The hottest Market Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Business Topics
Stock Market Nerd 884 implied HN points 02 Feb 24
  1. Meta Platforms (META) had strong earnings, beating estimates in demand, margins, guidance, and financials.
  2. Amazon (AMZN) also had a successful quarter, exceeding revenue and margin expectations, especially in AWS growth and advertising.
  3. Both companies showcased solid performance, indicating positive trends for their business strategies and financial outlook.
SemiAnalysis 4141 implied HN points 01 Nov 23
  1. AMD's MI300 is positioned as a strong competitor in LLM inference against Nvidia and Google hardware.
  2. Major companies like Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, Google, and Amazon have already placed orders for AMD MI300.
  3. AMD's Datacenter GPU revenue is expected to reach over $2 billion in 2024 with strong demand from customers and supply constraints.
Alex's Personal Blog 65 implied HN points 06 Jan 25
  1. This week has important economic events like PMI reports and jobless claims that could affect the market.
  2. Major companies will be reporting their earnings, which could give insight into their financial health.
  3. There are both U.S. and global economic indicators to watch, including inflation rates and consumer confidence.
In My Tribe 364 implied HN points 12 Jan 25
  1. Co-founder relationships are really important for startup success. If co-founders don't get along, it can lead to the startup failing.
  2. Economic analysis often relies on metaphors, which can lead to different interpretations. It's normal for people to disagree about economic ideas.
  3. The debate over resource prices shows that neither side always wins. Long-term data suggests that market dynamics can be complex and unpredictable.
DeFi Education 1079 implied HN points 28 Dec 23
  1. Crypto markets faced a lot of ups and downs in 2023, with Bitcoin prices fluctuating significantly. Overall, learning to manage risk seemed important as many investors panicked and sold at low points.
  2. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs became a hot topic, leading to excitement in the market. This indicates growing interest and involvement from traditional finance in the crypto space.
  3. Throughout the year, many lessons were learned about crypto's resilience and the need for careful decision-making. Observing market patterns can help in navigating future opportunities.
Get a weekly roundup of the best Substack posts, by hacker news affinity:
The VC Corner 599 implied HN points 17 Mar 24
  1. Global venture capital funding has stabilized recently, suggesting a shift in investment patterns. This could mean more cautious approaches from investors as they evaluate opportunities.
  2. There is a guide available for preparing for Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), which is crucial for companies looking to go public. This guide can help businesses understand the steps they need to take to be ready.
  3. A report detailing tech trends for 2024 is available, highlighting what to expect in the tech industry. Staying informed about these trends can help businesses plan and adapt for the upcoming year.
Japan Economy Watch 1018 implied HN points 04 Jan 24
  1. Market players and forecasters may be misreading the intentions of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) about inflation and wage data.
  2. The BOJ's ambiguous messages and contradictory statements are causing confusion in the market.
  3. Evaluating services inflation and wage hikes requires careful consideration of data and not jumping to conclusions.
DeFi Education 739 implied HN points 16 Feb 24
  1. Coinbase made a profit of $273 million in Q4 2023 after struggling for two years, thanks to cost-cutting and increased trading volume. This shows that the company has bounced back from a tough period.
  2. Many retail and institutional investors are returning to Coinbase, with retail transaction revenue jumping 79% from the previous quarter. Coinbase is gaining market share in the crypto trading space.
  3. Coinbase is on track for potential inclusion in the S&P 500, which could lead to even more attention and investment. This would be a big deal for the company and the crypto market.
Asian Century Stocks 884 implied HN points 17 Jan 24
  1. Japan's corporate governance reforms, starting with Abenomics, have been driving positive change in the capital allocation practices of Japanese companies.
  2. The Tokyo Stock Exchange's new listing structure, especially the Prime Market, has raised standards for companies, promoting better corporate governance.
  3. The practice of naming and shaming low price/book ratio companies in Japan is pushing them to improve profitability, enhance investor communication, and comply with new capital allocation rules.
Malt Liquidity 8 implied HN points 11 Feb 25
  1. Writing often reflects personal experiences, but it can also be a form of storytelling that adds depth to facts. The best writing connects readers and creates an emotional response.
  2. Financial analysis is more about crafting a compelling narrative than it is about pure data. Understanding market trends and personal intuition can often be as important as mathematical models.
  3. In the future, traditional finance degrees may become less relevant, and skills like effective communication and critical thinking will be key. Learning how to sift through information and make sense of it is going to be very valuable.
How They Make Money 727 implied HN points 09 Feb 24
  1. Meta (META) reported strong Q4 FY23 performance with a 5X return from November 2022 lows, focusing on Metaverse investments and cash returns to shareholders.
  2. Key points from Meta's 'Playbook' include massive compute investment, open-source strategy, future-focused research on AI, data utilization, and an experimentation culture.
  3. In Q4 FY23, Meta saw growth in user metrics and revenue, with an increase in average revenue per user, surpassing competitors like Snap and Pinterest in ARPU.
The Security Industry 21 implied HN points 22 Jan 25
  1. A SWOT analysis helps businesses identify their strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, which can guide their strategy. It's a simple way to evaluate a company's position in the market.
  2. Using tools like HarvestIQ.ai can make creating a SWOT analysis quick and easy, potentially saving time compared to hiring a consultant. This software can provide detailed insights on vendors and competitors.
  3. Businesses should keep an eye on the evolving cybersecurity landscape and the competition, as changes in regulations and economic conditions can impact success and growth opportunities.
Snowball 727 implied HN points 04 Feb 24
  1. Apple announces mixed quarterly results, with higher iPhone and wearables sales but lower revenues in China.
  2. ESG funds' popularity drops due to rising interest rates.
  3. Startups like Perplexity and Arc are reshaping internet search with artificial intelligence, possibly challenging Google's traditional method.
The VC Corner 279 implied HN points 17 May 24
  1. Timing is really important for startup success. Investors often say it's a key reason startups succeed or fail.
  2. You should connect timing drivers to your business model. If your timing advantage doesn't improve your model, it might lead to wasting resources.
  3. Market size can change with timing. It's not just about current numbers, but understanding the shifts that can open new market opportunities.
Stock Market Nerd 707 implied HN points 03 Feb 24
  1. Apple beat revenue estimates but had mixed performance in different product segments, especially in China.
  2. Mastercard surpassed revenue estimates and saw growth in various sectors like cross-border revenue and value-add services.
  3. Match's financial results were strong, although challenges like negative payer growth from price hikes are temporary.
  4. AMD ranked well in Cloud Workload Security and continues to expand its offerings with the potential for higher revenue and margins.
  5. CrowdStrike received recognition in Forrester's Cloud Workload Security report and shows promising growth potential with increased modules for clients.
Musings on Markets 1238 implied HN points 01 Nov 23
  1. Tesla has faced ups and downs in its stock price lately, dropping below $200 after some tough weeks. This shows how quickly the market reacts to Tesla's news.
  2. Three big stories are influencing Tesla's future: price cuts to stay competitive, advancements in their self-driving technology, and the highly-anticipated Cybertruck launch.
  3. Valuing Tesla is complex because it has multiple business areas. Right now, the estimated value per share is around $180, but it can change depending on how their stories develop.
Snowball 1356 implied HN points 17 Mar 23
  1. The post shares 38 favorite tools for managing personal finances including budget tracking, investment research, and ETF investing.
  2. The tools cover various aspects such as budget management, investment strategies, tracking investments, and finding information on companies and markets.
  3. There are tools for managing subscriptions, finding forgotten bank accounts, simulating compound interests, assessing insider trading activities, tracking crypto portfolios, and more.
We're Gonna Get Those Bastards 11 implied HN points 22 May 25
  1. The bond market reacts strongly to government budget issues, which can lead to serious financial problems. If interest rates rise too high, it could lead to government insolvency and hyperinflation.
  2. Many people don't understand finance and ignore warnings about spending and deficits. This lack of knowledge can make it hard for them to see how these issues affect their daily lives.
  3. Understanding finance is important for protecting oneself during economic troubles. Those who do understand can take proactive steps while others may remain unaware of the risks.
Concoda 286 implied HN points 06 Jan 25
  1. The intraday repo market shows how cash moves between banks and institutions. It's important because it helps maintain stability in the financial system.
  2. Visual infographics can help people understand complex market flows clearly. They make the data accessible and engaging for everyone.
  3. Tracking daily repo market timings is useful for understanding financial trends. It allows investors to make informed decisions based on current market conditions.
Venture Curator 299 implied HN points 19 Apr 24
  1. VCs often need to see potential for at least one investment to have billions in enterprise value for a good fund return.
  2. Different approaches like top-down market size analysis and bottom-up market demand can help founders prove a market's size to VCs.
  3. Being aligned with broad mega-trends or using analogies can also help convince investors of a market's potential.
The Bitcoin Layer 550 implied HN points 03 Feb 24
  1. Regional banking sector is facing fear and challenges with toxic assets and credit exposure.
  2. US commercial banks are experiencing a credit problem due to underperforming commercial real estate.
  3. Market participants are struggling with shattered historical correlations and uncertainty regarding the Fed's reaction function.
Concoda 508 implied HN points 20 Oct 24
  1. The Fed's repo facility has been used for the first time by major market players during a tough financial period. This shows it can help keep rates in check, but there are still issues to address.
  2. Over the past few years, the Fed's approach to managing its balance sheet has led to unstable liquidity in money markets. This instability caused significant rate spikes and raised concerns about the overall health of the financial system.
  3. When money market rates soared unexpectedly, it prompted the Fed to step in as a major lender. This was a significant move to bring balance back to the financial markets and highlight the Fed's critical role in managing economic stability.
Musings on Markets 1059 implied HN points 19 Sep 23
  1. Instacart's upcoming IPO shows that its value has dropped significantly since the peak days of the pandemic. What was once thought to be worth over $50 billion is now expected to be valued around $9 to $10 billion.
  2. The grocery business is generally slow-growing and has very low margins. This affects how much Instacart can charge for its services and makes it tough for them to grow dramatically.
  3. Instacart now faces tough competition from grocery stores that have started their own online services. This competition is likely to limit Instacart's market share and growth in the future.
Invariant 609 implied HN points 14 Jan 24
  1. 22nd Century Group focused on developing low-nicotine cigarettes but didn't consider if consumers wanted the product.
  2. The company struggled with profitability and faced challenges even after receiving authorization for their products.
  3. Shifting focus to a different product with conventional nicotine levels came too late for the company to recover.
Concoda 318 implied HN points 09 Dec 24
  1. The Federal Reserve is not worried about the debt ceiling impacting its plans to reduce its balance sheet. They believe liquidity in money markets is still high.
  2. The U.S. Treasury has enough resources to manage until around mid-2025, but any delays in addressing the debt ceiling could create funding issues.
  3. Equity repos, which involve borrowing cash using stocks as collateral, are becoming more popular. This trend is linked to rising demand and values of equities.
next big thing 44 implied HN points 18 Dec 24
  1. Venture capital is expected to pick up in 2024 as many companies seek funding to survive and grow. More startups could get funded, especially those in AI, but some may struggle to raise money.
  2. AI technology saw incredible growth in 2024, with many new applications becoming popular. Despite some challenges, AI became a huge part of tech this year.
  3. There are hopeful signs for real-world uses of crypto, as new applications are being built. With better technology and user needs, crypto could see significant adoption this year.
In My Tribe 212 implied HN points 15 Jan 25
  1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have had complicated financial dealings with the Treasury. Their situation raises questions about privatization and how the accounting around their debts is handled.
  2. Eugene Fama argues that bubbles in market prices are hard to prove, suggesting that price swings are unpredictable and don't meet the classic idea of a bubble.
  3. Experts like Bill McBride believe there's concern about a housing bubble due to rising house prices, but he notes that lending standards are better now than during previous bubbles.
DeFi Education 739 implied HN points 05 Dec 23
  1. The holiday season is a great time for reading, and the recommended books cater to different interests for personal growth.
  2. Books like 'The Alchemy of Finance' and 'Undermoney' offer unique insights into finance and investing, influenced by real experiences and theories.
  3. Many of the books are available for free online, making it easy for anyone to dive into these enriching materials.
The Last Bear Standing 45 implied HN points 13 Dec 24
  1. 2024 showed a strong bull market, with big tech and AI leading the way while smaller companies struggled early on.
  2. Mid-year, signs of inflation and unemployment triggered some market concerns but were quickly eased by positive economic data and rate cuts.
  3. In general, equities did well this year, while bonds had a tougher time, especially U.S. Treasuries, which struggled with rising yields.