The hottest Labor Market Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top U.S. Politics Topics

Getting grandpa back to work…

Klement on Investing • 2 implied HN points • 02 Jun 25
💼 Business Economics Labor Market Workforce Aging Population
  1. Older workers are valuable for businesses and the economy. Keeping them in the workforce can help boost productivity and growth.
  2. The labor participation rates of older workers are higher in Spain than in the UK, showing that some countries are better at retaining older employees.
  3. Changes in unemployment benefits can motivate older workers to find jobs again, which benefits both the individuals and the economy.

Towards a new Golden Generation

Japan Optimist • 216 implied HN points • 24 Jul 23
💼 Business Workforce Economics Jobs Corporate culture Labor Market
  1. Japan's young generation is set to be economically better off than their parents due to demographic changes.
  2. As labor supply decreases, wages and job quality are increasing in Japan, leading to a rise in full-time job creation.
  3. There is a shift in Japan towards valuing and investing in human capital as the country moves towards a new golden age for its young generation.

METI’s 2025 “Digital Cliff, Part III

Japan Economy Watch • 219 implied HN points • 15 Apr 23
🕹 Technology Labor Market Immigration STEM Education
  1. Changes in the labor market are compensating for the shortage in ICT professionals due to lack of government action.
  2. Companies are offering higher wages to attract experienced ICT workers, and mid-career hiring has significantly increased.
  3. Immigration could be a solution to the ICT labor shortage, but low pay in Japan compared to other countries is a major hindrance.
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Five Global Mega Trends That Will Drive the Future of Work

Workforce Futurist by Andy Spence • 488 implied HN points • 21 Feb 23
💼 Business Technology Demographics Global trends Future work Labor Market
  1. India will surpass China as the most populous country in 2023, impacting global work trends.
  2. Global industries will evolve, creating new job opportunities like robo-taxis and personalized medicine.
  3. Work is unbundling into tasks and rebundling into new teams like techie cooperatives and DAOs.

2025 Macro Outlook

The Last Bear Standing • 36 implied HN points • 20 Dec 24
💰 Finance Market Trends Monetary Policy Economic data Investment strategy Labor Market
  1. The Fed is in a new phase of monetary policy, raising questions about whether easing measures are just beginning or already finished. This uncertainty affects markets and investor confidence.
  2. The labor market is showing mixed signals, with job growth continuing but other indicators suggesting a slowdown. This could complicate future monetary policy decisions.
  3. Inflation progress has stalled, and how labor data evolves in 2025 will greatly influence inflation and monetary policy going forward.

January Payroll Preview

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 58 implied HN points • 31 Jan 24
💰 Finance Economics Labor Market
  1. The pre-payrolls labor market data suggests a decrease in job switching affecting wage growth and unemployment rates.
  2. The 'Great Reallocation' from mid-2021 to mid-2022 has evolved into the 'Great Staycation,' impacting wage growth and labor market dynamics.
  3. There are concerns about demand and supply questions in the labor market, leading to a need for potential adjustments and revisions in strategies.

AI & Satisfaction at Work, AI Agents & More | #282

Boundless by Paul Millerd • 37 implied HN points • 29 Nov 24
🕹 Technology AI Impact Workplace dynamics Productivity Tools Labor Market
  1. AI is becoming a big part of our daily lives, helping with tasks like writing emails, generating recipes, and even providing translations. It's exciting but makes us question how we feel about our work and creativity.
  2. The rise of AI agents could significantly change our jobs, raising questions about employment and how we see work in the future. Ideas like tradeable AI licenses could help spread benefits more fairly.
  3. Understanding changes in the publishing industry shows that there are still ways to innovate and capture value, especially closer to what customers want. It's important to keep exploring these opportunities.

In 2021, Larry Summers Won the Inflation Debate. Now His Victory Is Looking a Little Transitory.

Informer • 98 implied HN points • 16 Feb 23
💼 Business Inflation Economics Policy Labor Market
  1. Larry Summers' victory in the inflation debate of 2021-22 is now appearing transitory as inflation rates have steadily decreased without a spike in unemployment.
  2. Wages play a crucial role in determining inflation levels, with high wage inflation being a reliable predictor of high price inflation.
  3. Keynes and his collaborators emphasized the importance of rising money wages as the essence of inflation, diverging from the Quantity Theory of Money.

March Payroll Preview

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 98 implied HN points • 04 Apr 23
💰 Finance Employment Labor Market Payroll Small business Economic Analysis
  1. The strong headline payroll gains in January and February may be misleading, as demand for labor is slowing.
  2. There are concerns about the labor market catching up due to manufacturing and housing contractions, slowing services demand, and potential issues with small business employment measurement.
  3. The consistency in patterns shown by ADP and NFIB reports compared to the BLS model raises skepticism about the strength in headline payrolls for January and February.

Mr. Haltiwanger and the Austrians

Economic Forces • 6 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
💼 Business Economics Entrepreneurship Market Dynamics Competition Labor Market
  1. Entrepreneurs play a crucial role in the economy by discovering better ways to use resources. They find price differences and opportunities, which helps move resources to where they can create more value.
  2. Measuring how well resources are being reallocated can show if markets are functioning efficiently. When more productive firms gain market share, it indicates that resources are being used better.
  3. There’s a connection between entrepreneurship and market dynamics. By focusing on how entrepreneurs impact resource use, we can better understand economic growth and competition.

The End of Work and the Future of Civilization?

Daniel Pinchbeck’s Newsletter • 11 implied HN points • 30 Jan 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Social Issues Labor Market Technology impact Political Analysis Civic engagement
  1. Artificial Intelligence is rapidly advancing, and it could soon take over many jobs, including professional and manual labor. This change might happen within just a few years.
  2. A lot of people are stuck in their views and find it hard to see other perspectives. This makes it tough to have open conversations about political and social issues.
  3. The impact of automation could lead to millions losing their jobs in the near future. The shift might create more unemployment than new job opportunities in some sectors.

Covidnomics

Diane Francis • 359 implied HN points • 12 Aug 21
💼 Business Remote work Labor Market Economic Trends Workplace culture Public Health
  1. The COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped how we work. More people are preferring remote work, leading to changes in workplaces and housing preferences.
  2. Many workers are quitting their jobs to prioritize safety and better work-life balance. This trend is forcing companies to adapt by offering flexible work options.
  3. Labor has gained more power, pushing for better pay and working conditions. This has led to higher wages and changes in benefits across various industries.

What Josh Hawley gets wrong about me

Of Boys and Men • 131 implied HN points • 23 May 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Social Issues Gender Studies Labor Market Political Economy Government Policy
  1. More men should be encouraged to work in HEAL professions like healthcare and education for a variety of reasons.
  2. It's important to address the gender disparities in occupations like health care and education to better serve clients and address labor shortages.
  3. Supporting opportunities for men in both blue-collar jobs and growing HEAL sectors is vital for a balanced workforce.

Fair Price Theory

Tom Thought • 39 implied HN points • 26 May 23
💼 Business Economics Pricing Market Dynamics Value Creation Labor Market
  1. Every good or service has a fair price, whether it's labor dependent on skill or a product based on cost of parts and labor.
  2. There is no definitive 'fair' price, only the market price determined by what people are willing to pay.
  3. Value of a product depends on consumer demand, not just on the labor or materials that went into it. Pay isn't determined solely by skill, but by usefulness and rarity of the skill in demand.

Why the postwar prosperity was not atypical

America in Crisis • 19 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Economic Policy Labor Market Taxation Income Inequality Cultural Evolution
  1. Real wages for working class people grew slower after the 1970s due to economic policies, like tax cuts, since the Reagan administration.
  2. The post-war US economic success wasn't solely due to lack of foreign competition; trade only increased after mid-1960s tariff reductions.
  3. Shift away from high-productivity manufacturing jobs doesn't explain wage stagnation; the decrease in share of income going to working class started around 1980.

The Company Wants You Back in the Office – RESIST!

Anxiety Addiction & Ascension • 39 implied HN points • 06 Feb 23
💼 Business Workplace dynamics Remote work Corporate culture Labor Market
  1. Many employees prefer working from home for the flexibility it offers in their lives and are hesitant to return to the office for multiple days per week.
  2. Companies are facing challenges convincing workers to return to the office due to changing preferences and economic factors like labor shortages.
  3. Employees have some leverage to resist returning to the office and should consider continuing to work from home to maintain their independence and strength.

Scattered Thoughts on Employment and Construction

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 63 implied HN points • 06 Oct 23
💼 Business Employment Construction Labor Market Economic Trends Housing Market
  1. Positive labor market reports with sustainable wage growth and projected real growth
  2. Residential construction employment is growing, productivity concerns, and insights on housing market functionality
  3. Analysis of employment flows provides insights into economic trends and potential indicators for labor market breakdown

Why Wages Slowed More In Japan Than Elsewhere

Japan Economy Watch • 159 implied HN points • 13 Dec 21
💰 Finance Wages Economic Theory Labor Market Income Wealth
  1. Wages in Japan have not just slowed down but actually fallen, unlike in other rich countries where wages have been suppressed.
  2. The widespread slump in wage growth goes against economic theory, signaling a shift in how consumer demand and wages have traditionally grown alongside output.
  3. One main reason for Japan's wage decline is the rise of poorly paid non-regular workers, showcasing the impact of political factors on wage disparities.

Is the US economy heading for a soft landing? Part 2/2

Global Markets Investor • 19 implied HN points • 21 Dec 23
💰 Finance Economy Market Analysis Recession Inflation Labor Market
  1. The US economy shows signs of avoiding a recession through strong GDP growth, tracked through economic nowcasts.
  2. Retail sales and inflation rates support a soft landing scenario, with consistent growth and falling inflation.
  3. The labor market strength, with healthy wage growth and low unemployment rates, indicates resilience in the US economy.

The Most Important New Disinflation Indicator

Apricitas Economics • 63 implied HN points • 15 Jul 23
💰 Finance Inflation Housing Economic Analysis Monetary Policy Labor Market
  1. The New Tenant Repeat Rent Index provides a more accurate measure of current housing market conditions and predicts future disinflation.
  2. Housing inflation is currently the main driving force behind overall inflation, with non-housing inflation remaining relatively stable.
  3. The 'speed limit' theory of inflation suggests that the growth rate of the labor market, rather than its level, is a key determinant of rent inflation and overall price stability.

A Historic Labor Market Recovery

Apricitas Economics • 56 implied HN points • 09 Apr 23
💰 Finance Labor Market Inflation Federal Reserve Employment
  1. American employment rates have fully recovered from the pandemic, showing a rapid and broad-based labor market recovery.
  2. The recovery is broad-based, with almost all industries and age groups showing increased employment rates.
  3. The Federal Reserve faces the challenge of balancing inflation control with maximizing employment for the ongoing historic labor market recovery.

What Will AI Do For Us In The Near Term?

Am I Stronger Yet? • 31 implied HN points • 17 Jun 23
🕹 Technology AI Science Regulation Economic Growth Labor Market
  1. AI has near-term potential to advance science, especially in complex domains like biology and material science
  2. AI can eliminate scarcity of access to expertise by providing instant and competent support in areas like customer service, healthcare, and education
  3. AI is increasing white-collar productivity through automation of tasks like writing code, emails, and generating illustrations, though challenges exist in the physical-world job market

Children are bad for your career, unless you are a man

Klement on Investing • 2 implied HN points • 03 Feb 25
💼 Business Gender Equality Labor Market
  1. Having children usually hurts women's careers more than men's, especially when they are young parents. Women often leave their jobs to take care of kids, while men generally do not face this issue.
  2. In countries with affordable childcare, women are more likely to stay employed after having children. This leads to smaller wage gaps between mothers and fathers.
  3. By age 50, many mothers earn more than childless women due to better job opportunities, while fathers often make more than non-fathers at both ages. Overall, being a parent seems to have different impacts on men and women's careers.

A Possibly Medieval Future

Via Appia • 2 implied HN points • 25 Jan 25
🕹 Technology AI Development Wealth Inequality Social Structures Labor Market Data Privacy
  1. As AI technology grows, the value of capital will likely become more important, possibly increasing wealth inequality. This means that having money might give some people more power than others.
  2. AI systems will reflect the values and choices of the people who create them. If not carefully designed, these systems can influence society in ways that are hard to change later.
  3. Despite these challenges, right now we have a chance to shape the future positively. People can still learn about AI, influence how it develops, and make choices to enhance individual freedoms.

A She-cession, then a He-cession, then just, a Recession.

Of Boys and Men • 19 implied HN points • 06 Jun 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Gender Issues Labor Market
  1. The pandemic-induced recession initially hit women's employment hardest, but male employment recovered slower.
  2. Female employment was impacted more due to job industries affected by the pandemic and increased childcare responsibilities.
  3. While women's participation rates bounced back, concerns arose over slower job recovery for middle-aged men, especially those who entered the job market during previous crises.

Can demographics undermine Europe’s dominance in global trade?

Klement on Investing • 2 implied HN points • 30 Oct 24
💼 Business Global Trade Demographics Economics Labor Market Productivity
  1. Europe's working-age population is shrinking, which means there will be fewer workers available to drive economic growth. This change could lead to higher wages and inflation.
  2. As global trade patterns shift, countries with younger, growing populations, like India and Africa, are expected to gain a larger share of global trade. This could change the trading landscape significantly.
  3. By 2100, Africa and South Asia could become the main centers of global trade, while Europe's influence might drop to below 20%. This shows a major shift in where economic power will lie in the future.

#15: Maybe You Should Invest in Translation

Loeber on Substack • 6 HN points • 19 Jan 24
🕹 Technology AI Translation Internet Labor Market Investing
  1. Translation is the next big thing in AI with significant global impact
  2. Advancements in speech-to-text, text-to-speech, and style transfer technologies are converging to revolutionize language translation
  3. Ubiquitous translation will greatly increase global connectivity, impact labor markets, and present investment opportunities in software, hardware, and geographic levels