • 27 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Predictions Geopolitics Military conflict Political Analysis
  1. The petrodollar system is declining, which could change how countries trade oil. This could cause major shifts in global finance.
  2. There’s a lot of conflict happening around the world, and some believe we might already be in World War III, though experts mostly disagree.
  3. The upcoming presidency will be crucial for America. There are concerns about potential economic collapse and global conflict affecting the country.

I Can’t Believe Calling Him Hitler Didn’t Work

Rob Henderson's Newsletter • 4091 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Political Commentary Public Opinion Political History Campaign strategies
  1. People are surprised that calling someone 'Hitler' doesn't always change opinions. This shows that extreme labeling may not impact how others vote or think.
  2. Some fear that Americans might elect a controversial or criminal figure as president. This reflects concerns about the current political climate and choices.
  3. The situation highlights a deeper debate about political tactics and their effectiveness. Some tactics may backfire or become less relatable in real-life decision-making.

Daily Poll Update - October 2, 2020

COVID Reason • 118 implied HN points • 02 Oct 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Polls Surveys Campaigns Public Opinion
  1. The daily updates will share the latest averages for polls leading up to the election. This will help people understand the current landscape of voter opinions.
  2. Currently, the national poll shows Harris leading Trump by a small margin. It's close, so every vote will really count.
  3. The updates will continue consistently over the next 30 days as the election approaches. It's a crucial time for voters to stay informed.

Why Does Pete Hegseth Keep Talking About ‘Warfighters’?

Common Sense with Bari Weiss • 607 implied HN points • 11 Dec 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Policy Defense Government Military
  1. Pete Hegseth wants to change the Pentagon's culture to focus more on military effectiveness and less on political correctness. He believes this will improve how the military operates.
  2. He frequently uses the term 'warfighters' to describe the type of soldiers he aims to support. This suggests he sees them as effective combatants rather than just bureaucratic figures.
  3. Hegseth has publicly supported soldiers who have been accused or convicted of war crimes, which raises concerns among some of his Republican supporters about the implications of his leadership style.