The hottest Market Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Business Topics

[2025–2026] Week 8: Philip Fisher’s Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits

Behavioral Value Investor • 22 implied HN points • 21 Nov 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Graham's investment approach focuses on protecting against losses, studying past performance to make informed future decisions, and finding undervalued securities. He emphasizes a disciplined, quantitative analysis over qualitative factors.
  2. Fisher expands on qualitative analysis and values long-term company strength and stability. He suggests investors should consider both financial numbers and qualitative aspects like brand and competitive advantages when valuing companies.
  3. Modern investing requires a mix of Graham and Fisher's methods. Investors should incorporate risk awareness, long-term thinking, and adaptability to current market trends, especially regarding intangible assets and rapidly changing industries.

Spotlight: Harriet Brettle – Head of Market Analysis and Business Intelligence at ESA’s Connectivity and Secure Communications

Space Ambition • 239 implied HN points • 28 Apr 23
🕹 Technology Market Analysis
  1. You can switch careers to the space industry, even if your background is in finance or another field. It’s important to follow your passion and explore new opportunities.
  2. Joining space-related communities can help you build connections and gain valuable experience. Volunteering and participating in events are great ways to get started.
  3. Sustainability is key in the space industry, and it's vital to consider the environmental impact of space activities. Every industry needs to be more responsible and think about the future.

Is the "1% Market Fallacy" Holding Your Startup Back?

Venture Curator • 159 implied HN points • 19 Jun 23
💼 Business Market Analysis
  1. Beware of the '1% Market Fallacy' where startups believe capturing a small percentage of a massive market will guarantee success.
  2. Building a successful startup requires focusing on a specific, well-defined market segment to understand customer needs and create a competitive advantage.
  3. It's more effective for startups to prioritize capturing a significant share of a smaller market first before expanding to larger markets.

The Great Curve Wars

DeFi Education • 959 implied HN points • 23 Nov 21
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. Curve Finance is a key player in decentralized finance, focusing on stable asset trading which helps keep stablecoin prices steady. It does this by incentivizing people to provide liquidity through its governance token, CRV.
  2. The governance of Curve is heavily influenced by veCRV holders who can vote on important decisions. Accumulating these tokens has led to a competitive scene, called the Curve Wars, where different protocols try to gain the most influence.
  3. Convex Finance is a major player in this competition, letting CRV holders stake their tokens for rewards while giving up governance rights. This strategy has shifted the balance of power in the Curve ecosystem, making CVX a valuable asset.

How to think about token prices, emissions, and liquidity

DeFi Education • 539 implied HN points • 30 Aug 22
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. Market cap is more important than token price. You should look at the total value of all tokens, not just how much one token costs.
  2. Keep track of token emissions and unlock schedules. Knowing when new tokens enter the market can help you predict price changes.
  3. High trading volume is vital for token participation. A token with low volume isn't worth your time because it can be hard to buy or sell without affecting the price.
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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.3% year-over-year in September

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 19 implied HN points • 25 Nov 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. National house prices have gone up by 1.3% over the past year, showing some growth but still not strong compared to the past.
  2. Different areas are seeing big differences in house prices, with some regions like the Middle Atlantic doing well while others like the Pacific are struggling.
  3. Overall, many areas are facing slower price appreciation, and high mortgage rates are making homes less affordable for buyers.

MercadoLibre, Inc Investment Thesis

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 339 implied HN points • 24 Mar 23
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. MercadoLibre (MELI) is a Latin American e-commerce giant with remarkable growth, experiencing over 4,000% return in 16 years since its IPO.
  2. MELI's success is driven by a strong ecosystem of online commerce, digital payments, logistics, and advertising solutions.
  3. The company faces risks like regulatory changes, geopolitical instability, and increasing competition, but has growth opportunities in the unbanked market and logistics services.

Links - 01/23/2024

Value Investing World • 78 implied HN points • 24 Jan 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Being too early in investing can feel the same as being wrong.
  2. Market collapses can lead to tempting bargains, but also significant losses.
  3. Expert perspectives on future Fed funds rate and ownership changes at Berkshire Hathaway.

OSD 332: Napkin math on the NFA market once tax stamps are free

Open Source Defense • 77 implied HN points • 01 Jul 25
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Market Analysis
  1. If the tax on suppressors is eliminated, it could cause a big jump in demand for them. More people might buy them since they would be cheaper.
  2. Sales data shows that sales of silencers have been rapidly increasing. Right now, there's a growing market for affordable and innovative silencer designs.
  3. Lowering the cost of silencers may lead to an increase in both the number sold and the variety available. This could help new companies enter the silencer market.

Illumina @ JPM - Sustainable Growth

ASeq Newsletter • 7 implied HN points • 14 Jan 26
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Illumina has shifted its business mix so roughly 60% of revenue now comes from clinical customers.
  2. That clinical pivot is already helping drive a return to revenue growth, with the company reporting growth in Q4.
  3. Even if research sales continue to decline, the scale of clinical growth should be enough to bring overall revenue back into growth based on straightforward calculations.

The Rise and Fall of FeFi (Fake DeFi)

DeFi Education • 579 implied HN points • 10 Jul 22
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. FeFi, or Fake DeFi, refers to centralized companies pretending to be part of the decentralized finance space. These companies often mismanage assets and can harm the reputation of real decentralized finance.
  2. True DeFi should be fully decentralized, with no central control or custody of funds. It involves transparent and automated processes to protect users' assets and ensure fair enforcement of agreements.
  3. Investors need to be cautious and understand the risks of centralization. A smart contract from a trusted DeFi protocol can offer better safety compared to centralized options, which can leave users vulnerable.

What's happening with Uranium?

Philoinvestor • 137 implied HN points • 16 Sep 23
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Prices of Uranium have been affected by historical events like the Fukushima disaster.
  2. Global geopolitical shifts are increasing interest in nuclear power and Uranium.
  3. Investing in Uranium is volatile and may lead to sudden spikes, but requires caution and careful consideration.

New York City Hits the AirBNB Kill Switch

The Sunday Morning Post • 137 implied HN points • 10 Sep 23
💼 Business Market Analysis
  1. New York City enforced strict restrictions on AirBNB and short-term rentals due to rising rents and limited housing supply.
  2. AirBNB, fighting against the regulations, faced lawsuits and ultimately a decline in listings in New York City.
  3. The recent enforcement of regulations in New York City marked a significant shift, with few approved permits for short-term rentals and a decrease in available AirBNBs.

Startups.email - Issue #3

startupsemail • 137 implied HN points • 28 Apr 23
💼 Business Market Analysis
  1. When choosing ideas, prioritize hype, quick time-to-market, and short sales lifecycle.
  2. Build products with buzz, fast MVP launch, and immediate revenue potential.
  3. Focus on ideas that generate buzz, launch quickly, and bring in revenue within a short sales cycle.

How Chowdeck plans to succeed where Jumia Food failed — Part one

Afridigest • 55 implied HN points • 13 Aug 25
💼 Business Market Analysis
  1. Chowdeck, a Nigerian food delivery service, is growing fast and has already raised $9 million, a big deal for food delivery in Africa. They focus on local foods that people eat every day, which keeps customers coming back.
  2. Jumia Food struggled because it had high costs and did not adapt its logistics to the food delivery market well. Chowdeck learned from these mistakes and set up systems better suited for food delivery.
  3. Chowdeck benefits from improved technology and infrastructure, like high smartphone usage and digital payments, which help them succeed where others failed. This makes it easier for them to operate efficiently.

The DeFi Roundup (August 20, 2022)

DeFi Education • 499 implied HN points • 20 Aug 22
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. JPEG'd is doing really well in the market, especially with a proposal to increase credit for rare collectibles if people stake its tokens.
  2. Overall, crypto markets are struggling because of worries about the economy.
  3. Frax's founder, Sam Kazemian, is planning something new with Fei, which could be important in the DeFi space.

The 20 Comet AI Browser Workflows That Will 10x Your Productivity (Copy/Paste Inside)

The Product Channel By Sid Saladi • 20 implied HN points • 16 Nov 25
🕹 Technology Market Analysis
  1. Using AI tools can save you a lot of time on research tasks. Instead of spending hours gathering information, the AI can do it for you and help you focus on the important stuff.
  2. Automating tasks like competitive analysis and trend monitoring can improve the quality of your work. You can get real-time data and insights without getting bogged down by manual processes.
  3. It's important to adapt your workflow to new technologies. When you let AI handle the busywork, you can dedicate more time to creative and strategic thinking.

Risk-Free Rate: What is the Price of Risk?

DeFi Education • 759 implied HN points • 04 Jan 22
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. The risk-free rate is the return expected from a very safe investment, like U.S. Treasury bonds, and it helps investors judge the risk of other investments.
  2. As the risk-free rate rises, investors expect higher returns from riskier assets, meaning they want more compensation for taking on extra risk.
  3. In the world of DeFi, expected returns are usually much higher than traditional markets, but it’s important to understand the type of risks involved with different assets.

Coinbase Earnings + How To Avoid Troubled Companies

DeFi Education • 459 implied HN points • 25 Aug 22
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. Coinbase is considered a leading company in the crypto space but still faces challenges. It's important to stay updated on how larger market trends affect even strong companies like Coinbase.
  2. Investors should be aware of signs that companies might be struggling, especially in unpredictable markets like crypto. This can help them make better decisions about where to put their money.
  3. Keeping a close watch on public crypto companies is essential for making informed investment choices. Monitoring these companies can reveal important insights about the overall health of the crypto market.

How to Monetize AI Agents: Lessons from Cursor's Pricing

Enterprise AI Trends • 63 implied HN points • 12 Jul 25
🕹 Technology Market Analysis
  1. AI companies are focusing more on monetizing their agents to ensure profitability, especially in the enterprise market. This shift is important as growth is starting to slow down.
  2. Recent pricing changes from AI agents like Cursor reflect a common trend where companies are moving away from request-based pricing to more stable models, like token-based billing.
  3. Users have reacted strongly to unexpected billing changes, indicating that clear communication about pricing is crucial for companies in this space.

The Wrong Price

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 58 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Thematic investing is dominating the price action, with themes like generative AI boom and strong performance in the industrial sector attracting attention.
  2. Misdiagnosis of issues like prohibitive financing costs instead of asset quality is occurring, impacting treasury markets and regional bank stocks.
  3. Outlook on sustainable disinflation post CPI revisions and the association between regional banks and treasury market are key areas of focus.

WTF is going on at SuperMicro? (SMCI)

Mule’s Musings • 449 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. An ongoing gamma squeeze at SuperMicro has led to a significant buying pressure, possibly due to high volumes of options expiring.
  2. The significant demand for shares due to in-the-money calls can lead to billions of dollars worth of shares needing to be accounted for.
  3. After the gamma squeeze peaks, there may be a period of share buying, but ultimately, there are expectations for SuperMicro's stock to stabilize and return to normal.

When we lost our minds: Pt.1 Overview

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 189 implied HN points • 09 Dec 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Many people believe the 2008 financial crisis was inevitable, but this oversimplifies what really happened. It's important to question how we understand the events leading up to the crisis.
  2. High home prices and rental costs are more about limited housing supply than just low interest rates. Building more homes could help address these issues.
  3. Experts often misunderstood the role of foreign capital and how it influenced the US economy. Rather than viewing borrowing negatively, it can be a way to invest in growth.

Hedge Funds - A Beginner's Guide

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 199 implied HN points • 01 Jun 23
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Hedge funds are private investment funds managed by professionals who use different strategies to earn high returns for wealthy investors. They're not open to everyone, and there's less regulation.
  2. Hedge funds can use strategies like long and short selling to profit from market changes. Long selling means buying with the hope the price will go up, while short selling means selling borrowed assets to profit if prices drop.
  3. Many people dislike hedge fund managers due to a lack of transparency and the perception that they profit during tough times for others. Plus, it's tough for regular folks to invest in hedge funds as they often have high minimum requirements.

Alfa Leak: What is Alpha?

DeFi Education • 679 implied HN points • 27 Jan 22
🔮 Crypto Market Analysis
  1. Alpha is about making more money than a standard benchmark like the S&P 500. If you earn more than this benchmark, you have positive alpha.
  2. Beta measures how much an investment's price changes compared to a benchmark. A beta of 1 means it moves the same way as the benchmark, while higher or lower numbers show more volatility.
  3. In the crypto world, it's important to compare your gains against Bitcoin and understand how cryptocurrencies are becoming more similar to stocks over time. This can affect how much risk you take.

How Oversold Are Regional Bank Stocks?

Policy Tensor • 117 implied HN points • 04 May 23
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. US blue-chip equities are a contested and efficient market, so price fluctuations usually revert to fundamentals.
  2. During market distress, patient investors with deep pockets may swoop in to buy assets at undervalued prices.
  3. Regional bank stocks are currently oversold, with prices far below economic fundamentals, presenting a potential opportunity for value investors.

Portfolio Update and Performance Review

Modern Value Investing • 117 implied HN points • 01 Aug 23
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. Portfolio is up 150% YTD, driven by investments in Meta Platforms and highly shorted stocks like Upstart and Opendoor.
  2. Author is getting more cautious due to rising inflation and interest rates, and has diversified investments.
  3. Author has built a 7% position in long-term treasuries as a partial hedge against market turmoil.

The Curious Case of NASDAQ:ARM's Low Float

Irrational Analysis • 79 implied HN points • 20 Dec 23
💼 Business Market Analysis
  1. Masayoshi Son's involvement in ARM (LTD) through SoftBank and Vision Funds sheds light on the company's strategic financial structures.
  2. The low free-float of NASDAQ:ARM due to the private transaction between SoftBank and Vision Fund 1 raises concerns about the IPO valuation and the overall stock price.
  3. ARM's position in the embedded/IoT market faces challenges due to RISC-V competition and customers' trend towards vertical integration, posing a threat to ARM's dominance in this market.

CEO of DeepSeek's parent, High-Flyer Quant, spoke in 2020

Pekingnology • 143 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Analysis
  1. High-Flyer Quant uses AI for its investment strategies. They rely on advanced models and lots of data to predict stock prices and make trades.
  2. The Chinese stock market is seen as less efficient, which gives AI-driven strategies a chance to find opportunities that traditional investing might miss. This leads to potential higher returns for the right strategies.
  3. As more institutions enter the market, competition will increase. High-Flyer focuses on research and development to stay ahead in this tough environment.