The hottest Stock Market Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

The rise of Ponzi ETF

Klement on Investing • 6 implied HN points • 21 Nov 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Stock Market
  1. ETFs have grown from simple investments to complex, niche products. This makes it easier for investors to find ETFs for popular trends, but it can also create unstable market bubbles.
  2. Niche thematic ETFs can cause stock prices to rise due to high demand for a few illiquid stocks. This situation can lead to returns that aren't based on company fundamentals but on the flow of new investor money.
  3. When the market shifts and investor interest fades, these ETFs can collapse quickly. This creates a cycle where falling prices lead to more outflows, similar to a Ponzi scheme.

Former PBOC Research Chief Attempts to Calm Stock Market Frenzy

Pekingnology • 33 implied HN points • 08 Oct 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Economic Policy Monetary Policy Market Regulation
  1. China's central bank is not directly supporting the stock market, so investors should be careful and avoid risky speculation.
  2. Recent policies by the government have improved investor confidence but real economic improvements will take time and continuous efforts.
  3. It's important for financial institutions to help investors understand risks and ensure that loans aren't misused to invest in the stock market.

Investing Update: Don't Forget This Chart

Spilled Coffee • 12 implied HN points • 12 Oct 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Indicators Monetary Policy Market Analysis
  1. The S&P 500 has had a strong performance this year, with 45 new all-time highs and the best start since 2000. This means the market is doing really well right now.
  2. Despite the market's successes, only 54% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 20-day moving average. This is a bit low and worth keeping an eye on.
  3. With recent jobless claims rising more than expected, it could influence the Fed's decisions on interest rates. Many experts still believe there will be a rate cut soon.

38 stock ideas for 2024.

Jon’s Newsletter • 39 implied HN points • 30 Dec 23
💰 Finance Investments Stock Market Market Analysis Economic outlook Portfolio Management
  1. Investing in sectors like industrials, materials, and financials is recommended for good returns. Companies in these areas often generate high cash flow and have strong dividends.
  2. Some experts believe that consumer staples and financial stocks will do better in 2024 as they can benefit from lower interest rates and inflation-related price increases.
  3. It's a good idea to consider mid-sized companies and precious metals for investment, as they may have better valuations and growth potential amid an uncertain economic environment.
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O Bubble, Where Art Thou?

The Last Bear Standing • 55 implied HN points • 08 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Cryptocurrency Market Analysis Interest Rates
  1. The equity market has shown signs of over-indulgence recently, with increasing enthusiasm and unbridled momentum.
  2. Market worry has shifted from lack of enthusiasm to lack of disbelief, raising concerns about the sustainability of the current bull run.
  3. The macroeconomic resilience is attributed to a balance between big fiscal policies, monetary tightening, and strong balance sheets post-pandemic.

Capital Gains Tax Explained

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 119 implied HN points • 02 Mar 23
💰 Finance Taxes Investments Real Estate Stock Market Financial planning
  1. Capital gains tax is what you pay when you sell an asset, like stocks or property, for more than you bought it. If you make a profit, that profit is subject to tax.
  2. There is an annual allowance for capital gains tax, meaning you can earn a certain amount from selling assets before you have to pay any tax on it. This allowance can vary by country and type of asset.
  3. There are different tax rates for short-term and long-term capital gains. Long-term gains are usually taxed at lower rates if you've held the asset for more than a year.

Investment Manual: Is EPS the key to stock market investing ?

All Things Finance • 19 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market
  1. The article discusses the importance of Earnings per Share (EPS) in stock market investing, using a pizza analogy.
  2. It encourages readers to subscribe to 'All Things Finance' for more easy-to-understand guides on investing and become a pro while enjoying the occasional pizza night.
  3. The post emphasizes the significance of understanding key concepts in investing to navigate the complex world of the stock market effectively.

How to read a stock chart

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 119 implied HN points • 14 Feb 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Financial Analysis Market Trends Equities
  1. Stock charts show how a company's stock performs over time. You can see if the price is going up, down, or staying the same.
  2. Important parts of a stock chart are the price, high/low for the day, and market cap. These help you understand how the stock is doing right now and in the past.
  3. You can set different timeframes to see how a stock has performed over days or even a year. This helps you get a better picture of its trends.

Shadow Puppets

The Last Bear Standing • 144 implied HN points • 07 Apr 23
💰 Finance Wealth Assets Stock Market
  1. Households in the United States have a large majority of their net worth in non-cash assets like stocks and real estate, with cash and bank deposits making up a small portion.
  2. Non-cash asset values are extrapolated based on a small percentage that are traded for cash, similar to estimating the total length of a football field by measuring a small unit.
  3. The financial system's implied market value of non-cash assets is ultimately based on a small portion of cash-for-asset exchanges, emphasizing the importance of understanding how cash moves.

Top 5 financial posts of the trading week 8/2024

Global Markets Investor • 19 implied HN points • 26 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Economic Indicators Stock Market Bonds
  1. Weekly performance update: Last week saw significant increases in major US indexes, VIX volatility, Bitcoin, and gold. Nvidia stood out with a 9% rise after surpassing earnings and guidance expectations.
  2. Nvidia's remarkable growth: Nvidia's market cap doubled to $2 trillion in just 8 months, making it the third largest US company. Its outstanding revenue forecast and stock performance pose a question about its future success.
  3. Chinese market support and US bank debts: Chinese authorities are propping up their stock market, while major US banks are facing challenges with bad property debt surpassing loss reserves. Keep an eye on US government bond yields and PCE inflation data for potential impacts on various markets.

[PQ] TWLO: Chief Legal Officer Resigns

Nongaap Investing • 2 implied HN points • 17 Dec 24
💼 Business Corporate Governance Executive Changes Business Ethics Legal issues Stock Market
  1. The Chief Legal Officer of TWLO has resigned unexpectedly. This kind of sudden change can raise questions about the company's situation.
  2. Such resignations can signal possible issues within the company, like internal conflicts or changes in direction.
  3. It's important to pay attention to who takes over next, as this could influence TWLO's future actions and strategies.

Only in Hell Can the Dow Ever Climb

The False Consensus Effect • 39 implied HN points • 10 Oct 23
💰 Finance Economy Investing Stock Market Wealth Retirement
  1. The author discusses the complexities of wealth, power, and inequalities tied to investment portfolios, questioning the morality behind profiting from people's suffering
  2. A critical view is presented on the impact of financial markets, politicians, and media propagating a system that prioritizes profit over social justice
  3. The importance of reflecting on societal values, advocating for equity, and challenging the status quo of wealth accumulation and economic structures

In tech we trust?

Jon’s Newsletter • 39 implied HN points • 24 Sep 23
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Portfolio Management
  1. The stock market has seen a drop recently, with tech stocks struggling more than others. Investors are worried about rising interest rates and potential recession.
  2. Despite the downturn, some experts believe investing in tech can lead to growth in the long run. Companies in tech can adapt and thrive even during tough economic times.
  3. Certain tech stocks, like Apple and Microsoft, are still seen as good investments due to their potential for continued growth and strong market positions.

The return of tech stocks.

Jon’s Newsletter • 79 implied HN points • 05 Feb 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Economic Trends Business Analysis
  1. Tech stocks are making a comeback in 2023, with big gains in the NASDAQ 100 index.
  2. Many tech companies are focusing on cost-cutting and efficiency to improve their performance despite challenges like layoffs.
  3. The excitement around AI, especially with developments like ChatGPT, is driving investor interest and boosting stock prices in the tech sector.

Top 5 financial posts of the 4/2024 trading week

Global Markets Investor • 19 implied HN points • 28 Jan 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Cryptocurrency Investment Analysis
  1. The S&P 500 ended near its highest point, driven by big Tech, while Tesla saw a significant drop. The Federal Reserve was meeting, and important tech companies like Apple and Amazon were set to report earnings.
  2. Bitcoin faced volatility after ETFs approval, dropping momentarily but stabilizing above $40,000. The future of Bitcoin's market trends remains uncertain.
  3. Chinese stocks have not performed well in the past decade, with the US stock market value surpassing China and Hong Kong combined. Despite looking cheap, investing in China carries significant risk during a potential bear market.

On the arrogance (and stupidity) of Pfizer's Super Bowl ad - PART TWO

Unreported Truths • 58 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
💼 Business Pharmaceuticals Marketing Leadership Stock Market Advertising
  1. Pfizer's Super Bowl ad highlighting its history and association with great scientists received mixed reviews, with many criticizing it as overreaching and lacking in substance.
  2. Pfizer, though a major pharmaceutical company, was not historically known for scientific leadership, until it partnered with BioNTech for the creation of the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine.
  3. Despite initial success and recognition, Pfizer's stock price and reputation have suffered due to waning effectiveness of mRNA vaccines and lack of scientific advancements compared to competitors.

The media is lying about Stock Market Volatility [Finance Fridays]

Technology Made Simple • 79 implied HN points • 12 Aug 22
💰 Finance Stock Market Volatility Investors Financial Analysis
  1. Stock market volatility is not solely caused by 'Robinhood investors'; experts' claims are not well-supported by research and basic math
  2. While individual firms have seen increased volatility, overall market volatility has remained relatively consistent, highlighting the importance of looking beyond surface-level narratives
  3. Opportunity cost plays a significant role in firm-level volatility, with investors impacting individual stocks based on trends, emotions, and investment decisions, even if market-wide volatility does not reflect this

6 things to know about the stock market.

Jon’s Newsletter • 99 implied HN points • 05 Oct 22
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Interest Rates Economic Indicators
  1. Bear markets can last a long time, often around 19 months, and stocks need to regain previous highs to be considered out of a bear market.
  2. Stocks usually don't hit their lowest point until interest rates come down, which is expected around April 2023.
  3. It's tricky to predict the right time to buy or sell stocks; missing key market days can hurt your long-term returns, historically reducing gains significantly.

Zomato fails to deliver [Finance Fridays]

Technology Made Simple • 79 implied HN points • 29 Jul 22
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Business Strategies Risk management Entrepreneurship
  1. Food delivery business is unprofitable globally despite high fees; Zomato suffered major losses without solid plans.
  2. Zomato's acquisition of Blinkit with a massive cash burn was not beneficial due to lack of established cash flows.
  3. Investors should be cautious of hype; Zomato's crash led to retail investors facing significant losses.

Looking at the stock market in terms of money flows

America in Crisis • 59 implied HN points • 14 Feb 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Technical Analysis
  1. In the stock market, changes in market cap can be disproportionate to the actual money traded, leading to wealth creation or destruction.
  2. Over time, market changes can cancel each other out, and short-term price fluctuations in a single stock might not reflect actual money flows.
  3. Using money flow analysis can provide insights into stock market valuation and understanding trends over longer periods, accounting for factors like stock buybacks and QE.

The Capitalist Crisis

America in Crisis • 59 implied HN points • 31 Jan 23
💰 Finance Economy Inequality Financialization Stock Market Economic Policy
  1. The capitalist crisis is linked to a drop in capital productivity, which can indicate an unhealthy capitalist system due to factors like inequality affecting demand and economic output.
  2. High levels of inequality can lead to a shortage of demand, causing a decline in capital productivity and contributing to a capitalist crisis.
  3. Financialization of the economy and the shift from stakeholder capitalism to shareholder primacy culture can impact business investment decisions, distribution of profits, and even wage disparities in the financial sector.

The Stock Market Sits On The Edge Of The End Of The World

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 51 implied HN points • 12 Oct 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Geopolitics Monetary Policy Fiscal policy Global Conflicts
  1. Geopolitical volatility and flawed monetary policy make current times unique and potentially volatile.
  2. Debt levels, monetary policies, and government spending are creating unprecedented financial challenges.
  3. Artificial market boosts, geopolitical tensions, and social unrest are contributing to a fragile economic situation.

America's Record Wealth Boom

Apricitas Economics • 45 implied HN points • 26 Oct 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Wealth Inequality
  1. Middle-class Americans have seen a significant increase in wealth, with real median net worth rising by 37% over the last three years.
  2. The SCF provides detailed insights into wealth distribution, tracking assets from cash balances to investments among diverse groups.
  3. Wealth inequality in the US has slightly decreased during the pandemic, with assets held by the middle class rising faster than average.

Big tech stocks are surging. Why is that bearish?

Jon’s Newsletter • 39 implied HN points • 15 May 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Valuation Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. Big tech stocks have seen huge gains, primarily driving the rise of the S&P 500 this year. This doesn't mean the overall market is in trouble, though.
  2. Experts believe that the concentration of these tech stocks doesn't affect future market performance significantly, so there’s no need to worry.
  3. Many stocks outside of tech are doing well, and a lot of analysts expect major tech companies to keep rising in value over the next year.

The Maxell Man Market

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 21 implied HN points • 26 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Economic conditions
  1. The stock market is currently experiencing euphoria due to factors like rising rates and quantitative tightening by the Fed, which seem counterintuitive to traditional market behavior.
  2. Despite conventional economic conditions pointing in the opposite direction, the market is still skyrocketing, challenging previous predictions of a crash.
  3. The author has identified two key factors propelling the market up, but foresees these influences potentially halting in the near future, possibly leading to a significant change in the market dynamics.

Headless Market Chickens, Cluckin' Like Crazy

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 29 implied HN points • 13 Dec 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Economy Policy Inflation
  1. NPCs in video games are characters controlled by programming and lack independent thought, and this concept is applied to describe certain individuals in real life scenarios.
  2. Passive stock market investors are compared to headless chickens mindlessly moving around, fueled by 'animal spirits' that keep the market going up.
  3. The stock market is considered overpriced, with potential risks of massive deleveraging, deflationary depression, and negative effects of a nation monetizing its own debt.