Erdmann Housing Tracker • 147 implied HN points • 11 Jul 25
- The mortgage crackdown played a big role in causing the Great Recession. It disrupted the housing market and led to a lot of financial trouble.
- Historical patterns show that residential investment usually rises after the yield curve un-inverts, but that didn't happen in the late 2000s. Instead, investment remained low in 2025, unlike previous cycles.
- Today, the housing market is influenced by a complicated mix of factors, including high interest rates and potential recession signals. This could impact how homes are built and sold in the future.