The hottest Market Analysis Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
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Top Business Topics

Portfolio Review - October 2023

The Wolf of Harcourt Street • 353 implied HN points • 03 Nov 23
💰 Finance Investing Stocks Portfolio Management Market Analysis
  1. The author discusses reducing their portfolio from 24 to 20 stocks by selling off positions in companies like SQ, DOCU, IIPR, and JNJ.
  2. They reinvested the proceeds into companies like AMZN, MELI, Adyen, and Evolution.
  3. The author is focusing on concentrated positions in companies like MELI and AMZN, with some cash holdings for future investments.

Short Attacks and Tobacco Stocks

Tidefall Notes • 98 implied HN points • 11 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Market Analysis
  1. Short attacks on tobacco stocks can lead to short-term dips in stock prices, but may not significantly impact a company's overall value or trajectory.
  2. Investing in undervalued sectors like tobacco stocks with strong financials and low valuations can offer potential for growth and profitability.
  3. Understanding industry trends like the shift to next-gen products in tobacco can help investors anticipate stock reratings and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

O Bubble, Where Art Thou?

The Last Bear Standing • 55 implied HN points • 08 Mar 24
💰 Finance Stock Market Cryptocurrency Market Analysis Interest Rates
  1. The equity market has shown signs of over-indulgence recently, with increasing enthusiasm and unbridled momentum.
  2. Market worry has shifted from lack of enthusiasm to lack of disbelief, raising concerns about the sustainability of the current bull run.
  3. The macroeconomic resilience is attributed to a balance between big fiscal policies, monetary tightening, and strong balance sheets post-pandemic.

Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2024

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 90 implied HN points • 14 Feb 24
💰 Finance Real Estate Market Analysis
  1. The Case-Shiller National Index revealed a year-over-year increase of 5.1% in house prices, with expectations of a more positive change in December.
  2. Different measures like the NAR, ICE, and Freddie Mac also show positive trends in house prices, hitting new all-time highs in December 2024.
  3. This analysis provides insights into the current state of the housing market, offering a glimpse into where it has been, where it is now, and where it might be heading.
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2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 47 implied HN points • 12 Mar 24
💼 Business Real Estate Market Analysis
  1. Closed sales in February were influenced by past mortgage rates, showing a decrease from rates in the previous months.
  2. Active inventory in early reporting housing markets increased significantly in February, raising concerns about potential peaks.
  3. New listings in February were up year-over-year, but still at low levels compared to historical data.

Heat Check

The Last Bear Standing • 81 implied HN points • 16 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Inflation Market Analysis Economy
  1. The market has been experiencing significant growth, especially in sectors like Artificial Intelligence and biotech, leading to exponential value increases in certain stocks.
  2. Despite positive economic indicators and accommodative policies, there are some cautionary signals like delays in rate cuts and unexpected inflation data that may impact the stock market.
  3. Investors should remain aware and prepared for the potential scenarios of inflation re-acceleration and its impact on the market.

L'ONDA D'URTO

ANDREA CECCHI Newsletter • 157 implied HN points • 05 Jan 24
💰 Finance Economics Debt Market Analysis Monetary System
  1. Markets react impulsively to news, creating a sudden impact with amplified effects.
  2. The current economic system relies on debt-based currencies, leading to a continuous cycle of increasing debt and the need for new debts to pay off old ones.
  3. Observing unstable curves in economic indicators may indicate a system approaching a critical phase.

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Mule’s Musings • 83 implied HN points • 12 Feb 24
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Market Analysis Company Updates
  1. The post discusses the performance of different companies in the automotive and optics sectors, highlighting particular stocks like NXPI, IFX, FN, COHR, MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, and ARM.
  2. It mentions an observation that automotive stocks are performing poorly while optics stocks are doing well.
  3. There is a note about Rambus having a breather and SLAB putting a bottom in, suggesting potential shifts in their performance.

Long Take: The craft of scaling fintechs beyond their niche -- analyzing Twitter, Bunq, and Goldman Sachs

The Fintech Blueprint • 589 implied HN points • 02 Aug 23
💰 Finance Fintech Startups Market Analysis Business Growth Investments
  1. The craft of scaling fintechs involves understanding successful growth drivers and failures
  2. Successful business building requires targeting disruptive technologies to the right market with demand
  3. Goldman Sachs' exit from consumer business contrasts with neobanks like Bunq's profitability and growth in their niche

New Jersey Goes Rogue

Mindset Value • 353 implied HN points • 05 Oct 23
💰 Finance Investment Market Analysis Company analysis Valuation
  1. New Jersey has limited licenses for cannabis companies, leading to high prices and lower quality products.
  2. Grown Rogue is entering New Jersey with their high-quality, low-cost cannabis, potentially disrupting the market.
  3. Grown Rogue's operational excellence and efficiency position them as a valuable investment opportunity in the cannabis industry.

Evolution Gaming

Business Breakdowns • 412 implied HN points • 05 Sep 23
💼 Business Finance Market Analysis Industry Analysis Business strategy Company Overview
  1. Evolution Gaming provides back-end services for online gambling games, focusing on live casino games and RNG games.
  2. The company's revenue model involves charging a fee based on operators' winnings, with a focus on high-quality customer experiences.
  3. Evolution is the market leader in live casino with significant global market share, and is expanding into RNG games for further growth opportunities.

3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 33 implied HN points • 15 Mar 24
💼 Business Real Estate Real Estate Market Analysis Housing Market Mortgage Rates
  1. The closed sales in February were mostly for contracts signed when mortgage rates were lower than in the previous months. This signifies a trend of lower mortgage rates impacting sales.
  2. Active inventory in February showed mixed trends with some areas experiencing significant year-over-year increases in inventory while others saw decreases compared to 2019.
  3. New listings in February were up year-over-year, but still remained at historically low levels. Most areas reported lower new listings compared to January 2019.

Crossing Over Zero

moontower: a stoner dad explains options trading to his kids • 78 implied HN points • 04 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Market Analysis Financial Education
  1. The documentary '6 Days To Air' highlights the intense work ethic of the creators of 'South Park'.
  2. Collaboration and hard work are essential for success, as seen in the partnership between Trey Parker and Matt Stone.
  3. Understanding market dynamics, like the significance of opening prices and breakout strategies, can lead to potential trading insights.

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY’S TOBACCO HISTORY

Reflections on "Going Down Tobacco Road" and Investing • 530 implied HN points • 18 Jul 23
💰 Finance Investments Market Analysis Bonds
  1. Warren Buffett invested in tobacco businesses like R.J. Reynolds, showing a historical investment pattern.
  2. Buffett sold his R.J. Reynolds stock in 1984, missing out on higher returns, showcasing his investment strategy.
  3. Buffett made a successful investment in RJR Nabisco bonds in 1989, demonstrating his keen awareness of financial risks and rewards.

Endgame #2

The Dollar Endgame • 319 implied HN points • 28 Sep 23
💰 Finance Currency Bonds Market Analysis Economic Impact Government shutdown
  1. Japan is facing challenges with its currency and bond market, with the USD/JPY crossing critical levels and the market pressuring the Yen amidst debt concerns.
  2. The US bond market is experiencing significant turbulence, with record lows in various instruments and rising yields posing challenges for investors.
  3. China is grappling with an economic slowdown fueled by a declining property market and potential need for widespread bailouts, leading to concerns about the country's economic future.

Hidden Champions among India's ADRs/GDRs

Asian Century Stocks • 353 implied HN points • 10 Sep 23
💰 Finance Stock Market Investing Companies Economy Market Analysis
  1. There are high-quality Indian companies listed overseas that international investors can consider.
  2. Among the 16 Indian companies listed overseas, five were highlighted as having competitive products and potential for growth.
  3. The Indian market has more than 5,000 listed stocks, with Indian ADRs and GDRs having a combined market cap of around US$660 billion.

The Wrong Price

Ironsides Macroeconomics 'It's Never Different This Time' • 58 implied HN points • 10 Feb 24
💰 Finance Investing Policy Economics Market Analysis
  1. Thematic investing is dominating the price action, with themes like generative AI boom and strong performance in the industrial sector attracting attention.
  2. Misdiagnosis of issues like prohibitive financing costs instead of asset quality is occurring, impacting treasury markets and regional bank stocks.
  3. Outlook on sustainable disinflation post CPI revisions and the association between regional banks and treasury market are key areas of focus.

Lawler: Rent Trends at some Large Holders of Multifamily Properties

CalculatedRisk Newsletter • 28 implied HN points • 11 Mar 24
💼 Business Real Estate Economics Finance Market Analysis Housing
  1. Rent growth has slowed sharply at large holders of multifamily properties like MAA, Equity Residential, and Avalon Bay Communities in the past year.
  2. Despite overall rent growth slowdown, year-over-year growth in rent renewals remained in the 4.5% - 5% range in January, showing a different trend.
  3. There is a lesson to be learned from the 1994-1995 Fed tightening episode where the Federal Reserve raised the policy rate significantly without triggering a recession, providing valuable insights for current monetary policymaking.

MarketWire | Let me be clear: Monopoly Go is "successful"

The GameMakers Letter • 78 implied HN points • 17 Jan 24
🕹 Technology Gaming Podcasts Mobile Market Analysis Industry Trends
  1. The discussion revolves around the success and profitability of Monopoly Go in the games industry.
  2. There is an emphasis on understanding the deeper nuances of game industry topics, such as defining profitability.
  3. Despite any controversies or disagreements, the main focus is on promoting open discussion and learning in the industry.

The Reading Unlock

SatPost by Trung Phan • 254 implied HN points • 23 Sep 23
💼 Business Entrepreneurship Investing Startups Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. Entrepreneurs like Joe Coulombe, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk were inspired by reading single articles to start successful ventures.
  2. Reading diverse and random content can help build a unique insight stack when combined with other skills.
  3. Reading and continuous learning are crucial for developing insights that lead to successful ventures or investments.