The hottest Investing Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

Secret Diary of a Hedge Fund Allocator

Net Interest • 13 implied HN points • 13 Jun 25
💰 Finance Investing Hedge Funds Market Analysis Risk management Capital allocation
  1. Hedge funds offer a way for individual investors to access top managers and diversify their investments, but they often come with extra fees that can eat into returns.
  2. The Brevan Howard fund stands out for its ability to manage risk and provide steady returns, even in tough market conditions, making it a reliable choice for investors.
  3. Investing in hedge funds can be a rollercoaster ride with ups and downs, so it's important to learn from both your successes and failures when picking managers.

Do you want to pay startup prices for public companies?

Alex's Personal Blog • 65 implied HN points • 05 Feb 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Earnings Public Companies Venture Capital
  1. Palantir's stock has skyrocketed, making it the most expensive on the S&P 500. This raises questions about whether its high valuation is justified based on its earnings.
  2. The stock market is behaving irrationally, sometimes valuing companies like startups even when they are publicly traded and have slower growth forecasts.
  3. Investors should be careful with risky trades like shorting stocks because the market can stay irrational longer than you can handle.

3 Stocks I Have My Eye On

Spilled Coffee • 40 implied HN points • 12 Feb 25
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Financial Analysis Market Trends Economic Indicators
  1. The author is watching three different stocks, each in a unique situation. One stock is doing very well and hitting all-time highs.
  2. Another stock is currently at a multi-year low, indicating it might be a good buying opportunity.
  3. The third stock is slowly recovering from a significant drop and showing signs of improvement, suggesting it could be turning around.

52 Tiny Venture Lessons

The Generalist • 860 implied HN points • 31 Oct 24
💼 Business Investing Venture Capital Entrepreneurship Market Trends Startup Culture
  1. Look for unique people when investing. Different or strange backgrounds often lead to surprising success, so don’t just focus on traditional markers like good grades.
  2. Create your own investing strategy. Trying to copy what others do won't work for you, so find a method that fits your own strengths and experiences.
  3. Help without overstepping. It’s important to support startups when they ask, but don't check in too often or interfere unnecessarily.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:

SEC Sues Consensys (Metamask) over Swap and Staking + Q&A

DeFi Education • 559 implied HN points • 29 Jun 24
🔮 Crypto Blockchain Regulation DeFi Investing Technology
  1. The SEC has sued Consensys, which owns Metamask, over issues related to swapping and staking Ethereum. This means there are legal problems in the way these services operate.
  2. There seems to be a contradiction in the SEC's actions, as they recently approved an ETH spot ETF while also targeting staking services. This might confuse many in the crypto community.
  3. Some believe that the SEC's actions can actually help clarify regulations for decentralized finance (DeFi). It could discourage companies from trying to act like traditional middlemen in crypto.

Junk Bond Trader

Where's Your Ed At • 13056 implied HN points • 26 Oct 23
💼 Business Entrepreneurship Finance Marketing Management Investing
  1. Elon Musk is perceived as a modern-day hustler, skilled at manipulating media and markets without creating tangible value.
  2. Musk's success lies in picking companies and products that promise eternal growth, even if the reality doesn't align with the hype.
  3. The acquisitions of SolarCity, Twitter, and the Cybertruck showcase Musk playing outside the odds, relying on emotion, and making risky bets.

Notes on Chapter 27

Life Since the Baby Boom • 461 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
🕹 Technology Internet Software Innovation Startups Investing
  1. IBM partnered with Apple to create Taligent, hoping to finally compete with Microsoft in the PC market. They planned to introduce a 'guest operating system' idea like their mainframes, but not everyone believed it would succeed.
  2. Miriam's divorce from Matt is final, and she's likely to marry someone Matt dislikes. This adds tension to their already complicated relationship.
  3. Len, now a retired investor, is being courted by a VC firm that wants his help with clients. His retirement status makes him less of a threat, allowing him to offer support without competition.

How Kobe Bryant's $400 Million Investment Win Set The Standard For Athlete Investing

Huddle Up • 55 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
💼 Business Investing Athletes Finance Entrepreneurship Success
  1. Kobe Bryant made a significant investment of $400 million, which shows how athletes can succeed financially after their sports careers. It highlights the importance of smart investing for athletes.
  2. Kobe's dedication and work ethic were key to his success, not just in sports but also in business. This shows that hard work can pay off in multiple fields.
  3. His achievements in investing have set a new standard for how other athletes think about their financial futures. Athletes today can learn from his example.

Clouded Judgement 6.6.25 - How to Spot ERR

Clouded Judgement • 6 implied HN points • 06 Jun 25
💼 Business Finance Investing Entrepreneurship SaaS Market Trends
  1. It's important for companies to know the difference between ARR (annual recurring revenue) and ERR (experimental run rate revenue). ARR is more stable while ERR can fluctuate a lot, which can affect business decisions.
  2. Some signs of ERR include using products on a trial basis or having fuzzy ROI expectations. Companies should look out for these signs to understand if their revenue is dependable.
  3. Businesses should pay attention to where budgets come from and how contracts are structured. Knowing these details can help avoid unexpected revenue drops.

All Roads Lead to Inflation

Points And Figures • 746 implied HN points • 28 Oct 24
💰 Finance Inflation Investing Monetary Policy Economic Growth Debt Management
  1. Inflation seems unavoidable and is likely to continue affecting the economy. It doesn't really matter who is in charge politically; the pressure on the markets suggests we're stuck with it.
  2. To manage during inflationary times, investing in commodities and hard assets like real estate may be smart. These investments can help preserve value even when the dollar weakens.
  3. The shift to private markets and sectors like technology and agriculture can offer chances to earn better returns that beat inflation. However, navigating these markets requires skill and good management.

💥Leaky Container💥

PETITION • 2456 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stocks Retail Investing Company analysis Economy
  1. The post discusses underperforming retailers like The Container Store Inc. ($TCS) specializing in storage solutions.
  2. The Container Store Inc. is known for its premium pricing compared to competitors for products like coat hangers and laundry baskets.
  3. The company's history involves acquisitions by PE firm Leonard Green and Partners LP and an IPO in 2013.

Gold in Resolution

Doomberg • 8751 implied HN points • 13 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Geopolitics Market Dynamics
  1. 2024 may be a significant year for gold investors, due to potential moves by the Group of Seven countries.
  2. There are discussions about seizing Russian assets worth billions, which could impact the global financial system.
  3. The decisions made by the G7 regarding these assets could influence gold prices and highlight its role in the financial system.

As a Nightmare Brews on Wall Street for CVS, Executives Scramble to Quell Investors

HEALTH CARE un-covered • 859 implied HN points • 16 May 24
💰 Finance Investing Healthcare Insurance Stock Market Corporate Governance
  1. CVS executives are under pressure from investors after a bad financial report. This has caused them to make changes that could negatively affect patient care.
  2. The company plans to cut benefits and possibly remove around 420,000 Medicare members to improve profits. This decision could leave many people without needed healthcare.
  3. Insurers like Aetna are prioritizing stock performance over patient welfare. This focus on profits may mean that people struggle to get the medical services they need.

Investing Update: Record Highs Here To Stay?

Spilled Coffee • 84 implied HN points • 25 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Stock Analysis Sentiment Analysis Economic Indicators
  1. The stock market has reached new all-time highs after a rough start to January, showing strong growth. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow have all seen gains already in the new year.
  2. There is a clear uptrend in the market as more stocks are moving upward, indicating a bull market. Historically, new highs in the market often ensure continued growth.
  3. Investor sentiment shifted from bearish to more positive as the market bounced back. When many investors lean towards negativity, it often leads to a rebound in optimism.

Crypto Market Update

DeFi Education • 1039 implied HN points • 26 Apr 24
🔮 Crypto Market Trends Investing Regulation Technology Analysis
  1. Crypto Twitter sentiment doesn't really affect the market directly. It's important to look beyond social media to understand the real market trends.
  2. Understanding where we are in the market cycle can help in making better investment decisions. It's helpful to break down complex ideas for clearer insights.
  3. Being aware of the overall market sentiment is crucial, but it shouldn't be the only factor when thinking about crypto investments. A well-rounded perspective is key.

Economic Calendar for the Week of February 9, 2025

Alex's Personal Blog • 32 implied HN points • 09 Feb 25
💰 Finance Economics Investing Market Trends Earnings Reports Global events
  1. This week has important earnings reports from many tech companies like Monday.com and Zillow. Keep an eye on how they perform as it might affect the market.
  2. There are several key economic events in the U.S. this week, such as consumer inflation reports and retail sales. These can give us clues about the economy's health.
  3. Global economic updates are happening too, with events like unemployment rates and industrial production in countries like China, Turkey, and Germany. These will help us understand the international economy.

Problems at Hindenburg Research

The Bear Cave • 1982 implied HN points • 15 Oct 24
💼 Business Finance Investing Research Media Reporting
  1. Hindenburg Research has been accused of copying or closely mirroring reports made by The Bear Cave without giving credit. This includes similar wording and findings in their investigations.
  2. The Bear Cave has done extensive work on issues such as safety and child abuse on platforms like Roblox, which Hindenburg has also reported on without mentioning The Bear Cave's previous contributions.
  3. There are growing concerns about the ethics of Hindenburg's reporting practices, as many see it as taking credit for others' research without acknowledgment.

How Would Fearmongers and Doomers Invest in The Stock Market?

OK Doomer • 151 implied HN points • 03 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Economic Policy Financial advice Wealth Management
  1. Many financial influencers spread fear about economic crashes but offer vague advice, like hoarding cash or buying during dips. It's not very helpful or specific.
  2. These influencers often blame the government for economic issues while ignoring their own role in creating panic. They don't really care about everyday people's financial well-being.
  3. Overall, the advice given is more about generating fear and attention rather than providing real, sound financial guidance. It’s like eating unhealthy protein bars instead of nutritious food.

DeFi Education Q&A (June 2024 pt. 2)

DeFi Education • 499 implied HN points • 15 Jun 24
🔮 Crypto Blockchain DeFi Investing Finance Technology
  1. The Q&A sessions feature experts with strong backgrounds in finance and software, making it a great opportunity to learn about crypto.
  2. These sessions help both new and experienced subscribers get insights and stay informed in the ever-changing DeFi space.
  3. It's a bi-weekly event that encourages knowledge sharing and offers a platform for questions related to decentralized finance.

DeFi Education Q&A (June 2024 pt. 1)

DeFi Education • 599 implied HN points • 01 Jun 24
🔮 Crypto Blockchain DeFi Investing Finance Technology
  1. Q&A sessions provide expert insights from experienced professionals in finance and software. They help people understand the complexities of crypto.
  2. The sessions are designed to engage and inform new subscribers about current trends in the crypto market.
  3. Participation in these Q&A sessions can enhance one's knowledge and confidence in navigating decentralized finance.

Buffett, Draper, & Partners

Jay's Data Stream • 23 implied HN points • 06 Jun 25
💼 Business Investing Management Leadership Finance Marketing
  1. Mad Men shows the dark side of success, where the main character struggles with his identity and personal relationships due to his career. It highlights how chasing success can cost us our true selves and loved ones.
  2. Both Warren Buffett and Don Draper show that a drive for success often leads to family neglect. While one character battles addiction, the other realizes too late the emotional distance created by his obsession with work.
  3. Greg Abel, Buffett's successor, represents a new way of balancing work and family life. His choices suggest a shift toward valuing personal connections over pure financial success.

Onward and Upward Past 5,000 As Communist China Swoons and AI Destroys More Jobs

Peter Navarro's Taking Back Trump's America • 1768 implied HN points • 09 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Geopolitics Inflation Investing Artificial Intelligence
  1. The stock market has shown a technical rally with S&P 500 surpassing 5000, driven by trend traders focusing more on technical aspects than fundamentals.
  2. Artificial intelligence is significantly impacting the job market, with companies using AI for tasks like layoff decisions, with some notable companies like United Parcel Service and BlackRock making significant staff reductions.
  3. China's economy is being compared to past scenarios like Japan's real estate market crash, highlighting concerns about potential global repercussions.

Winner Takes All

Doomberg • 5270 implied HN points • 17 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Cryptocurrency Economics
  1. In the stock market, rapid swings in market value can be astonishing, such as Nvidia's $270 billion intraday swing – highlighting the unpredictable nature of markets.
  2. Rampant speculation in assets like Bitcoin can be a sign of impending currency devaluation, drawing parallels to historical financial crises like the Weimar Hyperinflation.
  3. Michael Saylor's aggressive strategy of leveraging debt to buy Bitcoin with MicroStrategy serves as a unique case study of riding high in the volatile crypto market, showcasing the power of 'pumpamentals.'

Why the low multiple series: Rental Car companies edition, part 1

Yet Another Value Blog • 2103 implied HN points • 10 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Earnings Financial Risks
  1. The rental car companies Avis and Hertz are trading at extremely low multiples compared to their earnings.
  2. Investors have concerns about the sustainability of the earnings of rental car companies due to potential overearning from increased rental prices and undervaluation of depreciation from high used car prices.
  3. Despite the record earnings of rental car companies, there are serious bear cases to consider, such as inflated earnings potentially dropping significantly in the future.

Investing Update: Insiders & Hedge Funds Bearish?

Spilled Coffee • 48 implied HN points • 01 Feb 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Hedge Funds Stock Performance Economic Trends
  1. January showed positive trends for the Dow, indicating a potentially good year for the market. The Dow was up 4.7%, a promising start compared to the other indexes.
  2. Many S&P 500 stocks are reaching new highs, suggesting a strong market performance. This is the highest level since last November, which could be a positive sign.
  3. Investors are shifting money into U.S. equities, with noticeable inflows in financials and consumer cyclical sectors. This trend indicates growing confidence in these areas.

❄️💥 Quels risques en 2024 ?

Snowball • 1886 implied HN points • 21 Jan 24
💼 Business Tech Finance Economy Startups Investing
  1. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is a major tech company that manufactures chips for various devices.
  2. Experts and global leaders predict risks that could cause crises in 2024 like environmental issues and technology advancements.
  3. The internet's evolution to omnipresence due to smartphones raises questions about implications and opportunities.

How to Value a Startup: Key Methods Every Investor and Founder Should Know

The VC Corner • 539 implied HN points • 01 Jun 24
💼 Business Investing Startups Valuation Finance Entrepreneurship
  1. Valuing a startup is important but tricky since they often lack stable revenue. Founders and investors need to understand different methods to figure out a fair value.
  2. A successful valuation mixes both subjective and objective measures. This means looking at non-financial aspects like the team and market potential, as well as using data-driven methods.
  3. Two common methods for valuing startups are the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method and Comparable Analysis. Both have their own steps and challenges, but they help paint a complete picture of the startup's worth.

❄️ 🎰 Investir dans un monopole monégasque ? Où acheter les ETF Bitcoin ?

Snowball • 1965 implied HN points • 14 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Cryptocurrency Business News Stock Market Economic Analysis
  1. Investing in a Monaco monopoly like SBM can be interesting due to its history and unique position.
  2. The French government agency SISSE has the power to block international investors; exploring its role can be informative.
  3. The SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs marked a significant moment, raising questions about the future of decentralized finance and traditional finance.

What's Going to Happen in Crypto in 2024

DeFi Education • 1398 implied HN points • 28 Feb 24
🔮 Crypto DeFi Investing Market Analysis Regulation Yield Farming
  1. Ethereum is becoming popular because it offers ways to earn returns, like staking, and has a strong ecosystem for different financial activities. This makes it attractive to big investors.
  2. There are signs that more institutional money will flow into crypto, particularly through products like ETFs, which could drive up the value of Ethereum even more.
  3. Many Ethereum holders are likely to keep their investments locked up in various platforms, reducing the amount available for sale. This could lead to price increases as demand grows.

The Art of Crypto Kayfabe

Altered States of Monetary Consciousness • 1076 implied HN points • 11 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Cryptocurrency Markets Economy Monetary Policy
  1. The investment world can be likened to a wrestling league where different assets compete for your money. Each asset has its own story or gimmick to attract investors, just like wrestlers have unique personas.
  2. Bitcoin is often seen as a rebellious fighter trying to challenge the dominance of the US dollar, but it also plays a tricky game of pretending to be both a currency and an investment asset. This duality creates confusion about its true value and purpose.
  3. Like wrestling matches, the market can be influenced by emotions and narratives. The way assets are portrayed and the stories built around them affect how people perceive their worth and make investment decisions.