The hottest Stock Market Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Finance Topics

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 59 implied HN points • 13 Apr 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economics Market Analysis Corporate Finance
  1. Market corrections can happen quickly, but historically, the S&P 500 often recovers most losses in just a few months. It's usually better for long-term investors to hold on rather than sell during downturns.
  2. Apple is working to integrate AI into its products, aiming to boost sales, especially in its Mac line. However, the overall impact might not be enough to offset current weaknesses in iPhone sales.
  3. Several tech companies are expected to see significant sales growth in the coming years. Nvidia, Micron, and Shopify are leading the way, showing that tech is still a strong sector for investment.
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IPOs are underpriced

Something to Consider • 19 implied HN points • 25 Jun 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investments Economics Corporate Finance Market Trends
  1. IPOs, or initial public offerings, often sell for less than their true value. This means companies miss out on money they could have earned.
  2. There are better ways to sell shares, like auctions, that could help get a fairer price. Selling all shares at once is not ideal.
  3. Releasing shares gradually could lead to better pricing and less underpricing. This way, companies wouldn’t leave money on the table when they go public.

What happens to stocks after an inflation shock?

Klement on Investing • 3 implied HN points • 14 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Analysis Risk management Market Trends
  1. Stocks usually drop about 4% in real value after a sudden inflation shock. This happens because investors get worried about future profits.
  2. Not all companies respond the same way to inflation. Companies with high profit margins can handle inflation better than those with lower margins.
  3. To prepare for inflation shocks, it's smart to focus on companies that have high markups and strong cash flow. These companies are generally more resilient.

Your Guide To Bull Market Pain Levels

The Lund Loop • 78 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Risk management Financial planning Speculation
  1. Investors experience different levels of pain in a bull market, ranging from mild discomfort to severe distress.
  2. The Pain Assessment Scale categorizes bull market pain into three main levels: Pain Free, Mild Pain, Moderate Pain, and Severe Pain.
  3. Addressing issues like position sizing, risk management, and speculation can help alleviate bull market pain. Seeking help from a financial planner is advisable if symptoms persist or worsen.

Boeing Stock Rallies Along With Employee Suicide Rates in What Wall Street Is Calling “The Greatest Workforce Reduction Since Last Quarter”

Davidovits! • 59 implied HN points • 13 Mar 24
💼 Business Stock Market Corporate culture Investor Relations
  1. Boeing stock is rising despite a surge in employee suicide rates, leading to a significant reduction in workforce and more profits
  2. Boeing leadership's controversial approach includes encouraging employees to end their lives to maximize profits, which is drawing criticism from economists
  3. Investors are pleased with Boeing's focus on reducing workforce and increasing profits, showcasing the unusual inverse correlation between employee happiness and financial gains

A Stock, An Index, and a Twinkie

Things I Didn't Learn in School • 157 implied HN points • 19 Sep 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Indexes Investing Wealth Management
  1. Charles Dow and Eduard Jones created the DJIA to simplify stock market performance in 1882.
  2. Investors now use various indexes like the S&P 500 to save money, but they may not fully understand what they are investing in.
  3. Indexes like S&P 500 simplify reality but lack clarity on the composition of assets, similar to not knowing the ingredients of a Twinkie.

Picking Stocks Is Hard

Spilled Coffee • 20 implied HN points • 06 Nov 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Portfolio Management Financial Analysis Economic Trends
  1. Picking stocks is really tough because most of the returns come from a tiny number of stocks. It means many investors, even pros, often lose money.
  2. About two-thirds of stocks don't do as well as the overall market. This makes it harder for investment managers to pick winning stocks.
  3. Over 90% of active fund managers struggle to beat their benchmarks over ten years. It shows just how challenging stock picking really is.

Nvidia: Better than Dreamed

Mule’s Musings • 295 implied HN points • 24 Aug 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Earnings Report Technology Industry Market Analysis
  1. Nvidia exceeded expectations with its Q2 earnings, surpassing revenue and EPS estimates.
  2. There is uncertainty about the sustainability of Nvidia's growth due to potential overordering and demand shifts.
  3. Nvidia's competitive advantage lies in its architecture, installed base, reach, and rapid engineering, positioning them as a dominant force in the tech ecosystem.

A Bond Unlike Any Other

Malt Liquidity • 8 implied HN points • 18 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Consumer behavior Market Analysis
  1. McDonald's has a strong supply chain and offers consistent revenue growth because people love their products. This makes it a safe investment in uncertain times.
  2. Ordering through the McDonald's app can save you money due to inflated menu prices for delivery. Always check the app for discounts before you order.
  3. In an inflationary environment, holding stocks like McDonald's is better than bonds. They have stable, predictable revenues that can help beat inflation.

Investing Update: Is Mag 7 Leadership Returning?

Spilled Coffee • 20 implied HN points • 26 Oct 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Earnings Economics Taxation
  1. The stock market is having a strong run, especially the Nasdaq, which has been up for seven weeks in a row. The Dow and S&P 500 ended their winning streak after six weeks.
  2. Investors seem confident, adding a lot of money to stocks recently, even with the upcoming elections. Earnings from major companies will be more relevant to the market than the election results.
  3. Expect some market ups and downs as the election approaches, but focusing on earnings reports will be more important for making investment decisions.

Thoughts On The Election Results

Spilled Coffee • 16 implied HN points • 07 Nov 24
🇺🇸 U.S. Politics Elections Democracy Stock Market Economy Political parties
  1. Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and Republicans now control the Senate. The outcome makes some happy and others upset, but that’s how democracy works.
  2. Life goes on after elections; people still go to work and school, and the community remains the same. It's normal for neighbors to be different political supporters.
  3. The stock market and economy are not going to crash due to election results. History shows that both parties have their turn in power, and the country continues to move forward.

A Zomato 2022 Update: Price, Value and the Gap!

Musings on Markets • 399 implied HN points • 27 Jul 22
💰 Finance Stock Market Valuation Investing Economic Factors Company analysis
  1. Zomato's stock price was initially high after its IPO but has now dropped significantly due to a mix of poor earnings results and macroeconomic factors. This shows how momentum can affect stock prices.
  2. Despite the challenges, Zomato is still growing and has a strong market share in India's food delivery sector. They have a good amount of cash from their IPO to help them in tough times.
  3. The company is exploring new areas like grocery delivery, but it raises questions about their profitability and strategic focus. Investors need to keep an eye on what's next for Zomato.

Too High for Too Long?

Modern Value Investing • 98 implied HN points • 06 Aug 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Interest Rates Real Estate Economic outlook
  1. Inflation measures are flawed, leading to skepticism about high interest rates, causing uncertainty for the US economy.
  2. The current rate hike cycle is more aggressive than previous cycles, potentially risking a recession in 2024.
  3. Challenges in real estate, student loan debts, and credit card debts, along with aggressive hiring, may indicate shaky ground for the US economy.

What 10 well-known investors are thinking about in 2023.

Jon’s Newsletter • 199 implied HN points • 08 Jan 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Billionaires Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. Many famous investors are worried about the current economy. They believe inflation is a big concern and that central banks may need to keep raising interest rates, which could hurt the stock market.
  2. Some investors, like Cathie Wood, are still optimistic about growth stocks and technology. They think these areas will see big growth in the future despite recent struggles.
  3. Warren Buffett advises regular investors to stay calm during market changes. He believes investing in an S&P 500 ETF is a smart move for long-term growth.

Heat Check

The Last Bear Standing • 81 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Inflation Market Analysis Economy
  1. The market has been experiencing significant growth, especially in sectors like Artificial Intelligence and biotech, leading to exponential value increases in certain stocks.
  2. Despite positive economic indicators and accommodative policies, there are some cautionary signals like delays in rate cuts and unexpected inflation data that may impact the stock market.
  3. Investors should remain aware and prepared for the potential scenarios of inflation re-acceleration and its impact on the market.

Elevance Health's 2022 earnings are in, outperforms Wall Street expectations

HEALTH CARE un-covered • 199 implied HN points • 25 Jan 23
💰 Finance Earnings Investments Health Insurance Stock Market Government programs
  1. Elevance Health did really well in 2022, exceeding what Wall Street expected for their earnings. Their stock prices went up, even when many other companies were struggling.
  2. Most of Elevance's profit came from government programs like Medicaid and Medicare Advantage, not from selling insurance to individuals or businesses. These programs are where they made the most money.
  3. The company's pharmacy business, CarelonRX, also saw significant profit growth. This shows that owning a pharmacy service is becoming very important for insurance companies.

[P] PLTR: Lord of the Memes

Nongaap Investing • 5 implied HN points • 06 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Economics Financial trends Stock Market
  1. Memes can heavily influence stock market trends and investor sentiment. It's important to be aware of how popular online content can affect investments.
  2. Understanding the dynamics of meme stocks is crucial for making informed investment decisions. These stocks can have extreme price swings based on social media activity.
  3. Investing in meme stocks requires careful consideration of both financial metrics and the cultural context surrounding them. Balancing both aspects can lead to better investment outcomes.

Can tech stocks keep climbing?

Jon’s Newsletter • 59 implied HN points • 26 Nov 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends
  1. Tech stocks have seen impressive growth this year, with companies like Nvidia and Meta seeing gains over 180%. Many believe this trend could continue if interest rates stabilize.
  2. While some analysts believe tech stocks might keep rising, they also warn about high valuations, making them potentially risky investments.
  3. Analyst forecasts suggest varied potential for growth among tech stocks, with many still seeing positive gains ahead, despite concerns about valuation.

The Equal Ventures Insurance Index - Q4 2023

Equal Ventures • 39 implied HN points • 30 Jan 24
💰 Finance Insurance Investing Mergers & Acquisitions Stock Market Industry Analysis
  1. Insurtech indices outperformed legacy peers in Q4 2023, showing strong recovery throughout 2023 but still below 2021 highs.
  2. Legacy brokers faced challenges in Q4 with tougher revenue growth comps, while insurtech companies in distribution & marketing excelled.
  3. P&C carriers had a positive Q4, demonstrating improved profitability expectations with lower combined ratios, notable improvements in personal lines carriers.

Effects of business cultural evolution on the stock market

America in Crisis • 39 implied HN points • 26 Jan 24
💼 Business Stock Market Investors Financial Strategies
  1. Different business cultures like stakeholder theory and shareholder capitalism lead to distinct stock market behaviors and attract different types of investors.
  2. The strategy of using share buybacks to boost earnings per share and stock prices can lead to acquisitions and positive market movements for growth stocks.
  3. The transition from stakeholder theory to shareholder primacy in business cultures can impact stakeholders like employees, customers, and the community, as seen in examples like Boeing's safety concerns.

1/25/2024: PayPal's *Innovation Event*

depression2022 • 39 implied HN points • 25 Jan 24
💼 Business Technology Finance Stock Market E-commerce Innovation
  1. PayPal announced new innovations at an event, like a one-click checkout product and making Venmo more business-friendly.
  2. The stock initially rose but then fell after the announcement, indicating mixed reactions from the world.
  3. The new CEO highlighted the potential for improvement by implementing simple, customer-focused changes, which could positively impact PayPal's business.