The hottest Market Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Business Topics

The Stock and Flow of M2

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 98 implied HN points • 25 Feb 23
💰 Finance Economics Monetary Policy Investing Market Analysis
  1. Focus on the rate of change in the money supply to understand the flow of money and system liquidity.
  2. The stock of money may be excessive, but the growth rate is rapidly declining, affecting the outlook for monetary policy and Treasuries.
  3. The impact of monetary policy on housing demand and global manufacturing was immediate in 2022.

Megapost Part #3

Philoinvestor • 98 implied HN points • 04 Jul 23
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Market Analysis Financial Strategy
  1. Megapost Part #3 on Philoinvestor website with updates on ASOS and investment insights.
  2. Philo shares insights on ASOS narrative versus reality, focusing on the company's financial moves and transformation strategy.
  3. ASOS strengthens balance sheet with new financing, equity raise, and shift to new commercial model for profitability.

Beach Delay

The Lund Loop • 98 implied HN points • 11 Sep 23
💼 Business Finance Technology Market Analysis
  1. The author is attending a conference in Huntington Beach today and tomorrow.
  2. The author plans to share a 'Daily Update' video later in the afternoon.
  3. The Lund Loop publication is reader-supported, and readers can subscribe to receive new posts and support the author's work.

Solar and market prices: focus on Southeast Europe

GEM Energy Analytics • 139 implied HN points • 25 May 23
🌞 Climate & Environment Renewable Energy Solar Power Market Analysis Energy Policy
  1. Southeast Europe has a lot of potential for solar energy, especially in Greece, which could become a major supplier of green electricity to Europe.
  2. Solar energy production is expected to grow rapidly in the region, leading to high price fluctuations in day-ahead markets due to varying solar output.
  3. Greece is pushing for better electricity connections with neighboring countries to export its excess solar energy and support the transition away from fossil fuels.
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Saylor's Quotient

The Last Bear Standing • 91 implied HN points • 01 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Bitcoin Market Analysis
  1. Investing in stocks like Kodak can sometimes rely on unexpected factors like pension fund surpluses and potential stock movements based on news.
  2. Successful investing might involve keeping an eye on companies like Celsius Holdings, Inc, and understanding how stock reactions post-earnings might reflect in the market.
  3. MicroStrategy's unique strategy of accumulating Bitcoin adds an interesting premium value to the company, showcasing how the market reacts to assets like bitcoin and stock correlations.

What is financial leverage?

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 139 implied HN points • 13 Jul 23
💰 Finance Investing Credit Debt Risk management Market Analysis
  1. Financial leverage is when you borrow money to invest, potentially increasing both your profits and risks. It's like using a loan to buy a house, where you hope the value rises higher than what you owe.
  2. Different people and companies use leverage for various reasons, like individuals buying homes, companies expanding operations, or investors trying to make bigger profits in the stock market. But with the chance of higher gains comes the risk of bigger losses.
  3. The financial leverage ratio helps assess how much debt a company uses compared to its own money. A high ratio can mean a company is at risk if it can't pay back its debts, while a low ratio might suggest it's in a safer position.

Phoenix Rounds

Equal Ventures • 59 implied HN points • 03 Jan 24
💼 Business Venture Capital Investing Startups Entrepreneurship Market Analysis
  1. Phoenix Rounds refer to unique investment opportunities where struggling companies pivot drastically to build something new and stronger with investor support.
  2. These rounds offer a chance for investors to deeply engage with founders, understand their potential, and collaborate on innovative business plans.
  3. Investing in Phoenix Rounds requires vision, patience, and the willingness to see hidden potential in companies facing significant challenges.

Messiness can be a huge moat

Brick by Brick • 9 implied HN points • 12 Nov 24
💼 Business Strategy Technology Healthcare Market Analysis Innovation
  1. Handling messy problems can give companies a big edge over competitors. When a company can simplify and control messy situations, it sets itself apart.
  2. Epic Systems shows how complex integrations create strong barriers for rivals in the healthcare tech space. Their custom solutions make it hard for new players to catch up.
  3. Over years of effort, companies like Epic build extensive networks, making their systems deeply embedded in the industry. This complexity becomes a valuable moat that is tough to replicate.

Day 1: The Dawn of Icarus

Malt Liquidity • 12 implied HN points • 01 Nov 24
💰 Finance Trading Investing Market Analysis Risk management Psychology
  1. It's important to adjust your trading bets based on how much money you have. If you don't, you risk losing out when the market goes your way.
  2. Scalping small trades can be effective, but be careful not to overtrade. There's a fine line between making smart quick trades and making too many trades without focus.
  3. Staying invested in the market, even if it's not moving much, can pay off. It’s better to be in the market than trying to guess when to get in or out.

Modern Industrial Policy

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 78 implied HN points • 28 Oct 23
💰 Finance Economics Investing Monetary Policy Market Analysis
  1. The equity market faced a valuation correction, driven by different sectors and Treasury supply issues.
  2. Strong growth data and monetary policy shifts are impacting financial conditions and asset valuations.
  3. Investment outlook suggests potential for disorderly market shifts despite some attractiveness in fixed income.

Community Group Buying: the ‘US military vs the Red Army’

Tech Buzz China Insider • 39 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
💼 Business E-commerce Market Analysis Competition Profitability
  1. Community group buying market in China is highly competitive, with Meituan and Pinduoduo leading the way. Meituan is compared to the 'US military' and Pinduoduo to the 'Red Army.'
  2. Demand for community group buying has increased by 30-40% post-pandemic, driven by low prices and consumption downgrade trends.
  3. Duoduo Maicai, Pinduoduo's CGB business, has shown significant growth and profitability, leveraging its main app's high traffic volume and cost-efficient product offerings.

Frankly Speaking - Cloudflare is the most underrated security company

Frankly Speaking • 254 implied HN points • 18 Apr 23
🕹 Technology Security Networking Infrastructure Sales Market Analysis
  1. Cloudflare is considered an underrated security company in the industry, focusing on SASE and zero-trust solutions.
  2. Cloudflare's infrastructure is seen as a strong advantage and moat, making it valuable and defendable against competition.
  3. Cloudflare is making a bet on the future by targeting DevOps and security engineers for their products, showing a shift in the market towards software being purchased by technical personnel.

What 10 well-known investors are thinking about in 2023.

Jon’s Newsletter • 199 implied HN points • 08 Jan 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Billionaires Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. Many famous investors are worried about the current economy. They believe inflation is a big concern and that central banks may need to keep raising interest rates, which could hurt the stock market.
  2. Some investors, like Cathie Wood, are still optimistic about growth stocks and technology. They think these areas will see big growth in the future despite recent struggles.
  3. Warren Buffett advises regular investors to stay calm during market changes. He believes investing in an S&P 500 ETF is a smart move for long-term growth.

Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2024

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 90 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
💰 Finance Real Estate Market Analysis
  1. The Case-Shiller National Index revealed a year-over-year increase of 5.1% in house prices, with expectations of a more positive change in December.
  2. Different measures like the NAR, ICE, and Freddie Mac also show positive trends in house prices, hitting new all-time highs in December 2024.
  3. This analysis provides insights into the current state of the housing market, offering a glimpse into where it has been, where it is now, and where it might be heading.

Tokemak Farming Alert for ALCX and Larger OHM Holders

DeFi Education • 559 implied HN points • 20 Oct 21
🔮 Crypto Cryptocurrency Blockchain Decentralized Finance Investing Market Analysis
  1. You can earn a very high return by staking ALCX on Tokemak, around 600% APR in TOKE rewards. Just be mindful of gas fees if you decide to unstake.
  2. If you want to use OHM in the reactor, you must unstake it first, which means you will lose any rebases you've earned.
  3. This information is specifically for paid subscribers, so it’s aimed at those who are more invested in the project.

Heat Check

The Last Bear Standing • 81 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Inflation Market Analysis Economy
  1. The market has been experiencing significant growth, especially in sectors like Artificial Intelligence and biotech, leading to exponential value increases in certain stocks.
  2. Despite positive economic indicators and accommodative policies, there are some cautionary signals like delays in rate cuts and unexpected inflation data that may impact the stock market.
  3. Investors should remain aware and prepared for the potential scenarios of inflation re-acceleration and its impact on the market.

Alchemix Overview - Part 2 of 2

DeFi Education • 559 implied HN points • 15 Oct 21
🔮 Crypto Blockchain Decentralized Finance Tokens Market Analysis Valuation
  1. Alchemix uses a Price to Earnings analysis to determine its value based on how much money it makes. This helps understand how profitable the protocol is.
  2. The protocol earns a 10% performance fee as an affiliate, meaning it gains a portion of the earnings from Yearn Finance's activities.
  3. There is a comparison table included that shows how Alchemix stacks up against other tokens in terms of various financial metrics.

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Mule’s Musings • 83 implied HN points • 12 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Market Analysis Company Updates
  1. The post discusses the performance of different companies in the automotive and optics sectors, highlighting particular stocks like NXPI, IFX, FN, COHR, MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, and ARM.
  2. It mentions an observation that automotive stocks are performing poorly while optics stocks are doing well.
  3. There is a note about Rambus having a breather and SLAB putting a bottom in, suggesting potential shifts in their performance.

NVIDIA: How could alternative data be used to assess its long-term potential?

The Data Score • 79 implied HN points • 15 Jun 23
💰 Finance Investment Data Analysis Market Analysis Alternative Data
  1. Assessing a company's long-term potential requires more than just traditional financial metrics, and alternative data sources can provide valuable insights.
  2. For NVIDIA, alternative data can illuminate aspects like market presence, evolving applications, competitive threats, and supply chain investments, aiding in making informed investment decisions.
  3. Key questions to answer include evaluating demand, diverse use cases for GPU chips, potential competitors, and investment needs, all essential for understanding NVIDIA's future prospects.

A case for boring (AI) products 🛠️

The SaaS Baton • 78 implied HN points • 07 Jun 23
💼 Business Entrepreneurship Startups Innovation Leadership Market Analysis
  1. Be cautious with following trends in tech - it can be risky if not aligned with real utility for people.
  2. Consider going solo as a founder before looking for a co-founder - it might lead to more success.
  3. When scoping a new venture, focus on solving real, acute problems with high market potential to build a successful business.

Startups.email - $60k MRR in 3 months

startupsemail • 78 implied HN points • 13 May 23
💼 Business Startups SaaS Entrepreneurship Revenue Market Analysis
  1. Building a successful SaaS business takes time and effort, with exponential growth once momentum is gained.
  2. If a business isn't generating revenue within 6 months, consider pivoting to a new idea; otherwise, stick with it for exponential growth.
  3. Choosing the right market segment, avoiding saturated markets, and understanding product-market fit are crucial for the success of a solopreneur.

How to calculate P/E ratio

Shivansh • 19 implied HN points • 26 Apr 24
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Valuation Metrics Market Analysis
  1. P/E ratio compares a company's stock price with its earnings per share, providing insight into investor perception and market sentiment.
  2. Calculating P/E ratio involves dividing the current stock price by the company's earnings per share (EPS).
  3. Different types of P/E ratios like trailing and forward help in assessing past performance and future earnings, aiding investors in comparing valuations and identifying trends across industries.

[P] PLTR: Lord of the Memes

Nongaap Investing • 5 implied HN points • 06 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Economics Financial trends Stock Market
  1. Memes can heavily influence stock market trends and investor sentiment. It's important to be aware of how popular online content can affect investments.
  2. Understanding the dynamics of meme stocks is crucial for making informed investment decisions. These stocks can have extreme price swings based on social media activity.
  3. Investing in meme stocks requires careful consideration of both financial metrics and the cultural context surrounding them. Balancing both aspects can lead to better investment outcomes.

How Apple became Warren Buffett's best investment.

Jon’s Newsletter • 119 implied HN points • 06 May 23
💼 Business Investing Corporate strategy Market Analysis Leadership Consumer behavior
  1. Warren Buffett sees Apple as the best business in his investment portfolio, worth over $150 billion. His comfort with Apple represents a big change since he used to avoid tech stocks.
  2. Buffett understands consumer loyalty to Apple products, emphasizing how people might give up a car before their iPhone. This strong demand creates a protective advantage for Apple.
  3. Tim Cook, Apple's CEO, is praised by Buffett for his leadership and shareholder respect. Apple's strong financials, like stock buybacks and dividends, benefit Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway.

CATL

Tech Buzz China Insider • 79 implied HN points • 13 May 23
🕹 Technology Energy Innovation Market Analysis Electronics Automotive
  1. CATL's Qilin batteries are positioned for high-end vehicles and currently target about 15% of the domestic EV market due to their high cost and superior range.
  2. CATL's Qilin battery faces competition from Tesla's 4680 battery, which is still working through production issues affecting its yield rate.
  3. By 2025, the battery industry landscape is expected to greatly favor incumbent manufacturers with CATL's capacity projected to exceed 700 GWh, and laminated products anticipated to increase to over 60% of the market.