The hottest Banking Substack posts right now

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The Fed's Hidden Put

Concoda • 437 implied HN points • 18 Jun 23
💰 Finance Markets Liquidity Funding Monetary Policy Banking
  1. The repo market plays a crucial role in providing liquidity to the financial system globally.
  2. The repo market structure involves lenders like money market funds connecting with borrowers like hedge funds through various intermediaries.
  3. Recent changes in the repo market dynamics may lead to the Fed utilizing it as a tool for market stimulation.

Long Take: Is Apple's Goldman-powered 4.15% yield account the fintech apocalypse?

The Fintech Blueprint • 491 implied HN points • 19 Apr 23
💰 Finance Big Tech Banking Lending Blockchain Wealth Management
  1. Apple has launched a Savings account with a 4.15% yield through Goldman Sachs, creating a disruptive financial product.
  2. Goldman Sachs plays a significant role in the product's distribution, benefiting from Apple's massive consumer base.
  3. Other big tech companies like Google, PayPal, and Ant Financial have also made inroads into financial services, showcasing a trend towards tech-powered banking.

The Demise of Silicon Valley Bank

Net Interest • 496 implied HN points • 10 Mar 23
💰 Finance Banking Regulation Deposits Securities Bailout
  1. The demise of Silicon Valley Bank was caused by a collapse due to interest rate risk management and significant deposit outflows.
  2. Silicon Valley Bank's strategy of investing in securities was affected when rising interest rates led to significant unrealized losses, making the bank technically insolvent.
  3. The bank faced challenges in managing deposit outflows and was unable to satisfy demands due to a concentrated customer base and limited options like tapping into its securities portfolio.

The Smallest Bank in Tennessee Grew Fast With BaaS. Why It May Give The Entire Industry A Hangover.

Fintech Business Weekly • 267 implied HN points • 27 Aug 23
💰 Finance Banking Fintech Regulation Partnerships Deposits
  1. The smallest bank in Tennessee saw significant growth by leveraging BaaS partnerships, but this rapid expansion may raise concerns about the bank's ability to manage increased complexity.
  2. The Herrington family behind Lineage Bank has a history of running banks, facing challenges and controversies in their previous ventures.
  3. Synapse, a key BaaS partner of Lineage Bank, has faced regulatory scrutiny and may be pressuring Lineage to approve more programs, highlighting risks in complex financial partnerships.

Endgame #3

The Dollar Endgame • 119 implied HN points • 29 Nov 23
💰 Finance Economy Investments Monetary Policy Real Estate Banking
  1. Japan adjusted its bond yield control policy in an effort to curb interest rates, showing the delicate balance between stimulating the economy and managing debt.
  2. The United States is experiencing increases in national debt and a housing market slowdown due to rising interest rates impacting new home and car sales.
  3. Gold prices have been rising as a safe haven investment, influenced by a weakening dollar and central banks acquiring significant amounts of gold, serving as a potential indicator of future monetary debasement.

4 US banks crash in 2 months: Banking crisis explained by economist Michael Hudson

Geopolitical Economy Report • 458 implied HN points • 07 May 23
💰 Finance Banking Regulation Derivatives Market volatility
  1. Economist Michael Hudson discusses the collapse of four US banks in two months, including First Republic Bank being taken over by JP Morgan Chase, highlighting the deep ties between government regulators and bankers.
  2. The collapse of banks like First Republic Bank can be attributed to high ratios of uninsured deposits and risky long-term mortgages, demonstrating systemic issues in the banking sector.
  3. The banking crisis is a result of the government's bailout policies, with large banks like JP Morgan Chase being given favorable deals despite being rated as the riskiest, leading to the undue burden on the economy and the potential for a deep financial collapse.

Blue Ridge "Explores Options" For Capital Raise As It Reduces BaaS, Fintech Exposure

Fintech Business Weekly • 126 implied HN points • 19 Nov 23
💰 Finance Banking Regulation Lending Payments Compliance
  1. Blue Ridge Bank is looking to raise capital and reduce its exposure to banking-as-a-service and fintech.
  2. States like California and Wisconsin are regulating earned wage access, which is positive but adds compliance challenges.
  3. Plaid has launched a subsidiary as a consumer reporting agency, moving towards offering cash flow underwriting services.

US bank bailout benefited billionaires, exposing corruption: 'I understand why Americans are angry'

Geopolitical Economy Report • 418 implied HN points • 14 Apr 23
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Corruption Regulation Banking Inequality Corporations
  1. Before the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, it lobbied to remove regulations and then received a bailout, benefiting billionaires. Americans are angry at the corruption.
  2. US banks collapsed in March 2023, leading to massive bailouts for wealthy depositors, showing a pattern of blatant corruption and regulatory capture in Washington.
  3. The banking crisis is far from over as unrealized losses on investment securities have reached over $600 billion, indicating a potential larger collapse ahead due to rising market interest rates.

Future of Goldman's "Platform Solutions" Looks Grim

Fintech Business Weekly • 170 implied HN points • 24 Sep 23
💰 Finance Fintech Banking Cryptocurrency Regulation
  1. Eco shut down its banking app and laid off its team as it focuses on new money initiatives with cryptocurrency.
  2. Goldman Sachs is near selling GreenSky, indicating a bleak future for its "Platform Solutions" division.
  3. CFPB warns that lenders using AI must provide specific reasons for adverse actions and initiates rulemaking to remove medical debt from credit reports.

Why 3 US banks collapsed in 1 week: Economist Michael Hudson explains

Geopolitical Economy Report • 358 implied HN points • 15 Mar 23
💰 Finance Banking Regulation Derivatives Interest Rates
  1. Economist Michael Hudson discussed the collapse of US banks, noting similarities to the 2008 financial crisis and the reliance on government bailouts.
  2. The Federal Reserve's handling of interest rates and bailouts in response to bank collapses indicates systemic issues in the financial sector.
  3. Derivatives, specifically highly leveraged bets, are looming as a significant risk for the banking sector and could trigger the next big crash.

The Dying Banks and the Singularity

The Dollar Endgame • 339 implied HN points • 12 May 23
💰 Finance Banking Investments Market Regulations Risk management
  1. There is a financial crisis brewing with banks collapsing and facing liquidity issues, leading to a rapid withdrawal of funds from the system.
  2. Banks like Silicon Valley Bank have made risky investments with high-end clients, creating vulnerabilities in the financial sector.
  3. The Federal Reserve's policies have inadvertently caused a drain on traditional banks, pushing money into shadow banks and triggering a potential chain of bank failures.

Eurodollar I: Origins

The Dollar Endgame • 139 implied HN points • 07 Oct 23
💰 Finance Banking Central Bank Financial Stability
  1. There exists a secret financial system, the Eurodollar System, that operates outside traditional financial regulations and could impact the global economy significantly.
  2. In the history of banking, innovations like private banks and clearing systems arose to address challenges like widely circulated banknotes and redemption issues.
  3. The Federal Reserve was created based on existing reserve bank systems, adding the revolutionary concept of the money printer and bank reserves, paving the way for expansion of credit creation.

Is the Fed Financing the FDIC?

Without Warning • 176 implied HN points • 04 Sep 23
💰 Finance Federal Reserve Insurance Banking Liquidity
  1. The FDIC is primarily funded by banking industry fees, not congressional appropriation.
  2. During the Global Financial Crisis, the FDIC did not borrow money from the Fed but instead used clever financial maneuvers like prepayments to maintain liquidity.
  3. The FDIC may be utilizing the Fed's loans as a form of financing, with evidence suggesting that FDIC guarantees are used to back these loans, allowing for liquidity creation.

Did the debt ceiling deal really save the US from bankruptcy?

Geopolitical Economy Report • 259 implied HN points • 25 Jun 23
💰 Finance Debt Inflation Banking Economy Reserves
  1. The US's debt situation is a small part of the global debt puzzle, with rising interest rates creating challenges not only for the US but also for poorer countries dependent on dollar debt.
  2. The debt deal exacerbates the unproductive nature of debt as it has been used to replace income for individuals and constrain companies from expansion and investment in productive capacity.
  3. The financial system will face challenges including declining value of US treasuries impacting banking system resilience, inflation persisting, and US dollar losing hegemony due to rising debt and market liquidity issues.

Was Fintech's Biggest Lending "Innovation" A Willingness To Serve Riskier Borrowers By Charging Higher Rates?

Fintech Business Weekly • 237 implied HN points • 09 Jul 23
💰 Finance Fintech Lending Venture Capital Banking
  1. Fintech lenders rely heavily on conventional credit scores like FICO and possibly overcharge riskier borrowers.
  2. Fintech's main 'innovation' is serving borrowers banks reject by charging higher interest rates.
  3. Goldman Sachs is looking to offload its Apple partnership, showcasing the shifting landscape of fintech engagements.

The lies we tell ourselves

Known Unknowns • 275 implied HN points • 03 Apr 23
💰 Finance Economy Policy Banking Investments Regulations
  1. Interest rates may not return to normal, so be cautious. Collective DC plans might not be as ideal as they seem.
  2. Don't expect a recession to automatically solve inflation issues; it may not work as expected.
  3. Inflation brings uncertainty, making high real yields essential, and planning for Social Security reforms could involve risky collective DC plans.

What Happened to the OCC's Chief Fintech Officer?

Fintech Business Weekly • 133 implied HN points • 10 Sep 23
💼 Business Fintech Banking Regulation Investment Startups
  1. The OCC's Chief Fintech Officer mysteriously disappeared from his role, raising questions about his background and qualifications.
  2. CFPB Director highlights Apple and Google's control over mobile payments, calling out potential anti-competitive practices.
  3. FDIC's Q2 Banking Profile shows declining net income, slightly reduced net interest margins, and continued unrealized losses in banks' securities portfolios.

The Macro Story of SVB Isn't Just About the Fed

Without Warning • 196 implied HN points • 05 Jul 23
💼 Business Banking Regulation Economics Risk management Innovation
  1. SVB's business model relies heavily on uninsured deposits to support the innovation sector.
  2. The narrative around SVB's challenges involves blaming the Fed for its interest rate policies and the impact on bank assets and liabilities.
  3. The uniqueness of SVB's model in banking the Silicon Valley innovation economy raises questions about regulatory changes and potential consequences for American innovation.