The hottest Finance Substack posts right now

And their main takeaways
Category
Top Finance Topics

Hedging Inflation with Real Assets

In My Tribe • 622 implied HN points • 12 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investments Inflation Bonds Real Estate Commodities
  1. Investing in real assets like real estate, gold, and commodities can help protect against inflation. These assets are expected to appreciate more when inflation rises.
  2. Understanding profitability is key when investing. It combines rental income, appreciation, and interest rates to determine if an investment is worth it.
  3. Inflation-indexed bonds (like i-bonds) can be a good hedge but have limits on how much you can buy. They provide some safety against inflation, even though their performance can vary.

Easing Into Expansion

The Last Bear Standing • 24 implied HN points • 17 Jan 25
💰 Finance Monetary Policy Inflation Economic data Market Trends
  1. Inflation is complex and influenced by many factors, making it hard to pinpoint why prices change. It often feels like a guessing game without clear answers.
  2. The market reacts strongly to data on inflation, analyzing numbers intensely, but sometimes it loses sight of the bigger picture, like underlying economic trends.
  3. Current monetary policies have shifted, and while they initially helped reduce inflation, signs suggest that prices may be climbing again as the economy changes.

Portfolio Update

Spilled Coffee • 36 implied HN points • 27 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investing Market Trends Portfolio Management Personal Finance Economic Analysis
  1. A move was made in the portfolio that is worth sharing. It's an important update that could impact future decisions.
  2. The information shared in this post is exclusive to paid subscribers, so it's intended for those who support the content.
  3. Engaging with updates like this can help subscribers stay informed about new developments in the portfolio.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 405 implied HN points • 19 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Update Monetary Policy Debt Management Investment Strategies
  1. The upcoming U.S. presidential inauguration and a new Treasury Secretary may lead to changes in the money market. This could create opportunities for profits.
  2. The debt ceiling issue is affecting liquidity and will lead to market volatility. When resolved, it will change the flow of money in the markets.
  3. Foreign investors are becoming more interested in U.S. Treasuries due to better returns. This could impact how these markets operate in the near future.
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💥Bankruptcy Flex?💥

PETITION • 1120 implied HN points • 21 Jan 24
💰 Finance Bankruptcy Crypto
  1. The market is showing signs of unpredictability due to economic factors like consumer sentiment and jobless claims.
  2. Some companies expecting rate cuts may have to wait longer due to cautious Fed comments.
  3. Core Scientific, a crypto-mining firm, is highlighted as a winner amidst bankruptcy cases.

🏆 Cannibal stocks

Compounding Quality • 2024 implied HN points • 01 Jun 23
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Companies Market
  1. Cannibal stocks are companies buying back their own shares, increasing your ownership without effort.
  2. Buybacks create value when a stock is undervalued, like investing in your own company.
  3. 15 high quality cannibal stocks have criteria like ROIC, profit margin, EPS growth, and decrease in shares outstanding.

Market Cap vs. Equal Weighted Index Funds - Explained

Concepts of Finance 🧠 • 239 implied HN points • 20 Jun 24
💰 Finance Investing Index funds Market Analysis Risk management Portfolio strategy
  1. Market-cap weighted index funds invest more in larger companies, which can mean more stability but also more risk if those big companies do poorly.
  2. Equal-weighted index funds treat all companies the same, offering more diversification and potential for growth, but they can be more volatile and expensive to manage.
  3. Choosing between these two types of funds depends on your comfort with risk, your investment goals, and how you think the market will perform in the future.

❄️🏢 Acheter un immeuble de rapport : tout ce qu’il faut savoir

Snowball • 1100 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
💰 Finance Real Estate Investing Property Management Financial planning Risk management
  1. Buying an income-building property requires thorough preparation and attention to details before making the purchase.
  2. Investing in buildings with multiple rented units can offer advantages like lower price per square meter, increased yield, and centralized management.
  3. When visiting potential properties, it's crucial to ask the right questions to sellers, observe key elements on-site, and gather essential documents for further evaluation.

Fintech: JPMorgan's $300MM gamble on the future of quantum computing in finance

The Fintech Blueprint • 1100 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
💰 Finance Quantum Computing Bitcoin ETFs Podcasts
  1. JPMorgan invested $300 million in quantum computing for finance with the aim of boosting cybersecurity.
  2. Quantum computing offers the potential for faster data processing but is still in experimental phases.
  3. Despite the buzz, there has been limited real-world application of quantum computing in finance.

Money Market Update

Concoda • 464 implied HN points • 05 Jan 25
💰 Finance Market Trends Central Banking Liquidity management
  1. The Federal Reserve took steps to manage money market pressures around year-end, which helped stabilize the situation. They provided morning repo operations to encourage lower trading rates.
  2. Despite these efforts, many traders still chose not to use the Fed’s cheapest repo options, which showed a lingering fear about using those facilities. This meant that repurchase agreements still traded at higher rates.
  3. Looking ahead, the debt ceiling is expected to cause uncertainty in the money markets. As people prepare for this, interbank liquidity may increase, but it won't necessarily make funding any easier.

Face First

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 32 implied HN points • 24 Jan 25
💰 Finance Investments Cryptocurrency Economics Regulations Market Trends
  1. Cryptocurrency is becoming a major focus in the U.S., especially with recent government actions. This could be a sign of big changes in the stock market ahead.
  2. President Trump supports crypto by promoting regulations and aiming to make the U.S. a leader in this industry. This includes plans for a national Bitcoin reserve.
  3. There is still uncertainty about the long-term value of cryptocurrencies. People are wondering if they will actually be useful or if they might fail completely.

Erdmann Housing Tracker, 2024 in Review (January to June)

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 84 implied HN points • 30 Dec 24
💰 Finance Housing Market Investment Strategies Market Analysis Economic Policy Real Estate
  1. High housing costs are mainly due to a lack of supply rather than too much demand. Cities are struggling to provide enough homes for their growing populations.
  2. Homeownership continues to decline because of demographic shifts and a severe housing shortage. Many people are forced to share living spaces instead of owning their own homes.
  3. There is a belief that adding more housing will lead to lower prices, but it often results in the opposite effect. More housing can create a sense of instability in the market, making things feel worse for current residents.

Ahead of the (Yield) Curve

Pivotal • 135 implied HN points • 04 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Trading Portfolio Management Quantitative Analysis Market Strategies
  1. The story highlights the importance of adapting to changing market conditions. The team learned they needed to pivot their strategies quickly to stay ahead in trading.
  2. Building successful trading systems requires not just good math, but also understanding market behaviors and managing risks effectively. The approach taken focused on quickly executing trades to capitalize on market noise.
  3. Competition plays a big role in financial markets. As more players adopted similar strategies, the initial advantages of their system decreased, emphasizing the need to continuously innovate.

The Houthis, A Disappointing Wage Report, and the Tumbling Yen

Japan Economy Watch • 1098 implied HN points • 17 Jan 24
💰 Finance Markets Interest Rates Inflation Economy Wages
  1. The yen has weakened due to external factors like the Houthi attack, impacting Japanese economy and inflation, and market anticipation of interest rate changes. The disappointing wage report for November dampened expectations for a rise in interest rates by the Bank of Japan, leading to a weaker yen.
  2. An accurate model for predicting the yen's strength has a standard error of about 3.4 yen. A sizeable discrepancy between the model's forecast and the actual yen value could either indicate a correction back to expected levels or suggest a long-term trend change.
  3. The growth in nominal wages in Japan has consistently fallen short of the 3% goal needed for sustained inflation. This has influenced market expectations regarding the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions and consequently impacted the yen's valuation.

The Gold Endgame Begins

The Dollar Endgame • 559 implied HN points • 02 Apr 24
💰 Finance Gold Market Manipulation Central Banks
  1. Gold prices have been soaring recently, possibly due to China's influence and central banks accelerating their gold purchases.
  2. The gold market has been subject to manipulation by central banks through various means like buying/selling gold, gold leasing, and engaging in derivatives.
  3. There is evidence of market manipulation in the gold industry, including spoofing tactics by traders leading to inflated or deflated prices, and the potential for a significant impact on the gold market if large investors start taking physical delivery.

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 119 implied HN points • 21 Jul 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Cryptocurrency Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. Investing in the stock market during election years is usually a good idea, as many years have shown positive returns regardless of who wins.
  2. Mark Cuban suggested that a Trump presidency could benefit Bitcoin and crypto businesses, mentioning that lower tax rates and business-friendly regulations could boost prices.
  3. Amazon's Prime program remains very popular, with many members sticking around for years, which supports the company’s strong sales during events like Prime Day.

Data Update 1 for 2024: The Data Speaks, but what is it saying?

Musings on Markets • 1099 implied HN points • 05 Jan 24
💰 Finance Investing Valuation Data Analysis Corporate Finance Market Trends
  1. All companies are included in data analysis to get a full picture, not just big ones. This helps avoid bias and shows a more accurate view of industries.
  2. The data covers many financial variables that help understand company decisions about investment, financing, and dividends. It also uses unique ways to calculate statistics for more accurate insights.
  3. The statistics are updated regularly to reflect the latest available information. Users should utilize the data wisely and be aware of any changes in accounting standards or currency issues.

Media Notes

The Lens • 982 implied HN points • 22 Jan 24
💰 Finance Economics Monetary Policy Inflation Interest Rates Debt
  1. Stephanie Kelton discusses alternative ways to handle inflationary pressures globally
  2. Central banks turning to rate hikes may not be the most effective solution for managing inflation
  3. Raising interest rates can have unintended consequences and may not always lead to desired outcomes

Trade Ideas for 2025

The Last Bear Standing • 53 implied HN points • 27 Dec 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Trading Economic Trends Market Analysis
  1. There are 17 stock ideas for 2025 that include 10 buying opportunities and 4 stocks to sell. These ideas focus on different industries and market trends.
  2. The author had success in the past year by betting on precious metals and cryptocurrencies. This year, the focus shifts entirely to equity markets.
  3. The listed stocks cover various topics like space expansion, energy storage, and datacenter needs, showing a diverse range for potential investment.

🔍 Screen for Quality Stocks

Compounding Quality • 1788 implied HN points • 08 Jun 23
💰 Finance Stocks Investing Screening Quality Companies
  1. Screen for quality stocks by looking at criteria like revenue growth, earnings growth, FCF/earnings, ROIC, net debt/FCFF, and debt/equity ratios.
  2. Investing in companies with strong financials and good balance sheets is crucial for long-term success.
  3. Tools like Stratosphere can help you screen for quality stocks, even if you don't have access to Bloomberg.

The Perverse Incentives Depreciating Your House

QTR’s Fringe Finance • 22 implied HN points • 29 Jan 25
💰 Finance Housing Market Real Estate Economic Policy Consumer behavior Investment Strategies
  1. Home prices are rising fast, making it hard for many people to think they'll ever own one. It's more of a struggle for the average person to afford a home nowadays.
  2. Builders often focus on making homes quickly and cheaply instead of making them durable and long-lasting. This means new homes might not hold their value as well as older ones.
  3. Homebuyers are not paying as much attention to quality. They’re more interested in lower prices, which can lead to issues later as newer homes may need repairs sooner.

Case-Shiller and Filtering

Erdmann Housing Tracker • 189 implied HN points • 18 Nov 24
💰 Finance Housing Market Economic Trends Inflation Supply and Demand
  1. The Case-Shiller index, which tracks home prices, historically suggested a housing bubble. However, it may actually reflect a housing shortage rather than a bubble bursting.
  2. When adjusting home prices for inflation using rent instead of general CPI, the index shows that home prices are still significantly elevated due to high rents driving prices up.
  3. Today's housing market struggles with a lack of new homes, leading to increased prices for existing homes. This lack of building capacity has made it harder for younger generations to have the same homeownership opportunities as their grandparents.

Economics Links, 2/15/2025

In My Tribe • 243 implied HN points • 15 Feb 25
💰 Finance Economics Trade Health Policy Substack International
  1. The European Union may have created a big, slow government that doesn't serve its people well. Some believe smaller countries manage their affairs better.
  2. Importing goods doesn't always harm jobs; a trade deficit can actually mean a strong economy. More spending and demand can lead to more jobs, not fewer.
  3. Becoming successful on platforms like Substack is tough. It often takes a large existing following or writing about popular subjects to grow your audience.

Ticker Take: a weekly newsletter on investing.

Jon’s Newsletter • 199 implied HN points • 23 Jun 24
💰 Finance Investing Stock Market Economic Trends Market Strategies
  1. Nvidia's stock is seen as highly valued and risky by some investors. They believe more affordable competitors are rising, and the AI chip market isn't as profitable as thought.
  2. The stock market is split; while tech stocks soar, many other sectors seem stagnant. It's suggested to balance your portfolio by investing in more stable sectors like industrials and healthcare.
  3. Investing in Japan is gaining attention due to favorable economic changes and companies aiming to boost their values. This could provide good opportunities for diversification.

Malta Liquidity

Malt Liquidity • 12 implied HN points • 08 Feb 25
💰 Finance Investing Trading Market Analysis Consumer behavior Mental health
  1. Travel can often feel like work, and it's not always enjoyable. Sometimes it’s more about experiencing new places than actually immersing oneself in them.
  2. Taking breaks is essential for clear thinking. Finding time to think deeply without distractions can help improve creativity and problem-solving skills.
  3. Retirement is more about having the freedom to choose how you spend your time. It’s not just about money; it's about being content with how you live your life.

💥Lender on Lender Violence is Back! And on Steroids. Part III.💥

PETITION • 1002 implied HN points • 15 Jan 24
💰 Finance Bankruptcy Investing Restructuring Debt Economy
  1. The article discusses recent bankruptcy cases involving companies like Wesco Aircraft Holdings Inc. and Instant Brands Acquisition Holdings Inc.
  2. The bankruptcy cases highlighted the complex interactions between lenders and debtors, showcasing the challenges and strategies involved in negotiations.
  3. Key themes in the cases include asset stripping, liability management, regulatory approval challenges, and the role of different parties in bankruptcy proceedings.

Meta & Amazon Earnings Reviews

Stock Market Nerd • 884 implied HN points • 02 Feb 24
💰 Finance Market Analysis Financial Performance
  1. Meta Platforms (META) had strong earnings, beating estimates in demand, margins, guidance, and financials.
  2. Amazon (AMZN) also had a successful quarter, exceeding revenue and margin expectations, especially in AWS growth and advertising.
  3. Both companies showcased solid performance, indicating positive trends for their business strategies and financial outlook.