The hottest Banking Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics
Dr. Pippa's Pen & Podcast β€’ 69 implied HN points β€’ 02 Jul 25
  1. The global markets are facing big changes, preparing for a major cleanup of issues left from the past financial crisis. This is seen as necessary to fix economic problems that haven't been addressed.
  2. The current financial system is struggling, and there are plans to rewrite how it all works using new technology. This could involve drastic measures to help those affected by the mistakes of wealthier investors.
  3. There are multiple options for dealing with high debt, and one approach might involve using stablecoins to create a new financial system. This could help many people who don't realize the severity of the economic issues.
Technology Made Simple β€’ 119 implied HN points β€’ 26 May 23
  1. Banks are for-profit while credit unions are non-profit. Credit union customers have more ownership and transparency in decision-making.
  2. Credit unions usually offer higher interest rates on savings and have lower fees compared to banks.
  3. Credit unions tend to be more flexible in customer service and product offerings, while banks typically have more branches and services.
The Weekly Update β€’ 117 implied HN points β€’ 24 Feb 23
  1. K33 Research is rebranding and moving to a new platform, launching a research subscription service.
  2. Coinbase, Paxos, Google, and Microsoft are making headlines in the cryptocurrency space.
  3. Layoffs in the industry continue, while partnerships and investments in crypto-related ventures are also on the rise.
The Sunday Morning Post β€’ 117 implied HN points β€’ 24 Sep 23
  1. Banks are tightening lending standards due to economic uncertainty and risk concerns
  2. Banks are responding by decreasing loan-to-value ratios, adding interest rate premiums, and shortening loan maturities
  3. Borrowing money from banks will become tougher in the coming months due to higher interest rates and stricter underwriting standards
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The Odin Times β€’ 117 implied HN points β€’ 11 Mar 23
  1. Silicon Valley Bank collapsed due to financial issues caused by low interest rates and poor investment decisions.
  2. Short-term liquidity issues are expected for founders and investors, but long-term recovery is likely.
  3. Resources like startup ecosystem resources, legal documents, and banking solutions are available to help those affected by the SVB collapse.
Policy Tensor β€’ 117 implied HN points β€’ 04 May 23
  1. US blue-chip equities are a contested and efficient market, so price fluctuations usually revert to fundamentals.
  2. During market distress, patient investors with deep pockets may swoop in to buy assets at undervalued prices.
  3. Regional bank stocks are currently oversold, with prices far below economic fundamentals, presenting a potential opportunity for value investors.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 193 implied HN points β€’ 17 Nov 24
  1. The FTC has accused the fintech app Dave of misleading users about cash advances, fees, and subscription charges. They claimed many people were promised higher amounts than they could actually get and were not clearly informed about fees.
  2. The number of unbanked households in the U.S. has dropped to 4.2%, but there are still major differences across racial and ethnic groups. Black and Hispanic households remain much more likely to be unbanked than White households.
  3. During the Synapse bankruptcy, issues arose about how funds were managed and returned to users. A lot of users may face significant losses, and there’s a push for more transparency and accountability from banks involved.
Japan Economy Watch β€’ 259 implied HN points β€’ 21 Nov 22
  1. Japan's inflation trend is not accurately represented by the headline figure of a 40-year high, considering the measure used is specific and not reflective of overall inflation.
  2. Year-to-year comparisons of inflation can be misleading, especially for products with price volatility, potentially skewing the true underlying trend.
  3. The causes and implications of inflation must be carefully analyzed to determine the appropriate monetary policy response, balancing economic growth with the impact of higher interest rates.
Points And Figures β€’ 426 implied HN points β€’ 27 Feb 24
  1. Interest rate futures, including SOFR and Fed Funds, are indicating market expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year.
  2. The author predicts that the Federal Reserve will not lower rates in 2024 due to concerns about inflation and unemployment.
  3. Considering predictions about the Fed and interest rates, strategies like buying real estate without waiting for lower rates, buying out-of-the-money puts, and playing butterfly spreads are suggested.
The Bear Cave β€’ 816 implied HN points β€’ 13 Mar 23
  1. The Bear Cave raises concerns about Coinbase facing various problems like escalating losses and legal issues.
  2. Previous warnings by The Bear Cave about U.S. banks' exposure to the crypto industry have proven valid.
  3. Silvergate Bank's troubles, highlighted by The Bear Cave earlier, have led to drastic consequences like share price decline.
The Jolly Contrarian β€’ 159 implied HN points β€’ 24 Mar 23
  1. Bank runs often reflect lack of confidence, and denials of trouble can signal trouble.
  2. Tier 1 capital in banking is crucial for financial stability and ensuring debts are paid.
  3. Alternative tier 1 capital, like AT1, provides a buffer in crises but can behave like debt or equity, impacting investors differently.
The Last Bear Standing β€’ 72 implied HN points β€’ 22 May 25
  1. SoFi has changed from focusing on high-quality student loans to riskier personal loans and credit card consolidations. This shift has put the company in a tougher spot than before.
  2. The way SoFi accounts for its loans is unusual compared to other banks, which can create a false sense of financial strength. This method allows them to report higher earnings but exposes them to more risk.
  3. As a bank, SoFi must follow strict regulations that weren't a concern when they were just a tech company. If they don't manage their finances carefully, they could face serious consequences from regulators.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 156 implied HN points β€’ 01 Dec 24
  1. Marc Andreessen claims that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is making it hard for fintech and crypto companies to succeed because it wants to protect big banks. He believes the CFPB causes banks to refuse services to risky customers.
  2. Andreessen argues that independent government agencies like the CFPB aren't accountable to the public and can act without checks. He feels this restricts innovation in financial services.
  3. Despite claims of 'debanking,' major companies are still engaging in crypto activities. The claims about being pushed out due to regulatory pressures may not reflect the whole truth about the market's adaptability.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 59 implied HN points β€’ 15 Jun 25
  1. Circle and Chime recently went public, and their early trading performance suggests a strong market interest in fintech companies right now.
  2. Circle makes most of its money from interest on reserves, but predicting short-term rates is really tricky, which could impact its future performance.
  3. Coinbase has introduced a new credit card that offers users the chance to earn Bitcoin back on purchases, showing how the crypto market is expanding with exciting product options.
Without Warning β€’ 98 implied HN points β€’ 05 Oct 23
  1. SPVs are strategic tools used by the Federal Reserve in times of crisis.
  2. The Fed has used SPVs to provide emergency liquidity during crises since the Global Financial Crisis.
  3. Historically, the Fed's use of SPVs has been within its legal authority and not for evading limitations.
The Glenn Meder Newsletter β€’ 98 implied HN points β€’ 12 Mar 23
  1. Bank runs can happen quickly and be contagious, so it's important to consider how to protect your assets.
  2. Consider diversifying your assets outside of the banking system, such as through crypto or physical gold and silver.
  3. Learn how to protect yourself while shopping online by watching a masterclass replay for powerful information.
Modern Value Investing β€’ 98 implied HN points β€’ 12 Mar 23
  1. US banks are facing increased risks of deposit outflows due to systemic vulnerabilities in the banking system.
  2. Unattractive interest rates on deposits compared to treasuries have left US banks trapped without sacrificing profitability.
  3. The FED must act quickly by reducing interest rates to stabilize the banking system and prevent further harm to the economy.
Net Interest β€’ 12 implied HN points β€’ 21 Nov 25
  1. The US mortgage market has materially shrunk relative to the economy and housing wealth because the big refinancing boom ended once rates rose, removing a huge source of mortgage flow.
  2. New mortgage activity is now driven by purchases, but investors and lenders are very risk averse and credit standards plus regulatory costs have tightened, so many buyers get denied or face pricier loans.
  3. High home prices combined with much higher mortgage rates have made moving and first-time buying unaffordable for many, raising the average buyer age and slowing loan growth for banks and originators.
CalculatedRisk Newsletter β€’ 14 implied HN points β€’ 14 Nov 25
  1. The mortgage delinquency rate rose to 3.99% in Q3 2025, which is higher than both the previous quarter and last year.
  2. FHA loans are seeing the worst performance, with serious delinquencies increasing significantly compared to conventional loans.
  3. Factors like a weaker job market, increased personal debts, and rising costs are putting stress on FHA homeowners, making it harder for them to keep up with their mortgage payments.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 59 implied HN points β€’ 01 Jun 25
  1. Quaint Oak and Hatch Bank faced enforcement actions related to compliance with anti-money laundering laws. These actions highlight ongoing regulatory scrutiny in the banking and fintech sectors.
  2. The CFPB is supporting a challenge to the open banking rule, which could lead to significant changes in how financial data is shared. This implies that fintech companies may need to brace for new regulatory hurdles.
  3. Recent data shows many households are struggling with financial obligations, like student loans and buy now, pay later payments. This indicates a broader concern about financial stability among everyday consumers.
Ruben Ugarte's Growth Needleβ„’ β€’ 39 implied HN points β€’ 20 Feb 24
  1. JPMorgan Chase is opening more physical branches, even though many think they're outdated. This shows that sometimes going against the trend can be a smart move.
  2. The bandwagon effect can lead people to make poor decisions just because others are doing something. It's important to think critically instead of just following the crowd.
  3. To resist the bandwagon effect, consider your own goals, gather diverse opinions, and take time to analyze options before making decisions. This can help you make better choices.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 37 implied HN points β€’ 27 Jul 25
  1. FHFA Director Pulte is publicly criticizing Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates, claiming it's harming homeownership. His aggressive stance has caught media attention and raised some eyebrows in financial circles.
  2. Connecticut's Department of Banking has denied a public information request for an accreditation report, arguing it could harm the banking system. This move has sparked confusion as to how a positive report could be seen as dangerous.
  3. JPMorgan Chase plans to charge third-parties for accessing consumer banking data, which is stirring up tension between traditional banks and fintech companies. This fee structure highlights an ongoing divide in the financial services landscape.
Japan Economy Watch β€’ 279 implied HN points β€’ 24 Jun 22
  1. Japan's inflation rate may not be as high as it seems, with different measures showing varying results.
  2. Central banks like the Bank of Japan use 'core' inflation rates that exclude volatile items to gauge long-term trends.
  3. The challenge for Japan's economy is to achieve healthy inflation driven by domestic demand rather than by high import prices.
Concoda β€’ 308 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 24
  1. The U.S. repo market is crucial for dollar funding but lacks transparency.
  2. The GCF repo serves as an interdealer market where traders compete for market-making spreads.
  3. Understanding the inner workings of the GCF repos unveils influential chains in global finance.
Concoda β€’ 453 implied HN points β€’ 15 Jul 23
  1. The Eurodollar system emerged post-WWII to store dollars outside the US banking system.
  2. America's global security pact led major banks to set up branches worldwide, creating the global dollar funding complex.
  3. The Eurodollar system involves a complex network of trades in Eurodollar markets.
Concoda β€’ 286 implied HN points β€’ 20 Feb 24
  1. Dollar liquidity remains high with low failures to deliver, stable bond volatility, tight dealer repo spreads, and tightening cross-currency bases
  2. Changes in the Fed's rescue mechanism are upcoming, as discussed in a recent post by Concoda
  3. Exploration of the transformation in the repo market and its potential impact on other dollar markets
Pinecone Weekly Brief β€’ 78 implied HN points β€’ 18 Mar 23
  1. The post is about March Madness in banking and credit.
  2. There are images in the post related to the content.
  3. The author provides links for further information and disclosures at the end of the post.
Innovation Nation β€’ 78 implied HN points β€’ 09 Aug 23
  1. Identifying buildings likely to default can be done using AI and various data sources.
  2. Banks could be potential counter-parties for this investment strategy.
  3. There is potential for huge profits by betting against commercial real estate using a well-informed strategy.
The Sunday Morning Post β€’ 78 implied HN points β€’ 09 Jul 23
  1. Bank runs can still happen today, triggered by various factors like social media rumors and liquidity issues
  2. The FDIC, established in 1933, guarantees a certain amount of depositors' funds to prevent bank runs and provide stability to the banking system
  3. Modern banking faces new challenges like swift fund transfers, online activism affecting stock prices, and the need for regulators to adapt to the changing landscape
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 44 implied HN points β€’ 22 Jun 25
  1. The CFPB is involved in a bankruptcy case for Synapse, which could lead to financial relief for depositors who lost money. They may use a fund designed to help consumers if they win a judgment against Synapse.
  2. Paddle had to pay a $5 million fine for its role in enabling tech support scams that tricked consumers, especially the elderly. Now, Paddle is banned from processing payments for such deceptive businesses.
  3. MoneyGram settled for $250,000 after allegations of mishandling customer money transfers. They must now follow consumer protection laws better to ensure timely transactions and accurate information.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 09 Feb 25
  1. Debanking is becoming a major topic, especially around the access of crypto companies to traditional banking. This issue has been fueled by public statements from influential figures like Marc Andreessen.
  2. There are claims of political bias in banking, particularly against conservative individuals and businesses. Some people argue that banks are closing accounts for political or ideological reasons, though banks deny this.
  3. Both Republicans and Democrats recognize debanking as a significant problem, but they have different views on its causes and solutions. Democrats are pushing for protections against unfair account closures, while Republicans want legislation to ensure fair access to banking.
Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality β€’ 7 implied HN points β€’ 09 Dec 25
  1. Rapid productivity-driven decline in a large sector can cut incomes, reduce both consumption and investment, and create a persistent aggregate demand shortfall that monetary policy may struggle to fix at the zero lower bound.
  2. Policy options include engineering expected inflation to lower real rates, using government loan or bank guarantees to shift risk and spur investment, or running large-scale public borrowing and spending to restore jobs and restructure the economy; some argue massive public investment is the most reliable route.
  3. Economists split on framing the problem β€” focusing on the savings-investment flow versus money supply and velocity β€” and resolving the crisis probably requires combining both perspectives.
Concoda β€’ 437 implied HN points β€’ 18 Jun 23
  1. The repo market plays a crucial role in providing liquidity to the financial system globally.
  2. The repo market structure involves lenders like money market funds connecting with borrowers like hedge funds through various intermediaries.
  3. Recent changes in the repo market dynamics may lead to the Fed utilizing it as a tool for market stimulation.
Fintech Business Weekly β€’ 89 implied HN points β€’ 26 Jan 25
  1. CBW is accusing the FDIC of racial and gender discrimination in their handling of a significant penalty against the bank. They argue that their leadership has faced bias because of their backgrounds.
  2. A grand jury is investigating the situation surrounding Synapse Financial Technologies, and former employees are being subpoenaed for documents related to potential misconduct.
  3. Patriot Bank is under scrutiny from regulators and has been designated as 'troubled', which means it has to make major changes to its operations and compliance practices.