The hottest Stock Market Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

Japan’s Yo-Yo GDP

Japan Economy Watch • 399 implied HN points • 19 Nov 23
💼 Business Economy Stock Market Wages GDP
  1. Japan's GDP has not seen growth in five years, raising concerns about the country's economic health.
  2. Majority of the recent GDP growth in Japan is attributed to increased government spending.
  3. Real wages in Japan have been declining, impacting employee compensation and consumption, which further influences Bank of Japan policy and the value of the yen.

Come Hell Or Hyperinflation

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 32 implied HN points • 08 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Economic Analysis Financial Risks Stock Market
  1. The stock market currently seems to be very overvalued, which is raising concerns about its stability. Investors might want to be cautious as prices continue to rise unexpectedly.
  2. As we approach 2025, it's important for investors to reflect on their strategies and consider potential future risks. Making informed decisions now could be crucial.
  3. The ongoing growth in the market may lead to a situation where investors aren't truly aware of the risks involved. It's a good time to question whether the current trends are sustainable.

High Power Microwave.

News Items • 216 implied HN points • 08 Feb 24
💰 Finance Economy Stock Market
  1. China's consumer prices fell sharply in January, causing concern for policymakers.
  2. Over $1 trillion in market value has been lost from Chinese and Hong Kong exchanges.
  3. China's economic prospects are grim, with property market struggles and a significant stock market decline.
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Warrant Arbitrage

The Last Bear Standing • 24 implied HN points • 06 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Securities Stock Market SPACs
  1. Warrants are special financial tools that work like options, but they're directly tied to the company itself. This means that when you exercise them, the company issues new shares and may get extra cash.
  2. SPACs, which are companies created to raise money and merge with other firms, have made warrants more common. They usually come with a strike price over $10 and can help attract investors.
  3. Warrants can be traded on stock exchanges, and their value is influenced by the price of the underlying shares and how much time is left before they expire. They also have unique rules that can affect their trading.

Momentum

Market Sentiment • 412 implied HN points • 25 Jun 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Momentum Statistics Market Strategies
  1. Momentum investing is based on the idea that winners will keep winning and losers will keep losing.
  2. In a story about finding a lost submarine, leveraging the collective wisdom of diverse individuals led to success.
  3. A simple momentum investing strategy has shown consistent, outperforming results over years and different market conditions.

Can monetary policies inflate a stock market bubble?

Klement on Investing • 3 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Monetary Policy Economic Analysis Stock Market
  1. Easy money policies from central banks can create bubbles in the stock market. When interest rates are low for a long time, investors tend to take more risks.
  2. Looking at historical events, many market crashes followed a time of low interest rates. It shows that keeping rates low can lead to excessive speculation.
  3. Currently, the US stock market is believed to be slightly overvalued, but not in a bubble. Some analysts think markets are around 10% to 20% above fair value right now.

What's going on with ServiceTitan's IPO, earnings updates, and stock market stupidity

Alex's Personal Blog • 32 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Earnings Reports IPOs Economic Trends
  1. ServiceTitan is planning to go public, but it has some tough financial hurdles to overcome. The company needs to set a higher share price than what it is aiming for to avoid losing money during the process.
  2. Several companies, like Box and Salesforce, have recently reported positive earnings, showing they are performing better than expected. This positive news suggests some strength in the tech market.
  3. A recent coup attempt in South Korea ended quickly when lawmakers voted against martial law. It highlights the resilience of democratic processes in the country, even in dire situations.

What's The Bear Case For Stocks?

Spilled Coffee • 40 implied HN points • 20 Nov 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Market Valuation Economic Indicators
  1. The stock market is doing really well right now, with many people feeling optimistic, but that can lead to risks if everyone thinks only good things will happen.
  2. Valuations for stocks are at historic highs, which means they might be overpriced and could face a correction soon.
  3. The rising cost of the national debt is a big concern that could impact the economy and market stability in the future.

Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities

Musings on Markets • 839 implied HN points • 22 Jan 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investment Risk Economic Trends Portfolio Management Market Analysis
  1. 2022 was a tough year for stocks, with the S&P 500 dropping about 18%. Negative years are common in the stock market, reminding us that investing carries risks.
  2. Inflation was a major factor in the market's decline, impacting returns on stocks. Higher costs of living affected investors' expectations and how companies performed.
  3. Looking forward to 2023, expected returns on stocks are higher, around 9.82%. However, market conditions can change, making it important for investors to stay informed and adjust their strategies.

Semiconductor Outlook 2024: AI's Adolescence

Mule’s Musings • 443 implied HN points • 02 Jan 24
🕹 Technology Semiconductor AI Stock Market Economy
  1. Semiconductor market experienced a downturn in 2023 but is showing signs of recovery in 2024, especially in AI-related segments
  2. AI is emerging as a significant market segment in the semiconductor industry and is expected to continue growing in 2024
  3. Memory market, particularly High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), is also expected to see growth and become a major category in 2024

Hidden Champions among India's ADRs/GDRs

Asian Century Stocks • 353 implied HN points • 10 Sep 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Companies Economy Market Analysis
  1. There are high-quality Indian companies listed overseas that international investors can consider.
  2. Among the 16 Indian companies listed overseas, five were highlighted as having competitive products and potential for growth.
  3. The Indian market has more than 5,000 listed stocks, with Indian ADRs and GDRs having a combined market cap of around US$660 billion.

Letter #152: Steve Eisman, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, and Porter Collins (2024)

A Letter a Day • 176 implied HN points • 03 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Financial Crisis Short selling Economy Stock Market
  1. Four 'Big Short' traders from FrontPoint Partners discussed their experiences and current perspectives on investing and short selling in the financial industry.
  2. They shared insights on their past trades like shorting Tesla and UPS, as well as their current high conviction trades and concerns about areas like commercial real estate.
  3. Despite changes in their approach and careers, these traders continue to monitor credit quality and consumer behavior as key indicators for the US economy.

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 99 implied HN points • 07 Apr 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Financial Analysis
  1. Tesla's future might rely heavily on robotaxis, which could change how we think about car ownership. Instead of selling cars, companies may focus on self-driving vehicles that people can use for convenience.
  2. Nvidia's stock has surged due to its strong position in AI chips, with many analysts still optimistic about its future growth. Most analysts recommend buying Nvidia, suggesting there could be more gains ahead.
  3. Historically, after a strong first quarter in the stock market, gains often continue through the rest of the year. Companies with low valuations and those focused on dividend growth are worth keeping an eye on.

The Nvidia economy and the benefits of toilet paper.

Jon’s Newsletter • 119 implied HN points • 09 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investment Strategies Economic Trends Market Analysis Business Models
  1. Nvidia is rising fast in the market and could soon be worth more than Apple. Experts believe its growth is different from the tech bubble of the past.
  2. During election years, the stock market often has ups and downs, but usually rallies in the second half. Historical trends show that certain sectors perform better depending on who wins the election.
  3. Investors should look for companies with strong 'moats' that protect them from risks. Essential products like toothpaste and toilet paper are always in demand, making companies like Procter & Gamble good choices.

Stock Talk - A Newsletter About Investing

Jon’s Newsletter • 99 implied HN points • 29 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Financial Analysis
  1. After a strong first quarter, stock market gains often slow down or even decline in the second quarter. History shows the market can be vulnerable after big early gains.
  2. Slow and steady rate cuts from the Federal Reserve can be good for stocks. A gradual approach usually leads to bigger gains compared to quick cuts.
  3. Asset-light businesses, like franchises or companies with good credit terms, can grow without needing heavy investments. These businesses can be valuable for long-term investors.

Investing Update: Is This Peak Bullishness?

Spilled Coffee • 28 implied HN points • 30 Nov 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Market Analysis Financial News
  1. The S&P 500 hit an all-time high this month, with November being the best month of the year so far. This indicates strong market performance overall.
  2. Many individual stocks are also doing great this year, with a majority of them showing positive results. Specifically, financial stocks are leading the way in performance.
  3. December is traditionally a good month for the market, especially in an election year, which encourages bullish investor sentiment.

Finding the Sweet Spot: Nvidia's Goldilocks Quarter

Mule’s Musings • 295 implied HN points • 22 Feb 24
💼 Business Technology Finance Earnings Supply Chain Stock Market
  1. Nvidia's quarterly results exceeded expectations, with significant revenue growth in the Datacenter segment despite challenges like China's revenue dropping to almost zero.
  2. Nvidia achieved its highest gross margin ever, despite expectations that it would decrease in the future, hinting at potential pricing strategies for new products like B100.
  3. Nvidia is facing supply constraints but anticipates strong demand for upcoming products like B100, suggesting promising revenue growth opportunities and potential bottlenecks in the networking industry.

What is a dividend?

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 279 implied HN points • 20 Oct 23
💰 Finance Investing Dividends Returns Stock Market
  1. Dividends are payments companies make to shareholders from their profits. If you own shares in a company that pays dividends, you can earn money regularly just for holding those shares.
  2. Companies pay dividends for various reasons, such as rewarding shareholders, attracting long-term investors, and boosting their stock value. A steady dividend can show that a company is financially healthy.
  3. Investing in dividends can provide income, but the returns can be limited unless you own a lot of stock. It's important to choose companies wisely and consider whether you prioritizing dividends or stock performance.

Portfolio Update

Spilled Coffee • 20 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Portfolio Management Economic Trends Personal Finance
  1. The author added to an existing investment in a debated stock. It's important to keep track of ongoing discussions in the market.
  2. This update is specifically for paid subscribers, suggesting exclusive insights for them. It highlights the value of being a paid member.
  3. Stay engaged with financial updates and portfolio changes to make informed decisions. Regular updates can help you understand market movements better.

How I destroyed the New Economy, revisited

Sundman figures it out! • 137 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
💼 Business Technology Economy Stock Market Entrepreneurship
  1. Dave Karpf's essay examines the techno-optimism surrounding the dot-com and crypto bubbles.
  2. The author recalls building a house for an internet billionaire on a potentially cursed Native American burial ground.
  3. The collapse of the New Economy bubble is attributed to building the house in a place where it shouldn't have been built.

Enovix (ENVX) - Anatomy of a Lie (PART 1)

ESG Hound • 866 implied HN points • 05 Jul 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Company analysis Financial regulation Risk management
  1. Enovix Management has repeatedly misled customers about their manufacturing capabilities and volumes.
  2. Management at Enovix made significant downgrades to their production capacity without updating investors.
  3. ENVX has exhibited a pattern of dishonesty through inaccurate statements to investors and regulatory agencies.

Cheers to Three Years

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 299 implied HN points • 05 Oct 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market
  1. The newsletter community has grown globally over three years, reaching subscribers in 98 countries.
  2. Challenging perceptions around investing, especially in Ireland, is a key goal of the newsletter.
  3. Emphasizing content quality over quantity has led to increased engagement and growth.

A Watched Market Crash Pot Never Boils

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 26 implied HN points • 18 Nov 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Economics Investing Market Trends Behavioral Finance
  1. Focusing too much on a potential market crash can make it less likely to happen. Sometimes, it's better to step back and not overthink things.
  2. Jerome Powell's comments suggest that the Fed won't rush to cut interest rates anytime soon, even if the economy shows some strength. This means we should pay attention to long-term trends.
  3. The stock market can be influenced by expectations, not just current conditions. People hope for lower rates, but that hope doesn't always match reality.

Greek stock market greens

The Greek Analyst • 199 implied HN points • 20 Nov 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investment Economy Global Finance Financial Markets
  1. The Greek stock market is performing well, with significant gains and various positive capital market developments like IPOs and investments.
  2. Greece's stock market offers appealing valuations compared to other European markets, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
  3. There is a resurgence of interest in Greek stocks, with increasing institutional support, positive outlook, and initiatives to boost market participation, indicating a potential trend for growth.

Analyst do not read across enough

Klement on Investing • 3 implied HN points • 21 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Earnings Reports Financial Strategy
  1. Analysts often miss important information from companies outside their coverage. This means they might not fully understand trends that affect all businesses in a sector.
  2. When analysts react to earnings news, they usually overreact, leading to big price swings in stocks they cover. This overreaction can create temporary price changes that might not last.
  3. Because heavily covered stocks tend to see bigger price moves after news, there could be a strategy to buy less covered stocks and sell more popular ones right after earnings announcements. But this requires quick actions that many investors can't easily pull off.

April 2023 Space Stock Review + 2022 SPAC Guidance Analysis + 1Q23 Earnings Scorecard

Case Closed • 216 implied HN points • 31 May 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market SPACs Space Industry
  1. Space stocks lagged behind the broader market in April due to mixed signals and economic uncertainties.
  2. Many space SPACs did not meet their original revenue projections, highlighting the risks involved in relying on overly optimistic guidance.
  3. Evaluating space SPAC earnings can help identify companies that show potential for growth and survival during economic challenges.